Nikigreat Tennis Picks

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  • Demonata
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-12-11
    • 25829

    #456
    Nice man. Good luck. What do you think about safarova vs wozniack? I feel Safarova is a steal at that price and like it alot more than taking hercog. Safarova has just seemed focused and returning serves with ease.Wozniak not playing well in my opinion.
    Comment
    • Dmoneytx
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-09-12
      • 6450

      #457
      Just got up ya'll. Sorry about yesterday, I taught like 8 hours & I went 0-2 from the day before. So I was pissed. I am just looking at the board now. I thought about Safarova as well D. She is one of the plays that caught my eye right away. I'm researching now. I'll post my play or two in a few mins.

      GL today Niki!! I hope you kick his ass Play well in all your matches, dig deep brotha!! I am looking at your plays now. I'm not sure about the Giquel match. I know he is 35, but the other guy is in his 30's as well I think & he had over 12 double faults yesterday. For a longer shot, great payout.......maybe worth a small shot. I'll get back to ev1 in a few mins.

      BOL to all of us!!!
      Comment
      • Nikigreat
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-23-12
        • 424

        #458
        Originally posted by Dmoneytx
        Just got up ya'll. Sorry about yesterday, I taught like 8 hours & I went 0-2 from the day before. So I was pissed. I am just looking at the board now. I thought about Safarova as well D. She is one of the plays that caught my eye right away. I'm researching now. I'll post my play or two in a few mins.

        GL today Niki!! I hope you kick his ass Play well in all your matches, dig deep brotha!! I am looking at your plays now. I'm not sure about the Giquel match. I know he is 35, but the other guy is in his 30's as well I think & he had over 12 double faults yesterday. For a longer shot, great payout.......maybe worth a small shot. I'll get back to ev1 in a few mins.

        BOL to all of us!!!
        Thank you man.

        Yeah I 've put a small amount on Bednarek and I'm bigger on the other two plays.
        It's just an attempt at that odd.
        Comment
        • Dmoneytx
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-09-12
          • 6450

          #459
          Bovada doesn't offer the Mexican Challanger this week, so I didn't look that one up. GL on that play Niki!
          Hercog seems to have gotten to a good start against Bartoli, up 3-1 with a break. Bartoli is going to have her hands full today

          I looked at Safarova match & Wozniak has been playing good tennis this year with alot of wins, 16 I think. She could give Lucie all she can handle today. I think that is why the odds are so low on Safarova. I think Safarova should win, but in WTA when someone has confidence and is winning, they usually give the better players a serious run for their money. Also, looking at the Lisicki match, the same holds true for Shevedova. She has around 16 or 17 wins, so she will also have a ton of confidence. Again, I think Sabine should win that match, but it would NOT surprise me if one of those two favorites lost today. If you go with either phrrhlayer, good luck.

          I am actually looking for another play bec both of those made me think too much. WTA is wacky ass tennis, its almost better to fade the crappier players sometimes. I hate when a favorite losses bec the other woman is just rolling with confidence. And when they play the better players, usually they have no nerves early in the match. I'll be back on in a few mins.......
          Comment
          • Demonata
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 07-12-11
            • 25829

            #460
            Ya to me Safarova has played and beaten better players and clay is her best surface. Thanks for the input though. Decided to take Safarova to win the first set.
            Comment
            • Dmoneytx
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-09-12
              • 6450

              #461
              Play #1

              Petrova -175
              Zvonareva -650

              Total = appx -122

              I live Zvonareva to win this match against Voegele. Zvonareva looked in really good form winning her first match after the bye quite easily. Voegele has faced 19 break points in two matches, saving around 11. She has also had 14 or 15 double faults in both matches & I don't see her getting away with beating Zvonareva playing like that.
              Petrova had a tough match against Crybas, but she sure got it together in the third set winning quite easily. I look for her to up her play today against a struggling Pavyluchenckova. She had her first match off the bye, as a wildcard #8 seed, and barely got through Daniilidou in three tough sets. I am really going against the poor form of Pavyl this year, she has only won 2 matches (one being yesterday). This could be a three setter, but I am leaning towards Petrova to get the win.


              Play #2

              Dancevic -145
              Zvonareva -650

              Total = appx -104

              Again, taking Zvonareva. I do feel really good about that play, enough to put it in both plays. Obviously, Dancevic has been in very good form lately. He is serving very well. Frank has 13 aces in two matches along with 4 doubles. He has a ton of confidence & will bring everything he has today to keep moving thru this tment. I have personally seen Reynolds play twice live & both times I was very unimpressed. He has a decent serve, but his groundstrokes are nothing special. He will defientely have his hands full with Dancevic & both times I saw him play, when he went down in the set his play really dropped low. He does not have a big weapon & with the recent form of Frank, I will lean towards Dancevic to take this match. Again, could be a three setter or a close two sets, but I am hoping we see a typical Reynolds fold. He saved 8 out of 9 break points yest & had a struggling Yani who retired on him in the first round.

              Again, two options on the parlays today for those tailing. If you like either, make it your pick & be confident in what you go with. I like both, so I am playing both. BOL to ev1!!!

              Go get em Niki, I'm pulling for ya today
              Comment
              • Demonata
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 07-12-11
                • 25829

                #462
                Safarova takes the first set easily.
                Comment
                • Demonata
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 07-12-11
                  • 25829

                  #463
                  Good picks Dmoney. Best of luck. Decided to take Lisiki just don't see her losing at all. Parlayed her with stosur. Best of luck to both of us.
                  Comment
                  • Dmoneytx
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-09-12
                    • 6450

                    #464
                    Nice play on 1st set Safarova D
                    I'm pulling for ya today brotha!!
                    Comment
                    • Nikigreat
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-23-12
                      • 424

                      #465
                      I've finished now. I won 6-1 6-4 but had a calf contracture on 6-1 2-1.
                      It's sad to say it but what a bad character he was.
                      I understand now why Seppi chokes so many times.
                      Comment
                      • Dmoneytx
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-09-12
                        • 6450

                        #466
                        Just got in Niki. LONG day teaching brotha. I am so tired. I have a tment here in Houston tomm morning, first match at 11am, bye first round. CONGRATS Glad you won today. And he was a bad sport huh??? I hate to see that. Being a teacher of this sport and having a true love for it, I hate to see players acting like asses on the court. Don't they know how stupid they look??? Answer: probably not! Good for you then. When's your next match????

                        I'll comment on my plays in a bit. I HAVE to eat now! Have extra penne pasta & meatballs I think we all did well today with our plays!! I haven't even checked Dancevic yet. LOL.
                        Comment
                        • adam3248
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-03-10
                          • 1271

                          #467
                          Good work with your picks guys and best of luck in your matches/tournaments
                          Comment
                          • Nikigreat
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-23-12
                            • 424

                            #468
                            I play today with a guy that I should beat if I'm ok, but I don't know if the calf contraction I had yesterday will allow me to.

                            Yesterday had a perfect draw day, no gain no loss. Good job with Hercog and very bad luck with Zikovic who had many more chances than his opponent but lost 7-6 in the third.
                            By the way I have to update my picks "history", if I have time I'll do it.

                            Today one play for now (Charleston odds are not out yet on BetVictor):

                            Davis Cup
                            Gilles Simon - John Isner

                            Pick: John Isner @ 2 [+100]
                            Why: Supposing that Tsonga wins with Harrison, for the equilibre of the match, Isner has good chances to take this and ends day one on 1-1. I could have see this match live but couldn't go because of work/tournament.
                            Montecarlo's court is usually slow but Isner's serve is so strong that it should avoid this condition, while the Simon's can be weaker and bring less direct points. After the upset with Roger, can't see reasons why John can't win this; the only thing against him is the crowd but he can handle it pretty well and not consider it so much. Even if Simon comes out winner, at that odd John Isner is a must play for me today.

                            BetVictor
                            Comment
                            • Dmoneytx
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-09-12
                              • 6450

                              #469
                              Parlay #1 from yesterday: Zvonareva was really tested in the opening set. After losing the first, she broke Voegele 5 times to finish the match & took the second and third rather easily. I am actually surprised it went three sets, but I am glad Vera got her shit together!! Petrova handled Pavyl fairly well. Like I said yest, sometimes it is great to fade the crappy WTA players who are on bad form. Right now, Pavyl is one of them. Good job Nadia!!!
                              CASH IT!!!

                              Parlay#2 from yesterday: Same write up on Zvonareva. No surprise to me, Dancevic bagled Reynolds in the first. LOL. But I am surprised the second set went to a tiebreaker! Frank had 12 aces to 1 double. Gotta keep playing a guy who is serving that well and has a ton of confidence. But I also went against Reynolds just as much. I guess from what I have seem him play, yest was no different. He quit in the first set, but I do give him credit for fighting in the second. Good job Frank!!!
                              CASH IT!!!
                              Comment
                              • Dmoneytx
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-09-12
                                • 6450

                                #470
                                I needed a 2-0 day yest bec the day before I went 0-2! Good to be back on track
                                I will look at lines later, I don't have time this morning. Good luck today Niki!!! I hope the calf holds up brotha!!!
                                Comment
                                • Nikigreat
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-23-12
                                  • 424

                                  #471
                                  Thanks John, I'm going now.

                                  Adding this:

                                  Davis Cup
                                  Radek Stepanek - Janko
                                  Tipsarevic

                                  Pick: Number of Games: Over 38.5 @ 1.8 [-125]
                                  Why: I see a very close match. Tipso is the favourite but with the home advantage Radek can take this and so at least I don't see him losing in 3. Same thing for Janko, he can't lose in straights so a four-five setter is really possible here.

                                  BetVictor
                                  Comment
                                  • Demonata
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-12-11
                                    • 25829

                                    #472
                                    Love the pick man. Best of luck. I am still trying to decide if I want to take Lisicki or not. Actually see her winning this one.
                                    Comment
                                    • Demonata
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-12-11
                                      • 25829

                                      #473
                                      Also not sure whether to take Zvonareva or Safarova? Or maybe the over?
                                      Comment
                                      • Nikigreat
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-23-12
                                        • 424

                                        #474
                                        Very nice day. Won my match 5-7 6-2 6-2 with a very fair guy, nice match.
                                        Isner won and Stepanek -
                                        Tipsarevic went over.
                                        I tought Cilic at +300 was a good attempt but I wasn't so brave to pick him.
                                        Comment
                                        • Nikigreat
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-23-12
                                          • 424

                                          #475
                                          Originally posted by Demonata
                                          Also not sure whether to take Zvonareva or Safarova? Or maybe the over?
                                          I always think, if you believe it's a 50-50 match pick the dog if you think has chances.. or pass on this match.
                                          Comment
                                          • VikesPhanatic84
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-16-10
                                            • 401

                                            #476
                                            Safaro will win it!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Nikigreat
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-23-12
                                              • 424

                                              #477
                                              Originally posted by VikesPhanatic84
                                              Safaro will win it!!!
                                              It's my feeling too, why so sure?
                                              Comment
                                              • Nikigreat
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-23-12
                                                • 424

                                                #478
                                                San Luis Potosi Challenger
                                                Agustin Velotti - Ruben Ramirez-Hidalgo

                                                Pick: Agustin Velotti @ 2.75 [+175]
                                                Why: Velotti is having an imprevvise run on clay and deserves an attempt today. Ramirez-Hidalgo dropped a set with Martin and Clezar, both clay players but about 400th the first and 300th the second.
                                                Velotti is one to watch for the future and for me has a good chance in this one.

                                                BetVictor
                                                Comment
                                                • Dmoneytx
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-09-12
                                                  • 6450

                                                  #479
                                                  Just got finished my match Niki, about an hour ago. I am into the third round!!! I won 7-6, 6-2. Tight first set & then I had a ton of passing shots the second
                                                  This is the biggest tment in Houston for the year. Next match tomm at 9am. Wish me luck, next guy is 18 & has a full ride to Boston Univ in the fall. I am gonna give him all he can handle brotha!!

                                                  Congrats on your win Niki!!! Ya know, I had issues with my calves today. It's around 90 here, but I am used to playing in 100 weather. Kind of pissed me off. Gotta do good prep work tonight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • VikesPhanatic84
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-16-10
                                                    • 401

                                                    #480
                                                    Safaro has always been good to me. It's more of a gut feeling than anything. Thr line movement in her favor is encouraging also.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Demonata
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 07-12-11
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #481
                                                      I like Zvon here. She is a better player and should finally show her top 10 form here and win. Definitely take the first set.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dmoneytx
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-09-12
                                                        • 6450

                                                        #482
                                                        GL today D!! I'm pulling for ya. I only did a crazy parlay today. 3 big favs in Davis Cup. Total payout was only -205 range. I had Tsonga, Berdych & DelPo. Gonna ck those in a few mins. Was too busy playing today. Sorry I couldn't help any of y'all out with comments or picks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Demonata
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 07-12-11
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #483
                                                          Its cool man. Since Zvonareva is screwing me I need hercog to win today.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Nikigreat
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-23-12
                                                            • 424

                                                            #484
                                                            Velotti takes the second set. Ramirez-Hidalgo scored 13 double faults so far and lost 7-5 after leading 5-3.
                                                            Agustin can win this.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dmoneytx
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-09-12
                                                              • 6450

                                                              #485
                                                              My parlay today: CASH IT
                                                              Kind of mad I didn't bet alot more than to just win 100. All 3 of those matches were easy wins! Arg.
                                                              GL on that play Niki that you are watching!! And GL D on Hercog tonight!!
                                                              BOL to all of us
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Demonata
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 07-12-11
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #486
                                                                Thanks man good job at cashing. YA hopefully since tennis dog lost in the Zvonareva match than that means favored hercog wins it. She has been playing great.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Nikigreat
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-23-12
                                                                  • 424

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Velotti lost a winnable match.
                                                                  So stupid not going on Hercog and Safarova, I liked them both.
                                                                  Nothing special to play today, my book has not Davis doubles and probably I stop for one day.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Demonata
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 07-12-11
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Man Serena Williams should win today. Just not sure whether to take hercog or safarova. Hercog playing well but so is safarova.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RHB041000
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-04-11
                                                                      • 393

                                                                      #489
                                                                      iagree w u williams wins this one
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Demonata
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 07-12-11
                                                                        • 25829

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Stosur going to be too tired after those 3 set matches. Williams got a gift from lisicki retiring in first set.
                                                                        Comment
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