THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Third Thread <3 – Tennis Picks

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 10:01 AM

Stephens -2.5 @ 2.01 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 10:05 AM

Davis @ 4 – 4 units (Ladbrokes)

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 10:05 AM

Dogpoolove [sic] 1:st @ 3.4 – 8 units (Ladbrokes)

**fitguy67** · 08-07-13, 10:52 AM

good find on that "sore thumb" 7.00 line at Ladbrokes for 1st set...there's a way higher than 14.28% for Granola-bar to win the first

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 10:53 AM

I'd put it more in the area of 25 % personally.

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 11:04 AM

Andujar-Alba @ 3.56 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 11:11 AM

Vinci -1.5 @ 2.12 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 12:52 PM

Jankovic -4.5 @ 1.746 – 8 units (Pinnacle)

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 01:49 PM

Vinci @ 2.02 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

**Cornelius** · 08-07-13, 02:22 PM

Confident with Vinci aren't you?

**horja1** · 08-07-13, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Vinci @ 2.02 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

saying she had a great first set would be an understatment

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by Cornelius

Confident with Vinci aren't you?

At these odds, very much so!

**Cornelius** · 08-07-13, 04:59 PM

Nice hit. Was gonna tail you on that one. Missed out by about 10 mins. Oh we'll grats on 20u

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 05:01 PM

Odds even hit @ 2.15. Ludicrous!

**Cornelius** · 08-07-13, 05:09 PM

Haha. That is pretty high.. When I saw it I think it was 1.72 Vinci and 2 makarova..

on another note.. I'm feeling raonic is gonna win for some reason later but he's been playing like trash recently so I'm in a toss up. What do you think? He's also a mental midget too. Which is sad for a big server.

**Hardcoar** · 08-07-13, 05:13 PM

Yes but it happened just as the lines closed so basically Pinnace/Betfair.

As you can see on the previous page I'm on Youzhny. The only reason Youzhny isn't @ 1.5 is the number next to Giraffe's name and the fact that he's playing in Canada.

**Cornelius** · 08-07-13, 05:20 PM

That's what I was thinking, prob a good thing I didn't touch this match. Youzhny has been in great form recently. GL

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 05:32 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Bouchard @ 1.533
Li @ 1.285

Double @ 1.9714 – 10 units (Sportingbet)

KEXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Paire @ 3.05 – 8 units (Sportingbet)

KEXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Youzhny @ 2.25
Jankovic @ 1.2

Double @ 2.7 – 8 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Granollers 1:st @ 7 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Cornet @ 2.9 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Stephens -2.5 @ 2.01 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Davis @ 4 – 4 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Dogpoolove [sic] 1:st @ 3.4 – 8 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Andujar-Alba @ 3.56 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Vinci -1.5 @ 2.12 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Jankovic -4.5 @ 1.746 – 8 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Vinci @ 2.02 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Total hits: 67
Total mishits: 94
Total stake: 986u
Total yield: +2.854u
ROI: +0.29 % (rounded)

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 05:34 AM

Pospisil 1:st @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 05:34 AM

Gulbis 1:st @ 4 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 05:35 AM

Janowicz @ 5.8 – 4 units (Sportingbet)
Janowicz +4.5 @ 1.833 – 10 units (Sportingbet)

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 05:36 AM

Errani @ 1.5 – 20 units (Sportingbet)

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 05:37 AM

Rybarikova @ 3 – 6 units (Sportingbet)

**Sam_Hawkins** · 08-08-13, 06:00 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Janowicz @ 5.8 – 4 units (Sportingbet)
Janowicz +4.5 @ 1.833 – 10 units (Sportingbet)

won't happen.

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 06:02 AM

Covering the above spread, highly likely. Winning the match, unlikely.

**Sam_Hawkins** · 08-08-13, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Covering the above spread, highly likely. Winning the match, unlikely.

Well janowicz is in no form atm, the way he played Dancevic, who rarely returns more than two balls in play, was awful...choke session as hell. He will be all over UEs in that match. I know that lotta people think "yeah jano will smash them high bouncing balls" but the fact is, yes, he will smash them but vast majority of those balls will be errors. He doesn't play solid and is really not emotionally stable atm...He will need a good deal of luck not to get broken twice in one of the sets.

**Demonata** · 08-08-13, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Covering the above spread, highly likely. Winning the match, unlikely.

I really like him to cover the spread especially with his serve.

**Hardcoar** · 08-08-13, 07:18 AM

Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins

Well janowicz is in no form atm, the way he played Dancevic, who rarely returns more than two balls in play, was awful...choke session as hell. He will be all over UEs in that match. I know that lotta people think "yeah jano will smash them high bouncing balls" but the fact is, yes, he will smash them but vast majority of those balls will be errors. He doesn't play solid and is really not emotionally stable atm...He will need a good deal of luck not to get broken twice in one of the sets.

Nor is Nadal from what one can tell. That is possible yes. I think the aforementioned bets are good.

**horja1** · 08-08-13, 07:22 AM

Originally posted by Demonata

I really like him to cover the spread especially with his serve.

what serve? you mean his normal serve? he is still trying to get it back - just check the stats for last match:

- 1st serve: 54%
- 1 serve points won: 85%
- 2nd serve points won: 44%
- total service points won: 67%
- break points allowed: 8
- games lost serving: 3
- aces: 18
- DF: 11

his serve was not at all ok at this tourney, he allowed break points in too many games and his UEs count is huge ... and Nadal is not Dancevic

**Demonata** · 08-08-13, 07:28 AM

Originally posted by horja1

what serve? you mean his normal serve? he is still trying to get it back - just check the stats for last match:

- 1st serve: 54%
- 1 serve points won: 85%
- 2nd serve points won: 44%
- total service points won: 67%
- break points allowed: 8
- games lost serving: 3
- aces: 18
- DF: 11

his serve was not at all ok at this tourney, he allowed break points in too many games and his UEs count is huge ... and Nadal is not Dancevic

If you follow Jano then you know he plays really hard against the best players.... That's one thing that makes him so great is he can elevate his game against the best.

**horja1** · 08-08-13, 07:32 AM

Originally posted by Demonata

If you follow Jano then you know he plays really hard against the best players.... That's one thing that makes him so great is he can elevate his game against the best.

sorry, but this year, except a win against Tsonga, all the best won against Janowicz ... and it seems he can't adjust quickly to this surface ... nothing remarcable for him on hard this year

**Demonata** · 08-08-13, 07:33 AM

Originally posted by horja1

sorry, but except a win against Tsonga, all the best won against Janowicz ... and it seems he can't adjust quickly to this surface ...

I bet Jano covered most of those games...

**Sam_Hawkins** · 08-08-13, 07:41 AM

I guess this argument will be resolved no earlier than when the match is played. I played rafa ML in a chalky parlay, rafa 2-0 in another one and no tiebreak in match @1.66 which is imho a great price

Note that I hardly play heavy favs, but here jano seems overpriced for me, even at these odds

**horja1** · 08-08-13, 07:43 AM

Originally posted by Demonata

I bet Jano covered most of those games...

you would probably lose: he lost to Murray by 6 games at Wimbledon, to Warinka by 8 at Roland Garros, by 3 to Federer in Rome (he prob covered here), by 7 to Berdych at Madrid, by 7 to Gasquet at Indian Wells and by 7 to Almagro at Australian Open

**Demonata** · 08-08-13, 07:43 AM

Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins

I guess this argument will be resolved no earlier than when the match is played. I played rafa ML in a chalky parlay, rafa 2-0 in another one and no tiebreak in match @1.66 which is imho a great price

Note that I hardly play heavy favs, but here jano seems overpriced for me, even at these odds

Yea I like the no tiebreak one. Wish my book offered it.