Iowa State vs. Texas Picks, Predictions College Football Week 7: Can Cyclones Slow Down Ewers?
Texas, 4-2, is back to No. 23 in the AP Poll entering college football's Week 7. We offer up our top picks as Texas hosts 3-3 Iowa State.
Many are saying the Longhorns are back as freshman QB Quinn Ewers returned from injury to lead the Longhorns to a 49-0 rout of rival Oklahoma last week. In his first game since Week 2, Ewers threw for 289 yards and four touchdowns with only one interception. Texas is 5-1 against the spread.
Iowa State has fallen back to .500 with three straight losses, including last week's 10-9 defeat at the hands of Kansas State. The Cyclones last two setbacks came by a combined score of 24-20.
Check out our college football best bets and all of our top picks for Week 7.
Here are our top picks for the college football Week 7 game between Iowa State and Texas (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Iowa State vs. Texas Odds
Iowa State vs. Texas Picks
Iowa State vs. Texas ATS Pick
Texas -15.5 (-110) ★★★★
Ewers appears to be a cheat code. The freshman was on his way to leading Texas past Alabama before his injury. In his return last week, Ewers diced up Oklahoma for four touchdowns in a 49-0 win.
Iowa State’s defense (16th in efficiency) is leaps and bounds above Oklahoma's, but I don’t think even the Cyclones can hold down Ewers & Co. in Austin.
Though it’s frightening to give 15.5 points to a team that has allowed more than that number only once all season, I’m buying the Texas offense with Ewers at home.
Iowa State vs. Texas O/U Pick
Under 48.5 (-110) ★★★★
Part of my comfort in Texas covering the spread is the notion that Iowa State won’t be contributing much offense to this game. The Longhorns have the 13th-ranked defensive efficiency, but it’s hopeless for a Cyclones offense entering a hostile environment as the 78th-ranked team in offensive efficiency.
Iowa State’s 19.4 points per game (106th in FBS) drops to just 13.5 against Power Five opponents.
Texas could score in the low-30s and still not have enough juice alone to push this total Over.
Iowa State vs. Texas Prop Pick
Iowa State Under 16.5 (-110) ★★★
In four games this season against Power Five opponents, Iowa State has compiled scoring totals of 10, 24, 11, and 9. Only two of those outcomes came against teams inside the top 50 in defensive efficiency.
Iowa State has averaged 10.5 points in road games this season. With Longhorns fans riding high off the Red River Rivalry win, Saturday in Austin will be as tough of an environment as the Cyclones will face all season.
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Iowa State-Texas picks made 10/13/2022 at 3:57 p.m. ET
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