THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Third Thread <3 – Tennis Picks

[Gus Fring]

Cirstea @ 14.8 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

[Demonata]

Dang Naked Tsonga ended up going against you on that riske bet. Feel like Jana should win from my research...

[Dmoneytx]

What's up Hard!!! You funny mother fukker!!! BOL today

[fitguy67]

moose and squirrel have no problem at all with positive-astronomical...in fact they're the lowest-stress most-fun of all plays...targeting TO WIN just 1 unit on every play means only a tiny lotttery-ticket-sized risk need be staked (eg. just $7.85 to win a $100-unit at best odds i could actually find here, 13.74/+1274 at matchy)...

but when the focus is on the risk (and u know it's an ulikely hit)...it's so hard to pull the trigger...nice to dream about a monster-payout...but it's painful to put a full-bodied unit on the line for it (cuz whenever u put a real hard-earned unit on the line...it's hard to think of it as just a "flier"...especially when u know it's likely to evaporate)

the benefit of betting on big dogs isn't IMO, to hit the occasional windfall lottery-payout...it should be in getting an ultra-low-cost crack at sneaking another unit into your bankroll...

go Cirstea...far stranger-seemings things have happened with a probability/frequency in the 8% range lyk this...when u'r betting focuses on winning single units and you let the risk-amounts vary as they need to (higher when things are more likely, of course, and cheaper as they become less likely) ...it's so much easier to intelligently bite at them whenever they arise...

[Hardcoar]

Nadal -1.5 sets @ 1.69 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Evans @ 1.73 – 8 units (Sportingbet)

[Hardcoar]

Dolgopolov @ 1.833 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Cirstea @ 14.8 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Riske @ 1.83 – 6 units (William Hill)

FUXX

Nadal -1.5 sets @ 1.69 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Evans @ 1.73 – 8 units (Sportingbet)

FUXX

Dolgopolov @ 1.833 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Total hits: 79
Total mishits: 109
Total stake: 1200u
Total yield: +18.7u
ROI: +1.56 % (rounded)

[Hardcoar]

Mayer 1:st @ 3.25 – 8 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Sock @ 3.75 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)

[Hardcoar]

Simon @ 1.83 – 10 units (Sportingbet)

[Hardcoar]

Lopez @ 3.6 – 8 units (Sportingbet)

[Hardcoar]

Fognini 1:st @ 2.1 – 6 units (Sportingbet)

[Hardcoar]

Granollers-Pujol -2.5 @ 1.877 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Zakopalova -3.5 @ 1.66 – 6 units (Bet365)

[Hardcoar]

Baker @ 4.38 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Hsieh 1:st @ 3.4 – 4 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Kohlschreiber @ 2.11 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Janowicz -3 @ 2.05 – 20 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Vinci -3.5 @ 1.9 – 8 units (Bet365)

[ParlayininHTown]

Janowicz -3 @ 2.05 – 20 units (Pinnacle)

You're really pounding this line. I can't say I'm surprised, though. You obviously have faith in Jerzy.

[Fistula]

With your seal of approval I threw some more on the beast in my picture. But if a unit is generally about 2% of bankroll, a fifth of your bankroll sounds like madness.

I wanted to bet on a Pospisil letdown too... but are you aware Simon is still recovering from broken ribs and last week said he shouldn't be playing but only is because it's his "job"?

http://www.asapsports.com/show_interview.php?id=91537

[Hardcoar]

With your seal of approval I threw some more on the beast in my picture. But if a unit is generally about 2% of bankroll, a fifth of your bankroll sounds like madness.

I wanted to bet on a Pospisil letdown too... but are you aware Simon is still recovering from broken ribs and last week said he shouldn't be playing but only is because it's his "job"?
http://www.asapsports.com/show_interview.php?id=91537

It is madness, but I liked those odds too much. I wonder why Jerzy was so out of phase while Blake played his best match since 2006.

Also, no I am not. Thanks for sharing. Do you have a good source of information for this kind of thing?

[Hardcoar]

Cornet @ 3.54 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
Cornet 1:st @ 3 – 6 units (Bet365)

[fitguy67]

HC...in addition to the two new plays just-posted on Cornet, there are a few carry-overs from yesterday, namely:
*Lopez
*Mayer,1st
*Sock

right?

keep 'em comin' pal...whether they win or lose as isolated plays...it's clear by now that u'r dealin 'em from a +eV deck

[Hardcoar]

That is correct. I wanted to jump on those early, which in turn becomes problematic when you want to update the record chronologically, but what can you do...

[Hardcoar]

Fognini 1:st @ 2.1 – 6 units (Sportingbet)

FUXX

Granollers-Pujol -2.5 @ 1.877 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Zakopalova -3.5 @ 1.66 – 6 units (Bet365)

FUXX

Baker @ 4.38 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Hsieh 1:st @ 3.4 – 4 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Kohlschreiber @ 2.11 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Janowicz -3 @ 2.05 – 20 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Vinci -3.5 @ 1.9 – 8 units (Bet365)

FUXX

Total hits: 83
Total mishits: 113
Total stake: 1268u
Total yield: +21.69u
ROI: +1.71 % (rounded)

Pending:

Mayer 1:st @ 3.25 – 8 units (William Hill)

Sock @ 3.75 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)

Simon @ 1.83 – 10 units (Sportingbet)

Lopez @ 3.6 – 8 units (Sportingbet)

Cornet @ 3.54 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
Cornet 1:st @ 3 – 6 units (Bet365)

[Cornelius]

Whats your reason behind choosing sock over giraffe?

[alexus110]

Maybe you can help
Me too regarding cornet

[Hardcoar]

Sock has a good H2H, has been improving in recent months, will be playing at home in front of a big crowd and Giraffe isn't in Ka-Na-Da anymore now is he? @ 3.75 are ridiculous odds.

Ivanovic is always up and down and hasn't exactly been in formidable form this season. Cornet has been rock solid for most of the summer and should simply put stand a better chance than those odds imply.

[ParlayininHTown]

Flodonis is looking like a shawp pick so far.

[alexus110]

thx hard!

[Bet10Heinekens]

Brain Fart

[Cornelius]

Sock has a good H2H, has been improving in recent months, will be playing at home in front of a big crowd and Giraffe isn't in Ka-Na-Da anymore now is he? @ 3.75 are ridiculous odds.

Ivanovic is always up and down and hasn't exactly been in formidable form this season. Cornet has been rock solid for most of the summer and should simply put stand a better chance than those odds imply.

I see where you're coming from. Might put a small play on sock. He was pretty lucky to come out the winner vs pospisil imo.

[Fistula]

It is madness, but I liked those odds too much. I wonder why Jerzy was so out of phase while Blake played his best match since 2006.

Also, no I am not. Thanks for sharing. Do you have a good source of information for this kind of thing?

I came across the reference to the Simon injury at changeovertennis.com. It's just a gossip blog but sometimes gossip can turn up inside info that isn't available on news sites. I otherwise just browse the tennis section at newsnew.co.uk...