Lucas Pouille +800 vs. Federer

[navyblue81]

Any value here? Not pulling the trigger yet, but curious about this. Federer hasn't looked that great the first two rounds, and Pouille can be dangerous. He's swept through his first two matches. At +800, it seems like there's some value here.

Thoughts from those who play tennis regularly?

[Poisec]

Federer looking shaky so far.

[WildBillCappin]

I’m getting Pouille at +850 currently. Personally I’d say this is a dead bet. Yesterday I took Joker @+400 to win and the game to go +3.5 sets and cashed.

If you feel that Pouille will put up a fight and win at least 1 set I’d say go that route, as Federer isn’t going to drop this match.

Just to put odds in context; I currently have Nederlands women soccer beating the USA in fulltime at +900, it’s almost a needle in a haystack for them to win that. Just saying if you bank on a +800 or more, be conscience of your bankroll.

[Poisec]

Depends on your type of betting, for odds above 2.00 I played Over 35.5 games (odds 2.30).

[jtoler]

pouille too many unforced errors

[navyblue81]

Gonna play a bit more conservative. Taking Over 3.5 sets at +135.