EP36's Super Serial Fuzzy Balls of Fury

EaglesPhan36 · 09-30-13, 09:43 PM

October 1st
ATP Beijing: Pospisil +4.5 [-112]
ATP Beijing: Devvarman +210
ATP Beijing: Matosevic +104

Ambition · 09-30-13, 10:32 PM

On Devvarman also. Like him in this spot. I might actually throw a lil on Pospisil ML, Ferrer hasn't been playing well but, it is Ferrer and is always alive with his defense.

TheMLBKing · 09-30-13, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I mean he won in the end, but it was not easy and definitely not the sort of guy you want trying to lock down a parlay. I'm still surprised he managed to win the 1st set yesterday, maybe more to do with nerves for Zhang than Tomic playing well.

what do you think about wawrinka today?

EaglesPhan36 · 09-30-13, 10:50 PM

Should win.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-30-13, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by Ambition

On Devvarman also. Like him in this spot. I might actually throw a lil on Pospisil ML, Ferrer hasn't been playing well but, it is Ferrer and is always alive with his defense.

Yeah I would be shocked honestly if Pospisil won, but given Ferrer's tough go outside of Slams - I think he could keep it tight and then who knows ...

Nyjrkm06 · 09-30-13, 11:46 PM

On Devvarman lets get this

Nyjrkm06 · 10-01-13, 01:16 AM

What an epic choke job by Devvarman up 6-2 in the tiebreaker only to lose the set

davopnz · 10-01-13, 01:18 AM

lmao what a choke against one of the biggest chokers on tourist...disgusting

poet · 10-01-13, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Tough call. Probably between those two, I might swing to Delpo-Baghdatis. Delpo has recovered from the wrist problem that hurt him at the USO reportedly - but he still hasn't played in over a month, so he could be a little slow out of the gate. Nishikori, I just don't trust what he's going to do. Pretty poor season and that match seems like it could go many different ways.

EP, you were dead on about the Delpo match. Now if only you would take your own advice.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-01-13, 07:25 AM

Waited on Pospisil. Booked +4.5 @ +109

EaglesPhan36 · 10-01-13, 10:59 AM

Overall Profit: +9.22

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 09:48 PM

whats your take on hewitt for today?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-01-13, 10:32 PM

I don't think it'll be easy if he wins. He is better playing off players who give him a ball with pace. Fognini mixes his shots up with a good deal of variety. He's certainly not great on this surface, but I think he can contend.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-01-13, 10:34 PM

October 2nd
ATP Beijing: Hewitt-Fognini Over 22 [+105]

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 10:45 PM

thanks EP was planning to play the over also probs with isner match +2.5 sets parlay

pinnacle420 · 10-01-13, 11:27 PM

hey good luck man..

lucasdawg · 10-02-13, 12:02 AM

hewitt getting fuked hard

EaglesPhan36 · 10-02-13, 12:05 AM

He's a smart cookie, so hopefully he starts to figure it out in the 2nd. Especially since the Bagel Shop is open.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-02-13, 12:13 AM

Damn, looks like homeboy has nothing to offer tonight at all. Thought the over was the better option than Fognini straight up, but looks like that's dead wrong.

riffraff24 · 10-02-13, 12:49 AM

edit

EaglesPhan36 · 10-02-13, 09:25 AM

Overall Profit: +8.22

Frustrating to have the right train of thought on a match, but make the wrong pick.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-02-13, 05:02 PM

These are not picks, just notations for me for later. Just doing my first glance at lines and marking the ones I want to homework up later. Hadn't had a chance to do this as much as I wanted to this week ....

Querrey +3/Over 23
Matosevic +3.5
Lopez ML/Nishi-Lopez Over 22

lucasdawg · 10-02-13, 07:03 PM

might tail on querrey +nishi matches, im looking quiet lost today was also considering lopez over nishi

ParlayininHTown · 10-02-13, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

These are not picks, just notations for me for later. Just doing my first glance at lines and marking the ones I want to homework up later. Hadn't had a chance to do this as much as I wanted to this week ....

Querrey +3/Over 23
Matosevic +3.5
Lopez ML/Nishi-Lopez Over 22

FWIW, I think Mato can hang in this spot.

Nishi/Lopez ovie is tempting, but I need to mull it over longer.

Stokes36 · 10-02-13, 10:16 PM

I think that Querry over is looking divine imo. I got it early at 22.5. A 6-4, 7-6 match looks relatively good.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-02-13, 10:24 PM

Still working, but getting this up because it starts in a short while.

October 3rd
ATP Tokyo: Almagro-Zeballos Over 22 [-109]

poet · 10-02-13, 11:02 PM

EP, this 19 games over/under in the Djoker Verdasco match is, in my humble opinion, absurd. The linesmakers are treating this like a WTA match. These are big boys for God's sake and Vedasco has a solid record agains Djoker. Even though he doesn't have a good hard court record this year Verdasco competed in many of those matches and Verdasco plays up (or down) to the level of his opponent. I say this has an 80% chance of going over.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-02-13, 11:17 PM

Mmmm, I can easily see if 6-3, 6-3 with just one timely break in each set. For me, it was a pass. Skipping Querrey-Wawrinka as well. I kinda like Querrey +3.5, but not enough to invest. Will have another play or two to add here in a bit.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-03-13, 12:01 AM

Once again, include the shitty pick and leave out the one that looks decent early.

Stokes36 · 10-03-13, 12:09 AM

Welp. Querry just broke em for the set....that's scary. lol

EaglesPhan36 · 10-03-13, 12:14 AM

Add....
ATP Tokyo: Lopez +170
ATP Beijing: Matosevic +3.5 [+102]

EaglesPhan36 · 10-03-13, 12:15 AM

Decided to stick with most of the rest that stuck out to me at first glance, hopefully they go as well as Querrey seems to be going.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-03-13, 07:41 AM

Looks like a putrid day unless Matosevic pulls the whole match out of his ass since that 2nd set squashed the spread. Meh. Will pretty much even off any profits from earlier in the week. Such is tennis betting.

poet · 10-03-13, 08:51 AM

Originally posted by poet

EP, this 19 games over/under in the Djoker Verdasco match is, in my humble opinion, absurd. The linesmakers are treating this like a WTA match. These are big boys for God's sake and Vedasco has a solid record agains Djoker. Even though he doesn't have a good hard court record this year Verdasco competed in many of those matches and Verdasco plays up (or down) to the level of his opponent. I say this has an 80% chance of going over.

I guess sometimes, you just have to listen to your gut. I missed out on an easy winner, here.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-03-13, 10:42 AM

Overall Profit: +5.13