Shari's tennis plays

**Greekster** · 05-24-11, 09:00 AM

Cibulkova drives me insane and I'm not just talking about her ass and hotness

**Enkhbat** · 05-24-11, 09:06 AM

Any reason why you are betting against Dulgheru? Top dawgs are struggling today, Nadal lost a set, Soderling about to lose a set, Ivanovic gone, Almagro in a dog fight against Kubot. Just WOW

**shari91** · 05-24-11, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by Enkhbat

Any reason why you are betting against Dulgheru? Top dawgs are struggling today, Nadal lost a set, Soderling about to lose a set, Ivanovic gone, Almagro in a dog fight against Kubot. Just WOW

Yeah, I got pretty lucky with the favourites I picked getting through ok. The problem with the first round is that odds are based on very little so unless you do your research and look back over the clay season, people can be in for a bit of a shock.

No reason for Pous-Tio other than stats in comparison to the price. Other than that, she's always been good to me when I've backed her so hopefully she is again today. I notice her price has fallen quite a bit though so I'm rather uncomfortable with that. But I guess we'll see how we go.

**kingsr** · 05-24-11, 09:21 AM

Betting on the MAHUT game has been suspended

**shari91** · 05-24-11, 09:22 AM

The match has started kingsr

**guil0000** · 05-24-11, 09:38 AM

Do you think Djokovic to win tournament at +170 is solid with Nadal struggling atm?

**shari91** · 05-24-11, 10:01 AM

Originally posted by guil0000

Do you think Djokovic to win tournament at +170 is solid with Nadal struggling atm?

I don't think it's necessarily solid as anything can happen but to me he's the clear favourite and was even before this match today. I haven't seen anything from him yet to make me have any doubts about him either physically or mentally.

**koscheckbaby** · 05-24-11, 10:03 AM

Cibulkova is out. That surprises me. She dominated Sharapova on clay recently and gave Kvitova a hard 3 setter.

**Wiggums5** · 05-24-11, 02:27 PM

Shari, can you give me some sites you use to look up stats and use for research when making picks?

**shari91** · 05-24-11, 02:35 PM

I rely a lot on my own stuff but both of the outside sources I use you need to pay to access. One is TennisInsight and the other is OnCourt, which is actually a program you download to your computer.

I haven't really used any of the free sites for a few years but if you do a search in the tennis forum you'll be able to find lists of them as the question comes up somewhat regularly.

**Wiggums5** · 05-24-11, 02:38 PM

Originally posted by shari91

I rely a lot on my own stuff but both of the outside sources I use you need to pay to access. One is TennisInsight and the other is OnCourt, which is actually a program you download to your computer.

I haven't really used any of the free sites for a few years but if you do a search in the tennis forum you'll be able to find lists of them as the question comes up somewhat regularly.

thank you

**Mirar Baseball** · 05-25-11, 12:55 AM

Two of my luckiest wins in a while happened yesterday:
#1 Chela to win 3-0, broke back at 4-5* in the first set
#2 Miami Heat (-5.0), won by 8 in overtime

Good luck today girl!

**BathingApe** · 05-25-11, 02:05 AM

Thoughts on Stakhovsky against Nishikori?

**shari91** · 05-25-11, 02:22 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Two of my luckiest wins in a while happened yesterday: #1 Chela to win 3-0, broke back at 4-5* in the first set #2 Miami Heat (-5.0), won by 8 in overtime Good luck today girl!

Good stuff!!

Originally posted by BathingApe

Thoughts on Stakhovsky against Nishikori?

I've just started to look now. Dealing with a puking toddler here while working my mod shift so things are a bit squirrelly at the moment but from a quick glance, I'm going to pass on that one. Nishikori's too short for me to touch at this point considering he was battling some sort of virus a few days ago and Stak seems to have the mental resilience of an Iron Chef now. I can't risk it at these odds.

**lato89** · 05-25-11, 02:31 AM

hi shari!

i have tipsarevic , montanes , belluci , wawrinka and shuai peng in my combo.. what are my chances?

**brucethebear** · 05-25-11, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Two of my luckiest wins in a while happened yesterday:
#1 Chela to win 3-0, broke back at 4-5* in the first set

Not to mention Morita coming back from a set down.

2-0 again following your picks Shari.

BtB

**makman** · 05-25-11, 03:02 AM

Originally posted by koscheckbaby

Cibulkova is out. That surprises me. She dominated Sharapova on clay recently and gave Kvitova a hard 3 setter.

She has no consistency.
i do not back and lay her...I learned to keep her out of my plays.. but i was late.

Also Kohlschreiber , Cuevas and Gimeno-Traver...

I do not like these kinda players, keep them out of courts , for Gods sake ...LOL

**chinoloco212** · 05-25-11, 03:17 AM

I have one play today let me know what you guys think.. its a moneyline parlay (Peng and Zvonareva)

**changkaikk** · 05-25-11, 04:47 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Two of my luckiest wins in a while happened yesterday:
#1 Chela to win 3-0, broke back at 4-5* in the first set
#2 Miami Heat (-5.0), won by 8 in overtime

Good luck today girl!

Very very lucky yesterday.
Congrats

**Ruff** · 05-25-11, 05:58 AM

Shari nice win on Safarova +3.5 Games
lets get the win streak up and running

**Enkhbat** · 05-25-11, 11:36 PM

Shari who are the big serving underdogs left in the tourney? kind of like Jonh Isner? Betting them to cover the spread seems like a good idea.

Also what do you think of Andujar +10.5 against Nadal?

**HKT** · 05-25-11, 11:53 PM

Wouldn't Querry be considered a big server. He's playing old man river Ljubicic.

**Mirar Baseball** · 05-26-11, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by Enkhbat

Shari who are the big serving underdogs left in the tourney? kind of like Jonh Isner? Betting them to cover the spread seems like a good idea.

Also what do you think of Andujar +10.5 against Nadal?

My guess is that the Andujar line has been adjusted according to the major rollercoaster of emotions experienced by every Nadal ML 'free money buyer' during the first round five setter. Most people don't like seeing their 'rock solid investment that pays 2% interest in under 2 hours' look so, well, risky at one point.

What I am saying is this: Nadal struggled against the big server in Isner, and was nowhere close to covering. Now if he is pissed off enough about what happened in the first round, a triple-bagel against Andujar is a possibility (exaggeration, but barely). At least, 6-1 6-1 6-0 would surprise me less than another five setter.

**benjamincarm** · 05-26-11, 12:31 AM

Any strong plays for tomorrow?

**robert_wrath** · 05-26-11, 12:53 AM

Originally posted by HKT

Wouldn't Querry be considered a big server. He's playing old man river Ljubicic.

Tough call on this match up.

**Mirar Baseball** · 05-26-11, 12:57 AM

Shari why can't I send you points?

**Boxing Champ** · 05-26-11, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Shari why can't I send you points?

Non SBR PROs can only send 2 points a day max...

P.S..Shari...any plays for today??

**Mirar Baseball** · 05-26-11, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Non SBR PROs can only send 2 points a day max...

P.S..Shari...any plays for today??

Duh. I guess it's a new rule, it wasn't like this a year ago.

Just wanted to send her 5 points. A point per winner she is going to post today. With the 2 pt/day maximum I don't think my little superstition should be carried on. lol

**shari91** · 05-26-11, 02:26 AM

Hey guys -

I've literally only started to look now. The only play I have so far is Rus +7 -107. This is NOT a numbers play at all. This is a direct fade of Clijsters and the fact that after seeing her 1st match, I don't think she's going to push herself physically yet at this point in the tournament. She was not even close to sharp if you look at her stats - which is to be expected after such a long break but she wasn't as aggressive as usual even in a first round. And that's where the problem is. More UE's vs winners is normally enough for her to still sail through, but that, coupled with a lingering injury which was obvious in her match, doesn't convince me that she'd cover -7. Of course I've been wrong before

It's on my spreadsheet because I've played it but I'm just making it known like I always do that this is purely a fade - I haven't looked at any stats at all - so you may want to avoid it. Best of luck with your plays everyone

**horja1** · 05-26-11, 04:08 AM

Originally posted by Mirar Baseball

Duh. I guess it's a new rule, it wasn't like this a year ago.

Just wanted to send her 5 points. A point per winner she is going to post today. With the 2 pt/day maximum I don't think my little superstition should be carried on. lol

I don't think she can use the points anyway since she is a Moderator ... right Shari?

**and24** · 05-26-11, 04:13 AM

what do you guys think about Mardy Fish - Robin Haase match? i guess Fish wouldn't be able pass Haase, what's you US citizens' opinon

**sharlataans** · 05-26-11, 04:43 AM

Guys I need your input ASAP!

I want to bet Ekaterina Makarova, but why are the odds going against her. Whats up?? I think she should overpower and smash Larsson

**shari91** · 05-26-11, 04:46 AM

and24 - I have no opinion on that match. I'm staying away

Originally posted by sharlataans

Guys I need your input ASAP! I want to bet Ekaterina Makarova, but why are the odds going against her. Whats up?? I think she should overpower and smash Larsson

Because the books opened up with a really bad price on Larsson. This match is pretty much 50/50 so I think the odds are correcting themselves. If you like Makarova, don't worry about the line movement.

**sharlataans** · 05-26-11, 04:50 AM

thanks Shari you calmed me down

I am going to my local now to bet with cash. It always makes me super nervous

I am parlaying Petkovic/Kanepi/Makarova. Need that cash for weekend party hope I am lucky!

**rumple** · 05-26-11, 05:23 AM

This Rus chick is pretty hot, a hidden gem on the WTA.