Ok the line is out and it is actually Dementieva -150. I really cant believe this line. She was a +210 or so dog to Serena Williams yet she is going to be a -150 favorite over Sharapova? This line HAS to be due to the fact that Maria just finished her match late at night and they are playing early tomorrow morning so its a big disadvantage for Maria. What the **** would Maria be vs serena? A +1000 dog? This throws a wrench in my hedging plans. Maybe its greed but I was hoping to get Dementieva as a dog to hedge it off against my +560 Maria outright. May still do it at this price just because Maria didnt look the best tonight and has the quick turnover to tomorrow afternoon. Going to think about it
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Ok Elena can now be had at -145 and I am going to take some of that to guarantee a profit on the winner of the final. So its going to be a good day to relax tomorrow and concentrate on other sports and just let the finals play themselves out. On the womens side I think Dementieva will probably win because of the quick turnaround and because Maria is having a hard time keeping the ball in play. I am still hoping for a Maria win because that is going to be more profitable. On the mens side I think Roger will take it. If he plays like he did against Murray today then he is probably unbeatable, especially the way he played in the first set.
Best of luck tomorrow guysComment -
This whole tourney has been tricky, no?
Pretty much most players don't really give a fvck and just want to get reps in before the USO. Fed was sleepwalking in his first couple matches.... anybody could've beat him and I don't think he really would have given a fvck. But he was determined to beat Murray and he pretty much kicked his ass and didn't even let Muggy sniff a BP. It was kind of like last year's USO final where Fed just schooled Muggy. Now that this is a final, I'm pretty certain he's going to bring down the hammer v. Djoker.
Fed's last choke (apart from the Tsonga match) was the match v. Djoker on clay where he was up a set and a break... winnning easy. Then he choked. Before that was the Miami match loss... but again, I don't think the real Fed played in any of those matches.
And, you know what, looking at the 4 Fed losses to the Djoker... they all look circumstantial to me.
Rome.... up a set and a break
Miami... bad conditions and Fed couldn't keep the ball in play
AO 2008 ... Fed coming off mono....
Montreal 2007 .... Fed lost in a TB in the 3rd.. and just tanked the TB
So I'd really only give Djoker one legit win over Fed and that was in Montreal.
I think this will be a Fed 2-0 win today. Fed played like the Fed of old yest. And Nadal is still not back to where he was... tho he is no doubt happy that he has progressed from a Qtr to a Semi.
Fed will roll tomorrow. Prior to the Rafa match, everybody was questiong where Djoker had gone... why he had been shit of late. I think Fed has just been fvcking w/ us. He has won the last 2 majors and he will turn it on... and we'll see the zero stamina, weak Djoker in the house.Comment -
roger might finish off joker in less than an hour it looks likeComment -
Took the foot off the gas a little after the 6-1 set. He needs to not let up.Comment -
6-1, *0-1
BP #2 for Djoker
Dc
BP #3 ... Fed didn't put away the overhead. Come on, man.Comment -
then a carless, loose lob to get broken. Fvcking assshole. He better not tank this set now
6-1, 0-2*Comment -
Fed in shank mode
40-15
40-30
6-1, *0-3Comment -
this shouldn't even be a match. come on, Fed
*3-1
0-30
15-30
15-40
3-2* now hopefully he just steamrolls from here on outComment -
40-0
40-30
40-40 .... seeing some garbage from Fed now. Has to hold here or think this match will flip
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3-3Comment -
15-30
had control of the pt and then he mishits it w/ the frame
30-30
30-40 MP #1Comment -
MP #2 .... fed just misses
Dc
MP #3
Dc .. another mishit. fvck
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4-3* just letting Djoker escapeComment -
4-4
30-0
30a
40-30 another careless Fed return. out by a mile. he's keeping Djoker alive
5-4 just garbageComment -
0-15
15a
15-30... uh ohComment -
30a
30-40 set point.... fvck u fedComment -
5-5
30-15
30a
30-40 MP againComment -
missed another one. fvcking a
dc
Ad ... another fvcking mishit. jesus christ. Djoker is giving this to you.. just keep it in
dcComment -
again doesn't keep it in off another pushback return
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dc
MP # 5,000
*6-5 finally. GSMComment -
6-1 6-5. serving for the match.Comment -
Kinda figured Fed would win today.Im glad I didnt let my outright ride with Djokovic. Glad to see that it looks like you guys made some money with Fed. He was definately the play given the form that he showed yesterday. Nice hits
Sharapova/Dementieva match has been long so far.Lots of break points.Stressfull.Will be interesting to see who wins this.Still anyones guess.Comment -
im sure dementieva will eventually win.Comment -
Dementieva wins.Glad I hedged out of my outrights for the finals or else I would have had nothing to show for it. All in all a good week. Hopefully you guys made some money. We have Pilot Pen next week and then the US open which will be good. I doubt many good players will be playing the week before the US open but you never know.Would probably be good fade oppurotunities though for the big favs because everyone would be looking ahead to the US open and not wanting to get injured.
Has been another good week.Look forward to the nextComment
