Vaughany's Soccer Plays...

[Vaughany]

Also Lech Poznan PK @ -138 away at Ruch Chorzow (Polish Ekstraklasa)...

Ruch Chorzow sit in 14th place in the league while Lech are in third-place challenging Polonia and Legia for the title. Lech Poznan's away form (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) has been far superior to their home form (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) this season and is the reason why they are still in with a chance of challenging Legia for the Championship. With 21 pts gained on their travels they have by far the best away record in the league and have only conceded 5 goals (the lowest in the league). This doesn't bode well for a team like Ruch who despite only losing 2 games at home this season, have really struggled to score goals with the joint-third worst offensive record in the league scoring just 7 goals. Moreover, Arkadiusz Piech had scored 4 of those and he has joined Sivasspor during the Winter so they are now a side that struggled to score goals in the first place and are now without their top-scorer!

Lech on the other-hand have strengthened their side by adding Polonia striker Lukasz Teodorczyk (13 apps, 6 goals), and Finnish trequartista Kasper Hamalainen from Djurgardens who has impressed during the Winter friendlies (see video). Despite being third in the league, Lech only have the 6th best offensive record with 20 goals scored but these two players should help relieve some of the pressure on top-scorer Slusarksi (13 apps, 8 goals) and could form a very dangerous trident attack that is now on a par with their solid defense. Centre-back Arboleda (10 apps) will be unavailable, but Ruch also have a regular defender out in Sadlok (11 apps). When these two met earlier in the season in Poznan, the home side won 4-0, although Ruch have won the last 2 home games against Lech 3-0 and 1-0. Nonetheless, I'm expecting Lech to win this 1 or 2-0 and continue their superb away record.

[zvekan]

Hi Vaughany and other people here.
I just found this thread and it seems it is funny here.
Congrats for Auxerre game.
Penalty in 90' - priceless.
I'm started betting in this year and I'm searching for some info about games from
people who knows better than me.
It is not hard because I hasn't been on football/basketball for a while.
btw Auxerre is in 2. leaque ?
I remember this team when some polish guy Jelen played for them.
My knowledge about football/basketball on this days is on low level and I'm trying to bet
with other people knowledge.
Knowledge is on threads with many views like yours
Tonight I went for searching when I had "it's a sign" stuff.
I heard some song on tv and wait for performer and it was some group named: Saint Etienne
And I though : It 's a sign ! and I have to check , found you guys here and I have to ask:
Anybody knows what chances for Saint Etienne win tomorrow against Nancy.
Thanks for answering.
Sorry for long write up.
ps. sorry about my english

[Vaughany]

Yeovil PK @ +124 away at Doncaster Rovers.

[Shredder]

Nice goal by Bony to give Vitesse the lead

[zvekan]

Maybe I don't know much about france football but universe does very well.
Nancy-Saint Etienne 0-3. Odds about 2.2
Hope someone cashed this info.
Bye.

[Tommy_de1st]

Maybe I don't know much about france football but universe does very well.
Nancy-Saint Etienne 0-3. Odds about 2.2
Hope someone cashed this info.
Bye.

Did you play? I would if i were you

[Tommy_de1st]

V., congrats on your big play. Vitesse showed up :clap:

[Vaughany]

V., congrats on your big play. Vitesse showed up :clap:

Yee great day, hit every play except Yeovil which was a push

[Vaughany]

Plays for tonight:


Viktoria Plzen -1 A.H. @ -120 away at Brno...


Piast Gliwice +1 A.H. @ -174 away at Gornik Zabrze...


Steaua -1 A.H. @ -178 away at Uni. Cluj.

[Shredder]

Lol I read A.H. as at half and couldn't figure out why the odds were so rediculous Good luck today!

[Vaughany]

klklkl edit

[PuckIt]

+$$$ for Udinese / Napoli O2.5? Seems too easy?

[Vaughany]

Plays for tonight:


Viktoria Plzen -1 A.H. @ -120 away at Brno...

Why I'm playing this:

Brno have some regular starters unavailable including defender Pernica (16 apps, 3 goals); and midfielders Fall (11 apps, 1 goal), Mezlik (15 apps, 1 goal), and Pasek (12 apps). Also two midfielders Lutonsky (16 apps, 2 goals) and Zavadil (16 apps, 1 goal) face late fitness tests and may not start the game.

Plzen meanwhile may be a bit fatigued from the Napoli game on Thursday but their confidence and morale will be sky-high after beating Napoli both home and away. Also, aside from needing to win to maintain their 3 point lead over of Sparta Prague (who won 4-0 yesterday), there is added motivation for Plzen to win seeing as their only home loss of the season so far was to Brno back in August last year when they lost 3-2. So it is less likely that Plzen will be complacent going in to this game as they know full-well what Brno can do and it's not like they are facing a team that they whooped earlier in the season and turn up expecting that it will be a walk-over! However, one concern is that home loss to Brno in August, Plzen were also coming off of a Thursday Europa League game where they had thrashed Ruch Chorzow 4-0 at home. Nonetheless, with the additions of Kovarik and Tecl (who both happened to score on Thursday against Napoli) I see Plzen continuing their excellent form and winning this 2 or 3-0.

[onemoregoal]

Nice info!

[Vaughany]

+$$$ for Udinese / Napoli O2.5? Seems too easy?

yeah is very tempting, last three games between them at the Friuli has had 4 goals in each one. I believe Hamsik might be out tho for Napoli. Like Zizou I'm going to wait and just see how it's looking early on then possibly make a live-play

[Vaughany]

Plays for tonight:

Piast Gliwice +1 A.H. @ -174 away at Gornik Zabrze...

Why I'm playing this:

Gornik are solid at home and very difficult to beat (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) so this could be a stupid play. However, Gornik have lost their two best attacking players with Milik (14 apps, 7 goals) leaving for Leverkusen, and Nakoulma (15 apps, 4 goals) about to leave for Russia. These two players have scored 50% of Gornik's total goals. Zahorski has returned to the club and could be a useful replacement but he isn't at the level of Milik, and former Auxerre player Jelen is about to join but not in time for this game.

[Vaughany]

early goal for Brno

[Vaughany]

Rajtoral equalises but should be 2-1 up...free header from corner missed

And Gornik score with first chance against Piast

[Vaughany]

Gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooal Bakos in 90th min! 3-1 ...can always count on Plzen!

[LawHog]

Solid work. Thanks for the pick.

[onemoregoal]

Good call on Plzen, you deserved to win money on that
I would have taken it, had the price not already been hammered in.

[Vaughany]

Need Steaua to kill this game off...dominating...8 shots on target, 11 off target but only 1 goal

Piast probably going to concede again

[Vaughany]

Results:

Reliant on my big play this weekend hitting now: Vitesse PK @ +114 away at Heracles.

Based solely on my theory that the odds-makers still aren't taking in to consideration the significance of the loss of Armenteros and Overtoom from Heracles. Vitesse are very hit-and-miss and will be missing Theo Janssen, and have gone from having the best away form in the league with 7 wins on the bounce (including beating Ajax and PSV away) to losing their last 4 away games since early December. They have got to get back to something closer to their earlier form away from home sooner than later, and since Bony's return from the African Nations they have drawn against PSV then beat Groningen 2-0 last weekend, I think now is the perfect time to get their first away win of the season (should say year!).

Locked in a big play on Lanus PK @ -161 at home to Velez....(Argentine Premier Division)...

I played Lanus PK last Sunday away at Newell's due to the fact that the home side were resting all their key players because of their Copa Libertadores game which is currently taking place now. Lanus ended up winning 3-0 and I was guttered that I only put a £100 on it. As it happens Lanus are again going to be playing a team that are distracted by the Copa Libertadores in Velez who played last night at home to Deportes Iquique and have to travel to Uruguay to face the other big team in the group Penarol next Tuesday. Consequently, Velez have just declared their 18 man squad for the game against Lanus on Wednesday and unsurprisingly they have not named a number of regular and key players including: GK Sosa (11 apps); Left-back Papa (20 apps), Centre-back Seba Dominguez (20 apps, 2 goals); holding-midfielder Cubero (17 apps, 1 goal), centre-mids Fernando Gago (1 app), Cerro (15 apps, 1 goal), Cabral (19 apps, 2 goals), Bella (17 apps, 1 goal), Federico Insua (21 apps, 1 goal); and strikers Facundo Ferreyra (16 apps, 13 goals), and Lucas Pratto (2 apps, 1 goal).

So out of the 11 that started mid-week only defender Peruzzi (13 apps, 1 goal), & young striker Rescaldani (7 apps, 1 goal) are in the squad, and that is because they went off at 73 minute mark in the Iquique game so didnt play a full 90 mins. With Lanus on fire in two opening games and unbeaten at home since August last year (10 games) it's hard to imagine them being upset by this second-string Velez side.

I'd be very surprised if this line stays around -161, I expect it will be closer to -200 to -225 range by game time.

Added Over 2 goals @ -174 in Auxerre/Guingamp game...

Auxerre games average over 3 goals per game (highest in league), and Guingamp have 5th or 6th highest at 2.75 per game.


Lechnia Gdansk PK @ -108 away at Polonia Warsaw...

Polonia have lost most of their best players over last 10 days due to financial issues. Lechnia have also lost their best player in Razak but they should still have a good enough team to get at least a point from this game. Lechnia have been better away from home so far this season than they have on their own turf (just 2 losses away).

Added a small double of Nimes PK (-333), & Sparta Prague ML (-300).

Also got these for the weekend:


VVV Venlo PK @ -111 at home to RKC...

RKC have been very poor recently losing their last four games, and are without a win since early December. VVV on the other hand managed to get a draw away at Heerenveen and then beat in-form NEC 2-1 away last weekend, handing NEC only their third home loss of the season. VVV have also won 4 and drawn 1 out of last 5 games at home to RKC. Important midfielder Rodney Sneijder (21 apps, 2 goals) is suspended for this game so won't be available for RKC.


Sion PK @ -106 away at Thun...

Main reason for playing this is because Thun lost their best player and top-scorer Ngamukol (17 apps, 6 goals) to Grasshoppers during the winter break and I believe they are going to struggle to score goals without him. This was demonstrated last weekend when they drew 1-1 at home to bottom of the league Servette - a side that have conceded more goals than anybody else in the league away from home and whom Thun had beaten 3-0 at home back in October. Also midfielder Steffen (9 apps, 2 goals) who scored the late equaliser against Servette at the weekend is unavailable due to suspension. Sion haven't lost in last 6 games against Thun, and strenthened their team with the capture of experienced international Gelson Fernandes during the winter, a player that should form one of the best centre-midfields in the league alongside Gattuso.

Some other plays for this weekend:


Swansea -1 A.H. @ -183 against Bradford (League Cup Final)...

Swansea rested key player Michu in their last game against Liverpool, and also Captain Ashley Williams, and Nathan Dyer and Routledge only played a third of the game. Obviously this game will be on neutral turf at Wembley so Bradford aren't going to enjoy their home advantage which played a key part in them getting this far as they drew against Arsenal and beat Villa 3-1 at home. Unlike Villa though, Swansea are one of the most well-organised sides in the Prem and the pace and quality that they have in Dyer, Routledge, Pablo and Michu should be too much for Bradford's defence and should lead to Swansea winning 2-0 or 1-0/2-1 at worse.


Slovan Liberec PK @ -122 and Under 3 goals @ -173 at home to Jablonec (Czech Gambrinus Liga)...


Parlay (double): Sparta Prague ML (-300), & Legia Warsaw PK (-225) (Czech Gamrinus Liga and Polish Ekstraklasa)...


The Czech league resumes this wknd, and some teams have lost key players such as Jablonec who have lost their two best players in league top-scorer Lafata (16 apps, 13 goals) to Sparta, and key attacking midfielder Koparik (14 apps, 1 goal) to Plzen. It is hard to imagine Jablonec continuing their form from first-half of the season and scoring the amount of goals that they have without these two players who have contributed to over 40% of Jablonec's total goals scored.

Also Lech Poznan PK @ -138 away at Ruch Chorzow (Polish Ekstraklasa)...

Ruch Chorzow sit in 14th place in the league while Lech are in third-place challenging Polonia and Legia for the title. Lech Poznan's away form (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) has been far superior to their home form (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) this season and is the reason why they are still in with a chance of challenging Legia for the Championship. With 21 pts gained on their travels they have by far the best away record in the league and have only conceded 5 goals (the lowest in the league). This doesn't bode well for a team like Ruch who despite only losing 2 games at home this season, have really struggled to score goals with the joint-third worst offensive record in the league scoring just 7 goals. Moreover, Arkadiusz Piech had scored 4 of those and he has joined Sivasspor during the Winter so they are now a side that struggled to score goals in the first place and are now without their top-scorer!

Lech on the other-hand have strengthened their side by adding Polonia striker Lukasz Teodorczyk (13 apps, 6 goals), and Finnish trequartista Kasper Hamalainen from Djurgardens who has impressed during the Winter friendlies (see video). Despite being third in the league, Lech only have the 6th best offensive record with 20 goals scored but these two players should help relieve some of the pressure on top-scorer Slusarksi (13 apps, 8 goals) and could form a very dangerous trident attack that is now on a par with their solid defense. Centre-back Arboleda (10 apps) will be unavailable, but Ruch also have a regular defender out in Sadlok (11 apps). When these two met earlier in the season in Poznan, the home side won 4-0, although Ruch have won the last 2 home games against Lech 3-0 and 1-0. Nonetheless, I'm expecting Lech to win this 1 or 2-0 and continue their superb away record.

Yeovil PK @ +124 away at Doncaster Rovers.

Plays for tonight:


Viktoria Plzen -1 A.H. @ -120 away at Brno...

Why I'm playing this:

Brno have some regular starters unavailable including defender Pernica (16 apps, 3 goals); and midfielders Fall (11 apps, 1 goal), Mezlik (15 apps, 1 goal), and Pasek (12 apps). Also two midfielders Lutonsky (16 apps, 2 goals) and Zavadil (16 apps, 1 goal) face late fitness tests and may not start the game.

Plzen meanwhile may be a bit fatigued from the Napoli game on Thursday but their confidence and morale will be sky-high after beating Napoli both home and away. Also, aside from needing to win to maintain their 3 point lead over of Sparta Prague (who won 4-0 yesterday), there is added motivation for Plzen to win seeing as their only home loss of the season so far was to Brno back in August last year when they lost 3-2. So it is less likely that Plzen will be complacent going in to this game as they know full-well what Brno can do and it's not like they are facing a team that they whooped earlier in the season and turn up expecting that it will be a walk-over! However, one concern is that home loss to Brno in August, Plzen were also coming off of a Thursday Europa League game where they had thrashed Ruch Chorzow 4-0 at home. Nonetheless, with the additions of Kovarik and Tecl (who both happened to score on Thursday against Napoli) I see Plzen continuing their excellent form and winning this 2 or 3-0.

Piast Gliwice +1 A.H. @ -174 away at Gornik Zabrze...

Why I'm playing this:

Gornik are solid at home and very difficult to beat (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) so this could be a stupid play. However, Gornik have lost their two best attacking players with Milik (14 apps, 7 goals) leaving for Leverkusen, and Nakoulma (15 apps, 4 goals) about to leave for Russia. These two players have scored 50% of Gornik's total goals. Zahorski has returned to the club and could be a useful replacement but he isn't at the level of Milik, and former Auxerre player Jelen is about to join but not in time for this game.

Steaua -1 A.H. @ -178 away at Uni. Cluj.

9 winners, 4 pushes, 1 loss (non-parlay bets)

1 win, 1 loss (parlays)

[Shredder]

Really nice run! Keep up the good work ;p

[Vaughany]

Solid work. Thanks for the pick.

Good call on Plzen, you deserved to win money on that
I would have taken it, had the price not already been hammered in.

[Vaughany]

Really nice run! Keep up the good work ;p

Cheers bud!

[SlowNsteady]

[Vaughany]

Need Partizan to win today to keep parlay going with Plzen PK and Vojvodina PK

[Vaughany]

Parlay (double): Zaglebie Lubin PK (-250), & Sanfrecce PK (-350).

[Vaughany]

Auxerre PK @ +104 away at Sedan.

[Vaughany]

Need Partizan to win today to keep parlay going with Plzen PK and Vojvodina PK

Ah well, Partizan game postponed.

[Shredder]

Love the Auxerre pick. Def playing it, but not sure yet if I'll take the straight win or the PK. You like anything from the english leagues?

[Vaughany]

Over 3 in Bolton/Peterborough game is very tempting, Peterborough won 5-4 when they met earlier in season. Also considering Cheltenham PK away at Fleetwood as the home side have some important players out.

[Vaughany]

Brentford PK @ -143 away at Crawley...

Crawley will be without two important regulars in Kyle McFadzean (17 apps, 3 goals), & Josh Simpson (29 apps, 4 goals). Brentford now have a potentially very dangerous attack after adding last years League One top-scorer Bradley Wright-Phillips on loan from Charlton, so now have the option of playing him alongside Clayton Donaldson (32 apps, 15 goals), and Harry Forrester (29 apps, 7 goals).

Yeovil PK @ -122 away at Colchester...

Yeovil are unbeaten in last 6 games against Colchester and have won last 3 (although all at home). Even though Colchester are coming off 3-0 loss to Sheff Utd, and 5-1 home loss to Tranmere I'm going smaller than I'm tempted to as Yeovil will be without important defender Jamie McAllister (29 apps), and striker Hayter (32 apps, 10 goals).

[GIVEMETHEMONEY]

Couldn't get Yeovil pk line is now -1/2

Should I still take this pick?

Love your write ups.

I am starting to learn more about soccer, please keep them coming.

I am tailing you.

Yeovil pk, -1/2 +112 is a line I could take should I?