EP36's Tennis Talk

WIZARDOFBEANTOWN · 09-03-10, 10:32 AM

ep what do you think of this parley?
isner -600
chardy -400
youzhny -350
ferrer -650
+116
do you think this has a shot

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 10:48 AM

I think Youzhny will be the toughest one, the others look pretty solid it would seem.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 10:52 AM

YOUZHNY-SELA OVER 37.5 [-138]
Not a big fan of the chalk for this, but I do think this match is going to be competitive. Sela and Youzhny have met twice in the past year in a best of five format. At Wimbledon this year, Youzhny prevailed in a tight four set match while Sela beat him in Davis Cup play last summer on an indoor surface in 4 sets. Sela is one of those speedy, defensive types who can give Youzhny some trouble. The Russian had few issues in winning in straights in his 1st rounder, but at only 52% on 1st serves, a better athlete who returns like Sela could pounce on that if Youznhy struggles in that area again. Sela in his own right is not particularly overwhelming on-serve, so it will be imperative that he gets his 1st serve in and holds serve early in sets. I think this is just a good match-up with Youzhny running hot and cold a lot and Sela usually fighting hard from point to point. Definitely think Sela can take a set from Youzhny here and maybe more.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 11:05 AM

Decent first set for the over. Dementieva rallies with 5 straight games to win 7-5. So long as Hantuchova can win at least two in the 2nd set, even a straight sets finish would get a push at worse. Stakhovsky up a set, kinda like Dementieva he fell behind 2-0 and then crushed Harrison with six straight games won to close it out.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 11:28 AM

Oy vay. Hantuchova can't hold her serve for shit. Going to come down to one game to try and get a push unless Dementieva can help out and choke one up here.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 11:39 AM

PUSH on the total. Feel pretty fortunate with as bad as Hantuchova played.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 11:55 AM

Stakhovsky not looking good at all in the 3rd. Down 3-0 after he choked on his serve late in the 2nd to lose that set 7-5. Could be going down 2-1 for the 2nd straight match. Don't know if he's got enough left in the tank for another two set rally.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 12:12 PM

DOUBLES PLAY: MATTEK-SANDS/SHAUGHNESSY +165
This duo draws the team of Wozniacki & Hantuchova. Both teams are relatively new pairings with Wozniacki & Hantuchova first having teamed up at the French Open where they won a match. On hard courts, they have played two matches together prior to this week. They went 1-1 in New Haven, losing the the team that won the title. Mattek-Sands & Shaughnessy have played six matches together on hard courts this summer and perhaps rounded into form as they made the final in New Haven. The American duo here are experienced doubles players who both made their niche in doubles play, holding a combined 24 titles in their careers. Certainly Wozniacki & Hantuchova are talented players, but their lack of regular doubles play makes this a good opportunity to take the underdog. This should be a pretty good battle if the Americans come out focused. Both teams won their opening round matches here easily in straights.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 12:21 PM

I think Stakhovsky is cooked. Crowd as expected firmly behind Harrison and I just watched part of one game where Harrison was down 15-40 on his service game and Stakhovsky made some real poor backhand errors. He'll have to refind some sort of lights out serve I think to even have a chance at taking it to a 5th, but the parlay today doesn't appear like it is meant for this world. Think fatigue from playing New Haven and the 5 set match in the 1st could perhaps be hitting him finally. Will know quickly I think in the 4th. Harrison is going to wind up being ESPN's media darling if he wins this. That's all they'll be talking about, the "up and coming" American. I won't dog the kid though because he has talent and I have been waiting for him to break through for the past year, I think I even took him at the Australian Open to pull off an upset but he got smushed by Tipsarevic.

tooeasy · 09-03-10, 12:29 PM

I hope he can break harrison's serve. need to take this to the fifth set.

tooeasy · 09-03-10, 12:55 PM

That is what we needed!!! Now finish off set four and lets take this to the fifth.

tooeasy · 09-03-10, 12:56 PM

Crap...he gave it right back!

Goat Milk · 09-03-10, 01:05 PM

Dudi get your head outa your ass

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 01:09 PM

Yeah Sela sucks today hardcore. Maybe he'll quit. Stakhovsky takes it to a 5th set. War of attrition!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 01:19 PM

Break Stakhovsky. If he can consolidate here, might have a shot still!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 01:30 PM

Rain delays.

jagaf22 · 09-03-10, 01:46 PM

And the rain starts just need Pavlyuchenkova to finish her match to complete my parlay. I was afraid my money might end up being tied down with the weather!

Goat Milk · 09-03-10, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by jagaf22

And the rain starts just need Pavlyuchenkova to finish her match to complete my parlay. I was afraid my money might end up being tied down with the weather!

They'll be back on the courts within an hour I would say. Not really raining anymore.

Goat Milk · 09-03-10, 02:00 PM

Some guys starting to warm up. rain has stopped.

jagaf22 · 09-03-10, 02:06 PM

Thanks for the update Goat! Let's get these matches in

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 02:14 PM

Big hold for Stakhovsky. I really wish Sela would just quit. Gotta have this next set or the total is done, although it's pretty much already done with the way he's playing.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 02:17 PM

Early break to Sela. Needs to get his serve together now.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 02:29 PM

Stakhovsky doing his best to blow this match still Up 3-2, could have broken Harrison multiple times then gets broken. 3-3 on-serve.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 02:52 PM

Sela got the 3rd. Sitting at 26 games. If Sela wins the 4th, obvious the total is good to go. Still a possibility to get it if Youzhny wins, but it's gonna be tough.

Stakhovsky serving to try and take it to a 5th set tie break.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 02:56 PM

Tie break time. Nerves are gonna get someone here. I'm hoping it's Harrison.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 03:00 PM

Stak chokes. Parlay kaput.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 03:04 PM

Double choke! Stakhovsky serving for the match?!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 03:05 PM

Whoa! Harrison chokes last. Was up 6-5 serving for the tie break after he rallied from down a mini-break. Chokes both points on-serve and Stak finishes him. Parlay wins and that is good because Sela already got broke and that total is trashed.

Slider612 · 09-03-10, 03:09 PM

WOW What a match,good stuff.New found liking for Stak,seems like a real down to earth person,happy to see him win.

RkD KiD · 09-03-10, 03:10 PM

congrats on the very suspensful parlay

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 03:16 PM

I have to admit when New Haven started last week, I pretty much didn't pay attention to the guy but he got hot at the right time and he's got a lot of confidence right now with the rallies he's made from 2-1 down in successive matches. He could be good for one for match as he likely is getting Paire next who is on the verge of upsetting Lopez - albeit Lopez is a giant pussy any way.

tooeasy · 09-03-10, 03:18 PM

Nice win

tooeasy · 09-03-10, 03:19 PM

Anyone else for today Eaglesphan?

Slider612 · 09-03-10, 03:22 PM

Dont count Lopez out confident this is its going to a 5th set,Lopez looks like he's gaining Momentum,Uncle Mo.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-03-10, 03:28 PM

Riding out the ladies double play right now. Probably going to take Simon over Kohlschreiber. I lost some on the price, but I wanted to see if there was any funky line movement. He's -140 right now. I think his game is perfect to frustrate Kohly as long as he can serve well. Simon MUST improve his 1st serve percentage. It was in the 40s against Young.