Originally posted by Nikigreat
Thanks
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ThanksComment -
Double
Alexander Kudryavtsev - Kenny De Schepper, Edouard Roger-Vasselin - Konstantin Kravchuk
Pick: Alexander Kudryavtsev, Edouard Roger-Vasselin @ 2.16 [+116]
Why: Took this some hour ago and odds of both are dropping.
Roger-Vasselin is playing well, did a good tournament in Marseille where lost fighting with Tsonga; Kravchuk plays especially on indoor but he's one level under Edouard, lost with Torebko in his last tournament.
Hope Kudryavtsev won't be the same of Romboli yesterday, because like the brazilian, he faces a player who have not scored a win on the surface this year; the only two wins of De Schepper in 2012 are Vagnozzi and Yani on hard.
Kudryavtsev holds a good record on indoor 7W/3L and this year seems always able to win matches where he's better than opponent. Maybe the last one, lost with Gojowczyk, is the only bad loss this year, but Gojowczyk is playing well and in the end it was an acceptable defeat.
BetVictorComment -
History
Parlays: 8-6 [+12.58]
Dogs: 5-8 [-0.97]
Favorites: 4-1 [+8.63]
Over: 1-0 [+4.50]
Handicap: 0-1-1V [-1.8]
Futures: 1-3 [+1.31]
Total: +24.25
Yesterday Baghdatis was decisive for my day, still can't believe he lost serve on 5-4 first set. Dolgo voided and apologyzed with fans on Twitter saying that it was his worst match in a long time, so ai can't imagine. Romboli wasted a huge number of break points and lost so badly; at least I recovered something with Federer + Pennetta parlay.Comment -
Really interested in the Gulbis/Darcis match. One of the few games that is not juiced to ridiculous margins.Comment -
Starace over Berlocq on my mind... Yes or not?Comment -
Two crazy guys, I see many comebacks here and maybe a third set, so the over is probably the best play. Darcis conceeded not much break points (8) if we consider that he had 15 serve turns against a good returner like Troicki, but the problem is that he lost 6 of those 8 BPs. Gulbis conceeded 6 and won 6-4 6-1, but saved 4 of them. I see many turnovers here, and match could be decided in few points.Originally posted by moshi
If obliged to choose one, I would take Gulbis.Comment -
Hmm...interesting. I'm also thinking Youzhny over Fish? And isn't the Starace/Berlocq game already over?Comment -
To pick Youzhny can be right because I give 50% to both and Youzhny is about @ 2.5/2.6 so I would go with him.Originally posted by moshi
Starace - Berlocq play tonight second match on court 4.Comment -
Acapulco
Carlos Berlocq - Potito Starace
Pick: Potito Starace + 1.5 sets @ 1.53 [-188]
Why: I already said this, Potito has to begin to do some result on his surface; they played against about ten days ago, Berlocq won a three sets fight.
Ok that Carlos is another player from about one year on clay, but I must consider that huge leading by Starace on head to head. One set Potito, I don't ask anything else.
Stats: Starace leads head to head 8-1, 6 on clay, 2 on hard.
PinnacleComment -
Problems for Kudryavtsev, retired after losing first set, fortunately BetVictor gives void if a player withdraw if match is already started.Comment -
Gah, Youzhny did win. I didn't play anything last night because I couldn't make up my mind
Damn. He had a nice payout too. Good luck with your play today.
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Lol I told you Gulbis + over and Youzhny and we both didn't play anything of those matchesOriginally posted by moshiGah, Youzhny did win. I didn't play anything last night because I couldn't make up my mind Damn. He had a nice payout too. Good luck with your play today.
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Dubai
Juan Martin Del Potro - Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Pick: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga @ 2.23 [+123]
Why: I have a particular reasoning for this pick. Del Potro was playing at top level in Marseille, while Tsonga did not a great tournament and wasn't clearly at 100% but still managed to win a set against Juan Martin. Here in Dubai Del Potro has to prove some tiredness. Played in first round with Dolgo who said that was one of his worst match of his lasts and won just 6-3 7-6; the french is even serving very well with 19 aces in two matches and with high percentages of points won with first serve.
Many of us were thinking Del Po could lose in that match with the ukrainian, so why he can't lose to Tsonga tomorrow?
PinnacleComment -
what about murraY?Comment -
Am I crazy for liking the following dogs? Ramos over Wawrinka, Berdych over Murray, Tipsy over Joker?
Comment -
Not crazy, just a little insane.Originally posted by JohnnyRudeboyAm I crazy for liking the following dogs? Ramos over Wawrinka, Berdych over Murray, Tipsy over Joker?Comment -
Sorry, could not post anything because of SBR maintenance.
Yesterday hit Roger Vasselin alone because of Kudryavtsev withdraw (void).
Then bad beat with Starace, it's funny to know that in 9 matches against Berlocq he always got a set and tonight that I played him to win one lost 2-0.
Today trying to recover with:
Double
Henri Laaksonen - Go Soeda, Simone Bolelli - Fabiano de Paula
Pick: Go Soeda, Simone Bolelli @ 1.25 [-400]
Why: Another noob parlay after Federer + Pennetta. That's not my way of betting, but I have to do it to bet again the way I like.
Soeda already won, 6-3 6-2.
A good shape Bolelli can't lost to De Paula, I would kill my self if that happens.
BetVictor
Like that everyone is going on Del Potro, I'm still pretty confident on Tsonga, then we'll see.Comment -
Sorry, have some problem on view the forum with the new graphic on my mobile phone, can't even acces to all the pages of my thread.
I remember someone was asking about Ramos, Tipsarevic and Berdych.
Well, Ramos already lost but I saw a good Wawrinka in these days and I wouldn't have picked Albert.
Tipso has about 15-20% of chances to win today with Novak, and Berdych wouldn't have picked him neither because didn't like to go against Murray who lost just by Djoko in that epic Semifinal in AO.Comment -
Very nice!Originally posted by Nikigreat
BOL with the Tsonga play.Comment -
Thank you uga, you are doing well too.Originally posted by ugaboogaVery nice!
BOL with the Tsonga play.
Hope to share some good win together
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Double
Josselin Ouanna - Ilya Marchenko, Dudi Sela - Jarkko Nieminen
Pick: Ilya Marchenko - Jarkko Nieminen @ 2.04 [+104]
Why: Marchenko is playing really solid; lost his last match on 1st february 2-1 to Minar who is a very good player in Challenger level.
Ilya won yesterday with Serra 6-2 6-1, if Serra was pretty okay, at least not injured, that is a very significant result for me.
Ouanna sometimes find a good result here and there, but is really inconstant. One example is a set dropped to the unknown Chettar, a 19 years old guy who played only other two matches this year and lost with people ranked between 800 and 1300 position.
So i'm pretty confident on Marchenko here, hope he won't disappoint me.
Nieminen is playing a nice Tennis; on hard courts he lost just from Monfils and Federer this year, winning all the matches where he was superior; Sela is pretty average at the moment, if he doesn't find the day of the life Jarkko should win in straights.
Stats: Marchenko is 6W/2L on indoor in 2012, Ouanna is 4W/6L; Nieminen won last head to head 6-2 7-5 in Memphis 2010 (indoor), and his 10W/2L on hard this year.
BetVictorComment -
Great bet !Comment -
History
Parlays: 8-6 [+12.58]
Dogs: 5-8 [-0.97]
Favorites: 5-1 [+9.04]
Over: 1-0 [+4.50]
Handicap: 0-2-1V [-5.8]
Futures: 1-3 [+1.31]
Total: +19.65
Update with Tsonga, Marchenko + Nieminen and Soeda + Bolelli pending.Comment -
The bad period continues: maybe Marchenko will win in the end, first set isn't over yey, but you can't waste 3 bp in a row and then another one in the next game and get broken at your first break point conceeded.
Oh well, while posting this he broke back, 4-3 Ouanna with Marchenko to serve, but could be 4-3 Marchenko.Comment -
7-6 Ouanna, 6-4 Sela, but I still believe in that parlayComment -
Lol both Marchenko and Nieminen leading in second set and both managed to lose.Originally posted by Nikigreat
Tsonga really really disappointing. Del Po had even some problem to his arm but the french was absolutely disappointing today.
Still alive in the day with the easy parlay, Soeda + Bolelli. Now two picks for the night, hope to have some luck here, really need it.Comment -
Double
David Ferrer - Pablo Andujar, Stanislas Wawrinka - Jeremy Chardy
Pick: David Ferrer, Stanislas Wawrinka @ 1.39 [-255]
Why: Andujar doesn't have enough weapons to make Ferrer's life so hard, David shouldn't have any problem in this match.
Wawrinka is finding a good feeling on clay courts, or at least that's what it seems to me. Even Chardy has a good run on the surface right now, but I consider him a little more inconstant especially under the mental level than the swiss. Both Ferrer and Wawrinka has won the only head to head against their opponents on clay in straights.
BetVictor
Acapulco
Carlos Berlocq - Santiago Giraldo
Pick: Total Games: Over 22 @ 1.95 [-105]
Why: Not great motivations here. Simply they are both playing really well, and when two pure claycourter play really well and face each other on clay, it's always a fight. Hope for a three-setter here.
PinnacleComment -
History
Parlays: 9-7 [+12.70]
Dogs: 5-9 [-2.97]
Favorites: 5-1 [+9.04]
Over: 1-0 [+4.50]
Handicap: 0-2-1V [-5.8]
Futures: 1-3 [+1.31]
Total: +19.65Comment -
Ferrer 2-0...Any way this doesn't happen? Just adding value to my plays but don't want to get screwed over.Comment -
History
Parlays: 10-7 [+15.38]
Dogs: 5-9 [-2.97]
Favorites: 5-1 [+9.04]
Over: 2-0 [+6.78]
Handicap: 0-2-1V [-5.8]
Futures: 1-3 [+1.31]
Total: +24.71
Nice night, Ferrer and Wawrinka in straights, Berlocq - Giraldo went to third set and both plays hit.Comment -
Double
Roger Federer - Juan Martin Del Potro, Jelena Jankovic - Ayumi Morita
Pick: Roger Federer, Jelena Jankovic @ 1.45 [-222]
Why: Roger can't lose this; isn't conceeding anything on his serve, crushed Del Potro two weeks ago and the argentine had problems to his arm yesterday and don't even know if he will finish the match today (that's why I picked this on Pinnacle that validate the play if a player reiters after first set).
Jankovic has a good chance to make at least the final here, can't lose by a baseline player like Morita who is not having a great run on hard in this period.
Stats: Federer leads head to head 9-2, last one 6-1 6-4 in Rotterdam;
Jankovic won the only head to head 6-1 6-0 in Fed Cup 2009
PinnacleComment -
Morita retired without playing, hit Roger alone.
Pennetta is in the final in Acapulco, won't probably edge for the future pick.Comment -
History
Parlays: 10-7 [+15.38]
Dogs: 5-9 [-2.97]
Favorites: 6-1 [+10.47]
Over: 2-0 [+6.78]
Handicap: 0-2-1V [-5.8]
Futures: 1-3 [+1.31]
Total: +26.14Comment -
Murray or Fed tonight?Comment -
Wanted to play Udomchoke [+175] with Soeda but I came late.
Also thinking about Wang [+300] + 2-1 Lu (hedge) but my book doesn't offer set betting.Comment
