US Open thoughts

[w@lt]

I have my eyes on a couple of early round matches so far. Plays will be pretty dependent on odds.

Mardy Fish vs. Marco Cecchinato.
Who?? Cecchinato: clay guy who just lost 6-1 6-1 to Benoit Paire in Cincy. Mardy's play has been surprisingly good given his long layoff, beating Troicki, and giving Murray all he could handle. No doubt the motivation should be there, as this is his swan song. I'm hoping that he is under-valued due to lack of play, maybe around -200?

Genie Bouchard vs Alison Riske
I know, I know, "WTF, GENIE BOUCHARD??", you say, but hear me out: she holds a 2-0 WTA record against Riske (one win coming a couple of months ago), and Riske hasn't really been great herself. Additionally, it appears that Genie started working with Jimmy Connors, so hopefully something new will help her game. Based on Genie's woes, I'm hoping she will be around -150, which I will gladly take in this situation.

[w@lt]

As I posted this, 5Dimes put up men's odds. Fish -370. Parlay material for me.

[w@lt]

As I posted this, 5Dimes put up men's odds. Fish -370. Parlay material for me.

And they're down

[JohnnyRudeboy]

Cechinatto is terrible at the ATP level, I fade him at every opportunity

[brodie]

i dont even follow wta but the reasoning behind the eugene pick is just stupid. riske has been stinky? look at her recent hard results. she got blown out once agianst woz. bouch is not woz. I think riske will win, but i refuse to put money on wta unless it's chalk

plus eugenes win was on grass

[w@lt]

i dont even follow wta

Hmm. Well, maybe hold off on calling reasoning "stupid" in that case?

look at her recent hard results

Well, she's won 4 matches in her last 5 tournaments. Even though, she hasn't exactly played push-overs.

plus eugenes win was on grass

I realize that grass is her best surface, but I was more highlighting the fact that Genie won in her current poor form.

[brodie]

Hmm. Well, maybe hold off on calling reasoning "stupid" in that case?

Well, she's won 4 matches in her last 5 tournaments. Even though, she hasn't exactly played push-overs.

I realize that grass is her best surface, but I was more highlighting the fact that Genie won in her current poor form.

3 out of the 4 are significantly better (or at least in better form) than bouch. if the reasoning wasnt stupid then why did you feel the need to edit the original post? taking bouch as any sort of favorite in this match is laughable to me. she could win, but it doesnt make anything I said wrong. This pick is backed by terrible reasoning

[w@lt]

As I posted this, 5Dimes put up men's odds. Fish -370. Parlay material for me.

Ooof. Some odds back up at 5dimes. Fish -475.

[w@lt]

Bouchard -115. I'm hittin' it

[Snowball]

If Genie can still play tennis, Riske does not present any serious
difficulties for her. Riske is not a very creative player. She is not
known for spin or net approaches.

Generally in the women's field I like the way Kvitova is coming in
and Bencic will be a difficult out for anyone.
Woz has a bad leg, Sharapova may not be 100%. Azarenka perhaps
but Halep not looking too strong. Kvitova is peaking at the right time
- just need to see her repeat performance this afternoon.

[w@lt]

If Genie can still play tennis, Riske does not present any serious
difficulties for her. Riske is not a very creative player. She is not
known for spin or net approaches.

I think that anyone could potentially be difficult for Genie right now, but I completely agree that Genie should have less trouble against someone with less variety, and should win if she just plays her game and limits errors.

Generally in the women's field I like the way Kvitova is coming in
and Bencic will be a difficult out for anyone.
Woz has a bad leg, Sharapova may not be 100%. Azarenka perhaps
but Halep not looking too strong. Kvitova is peaking at the right time
- just need to see her repeat performance this afternoon.

Yep. Avoiding Woz and 'Pova until I see how they come into the week. Thinking about using Vika in a parlay, but may be better to wait and see with her also, as she left hurt in Cinci.

[w@lt]

First parlay. about -160

Mardy Fish -460 vs Marco Cecchinato
Kei Nishikori -1100 vs Benoit Paire
Belinda Bencic -1300 vs Sesil Karatantcheva
Victoria Azarenka -750 vs Lucie Hradecka

[w@lt]

Genie shows something this week...

Eugenie Bouchard -120

[Snowball]

Genie shows something this week...

Eugenie Bouchard -120

maybe but it's also possible that she's really just not that great.
i would not be surprised if she proves to be a regular ranker of 30-60.
taking her in the first match vs. Riske looks good to me also, but
nothing beyond that.

[jtoler]

i dont even follow wta but the reasoning behind the eugene pick is just stupid. riske has been stinky? look at her recent hard results. she got blown out once agianst woz. bouch is not woz. I think riske will win, but i refuse to put money on wta unless it's chalk

plus eugenes win was on grass

Why is that?

[Retibol]

First parlay. about -160

Mardy Fish -460 vs Marco Cecchinato
Kei Nishikori -1100 vs Benoit Paire
Belinda Bencic -1300 vs Sesil Karatantcheva
Victoria Azarenka -750 vs Lucie Hradecka

I agree with Mardy Fish ,
But your not confident in David Goffin beating Bolelli?

[w@lt]

But your not confident in David Goffin beating Bolelli?

Haven't followed either of them. Looks like Bolelli beat Goffin on hard earlier this year, though...

[w@lt]

Fuk your stupid ass, Nishikori. Benoit Fuking Paire. 2 fuking match points in the 4th set tiebreak.

[w@lt]

Just upped my bet on Genie. Don't let me down, girlfriend...

[pattymayo]

Walt don't bet with your emotions we all know you love genie we all saw your picture with her

[w@lt]

Walt don't bet with your emotions we all know you love genie we all saw your picture with her

Haha, I know. Too late

[Snowball]

i think the bozo with the rough voice that keeps yelling COME ON GENIE
is pissing her off.
20+ unforced errors
but she is the better player..

[w@lt]

i think the bozo with the rough voice that keeps yelling COME ON GENIE
is pissing her off.
20+ unforced errors
but she is the better player..

First set Genie! Not playing particularly well, but her serve seems to be better today. You're right, too many errors.

[Snowball]

Genie has a weak draw. Next is Hercog then probably Cibulkova..
Cibulkova shouldn't have any problem wiping the court with Genie.

[w@lt]

Genie has a weak draw. Next is Hercog then probably Cibulkova..
Cibulkova shouldn't have any problem wiping the court with Genie.

Will probably take her again vs. Cog, but yeah, will probably stay away against Cibulkova.

[w@lt]

About +100

Ohio State -445 vs Virginia Tech
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova -210 vs Julia Goerges
Victoria Azarenka -820 vs Lucie Hradecka

[Snowball]

did you see Jimmy Connors is helping Genie now.
"while he's in New York"

she could do a lot worse for a long term coach

[w@lt]

did you see Jimmy Connors is helping Genie now.
"while he's in New York"

she could do a lot worse for a long term coach

Yeah, saw that. I read that there are no long term plans for him to be her coach as of now. She said that he's given her some confidence, for what it's worth..

[JohnnyRudeboy]

Watched the whole 2nd set in person. Riske brought absolutely nothing to the table but genie was far from impressive. Will fade her here on out at reasonable odds

[Jeff_Black]

Solid pick with Fish, tempted to take a handicap with him against Lopez

[brodie]

just found out eugene has a twin sister that's significantly hotter than she is.

[brodie]

Solid pick with Fish, tempted to take a handicap with him against Lopez

he didn't look great today. he will get worked by lopez. bet.

[Jeff_Black]

Fair enough, being his last appearance professionally I think he'll put it all out there so maybe best to avoid it altogether for me. Lopez just hasn't been the same player in my eyes this year.

[JohnnyRudeboy]

he didn't look great today. he will get worked by lopez. bet.

Unfortunately, agreed.

[w@lt]

Yeah, Mardy didn't look as good yesterday, but I wouldn't count him out against Flopez. Still waiting on the odds for Genie-Cog.