Shari's tennis plays

**shari91** · 06-21-10, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by bolekblues

It will be better!! I tailed but luckily played chile and under big so did not end up going too bad. you're playing spain on a handicap shari?

I'm still debating. I just calculated that between going big on the Tigers and a few smaller plays hitting, I still ended up quite well today so I'm not sure if I should tempt fate. What are you taking?

**jaymac82980** · 06-21-10, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

anyone else like potito getting +650 today? could be worth a small shot.

potito's not looking too bad right now taking the 2nd set back the same way he lost the 1st.

**shari91** · 06-21-10, 01:46 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

potito's not looking too bad right now taking the 2nd set back the same way he lost the 1st.

Sorry I missed your post earlier - between my son and Federer my hands were full for awhile. But yeah, he had a good recovery in the 2nd! I hope he pulls it off for you - that would be a nice one to cash.

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-21-10, 03:03 PM

Shari, don't worry you'll bounce back 2morrow

**bolekblues** · 06-21-10, 04:05 PM

Sorry shari, I was off for a game... I took Spain 2-0 or 3-0 because the juice on ML or even -1 was too heavy. and did not feel comfortable taking them -2. Glad it hit after a terrible day in tennis. waiting for your tuesday picks.

**nocode1** · 06-21-10, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by nocode1

hi guys and girl....Wimbledon is upon us, time to win some cash.

Im starting off with a 5 leg parlay

1.22 BECKER, Benjamin (GER)
1.33 DENT, Taylor (USA)
1.33 SHVEDOVA, Yaroslava (KAZ)
1.60 HLAVACKOVA, Andrea (CZE)
1.43 KUDRYAVTSEVA, Alla (RUS)
Legs : 5
4.93

playing it for 1 unit.

most matches tonight are too short for my liking so im parlaying instead

**nocode1** · 06-21-10, 09:33 PM

Shari tonights your night......i know you will do well tonight

**camel** · 06-22-10, 12:44 AM

Nadal -8, good bet?

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by nocode1

Shari tonights your night......i know you will do well tonight

Bad night on here but made out well with that book error. Ended up buying back Wawa right before I put the first set correct score play in so I ended $500 up on that one. Thank goodness for their mistake!! Withdrew the cash as soon as they graded it.

Originally posted by camel

Nadal -8, good bet?

Personally I'd say no but I also don't like giving anyone 8 points in the first round especially. Nishikori is a good player and I think it won't be as easy for Nadal to close this one out as the odds suggest. He'll still win it but I don't believe it will be a massive blowout. Watch he bagels him in 3.

**hawley** · 06-22-10, 12:56 AM

shari - any thoughts on isner? i see him as good value but dont know much about his opponent and follow tennis that much

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by hawley

shari - any thoughts on isner? i see him as good value but dont know much about his opponent and follow tennis that much

Hey hawley! I'll give you some stats on Isner and Mahut and then I'll let you make up your mind.

Isner - hasn't played on grass since July '08 and is 1-5 lifetime on grass. He's a big server who showed some good form during the clay season.

Mahut - played the transition tourneys leading into Wimbledon and held his own. Is 35-15 lifetime on grass, 12-4 since July '09. Also a big server who has won 5 in a row against big serving opponents.

Head to head these two are 1-0: Mahut beat Isner back in '08 on grass.

If I were betting this match, and I still may, I'd have to take Mahut. You could argue that Isner's game has improved since he last played grass 2 years ago, but I can't risk putting money on that without seeing him on this surface first. Mahut has the grass court experience and has been doing well on it whereas Isner is a complete unknown to me at this point on the surface.

Best of luck whatever you decide to do!!

**camel** · 06-22-10, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Personally I'd say no but I also don't like giving anyone 8 points in the first round especially. Nishikori is a good player and I think it won't be as easy for Nadal to close this one out as the odds suggest. He'll still win it but I don't believe it will be a massive blowout. Watch he bagels him in 3.

OK, i'll take your word for it.. haha. I rarely watch tennis so i have no idea who Nishikori is, but damn i feel like sushi now.

**UpsetSpecial09** · 06-22-10, 01:32 AM

Hey shari, thanks for all your great insight. Started a thread, please take a look if you can. Agree with you that Nadal may not win 6-0...but I think he gets it done in three sets for the under of 30.5, any thoughts on this. Federer had it today when he really wanted to it seemed like he didnt really even turn it on till midway thru that third set and I don't expect Nadal to do that. Could go over though, I had L Hewitt under today and while Hewitt was great in sets 2 thru 4 only losing 4 games, he lost the first set 7-5 and the match went over.

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-22-10, 01:36 AM

Originally posted by nocode1

Congrats nocode

**Brian891** · 06-22-10, 02:07 AM

Im thinking of doing an azarinka, benneteau, baggy parlay at even odds. Any thoughts?

**nocode1** · 06-22-10, 02:29 AM

hey again guys.....got another 5 leg parlay for tonight

1.17 BENNETEAU, Julien (FRA)
1.37 GARCIA LOPEZ, Guillermo (ESP)
1.65 DOLGOPOLOV JR, Oleksandr (UKR)
1.70 FISCHER, Martin (AUT)
1.33 GRANOLLERS, Marcel (ESP)
Legs : 5
5.98

1 unit

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-22-10, 02:44 AM

Shari, where are you?
I need an expert opinion on a match between two frenchmen Marc Gicquel v Paul-Henri Mathie.
Who do you think will go through to the next round?

**hawley** · 06-22-10, 03:04 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Hey hawley! I'll give you some stats on Isner and Mahut and then I'll let you make up your mind.

Isner - hasn't played on grass since July '08 and is 1-5 lifetime on grass. He's a big server who showed some good form during the clay season.

Mahut - played the transition tourneys leading into Wimbledon and held his own. Is 35-15 lifetime on grass, 12-4 since July '09. Also a big server who has won 5 in a row against big serving opponents.

Head to head these two are 1-0: Mahut beat Isner back in '08 on grass.

If I were betting this match, and I still may, I'd have to take Mahut. You could argue that Isner's game has improved since he last played grass 2 years ago, but I can't risk putting money on that without seeing him on this surface first. Mahut has the grass court experience and has been doing well on it whereas Isner is a complete unknown to me at this point on the surface.

Best of luck whatever you decide to do!!

thank you shari very much appreciate your insight

have you posted your plays yet

good luck for whatever you do

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 03:07 AM

I'm here Tommy! Just trying to sort my plays out before my son wakes up.

I don't like either player in this one to be honest. Mathieu retired from the French and has been MIA since and I don't like Gicquel on grass. If I had to pick, I'd take Mathieu because that's what my instincts are telling me is the play because of the odds but I'm going to avoid this one altogether.

**Laker_crazy** · 06-22-10, 03:23 AM

Originally posted by shari91

I'm here Tommy! Just trying to sort my plays out before my son wakes up. I don't like either player in this one to be honest. Mathieu retired from the French and has been MIA since and I don't like Gicquel on grass. If I had to pick, I'd take Mathieu because that's what my instincts are telling me is the play because of the odds but I'm going to avoid this one altogether.

Good luck on your thread shari hun,just got time to start my own thread for wimbledon,so will probably try balancing mlb & tennis for now.Glad to see you do well.Lets kill the books this wimbledon :-)

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-22-10, 03:32 AM

Thanks Shari, better check PT and watch another JJ Gold video, fvcking hilarious

**nocode1** · 06-22-10, 03:39 AM

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

Congrats nocode

thanks tommy

**Goat Milk** · 06-22-10, 03:42 AM

Shari the over in the Mahut Isner match seems juicy. Mahut is rolling right now but he's also tired, he's played some crazy long ass matches as of late. I see Mahut taking the one of the first two sets, but getting tired down the stretch. Tough match to call.

o36½ -117 for Kavcic Kubot?

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 04:07 AM

I'm trying something new today to win back your cash for those who tailed me on a horrid day in here yesterday. Instead of posting dogs today, I'm going to go the safe route and post handicap plays on the dogs I like. I will be playing a few of these on the ML as well but I suggest you take the points or just go small on the dogs. I'm going to release plays blocks at a time just to keep it easier for me to track. As always, I'll try to answer any questions and provide reasons for my picks if you require them. Just bear with me if I'm a bit slow - I'm a Mommy too. Best of luck everyone!

My early plays

Martin Fischer -153

Tobias Kamke +5.5 -125

Guillermo Alcaide +6.5 -110

Robert Kendrick +6.5 -105 (I do not believe he'll win but he can keep it close. I like the over here as well)

Thomas Belluci -5 -110

**yomillionaire** · 06-22-10, 04:14 AM

Shari, Martin Fischer? I had Go Soeda as a nice play early, can you give me a bit of insight here?

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 04:34 AM

Originally posted by yomillionaire

Shari, Martin Fischer? I had Go Soeda as a nice play early, can you give me a bit of insight here?

My main reasons:

If it wasn't for Stepanek withdrawing, Soeda wouldn't even be here - he lost in QF to Witten of all people (shoddy grass form) whereas Fischer's form has been great and he made it through QF without dropping a set.

Soeda has only one match of Slam experience and that was back in '07 so he hasn't proven he has what it takes to last a 5 setter whereas Fischer has 25 Slam matches under his belt despite Soeda turning pro a year earlier. Basically I'm going with the guy who has hit his career high ranking now, has the Slam experience, has proven since RG that he's in form and deserves to be here by qualifying for it. Plus he loves grass because it suits his playing style. That's not to say I'm right though of course!

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 04:36 AM

Stakhovsky +4.5 -125

**shari91** · 06-22-10, 04:39 AM

Garrigues +4 +110

This is the only woman I like early as the rest are too short.

**yomillionaire** · 06-22-10, 04:46 AM

Ty Shari excellent analysis. I'll take your word on this one as I do not follow tennis too closely. Just took our boy Fischer.

**Daveyboy** · 06-22-10, 04:50 AM

Thanks shari

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-22-10, 05:11 AM

Come on Martin

**RobertPaulson** · 06-22-10, 05:38 AM

Hey shari, looks like all's go for Wimbledon in here and wanted to wish u luck for the tourney...keep up the good work

**Goat Milk** · 06-22-10, 05:44 AM

Spain (World Cup) -188* vs Chile (World Cup)
Julien Benneteau -450* vs Kristof Vliegen
Alexandr Dolgopolov -140* vs Marco Chiudinelli
Martin Fischer -180* vs Go Soeda ----> Tailing Shari
B.Kavcic Games Won/L.Kubot Games Won Over 36½ -128*
James Blake -160* vs Robin Haase

Parlay: 0.2x to win 2.7x

**Goat Milk** · 06-22-10, 05:52 AM

adding:
Alexandr Dolgopolov -140* vs Marco Chiudinelli
James Blake -160* vs Robin Haase

Parlay...0.5x to win 1.13x

good luck Shari and all i'm going back to sleep til the world cup starts

**Iwinwithsports** · 06-22-10, 07:01 AM

what day this week are the q. finals??? i know little to nothing about tennis except u and tennisbabe can make me money hahahha

i cant play till then?