Such a weird bet, I never liked it. Either there's value on the fav or the dog. If you expect 2-0 from someone, back that guy instead of the under. If you think a game will be tight, take the dog spread instead of the over. Because when you take the over the dog will win 2-0. In other sports the totals make much more sense. Also if you like a big fav, always take the handicap instead of the under, because those 6:7 6:3 6:3 games happen often.
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I prefer the handicap games for the underdog, as you said because sometimes he will win comfortably.Comment -
On clay I prefer betting on the over, just because the handicap (for the underdog) can lose easily in a 3 sets match, typically like you said 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 and on clay bagels or breadsticks are not rare.Comment -
Yeah, it always sucks when the dog blows the spread in the final set but I just trade out nowadays. Nothing worse than having a 4-5 games advantage going into the third set and losing. Like I take a dog +4.5, and it goes 3:6 6:2 0:6. Like dude, did you lose your arm after the second set?Comment -
I wanted to take Swiatek +1.5 Sets but decided to take Over 19 because they always lose 7:6 6:1 When I take set spreads.
Halep went 1:6 2:6. That's why totals suck.
Swiatek covering -8.5 is probably a 250/1 result.
Azarenka - Schmiedlova also went 2:6 2:6, I took the set spread there.
If there's value on the dog taking the over is stupid.Comment