EP36's Tennis Talk

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1646
    Azarenka at 33-1 looks like a good future to hedge on If she can make it to the semis..
    Comment
    • Netprofit
      SBR MVP
      • 03-25-08
      • 3538

      #1647
      Originally posted by beefcake
      Azarenka at 33-1 looks like a good future to hedge on If she can make it to the semis..
      Azarenka winner is delicious, and you get around 38-1 to 42-1 right now at Betfair.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #1648
        6.21.10

        PARLAY: BECKER + SCHUETTLER [-130]
        Pretty straight forward matches here for both. Becker found good form on grass again in the two build-ups to Wimbledon. Sweeting might be good enough to grab a set if his serve is working, but Becker has both the experience and class advantage on this surface. Schuettler goes against Tursunov. The Russian isn't usless on grass, but he's still working his way back into form after a long injury layoff. Probably not the right time to have to win 3 sets to beat someone. Schuettler has always been a threat on grass as evidenced by his semifinal run at Wimbledon in 2008. He looked good at the Queens Club before petering out against Sela in Eastbourne last week. At his best, Tursunov would be a legit threat and a possible upset here. I don't expect he'll completely roll over here, but Schuettler should be able to battle through in a grinder.

        Mayer [+195]
        Fading Monfils here. He's just been horrible for the majority of the year with injury issues and inconsistency. Mayer doesn't have a ton of grass court experience, but he's got a big serve that can carry him through some rough patches with his ground strokes. Monfils may well work through this, but I'll let him prove to me that his fitness and game are good enough to get him through the three sets he needs to win at Wimbledon.
        Comment
        • Netprofit
          SBR MVP
          • 03-25-08
          • 3538

          #1649
          Kiefer over Ferrer, I am surprised by this one ...
          Comment
          • newjerseydevils
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-08
            • 3110

            #1650
            nice......lets get this parley
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #1651
              Added futures: To Win Their Quarter [1/2 unit each]

              Hewitt +450
              Cilic +800

              Already dissected this portion of the draw. Don't fancy Djokovic to make a run to the semis which potentially leaves Hewitt to have a shot here - likely in a showdown with Djokovic for a QF berth. Cilic is just a total dartboard shot. This bottom part of the draw is pretty open. Roddick has not looked good lately and he's got a tough road to clear in almost every round. He very well could rediscover his form and roll, but I'm not banking on it. Cilic comes in here with little expectation and perhaps that is good. Assuming he can work out of the first round against Florian Mayer, Cilic could emerge as a darkhorse if he then gets past Fish in the 2nd round.
              Comment
              • vinnysantos
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-06-10
                • 305

                #1652
                gonna follow you on the tennis
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #1653
                  DJOKOVIC-ROCHUS OVER 34 [-113]
                  Neither was particularly great in their short lead-up to Wimbledon. Djokovic was upset in the 2nd round of the Queen's Club event by Malisse and Rochus lost a 3 set affair to Chuidinelli in Halle. Rochus has a pretty good track record of playing Djokovic tough, leading the head-2-head 3-1, including a win on hard court in March. I think Rochus can take a set off Djokovic if he serves well, but will need to keep some of the sets tight to give this a legit shot.
                  Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 06-21-10, 10:59 AM. Reason: Price change
                  Comment
                  • Tsonga
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-12-09
                    • 2349

                    #1654
                    i agree with the djoker/rochus over.....anyone have fed losing first round??
                    Comment
                    • beefcake
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 14029

                      #1655
                      fed lost the 1st?
                      falla was +5000 at 5 dimes and his odds dropped...maybe he is just tired of getting butt whippings...
                      Comment
                      • Tsonga
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-12-09
                        • 2349

                        #1656
                        up a set and a break....falla is doing the impossible.
                        Comment
                        • Tsonga
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-12-09
                          • 2349

                          #1657
                          only question is....can fed win 3 straight now?
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #1658
                            Well Mayer had his shot in the 2nd set tie break, lost 11-9. Monfils probably takes him in straights easily here as Mayer probably blew his wad in that set.

                            Anyone else using the Wimbledon scoreboard and notice it SUCKS ASS? Updates are very slow to come.
                            Comment
                            • luclongley
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-08-10
                              • 221

                              #1659
                              atdhe.net, live matches
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #1660
                                At least Schuettler is looking good right now.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #1661
                                  Well Cilic appears to be a waste of money. Down 2 sets. Knew this 1st rounder was gonna be tricky. Ah well, small loss on the future apparently forthcoming.

                                  Looks like Schuettler is going to get the 1st leg of the parlay done easily. Up a break in the 3rd, trying to close out Tursunov in straights.
                                  Comment
                                  • beefcake
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 14029

                                    #1662
                                    ok becker,lets do this...
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #1663
                                      I think I'm giving Marin Cilic the new nickname of Hot Mess. Reminds you of that kinda hot chick you know, but she's always sloppy drunk and looks haggard by the end of the night. That's Cilic in a nutshell, tantalizing talent that ends up playing like a drunken pro shop guy. Hot mess about to get straighted out and cost me a few bucks on Day 1 for the stupid dartboard future I took on him to win his bracket.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #1664
                                        Becker looks to be in better shape now after dropping the opening set. Won easy in the 2nd and up a break in the 3rd. Just need to maintain serve.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #1665
                                          Parlay complete


                                          Well if this Djokovic total can come in, it will be a nice first day.
                                          Comment
                                          • shari91
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-23-10
                                            • 32661

                                            #1666
                                            Great job EP!!
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #1667
                                              Djoko-bitch in trouble. Rochus serving for the 3rd set to go up 2-1. Wouldn't mind him losing to help my Hewitt future, but right now I just want them to get 35 games!
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #1668
                                                Total play is also complete now regardless of the outcome. I'll take it.
                                                Comment
                                                • bolekblues
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                  • 420

                                                  #1669
                                                  Congrats on hitting a parlay and djoko total! i played falla and thought about hedging it before he had a serving for a match game, but thought he would hold on. he just got burnt instead.. on to tommorow
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nicsbr
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-03-10
                                                    • 839

                                                    #1670
                                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                    6.21.10 PARLAY: BECKER + SCHUETTLER [-130] .
                                                    took it with taylor dent in a treble
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rumple
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-19-07
                                                      • 2499

                                                      #1671
                                                      Cilic killed me with parlays, cant believe he sucked so bad.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #1672
                                                        TUESDAY

                                                        PARLAY: GARCIA-LOPEZ + BELLUCCI [-104]
                                                        Garcia-Lopez comes into this in good form after making the finals in Eastbourne last week. He's been pretty decent at Wimbledon, winning his first round match in 4 of the 5 times he's made it to the main draw. The qualifier Kamke from Germany has yet to score a main draw win on grass. So long as GGL comes ready to rock, he should be able to move on. It is important that he start quick I think because he could have a little fatigue from playing a lot of tennis last week. Bellucci takes on fellow Brazilian Ricardo Mello. Neither guy is perfectly suited to grass. Mello has more experience, but is 0-5 in main draw matches on grass. Bellucci only has three career matches on grass, two coming at Wimbledon last year where he went 1-1. Mello though is much more of a clay court player whereas I think Bellucci's game translates a bit more to all surfaces with his big serve. So long as Bellucci pumps first serves in and can keep ahead in his service games, he should have a bit too much for Mello.

                                                        SEPPI -103
                                                        Have to take a chance here with Seppi against Almagro. Even when healthy, Almagro has not had much succes on grass with a career 4-7 mark. He suffered either a groin or hip injury last week that forced him to pull out of the Eastbourne event. There is a chance that he is no where near 100% and potentially may not even step on court perhaps depending on his warm up tomorrow. One thing is certain here, if Almagro is healthy enough to go, you can expect a long, grueling match because that seems to be his M.O. at Grand Slams. Seppi was pretty tame on grass in two matches prior to Wimbledon, but he has advanced to the 2nd round or further at Wimbledon in four straight years. Seppi will definitely test Almagro's fitness because his game is predicated on simply putting the ball in play and seeing if his opponent will make an error, I'll take the shot.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • newjerseydevils
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-11-08
                                                          • 3110

                                                          #1673
                                                          hey eagles good luck again tomm.......hope the hot streak continues.........what do u think of andreas beck and bennetau in a parley........ i mean the odds for both are really high around -500 each but i really think they should both win comfortably.....again since u know more.....just wanted ur opinion.......thanks.....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #1674
                                                            I know there was plenty of support for Benneteau. Beck seems like he has a good match-up too, those prices are just too steep for me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • newjerseydevils
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-11-08
                                                              • 3110

                                                              #1675
                                                              oh okay thanx eagles..........ur right the prices are steep though
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #1676
                                                                SELA +210
                                                                I won't win this because it's against a Russian and that probably means some inherent bullshit will allow for Youzhny to find a way to win. Still, Sela was in solid form in the grass lead-ups while Youzhny got pushed around by Kiefer in his one match at Halle. Sela had a pretty solid run at Wimbledon last year and the odds are nice enough that I'm willing to throw some away here just because I refuse to believe Sela is a 2-1 underdog against someone like Youzhny who runs hot and cold.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • psulions
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-03-10
                                                                  • 205

                                                                  #1677
                                                                  good luck on the picks tomorrow. keep it up.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                                    • 7126

                                                                    #1678
                                                                    Love the parlay and Seppi Eagles. Not sure how bad Almagro's injury is but the line makes you think it is possibly really bad.

                                                                    Staying away from Sela however. Good price though

                                                                    Best of luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #1679
                                                                      TSONGA-KENDRICK OVER 36.5 [-107]
                                                                      This only works if Kendrick's serve is working, but if it is - he has enough to grab a set off Tsonga. Both these guys have big serves, so it could involve some tight sets.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • nicsbr
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 05-03-10
                                                                        • 839

                                                                        #1680
                                                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                        TUESDAY PARLAY: GARCIA-LOPEZ + BELLUCCI [-104]
                                                                        with you on this, gl us
                                                                        Comment
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