Shari's tennis plays

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  • MUHerd37
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-23-09
    • 12816

    #4621
    Soderling pulled it out! One of the few top players will grind out a win in non-major events. I hope Querrey pulls out a win. I know a lot of people here are on him.
    Comment
    • paciophobia
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-02-10
      • 734

      #4622
      what a day shari. hands down you are my ultimate tennis capper
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4623
        Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
        JJ are you really interested in tennis and do you know players?

        Or you just pick someone who you think will win?
        Tommy I know the game fairly well, being watching for a long time, I spot bet like I did today and nailed the win.
        Comment
        • yisman
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-01-08
          • 75682

          #4624
          damn, lost over 500 on Russell.
          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
          [/quote]

          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
          Comment
          • Tommy_de1st
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-23-10
            • 8397

            #4625
            Originally posted by jjgold
            Tommy I know the game fairly well, being watching for a long time, I spot bet like I did today and nailed the win.
            Well done then
            Comment
            • Goat Milk
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-24-10
              • 25850

              #4626
              Originally posted by jjgold

              Tommy I know the game fairly well, being watching for a long time, I spot bet like I did today and nailed the win.
              JJ knows some stuff
              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
              Comment
              • mister bee
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-23-09
                • 199

                #4627
                hey shari, how ya doin'?

                been lurking for a little while and decided to tail today. great job! that fognini pick was lights out!!!

                quick question for ya:

                i've got a nice 4-teamer going:

                fognini
                vesnina
                malisse
                jankovic

                as you know, the first three are winners, but i'm wondering if i should hedge against jankovic and bet dushevina at +180? if i do, i definitely lock up profit. u think jelena takes this easy? or should i just play it safe?

                thanks for the awesome picks
                mister bee

                ps - gave you some points too
                Last edited by mister bee; 08-10-10, 05:42 PM.
                Comment
                • paciophobia
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-02-10
                  • 734

                  #4628
                  put a medium sized bet on Amanmuradova. cmon girl hope it hits!
                  Comment
                  • MUHerd37
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 12816

                    #4629
                    Jelena Jankovic has still been dealing with her back injury. Be careful with her.
                    Comment
                    • mister bee
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-23-09
                      • 199

                      #4630
                      Originally posted by MUHerd37
                      Jelena Jankovic has still been dealing with her back injury. Be careful with her.
                      Ok thanks, good to know. I'm gonna put a small hedge on dushevina. Might be moot if Jelena retires, but gonna lock up a little profit
                      Last edited by mister bee; 08-10-10, 06:24 PM.
                      Comment
                      • leeloo
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-11-10
                        • 314

                        #4631
                        Originally posted by mister bee
                        hey shari, how ya doin'?

                        been lurking for a little while and decided to tail today. great job! that fognini pick was lights out!!!

                        quick question for ya:

                        i've got a nice 4-teamer going:

                        fognini
                        vesnina
                        malisse
                        jankovic

                        as you know, the first three are winners, but i'm wondering if i should hedge against jankovic and bet dushevina at +180? if i do, i definitely lock up profit. u think jelena takes this easy? or should i just play it safe?

                        thanks for the awesome picks
                        mister bee

                        ps - gave you some points too

                        dont take the chance .... protect your wager specially for "women" tennis.
                        Good luck either way
                        Comment
                        • maroona
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-13-10
                          • 493

                          #4632
                          Originally posted by maroona
                          might go vesnina/amanmuradova parlay in that case, leave the cirstea match
                          Thanks Shari
                          Comment
                          • Goat Milk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 25850

                            #4633
                            Originally posted by shari91
                            And Cilic goes down to Troicki?

                            What a f'n joke. Honestly, I know I preach this every week at the start of tournaments but please BE CAREFUL with your bets if you're taking big favs or following line movement. Between Cilic and Petschner, and anyone who followed Fognini's movement as well, I can only guess a lot of bets went down the tubes.
                            Its tennis Shari. public doesn't win. I don't know why people follow these line movements at these books. There are more square Americans betting tennis probably than any other sport. Any line movement you see at any U.S. Book should not even be considered for Tennis. That's always how I felt.

                            Nice day for you. Looking forward to tomorrow, some interesting matches. I got a nice tip today
                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                            Comment
                            • SoV
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-21-10
                              • 6420

                              #4634
                              Agree with Goat. Line movements mean **** all in tennis. In soccer as well.
                              FML

                              http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...scussions.html
                              Comment
                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #4635
                                I don't agree 100%. There are times line movement indicate something dodgy is going on but it's matter of figuring out what. As we saw yesterday in the Petschner match the massive line drop did indicating fixing but it was only for the first set as indicated by the bets matched on Betfair. But anyone who didn't know that and jumped on the ML for a 'sure winner', lost and ate heavy chalk too depending on when they got on. The best thing to do is stay away from those matches unless you jumped on before anything funny started to happen.

                                But for legit matches, line movement may indicate people are piling on a player but that doesn't necessarily mean they're right or even know what they're doing. For all we know, they're simply chasing line movement themselves.
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #4636
                                  Fixes are easy to spot especially if your watching the match. It was obvious Dolgo dropped a good amount on Petz to win the first set.

                                  The only thing square betters look at is records on surfaces and Head to Head. They have no other knowledge. That's why Stepanek was hit a few hours before the match. No line movement in tennis ever scares me off my pick unless I see like a 20 cent changes within a few minutes or if I see something like the Petz match where he dropped to -400 and more and more in a few hours.
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • Fischnasty
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-10-09
                                    • 1931

                                    #4637
                                    nice writeup Goat Milk. lets get some winners tomorrow.
                                    Comment
                                    • SoV
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-21-10
                                      • 6420

                                      #4638
                                      Nah, Goat Milk is shite.
                                      FML

                                      http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...scussions.html
                                      Comment
                                      • cgjeon
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-11-10
                                        • 480

                                        #4639
                                        bad day with baseball today.
                                        do you have any plays shari?
                                        Comment
                                        • shari91
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-23-10
                                          • 32661

                                          #4640
                                          Originally posted by cgjeon
                                          bad day with baseball today. do you have any plays shari?
                                          I'm just starting to look now. The first match isn't for another 10hrs so the lines were just posted here a few minutes ago.
                                          Comment
                                          • cgjeon
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-11-10
                                            • 480

                                            #4641
                                            Originally posted by shari91
                                            I'm just starting to look now. The first match isn't for another 10hrs so the lines were just posted here a few minutes ago.
                                            I dont know anything about tennis. just let me tail you and win some of the money back from these bookies.

                                            good luck picking play cuz i am on em too

                                            when do you think you will post them? maybe i should just go to sleep
                                            Comment
                                            • shari91
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-23-10
                                              • 32661

                                              #4642
                                              Originally posted by cgjeon
                                              I dont know anything about tennis. just let me tail you and win some of the money back from these bookies. good luck picking play cuz i am on em too when do you think you will post them? maybe i should just go to sleep
                                              Go to sleep.
                                              Comment
                                              • paco
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-07-09
                                                • 62873

                                                #4643
                                                Comment
                                                • aeschylus
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 05-03-10
                                                  • 392

                                                  #4644
                                                  Originally posted by shari91
                                                  I don't agree 100%. There are times line movement indicate something dodgy is going on but it's matter of figuring out what. As we saw yesterday in the Petschner match the massive line drop did indicating fixing but it was only for the first set as indicated by the bets matched on Betfair. But anyone who didn't know that and jumped on the ML for a 'sure winner', lost and ate heavy chalk too depending on when they got on. The best thing to do is stay away from those matches unless you jumped on before anything funny started to happen.

                                                  But for legit matches, line movement may indicate people are piling on a player but that doesn't necessarily mean they're right or even know what they're doing. For all we know, they're simply chasing line movement themselves.
                                                  I got a email fron a friend in Bulgaria saying there was suspicious betting on the first set to finish 6-1, but all bookies had pulled the bet, or it was 1.4 on BF
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 12816

                                                    #4645
                                                    Barely made any money today. Hoping for a big day today tho!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ankh4all2
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 07-11-09
                                                      • 254

                                                      #4646
                                                      Originally posted by shari91
                                                      I don't agree 100%. There are times line movement indicate something dodgy is going on but it's matter of figuring out what. As we saw yesterday in the Petschner match the massive line drop did indicating fixing but it was only for the first set as indicated by the bets matched on Betfair. But anyone who didn't know that and jumped on the ML for a 'sure winner', lost and ate heavy chalk too depending on when they got on. The best thing to do is stay away from those matches unless you jumped on before anything funny started to happen.

                                                      But for legit matches, line movement may indicate people are piling on a player but that doesn't necessarily mean they're right or even know what they're doing. For all we know, they're simply chasing line movement themselves.
                                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                      Fixes are easy to spot especially if your watching the match. It was obvious Dolgo dropped a good amount on Petz to win the first set.

                                                      The only thing square betters look at is records on surfaces and Head to Head. They have no other knowledge. That's why Stepanek was hit a few hours before the match. No line movement in tennis ever scares me off my pick unless I see like a 20 cent changes within a few minutes or if I see something like the Petz match where he dropped to -400 and more and more in a few hours.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lasker
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-27-10
                                                        • 1683

                                                        #4647
                                                        shari, mind sharing some of your wisdom regarding the following parlay:

                                                        3 team parlay at +100:
                                                        Andy Murray -425* vs Xavier Malisse
                                                        B.Bryan/M.Bryan -500* vs S.Aspelin/P.Hanley
                                                        L.Raymond/R.Stubbs -285* vs N.Grandin/A.Spears


                                                        I know this is as square as it gets, but would this be a horrible bet?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shari91
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-23-10
                                                          • 32661

                                                          #4648
                                                          Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                          Barely made any money today. Hoping for a big day today tho!
                                                          Let me guess - did you bet baseball? Seems to have been a bit of rough day for a lot of people in MLB. And go figure, I tailed Paco on the Angels RL, parlayed them and the Padres and then decided on my own to play the under in both the late games and all the bets won. You know something screwy is going on when I pick winners in baseball.

                                                          That's why I'm not expecting too much out of tennis today. All of my bets won except for Zheng and those wins mixed with the MLB ones makes me think I'm probably going to get hit a bit now. Murphy's Law.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shari91
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-23-10
                                                            • 32661

                                                            #4649
                                                            Originally posted by lasker
                                                            shari, mind sharing some of your wisdom regarding the following parlay:

                                                            3 team parlay at +100:
                                                            Andy Murray -425* vs Xavier Malisse
                                                            B.Bryan/M.Bryan -500* vs S.Aspelin/P.Hanley
                                                            L.Raymond/R.Stubbs -285* vs N.Grandin/A.Spears


                                                            I know this is as square as it gets, but would this be a horrible bet?
                                                            I don't really follow doubles so I'm not the best person to ask. I'm pretty sure EP does though so you'd probably be better off asking him. I know the Bryan brothers are good if that's any help!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SoV
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-21-10
                                                              • 6420

                                                              #4650
                                                              They're the best in doubles for me. Going to equal the record for most doubles' titles won soon. But they've hit patchy form recently so tread carefully.
                                                              FML

                                                              http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...scussions.html
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tommy_de1st
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-23-10
                                                                • 8397

                                                                #4651
                                                                You know what's going on with doubles? I know nothing about them. Everytime I see the fixture and know at least one player, that pair of players always lose
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bolekblues
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                                  • 420

                                                                  #4652
                                                                  Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                                                                  You know what's going on with doubles? I know nothing about them. Everytime I see the fixture and know at least one player, that pair of players always lose
                                                                  Yeah just about same with me. It appears that two good single players teaming up together doesn't always mean a good double
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • paciophobia
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-02-10
                                                                    • 734

                                                                    #4653
                                                                    great day yesterday shari. you went for the didnt you? 5-0 if im right.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Gee
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-08-10
                                                                      • 4547

                                                                      #4654
                                                                      Originally posted by shari91
                                                                      Let me guess - did you bet baseball? Seems to have been a bit of rough day for a lot of people in MLB. And go figure, I tailed Paco on the Angels RL, parlayed them and the Padres and then decided on my own to play the under in both the late games and all the bets won. You know something screwy is going on when I pick winners in baseball. .
                                                                      well done! i had a great day on baseball as well...

                                                                      great day in tennis shari. i saw ammurauunauranaunaurna won this morning - was too focussed on the bases (and work) to look.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • shari91
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 02-23-10
                                                                        • 32661

                                                                        #4655
                                                                        Originally posted by paciophobia
                                                                        great day yesterday shari. you went for the didnt you? 5-0 if im right.
                                                                        No, sadly I got one wrong. Zheng. But I hit all the others plus Soderling in 3 sets that I put in right before I went to bed but didn't bother to post. Great day! But I'll probably come crashing down to Earth today.

                                                                        I've already put a bet in on Kohlschrieber when the lines first came out here but I'm going to double check that one before I post it up here as a proper play.
                                                                        Comment
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