FIFA world Cup 2026 Futures and games picks thread

[DiamondJack]

FRANCE v SPAIN



146. BTTS YES + Mbappe over 0.5 shots on target SGP @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365

147. Olise & Dembele either to assist anytime @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

148. Olmo over 1.5 shots @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Bet365

149. Yamal OVER 1.5 shots on target @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365


Lean

FT DRAW @ 3.13/+213 Pinnacle


Both France and Spain have combined for a tournament record 110 shots. I lean France to advance because of the extra day of rest and better form. Dani Olmo when he starts has hit over 1.5 shots in his past 4 games. Dembele has created 2.92 shots per 90 at the World Cup compared to Olise's 2.78. Olise leads the tournament with assists. These are the main providers for France. If I get either to record an assist the bet wins. Yamal is getting healthier, he has recorded 2 or more shots on target in 4 of his past 5 games. The last 2 meetings between the sides were both wins for Spain 5-4 & 2-1. I think both sides to score here and combined it with Mbappe shots on target to make the odds more palatable. I think this might go the distance and into extra time so all the player props carry over into extra time.

[DiamondJack]

ENGLAND v ARGENTINA



150. England to advance @ 1.81/-123 (2u) Pinnacle

151. Harry Kane OVER 1.5 shots on target @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

152. MacAlister Over 2.5 tackles + Anderson Over 1.5 tackles (SGP) @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365



Lean

Red Card in Match YES @ 5.00/+400 Bet365



I don't want to keep repeating myself but once again the quality of opposition that Argentina has played has been poor, yet they struggled to get results. The first time they faced a decent team in Switzerland they needed a sending off to help them advance. Harry Kane has had 2 or more shots on target in 4 of his past 6 games. Since most dead ball opportunities go through him including penalties I'm backing him to get 2 or more again. This is a rivalry make no doubt about it and I believe it will show in play with more tackles then usual and maybe even a red card or two. Alexis Mac Allister for Argentina has hit 3 or more tackles in 5/7 games. Elliot Anderson has hit 2 or more in all his past 5 games so I combined them both in a parlay as I expect a physical match.

[Smokey2804]

Hate backing England as they always disappoint me and my kid loves Messi but on the red card bet . Good lucks today

[DiamondJack]

ENGLAND v FRANCE





153. France ML @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle

154. Total goals UNDER 3.5 @ 1.77/-120 (1u) Pinnacle

155. Match tackles Under 31.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365



Lean

Rayan Cherki to assist @ 3.25/+225 Bet365



The 3rd place match has a history of going over the total and clearly the books know it, with the crazy odds. Both teams have stated that they don't even want to play this game. There is no underdog outsider nation trying to go all out, these were the two favourites. These players are more worried about not getting injured and hitting the beach after a long season. I think France with the extra day of rest and a nice sending off to their manager DD win this match outright. This game is in Miami its going to be very hot and humid creating a can I just get out of here attitude. Rayan Cherki of Manchester City if he starts was second behind Bruno Fernandes is assists in the EPL might be woth a punt at his odds.

[DiamondJack]

I am currently at the cottage for holiday for the next 3 weeks, so I will not be able to respond to both the lovers or haters. I have to appease the wife and "kids".



My semi final bets have been a horror show and wiped out plenty of my hard earned profits. Nonetheless that is gambling. I will try to pop in here or there but please don't ask me questions and expect reply.

BOL to ALL of you

[DiamondJack]

Forgot to mention in my analysis that both France and England have averaged 14.3 tackles per game at this world cup. That is why I'm putting down the extra unit as my best bet for the 3rd place match.



Cheers

[Smokey2804]

Enjoy holidays ! You nailed most of this Wc

[-FlawlessKid]

Thank you for this WC DJ, was fun reading all the insights. Just read some stuff in the other thread on C; hope alles is well!