Yang @3.4 down 5-1 1st set
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Zhang @3.4 down set and break 1-0Comment -
+$3925
Adding another pre-match bet. Pavlasek @3 vs Lajovic. Pavlasek had success here last year beating Rosol and has many good wins playing at home in Czech Republic. The courts here play much bouncier than other clay and Lajovic has never played here before so think he will struggle.Comment -
sharipova @3.2 down break 2-1 2nd setComment -
Sharipova down 3-0* second set 1 break.Comment -
Pova got trashed wow. Great tennis by Lucie.Comment -
Jegiolka @3Comment -
+$3525
Had some slow internet issues in the last 48 hours or so so didn't end up posting my plays.
Will start up again but need reassurance once again if there's actually any point. It's a pain posting the live plays after each bet I make so unless someone is finding use to them, I'll stop posting them and just post my random thoughts pre-match on matches I find interesting. Been talking to myself in this thread yet again it seems.
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appreciate your "heads up" on these live entries whenever u can make them, SS...
i always try to sneak into the same side when i can, and share your $-pain/$-gain...
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have you been hitting Serena at all this last 3 rounds at FO...three in a row for thunder thighs after losing the 1stComment -
ive actually been trying to fade serena. i got friedsam 1st set @3 after she broke, lost azarenka ml/2-0 set, won stephens 1st set, lost errani 1st set, and won bacsinszky 1st set. i usually try to avoid outright betting serena to lose as she always manages to comeback and somehow pull off the win.
was a shame that i didnt bother to post my plays last few days with my internet troubles. looking at my betting history in last 48hrs, im up $1400 on 10bet and $400 on WilliamHill. couldve even been more but i made two hedges wen i never hedge and they ended up being winners. went a little bit away from just favs down a set and it seems to be helping a bitComment -
Update on the Junior French Open for those interested.
Ymer crashed out in the 2nd round to Opelka, who I know nothing about but he did then go on to beat Luz who is the number 1 ranked junior now that Rublev is playing with the big boys so it isn't too bad of a loss. There are 3 Americans in the semifinals which is incredible. Mmoh, who has potential as I talked about before but he's not super talented at the moment. Tommy Paul, who to me is the favourite going in but don't see him having much potential other than a Challenger level player. Fritz, who had the easiest draw and is really just an average player in my opinion.
On the womens side, Bellis is the obvious favourite but almost got upset by Zhuk who I talked about previously and may be the youngest player in the draw. Expecting a Bellis/Badosa final here.Comment -
Always following your plays & insights Sirty. Don't like to clutter your thread with comments that you may then feel the need to reply to.Comment -
Thanks for the comment. I don't usually mind responding to comments as it at least lets me know there's a point for me making these posts.
I don't mind posting my insight of matches before hand as I can do them when I have time but are the live plays actually of any use to you?Comment -
I actually prefer your pre-match previews relating to your regular young/promising & other generally underrated players. Continued success in all your plays!Comment -
Alright, I have decided to scrap the live plays. I've already made a few posts about the process I go through to make them so the framework is there for those that wish to try it anyways. I will continue posting pre-match and post-match thoughts that I find interesting when I've got the time, which was the main purpose of the thread anyways as the title suggests. Got some important stuff I got to do till the end of the month so will only have the odd update each week until then though.Comment -
The youngest Djokovic and supposedly the one that had the most potential has a wildcard into a Challenger event this week. The kid wins like 1/4 of his matches until this year where he is 10/8 so far with some decent results actually. He also gets to verse a qualifier so could be interesting to see how he goes.
Going to list out all the players that follow the angle I was talking about and that I think has a chance to win (no particular order and odds not out for all tournaments yet so might not even be the dog).
Smethurst
Stanek
Elgin
Donskoy
Davydenko
Pavlasek
Broady
Gaio
Travaglia
Then here are just the players I think could cause an upset but follow no angle, and might not end up being the dog as odds not out yet.
Podzus
Saville (twice)Comment -
I haven't been playing them but the angle above has been going well. In case for those unaware, the angle is ITF players playing a Challenger/ATP event at home or a ITF/Challenger player playing a ATP event at home. As long as the matchup isn't insanely lopsided, they tend to keep the match close if not win.
Here's a new list of all the players that meet the above requirement now that qualifiers are done. I didn't relist those already above.
Kolar
Michalicka
Marterer
QuinziComment -
Love Gaio man. Ultimate dirt rat...And haider Mauer is shit on grass...Marterer might can take himComment -
I haven't seen Maurer on grass before but he's got a decent serve so I think he should be at least able to hold serve most times on grass. Marterer actually has a pretty similar game to him and can see the match having at least 1 tiebreak. Odds have dropped almost $1 though and the +4 initially was @1.85 which to me has a 90% chance of winning or pushing. The +2.5 @2.4 is 50/50 to me as I think Marterer will be able to serve his way to covering it.
Gaio on the other hand is a player I like to bet on down a set or even down a set and break. Odds dropped for him too though but initially the price was quite attractive.Comment -
Ugh ffs. Redeposited on WilliamHill a few weeks back and got limited to $20 per match now so pretty much useless. I've only got 10bet left now which just isn't enough. Next best alternative I know of is Winner but not liking their odds and options.
Again, if anyone has a live in-play book with ITF matches like bet365 for example, please let me know. Desperate to find another book to go with 10bet as they are unreliable.
Btw if anyone is wondering, I won shit all at WilliamHill so not quite sure why I got limited, whereas I am surprised that 10bet hasnt limited me.
EDIT: Lol wtf im limited to $2 on pre-game bets but $20 in-play. Makes no sense as I rarely even bet pre-game. Y have they limited me for... zzzzLast edited by SirtySree; 06-12-15, 01:04 AM.Comment -
Digging around, I found 1xbet and tonybet. Anyone in the tennis forum have experience using them? 1xbet odds look real enticing but the reviews I googled look terrible. TonyBet looking like a real option but before I join, wanted to see if anyone else here has tried them?Comment -
why not bet365?Comment -
unreliable meaning it takes long to withdraw your winnings?Comment -
cant use them anymore from ages ago.
going to give tonybet a shot anyways but heard from reviews they tend to limit pretty quick. dnt really hav many alternatives to pick from anyways so cnt b too picky
yea they dnt let me do cred card withdraws anymore so i have to do bank withdraws which takes ages to clear. also unreliable in that it is sometimes difficult to get in live-plays and some days they decide not to bother with majority of ITF matchesComment -
Ymer through to a Challenger SF taking down 3 of the more experienced dirtballers in a row. Ramos next will be the real challenge. Ymer up close to 150 ranking now and could get to 120 if he takes the title here. He needs to win some Challengers and get that ranking up into the top 100 to get more direct entries to ATP events.
Also btw I am now using both Winner and TonyBet, in addition to 10bet. Lets see how long this lasts before I get limited.
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Why would you get limited? For winning 3k? lolComment -
Most books don't limit you off amount won only. They got business intelligence algorithms that pick up people who are outliers that perform outside of the norm based off a bunch of factors that I know nothing about.
I only ended up being up $500 at the end on WilliamHill when I got limited. I was up $3000 in 20 days before being kicked of BetVictor and right now I am up a good amount on 10bet but looking at how poor their website works, I doubt they actually have any type of algorithm telling them anything.Comment -
I have no idea how their algorithms work and it would vary from site to site. From what I can tell from the books I got limited on, it tends to be because I made money quick relative to my deposit/bet size after only just signing up.
I only bet $100 per play whereas, there are people betting thousands so I am definitely not getting limited based on total profit made.Comment -
Man, I must say, Ymer has impressed me. I can see him in the top 20 in a couple yearsComment -
Ymer
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Go YmerrrrrrrrrrrrrComment -
Ymer through to the final! King of tiebreaks and king of choking serving for the set.
Served for sets against Ramos and Gonzales but ended up needing comebacks from 6-2 and 6-3 in tiebreaks to win the set. Last week he also choked against Montanes serving with a match point only to lose in the tiebreak.
First time i've ever seen Ymer with issues closing out matches/sets but it could be just the fact he's versing tougher opponents.Comment
