I Just Put 1/6 of a Unit on Kohlschreiber +800

**single shaker** · 01-08-09, 10:15 AM

i put $5 on sergey stakhovsky at +2400, we both like to waste money on dogs. maybe Murray will forget to wake up for this one.

**SBR Lou** · 01-08-09, 10:40 AM

15% chance of winning?

Please elaborate, that is absurd.

**single shaker** · 01-08-09, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

15% chance of winning?

Please elaborate, that is absurd.

LT IS THE MAN, if he posts something just follow him blindly, you will make more money than taking Dementieva at -770.

**SBR Lou** · 01-08-09, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by single shaker

LT IS THE MAN, if he posts something just follow him blindly, you will make more money than taking Dementieva at -770.

The difference being I'd rather not have LESS than 15% chance of retaining my stake. There's no value on Kohl today, whereas Dementieva will net you $.

Furthermore, it's far more impressive and indicative of handicapping ability if one is a long term winner at -500 odds and above versus someone who's done equally well at underdogs of that ballpark and higher. The latter involves far more luck.

**single shaker** · 01-08-09, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

The difference being I'd rather not have LESS than 15% chance of retaining my stake. There's no value on Kohl today, whereas Dementieva will net you $.

Furthermore, it's far more impressive and indicative of handicapping ability if one is a long term winner at -500 odds and above versus someone who's done equally well at underdogs of that ballpark and higher. The latter involves far more luck.

dude i am just busting your chops, but LT's system with the reverse line movement made me some good money in the last couple months. so i am just a big fan of his.

**LT Profits** · 01-08-09, 11:25 AM

Nothing wrong with getting 8-1 on a 15% chance. OK, lower the percentage to 13% and you still come out ahead.

**ZXCVBNM** · 01-08-09, 11:28 AM

Kohlschreiber has a chance.. Stak(etc) not so much.

**Shark79** · 01-08-09, 11:44 AM

LT, good luck.

However, I believe that the dog has already barked today. And that was Monfils.

**LT Profits** · 01-08-09, 01:17 PM

Kohlschreiber blows 4-1 lead in sec0nd set tiebreak.

Oh well.

NEXT!

**Shark79** · 01-08-09, 01:36 PM

yes LT.

I had a bet that Fed would not win in 2 sets. Was pretty happy on the tiebreaker and then BOOM ... END of GAME

**SBR Lou** · 01-08-09, 01:38 PM

Always respect a guy taking a shot on a game, however misguided that particular decision might be.

LT, make your 1/6th of a U stake back on Elena tonight, and thank me later. Shark has already put the mortgage down on her.