Nadal looks like his old self now.His passing shots are better his serve was accurate.Djokovic is getting a proper nadal.
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Current form - Murray for sure, BUT how many times do you get Fed as a dog? I think this is a huge match for him. I think he needs the confidence of beating Murray heading into the US Open since the chances are the draw may shape up for them to meet in the Final. Over would seem pretty solid as they've played a lot of 3 setters. Hard to go against Murray with the recent head-2-head ...Comment -
Well Nadal finishes off Berdych easy. Was expecting.The nadal/Djokovic match will be good tomorrow.
So tough to call with the Murray/Federer match. Was leaning Murray but I am pretty much like Milfdriller in that I find it very hard to bet against Federer.He is the best and if he wins any match it should not be a surprise to anyone. I think the odds are correct basically having it a toss up and I dont think I am going to bother betting the match. When its a toss up I pretty much hit those bets at a 30% clip.
Kleybanova had the tiebreak and she was serving for it but totally choked it away to Jankovic and now is already down a break in the second set so that match is pretty much done.Pisses me off. I hope Jankovic losesComment -
I think Nadal will probably beat Djokovic tomorrow. Novak hasnt been playing that well and lacks the confidence.You can tell. Also it isnt a good sign when a player looks like they are about to pass out and die like Djokovic looked during all of the changeovers today. I havent checked the weather forecast for tomorrow but if its supposed to be hot in Cincy then Nadal would be an even better bet. Ive got both of them in the outright so I am not going to bet that matchComment -
Kleybanova beats Jankovic.....was a stressful match that went back and forth,typical WTA, and it took four days to complete it felt like but I am glad Kleybanova won. She is out of shape and should be easy pickings for Sharapova if she can get through her match. Jankovic would probably have caused more problems for mariaComment -
Sharapova wins over Radwanska. Maria looked really good tonight.....her tennis game was pretty good to. Most of the points radwanska got were from errors by Maria.
So Sharapova vs Kleybanova and Serena vs Dementieva. Dementieva is 5-6 vs Serena in her career. Out of the two matches, the serena match is the one that I am worried about more. Of the last 7 times they have played, Dementieva has won 5 of them. I am very surprised when I look at the odds and I see Dementieva +255. For those looking for some good value, this might be a good bet to look at. The williams sisters dont usually give it 110% in the non-majors so an upset is possible here. I already have the Serena outright bet so I am not going to bet against her at this point but it is a good value play for you guys.
The odds for the Sharapova match are not posted yet since it hasnt been over for that long. Funny thing is I was looking through the 2009 year and not every time but almost every time Kleybanova plays a three set match she either loses the match or if she wins the three set match, she loses the very next match. There could be alot of questions that this could raise:
1) as she wins the three set match and advances deeper she plays a better player next round and loses
2) Her fitness is not good so the three set matches take there toll on her and she doesnt have enough for the next match
I am thinking a mixture of both but the match she played tonight was a 3 plus hour marathon with Jankovic and the quick turnaround to Saturdays match could be a plus for Sharapova who is more fit. If Maria can limit the unforced errors she should be able to win the match. Kleybanova was very inconsistant against Jankovic and had trouble holding her serve. Guess you could say that about any WTA player but it just seems that she has trouble finishing. I favor Sharapova in this match.
Nadal/Djokovic
Nadal is 14-4 lifetime vs Novak. Nadal is still rusty and not playing up to his potential. Djokovic is playing with no confidence but is still good enough to make it through his matches. This might just be a mental thing with Novak unable to beat Nadal. On hard courts Djokovic is 4-2 vs Nadal. Nadal is a -166 favorite for the match. I have both of these players in the outright market so I am passing on the match. If I had to pick a winner I think Nadal will win the match but I wouldnt be confident enough to bet it. If you do bet this match, check the weather tomorrow in Cincinatti before you make the bet.If its going to be very hot outside, that is even more reason to pick Rafa tomorrow. Djokovic looked horrible during the changeovers today like he had run a marathon before the match.
Murray/Federer
As stated above I lean towards Murray in this match but I have a tough time betting against Federer.Im going to pass on this match.
Best of luck tomorrow guysComment -
I've seen Murray fvck w Fed's head too many times lately. His style is like the anti-christ for Fed. It's like Santoro was for Safin. I think Fed has really been shit all tourney. If Hew was healthy, I think Hew would've taken that match... but Hew was almost bouncing his serves before the net... it was ridiculous. No legs... or just one.
Anyways, Fed didn't give a shit when he lost to Tsonga... and altho he's aware of Murray's edge on him, I don't think he'll really put much stock into losing to him again today. The Fed win over Nadal on clay pre-French Open was a different story.
I think Murray being #1 is simply inevitable (as much as I can't stand the guy). He's been fairly dominant on hc's and Fed hasn't won anything on hc since the USO last year. Murray has won the last 4 and 6 out of the last 7 between them. That's basically ownage. Plus Fed's style now.. shit the bed outside of the majors... and then roll into the semis at a major as a minimum.
And just looking at Fed's last 6 matches here in N.America since Wimbledon... they've all been shit. Tested by Niemeyer, a semi-tight one w/ Wawrinka (who is in bad form), the choke out v. Tsonga... then his bad performance in all 3 matches in Cincy.
I wouldn't put much into the Benntu match.... huge dog, looking forward to Fed... mini let down. Basically Murray has been dominating everybody he has been playing.
Going with Murray.Comment -
I agree with the Nadal especially watching him play these last two days.Comment -
Current form for me carries through from last week and into this week. Winning a tournament and surviving to this point vs. Federer who went out early last week, is better form IMO. Both Murray & Federer had scary matches this week, but both survived. I can't go against the head-2-head lately & Fed still prone to more errors than usual, Murray small for me.Comment -
Fed/Murray match is starting now.Should be good.Good luck whoever bet on this.I passedComment -
Just watching this early at 2-1 Fed... feel really good for Murray.
Lol, I type this and he goes down 0-30.Comment -
Early break for Federer.Looking good so farComment -
4-1 Fed
0-40 Muggay getting schooled
I hope the trademark Fed collapse can happen in the 2nd setComment -
Great save from Murray to get it back to deuce
The live in-play odds if Murray loses this set are going to be around +250 to +300. Might be worth a play to wait for Murray to lose the second set and then bet him and then hope for Murray to win the second set and then hedge your +300 play with a -120 Federer play at the start of the thirdComment -
Murray needs to hold here.Dont want Fed serving first in the second setComment -
6-2 Fed
There will be no Muggay comeback. Money burnedComment -
Wow Murray at +340 now. Have to bet this now. Worth the risk. Im in on Murray now
Cannot play any worse then that in the second set.Fed may have his usual lullComment -
haha even better +352 now
Good thing I was typing this.Took that insteadComment -
I know he is playing piss poor Milfdriller but +352 is to good to pass up.Worth a chanceComment -
God damnit +430 now.I should have waited for the first game to be overComment -
Good bounce back game from Murray. Glad to see the Murray of two years ago not show up.He would be sulking the rest of this matchComment -
I hope we both win... but this match is a different animal. Right now I'm just hoping Murray gets his next 5 holds to at least get a TB.. and maybe Fed will momentarily crack to give Andy the set. But even if he makes it to a TB, I think Fed will win that.
THis is looking very dark.
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win some and you lose some I guess. If Murray wins the second set I am hedging out and not chancing a three set match. If Murray loses in two oh well.Comment -
You know what, I'm starting to feel confident in this match. I mean, Fed is dominating, but if Muggy can win this set... I think he'll take it in the 3rd. So it'll either be 2-0 Fed or 2-1 Muggy.Comment -
6-2, 4-3*
0-15
40-15
Dc
oh boy. this is close to toastComment -
Anything can happen in the tiebreak. an ue here and there and we could be looking at a third set.Like the chances
Dementieva already up a break on serena.Knew her odds were really good this morning.Cant bet against my outright though.
Oh and the break back now so they are on serveComment -
well, this is it. winner of the TB wins this match. I've got a strange feeling this will turn to the goodComment -
I think Murray can win this to.Heres hopingComment -
ah shit horrible shotComment -
1-0* Fed lead
2-0* ... dude can't get a first serve in and shanking
okay, this is likely doneComment -
3-0 we are ****edComment -
I can see getting one of these mini breaks back but two back against fed in this form,no chanceComment -
*3-0 GSM
Oh well. Next oneComment -
3-1 some lifeComment
