I doubt Nadal wins this French Open

**yisman** · 05-11-09, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by smitch124

come on Mathy, all in on L. Dominguez Lino +700

It was +1400 on Betfair earlier. Great value. She has a shot.

**SBR Lou** · 05-11-09, 03:48 PM

yisman,

Will you be tailing the selections outlined within the confines of this thread, namely the contributions made by my posting handle?

**SBR Lou** · 05-31-09, 11:14 AM

Someone tell me what an idiot I am again.

Nadal loses in 4 sets to Soderling.

**SBR Lou** · 05-31-09, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

If you want to lay -309 on someone winning a Grand Slam, then by all means do so.

lol

**SBR Lou** · 05-31-09, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by mathdotcom

Good analysis Lou. Except you're wrong. .
Good luck Lou. But hope you didn't put too much of your savings on this.

Will anyone ever reply to this thread again?

No -2400

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-31-09, 11:24 AM

Maybe when you tip a match correctly?

Good job on this. You got one right. I think Nadal must have broken his legs or something, no way he loses to a joker like Soderling on dirt like this if he's not hurt or something.

**SBR Lou** · 05-31-09, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

You got one right.

This is a pretty big one to get right, though. Reminds me of betting against Big Brown when everyone with air in their lungs thought he was a stone-cold mortal lock.

**yisman** · 05-31-09, 11:47 AM

Lou, I picked the actual upset of Soderling over Nadal.

If you're looking for credit, you're not going to get it, especially when you keep taking chalk and losing. Getting one prop right does not change any of that.

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Will anyone ever reply to this thread again?

No -2400

Another chalk loser.

**Stacocakes** · 05-31-09, 11:55 AM

Crazy I ****ing fell asleep and missed this nadal match.Can't believe it.Almost feel like I am still sleeping. Heres Federer's chance for the career slam.Won't have any other chance to do it.Gotta do it now.DJO is gone to so Fed is walking to the final.Hope he wins.Wish I saw this match

Nadal to lose a set at french open -450 winna

**SBR Lou** · 05-31-09, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

Crazy I ****ing fell asleep and missed this nadal match.Can't believe it.Almost feel like I am still sleeping. Heres Federer's chance for the career slam.Won't have any other chance to do it.Gotta do it now.DJO is gone to so Fed is walking to the final.Hope he wins.Wish I saw this match

Nadal to lose a set at french open -450 winna

Yeah man, and you know what, for all the talk about Federer "choking" at Wimbledon, at least he never lost in the 4th round as a huge favorite. He'll have made 20 straight semi finals overall in Grand Slams if he takes care of business here.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-31-09, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

This is a pretty big one to get right, though. Reminds me of betting against Big Brown when everyone with air in their lungs thought he was a stone-cold mortal lock.

Just think how much you'd be up if you hadn't taken that shot at -500 on Wozniacki. That's why I keep preaching it, never take those HUGE favorites. At least this helps speed your recovery from that one.

**head_strong** · 05-31-09, 12:23 PM

I hear ya CrazyLou unbelievable call

.....I was planning on waiting for the semifinals/finals to get better value on Nadal before betting him, looks like that is not going to happen. How you were so confident that Nadal was going to lose at a place he hasn't lost in 4 years, 31 straight matches, only losing 7 sets in that span, is beyond my comprehension.....once again congrats on an amazing but "crazy" call.

**SBR Lou** · 05-31-09, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by head_strong

I hear ya CrazyLou unbelievable call

.....I was planning on waiting for the semifinals/finals to get better value on Nadal before betting him, looks like that is not going to happen. How you were so confident that Nadal was going to lose at a place he hasn't lost in 4 years, 31 straight matches, only losing 7 sets in that span, is beyond my comprehension.....once again congrats on an amazing but "crazy" call.

Thanks man.

**onthewhat** · 05-31-09, 05:08 PM

How did Lou know?

How did he know??

**The General** · 05-31-09, 05:28 PM

Good deal Lou.

Won the prop 'Any other final than 1 vs 2 or 1 vs 4' and still pending Federer.

**LT Profits** · 05-31-09, 05:34 PM

I wish I had Federer +1100 at this point.

Ballsy and amazing call Lou. Make sure to send Soderling a nice gift.

**SBR Lou** · 06-07-09, 10:11 AM

Roger Federer won the 2009 French Open!!

**blittydeuce** · 06-07-09, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by durito

Don't know a damn thing about tennis, but just had to put this in after reading this thread.

Tennis: ATP French Open 2009
Yes/No Player To Win
Will R. Nadal Win French Open? (Must Start R1)
1051. Yes -310
Risking 3,100.00 to Win 1,000.00 USD

ouch

**rugaz** · 06-09-09, 07:45 PM

i need the paaword anyone?

**bettilimbroke999** · 06-10-09, 05:07 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Will R. Nadal Win French Open? (Must Start R1)
No +270

Will R. Federer Win French Open? (Must Start R1)
Yes +1150

That is the absolute best value for this event.

I strongly believe Nadal will fall, just as Federer did. I will even go so far as to say that I am certain that, should Nadal fall, it will be at the hands of the FedEx in the Finals.

Nadal not to win at +270 had no value whatsoever unless he was injured

Federer +1150 had value, nice bet (same as you I figured if anyone would beat Nadal it would be in finals versus Federer which is why this bet had value imo)

As far as being certain if Nadal lost it would be in finals to FedEx don't forget about his tough competition in 40-1 Soderling

, quite frankly that was the absolute shock of the year and leads me to believe either Soderling played absolutely perfectly or Nadal was injured but 40-1 on that match I still wouldn't have put 5 bucks on Soderling to win

Moral of the story: Tennis handicapping is as much about luck as it is about skill, if anyone on earth bet more than 50 bucks on Soderling I'd be shocked