Best HANDICAP BET OF US OPEN 2009????

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  • MilfDriller
    replied
    And, you know, to top it all off... I didn't fade Blake... which was another easy HC at +6.5.

    wtf am I doing?

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  • yisman
    replied
    2-2 in the third. Djokovic won't cover.

    He'll probably take it in straight sets, though.

    Leave a comment:


  • MilfDriller
    replied
    This was a fvcking gimme... and I fvcking backed off and bet on gorilla ball.

    Fvcking stupid on my part. 6-3, 6-4, 0-0 in 3rd

    Leave a comment:


  • MilfDriller
    replied
    Value standpoint I like the +291... but I've lost too many 7-6, 7-6, 7-5 matches in the past.

    Lightyears of difference between a non 3-0 bet and a fat HC

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  • yisman
    replied
    You should be on the +291.

    I'll pass.

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  • MilfDriller
    replied
    HC is -9.0. early was -105 on +9.0 ... now at -145


    Really, Lubejob played like shit the day before. And w/ a terrible performance he went 3-1-3. A mediocre display of 3-3-3 by Ball generates a push.

    Still think this is a winner, but enthusiasm is low w/o the half on the nine and the jacked up price to almost -150.

    Btw, Ball not to lose 3-0 sets.... it's a whopping +291


    Make a prediction: Djoker 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 ... and maybe flip the result of the 1st 2 sets

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  • MilfDriller
    replied
    Djoker has very winnable matches all the way to the quarters... but there he would face Arod among others... and that's likely where he falls. Waiting on this cap.

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  • yisman
    replied
    don't sleep on Djokovic. I'm feeling a breakthrough one of these days.

    Maybe Ball covers, but I see Djoker advancing deep.

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  • MilfDriller
    replied
    really, tho, w/ a price that large.... it'd have to be -10.0 games.... -9.5 minimum


    +10.0 games.... have to take that in a heartbeat...

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  • MilfDriller
    started a topic Best HANDICAP BET OF US OPEN 2009????

    Best HANDICAP BET OF US OPEN 2009????

    Djoker -4600
    Ball +2200



    I'm curious as to where they'll set this cap. My guess is 9.5 considering the price.... altho a price that extensive should dictate an even greater cap.


    Djoker is soft, he has a vagina, and has the will of an NBA player for the most part. This match smells like Djoker in 4... w/ 2 sets being a 7-5 or a 7-6.

    A non 3-0 win bet likely will pay min +250???? ... but the HC might be an absolute walk in the park. Ball has proven he can go toe-to-toe w/ players like Isner and Querry... and, altho Djoker is a step up in class, I feel he can easily cover this cap.


    Last year Djoker was 1.04 vs. Kendrick in the 2nd Rd and he won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.


    I have a strong gut feeling that the big boy Ball will get 4 games in at least 2 of his sets..... so even he gets blasted 6-1 in another set, you still get 6-4, 6-4, 6-1.... or 9 games.
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