Best HANDICAP BET OF US OPEN 2009????

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  • MilfDriller
    Restricted User
    • 11-23-08
    • 10186

    #1
    Best HANDICAP BET OF US OPEN 2009????
    Djoker -4600
    Ball +2200



    I'm curious as to where they'll set this cap. My guess is 9.5 considering the price.... altho a price that extensive should dictate an even greater cap.


    Djoker is soft, he has a vagina, and has the will of an NBA player for the most part. This match smells like Djoker in 4... w/ 2 sets being a 7-5 or a 7-6.

    A non 3-0 win bet likely will pay min +250???? ... but the HC might be an absolute walk in the park. Ball has proven he can go toe-to-toe w/ players like Isner and Querry... and, altho Djoker is a step up in class, I feel he can easily cover this cap.


    Last year Djoker was 1.04 vs. Kendrick in the 2nd Rd and he won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.


    I have a strong gut feeling that the big boy Ball will get 4 games in at least 2 of his sets..... so even he gets blasted 6-1 in another set, you still get 6-4, 6-4, 6-1.... or 9 games.
  • MilfDriller
    Restricted User
    • 11-23-08
    • 10186

    #2
    really, tho, w/ a price that large.... it'd have to be -10.0 games.... -9.5 minimum


    +10.0 games.... have to take that in a heartbeat...
    Comment
    • yisman
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-01-08
      • 75682

      #3
      don't sleep on Djokovic. I'm feeling a breakthrough one of these days.

      Maybe Ball covers, but I see Djoker advancing deep.
      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
      [/quote]

      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
      Comment
      • MilfDriller
        Restricted User
        • 11-23-08
        • 10186

        #4
        Djoker has very winnable matches all the way to the quarters... but there he would face Arod among others... and that's likely where he falls. Waiting on this cap.
        Comment
        • MilfDriller
          Restricted User
          • 11-23-08
          • 10186

          #5
          HC is -9.0. early was -105 on +9.0 ... now at -145


          Really, Lubejob played like shit the day before. And w/ a terrible performance he went 3-1-3. A mediocre display of 3-3-3 by Ball generates a push.

          Still think this is a winner, but enthusiasm is low w/o the half on the nine and the jacked up price to almost -150.

          Btw, Ball not to lose 3-0 sets.... it's a whopping +291


          Make a prediction: Djoker 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 ... and maybe flip the result of the 1st 2 sets
          Comment
          • yisman
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-01-08
            • 75682

            #6
            You should be on the +291.

            I'll pass.
            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
            [/quote]

            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
            Comment
            • MilfDriller
              Restricted User
              • 11-23-08
              • 10186

              #7
              Value standpoint I like the +291... but I've lost too many 7-6, 7-6, 7-5 matches in the past.

              Lightyears of difference between a non 3-0 bet and a fat HC
              Comment
              • MilfDriller
                Restricted User
                • 11-23-08
                • 10186

                #8
                This was a fvcking gimme... and I fvcking backed off and bet on gorilla ball.

                Fvcking stupid on my part. 6-3, 6-4, 0-0 in 3rd
                Comment
                • yisman
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-01-08
                  • 75682

                  #9
                  2-2 in the third. Djokovic won't cover.

                  He'll probably take it in straight sets, though.
                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                  [/quote]

                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                  Comment
                  • MilfDriller
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-23-08
                    • 10186

                    #10
                    And, you know, to top it all off... I didn't fade Blake... which was another easy HC at +6.5.

                    wtf am I doing?
                    Comment
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