FIFA world Cup 2026 Futures and games picks thread

[DiamondJack]

AUSTRALIA v PARAGUY


79. FT DRAW @ 2.29/+129 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

No goal scorer @ 4.33/+333 Bet365


A game that no one wants to win. When you see a draw priced this low there is a reason and you always have to take it. I'm also going to back the no goal scorer instead of 0-0 or under 0.5 because if an own goal is scored it does not beat your wager

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record



35-32-4 +673 Units

Leans

31-27-1 +1197 Units

Futures

2-1-0 +200 Units

[Optional]

AUSTRALIA v PARAGUY


79. FT DRAW @ 2.29/+129 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

No goal scorer @ 4.33/+333 Bet365


A game that no one wants to win. When you see a draw priced this low there is a reason and you always have to take it. I'm also going to back the no goal scorer instead of 0-0 or under 0.5 because if an own goal is scored it does not beat your wager

I didn't know that. Well had never thought about it at least.

Nice tip!

[DiamondJack]

SENEGAL v IRAQ


80. Senegal -1.75 @ 1.89/-112 (2u) Pinnacle


Leans

Sadio Mane anytime goal scorer @ 2.20/+120 Bet365

Senegal team total OVER 2.5 @ 2.08/+108 Pinnacle



Iraq have lost by 3 to France and by 3 to Norway. Senegal are a good team they scored versus France put a couple versus Norway. I think they could win by 2 quite easily here. Sadio Mane the Senegal talisman is yet to score at this world cup and I think he might find the back of the net in this one. I also like the team total at plus money on Senegal as being the third place team they need to improve that goal difference.

[JayLA]

USA v TURKEY


77. Turkey +0.5 @ 2.09/+109 (2u) Pinnacle

78. BTTS & OVER 2.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Team Total Turkey OVER 1.5 @ 2.74/+174 @ 2.00/+100 Pinnacle


Turkey have had 60 shots in 2 games and have zero goals to show for their efforts. The USA is sitting half their team and really just want to avoid injury. With both sides having nothing to play for I see an open game with Turkey trying to regain some pride and at least exit the tournament with a win over the hosts. The odds here are ridiculous.

where'd you get the US lineups, Deej?

[DiamondJack]

FRANCE v NORWAY



81. FRANCE ML+ total goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.15/+115 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Mbappe anytime goal scorer @ 1.90/-111 Bet365


Both sides have progressed into the next round. France wants to win this group. A few days ago Didier Deschamps mother passed away and he flew back to France and will not be at this game. There was an emotional meeting with the team and I think that will give them that edge to win this for the manager. Mbappe is hungry he has had a brace in the last 2 games and I think he might get at least one here with that bad Norwegian defense.

[DiamondJack]

where'd you get the US lineups, Deej?

just from what their manager said

[DiamondJack]

CAPE VERDE v SAUDI ARABIA




82. Cape Verde PK @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Total Goals UNDER 2.25 @ 2.01/+101 Pinnacle


I'm going to keep on riding my blue sharks here. Saudi Arabia are expert bus parkers however with only 1 point so far in the group they need a win and will sooner or later need to attack. I'm expecting a very cagey game here with what is at stake. Cape Verde should be lined at about +130 not +170 they are still not getting respect despite drawing Spain & Uruguay,

[DiamondJack]

SPAIN v URUGUAY


83. Spain-1 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Mikel Oyarzabal to score or assist anytime @ 1.72/-139 Bet365


Uruguay are predictable. Bielsa's formations are boring, the tactics lack any creativity. Uruguay are now winless in their past 6 games. Not being able to beat Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde does not bode well versus one on the favourites Spain. I think Spain makes a statement and buries Uruguay.

[DiamondJack]

FYI I will be shipping off my family to the Bahamas for holiday so I will not be around much tomorrow, I will pop in to post the 2 last games sometime on Friday.

BOL

[DiamondJack]

BELGIUM v NEW ZEALAND




84. New Zealand +2.25 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Chris Wood Over 1.5 shots @ 1.72/-139 Bet365


What has Belgium done so far to warrant this big of a number? 2 draws and not even a single goa scored. Own goals don't count as anyone scoring. Jeremy Doku is back and that can maybe help but in my opinion this team looks tired, old and has no ideas outside of possession. The main man up front for the kiwis Chris Wood has had 5 shots so far so I think he can register a pair as New Zealand need to win here. Once again for those tailing its shots not shots on target.

[DiamondJack]

IRAN v EGYPT


85. Iran +0.25 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Mehdi Taremi to score or assist anytime @ 3.10/+210 Bet365


As far as I'm concerned Iran are the better side. Egypt have already qualified for the next round so they will be content sitting back soaking up the pressure from Iran who are only on 2 points. If Iran are do to anything it will be through their best player Mehdi Taremi who is priced at decent plus money.

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record



40-37-4 +1024 Units

Leans

35-33-1 +1351 Units

Futures

2-2-0 +100 Units

[-FlawlessKid]

FYI I will be shipping off my family to the Bahamas for holiday so I will not be around much tomorrow, I will pop in to post the 2 last games sometime on Friday.

BOL

Enjoy your holiday Deej!

[DiamondJack]

ENGLAND v PANAMA



86. England Team total Over 2.5 @ 1.66/-152 (1u) Bet365


Lean

England to win both halves @ 2.00/+100 Bet365


No need to overthink this matchup. Panama are already out with nothing to play for except to maybe try to get at least a goal before going home. Panama will play more of an open game then their first 2 matches looking to score. England will want to finish strong and put that Ghana game taste out of their mouths. It would not surprise me to see a repeat score line of the last time these nations met at the 218 world cup when England won 6-1.I think England scores at least 3 here.

[DiamondJack]

CROATIA v GHANA



87. Croatia ML @ 1.84/-119 (1u) Bet365


Lean

Marco Pesalic over 0.5 shots on target @ 1.72/-139 Bet365


Ghana have already qualified for the next round so the bus parking urgency will not be as apparent as in their first 2 matches. Croatia is the better side they need a result here and I think they get the full 3 points. Marco Pesalic is Croatia's biggest attacking threat. He has had a shot on target in each of Croatia's first 2 games so I think that should continue here today.

[DiamondJack]

DR CONGO v UZBEKISTAN



88. Congo ML @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Bet365

89. Congo win to nil @ 2.69/+169 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Yoanne Wissa to score or assist @ 2.00/+100 Bet365


Must watch TV when these nations take to the pitch. The Congo have one of the tournaments best defense. They need the full 3 points to qualify and I think they get it. Uzbekistan now have 4 losses in a row all the while conceding 12 goals against. The main attacking threat for the Congo in Yoanne Wissa who did find the back of the net in the opener versus Portugal.

[JayLA]

What you think about Portugal's match?

[DiamondJack]

PORTUGAL v COLOMBIA



90. BTTS YES & OVER 2.5 goals @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Bruno Fernandes to score or assist @ 2.05/+105 Bet365


Both nations have already qualified for the next round so I expect an open style game for top spot in the group. I think Portugal is the better team however they will be playing a de facto away game in Miami where most of the support will be backing Colombia. My numbers have a 2-1 for Portugal. Bruno Fernandes has had and 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games for Portugal and I expect him to get involved.

[DiamondJack]

ALGERIA v AUSTRIA





91. FT DRAW @ 2.11/+111 (1u) Bet365

92. HT Result Draw @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365

93. Match tackles UNDER 31.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

94. Match shots UNDER 20.5 @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365

95. Total cards UNDER 2.5 @ 180/-125 (1u) Bet365



Lean

No Goal Scorer @ 4.00/+300 Bet365



We have had this situation with the Australia game and it went according to plan, In this case we have the added bonus that a winner is actually penalized by having to face Spain. What does that mean a friendly game of kick about. The referee in this match Tantashev issued 2 yellows in his first game and tends to average 3.5 cards per game. My advice is to try to find all the props you can on nothing to happen and hopefully everything goas according to plan. Even if a team "accidentally" scores on their own net you are also covered with the no goal scorer prop.

[DiamondJack]

ARGENTINA v JORDAN




96. Correct score 2-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2u) Bet365

97. Correct score 3-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2u) Bet365


Lean

Lautaro Martinez anytime goal scorer @ 1.72/-139 Bet365


Argentina has already won the group and Jordan is already eliminated. Argentina will shuffle their squad. Messi will start on the bench. The past 4 games for Argentina all ended either 2-0 or 3-0 so I'm thinking that trend continues. Someone has to score for Argentina with Messi on the bench so why not Martinez to open his account versus Jordan who have given up 11 goals in their past 4 games.

[DiamondJack]

CANADA v SOUTH AFRICA





98. HT Result DRAW @ 2.17/+117 (1/2u) Pinnacle

99. CANADA Total Team Corners OVER 5.5 @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Bet365



Lean

Total Cards OVER 4 @ 2.03/+103 Bet365



First half draw will be my blanket bet for all knock out rounds. Davies is still not starting for Canada so even though I will be cheering for them I can't back them at the current odds. What I always like with Canada is the team corners over prop. In their last 7 games they had 7 vs SWI, 19 v QAT, 9 V BOS, 12 V IRE, 7 V UZB, 8 V TUN, 8 V ICE that is over 10 team corners on average. Canada will have the majority of the attack and the 5.5 line is way too low. The referee for this match issued 3 yellows and 1 red card in his game between Bosnia and Switzerland. I think we see cards here as he averages 4.88 yellows per game and .37 red cards per game. One can also combine the corner prop to the card prop to make that price closer to even money.

[DiamondJack]

JAPAN v BRAZIL



100. HT Result DRAW @ 2.39/+129 (1/2u) Pinnacle

101. BTTS YES @ 1.95/-105 (1u) Bet365


Lean

FT DRAW @ 3.70/+270 Pinnacle


I still have a future backing Japan so I'm not going to double down in this match. I still do not trust Brazil until they beat someone of note. Japan have now gone 10 straight games with at least a goal scored. Brazil have gone 11 straight with at least a goal scored. The sides met in the fall with Japan winning 3-2. Brazil are undefeated in their past 6 where as Japan are undefeated in their past 10. I think this match can go the distance.

[DiamondJack]

GERMANY v PARAGUAY


102. Germany -1.5 @ 1.13/+113 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Kai Havertz to score or assist anytime @ 1.72/-139 Bet365


Too much is being put into Germany losing to Ecuador as they rested players having already won the group. I think they blitz Paraguay just like The US did winning 4-1. Germany have scored 28 goals in their last 8 games averaging 3.5 goals by themselves. Germany is only behind Canada in xG. If you can't beat Australia what hope do you have beating Germany?

[DiamondJack]

MOROCCO v NETHERLANDS



103. HT Result DRAW @ 2.17/+117 (1u) Pinnacle

104. FT Result DRAW @ 3.15/+215 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Morocco +0.25 @ 1.91/-110 Pinnacle


Morocco it seems like have not lost in a century. The Netherlands are hitting form at the right time. This game should be lined evenly. I slightly lean towards Morocco to pull this off maybe after penalties. For those playing props I'd be aware that Cody Gakpo's wife just had a miscarriage and who knows what is going on in his head. He did refuse the offer to go back home.

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record


51-47-6 +1200 Units

Leans

40-39-2 +928 Units

Futures

3-3-0 +100 Units

[tailin junkie]

Great job

[Optional]

If you can't beat Australia what hope do you have beating Germany?

I had little faith in the Socceroos before this started but have to give some respect for the "crazy" level of belief they have shown and the depth in the squad. Would not be surprised if they have used more starters than any other team.

Anyway, now I think a bet against them on Egypt is brave, not sharp.

[DiamondJack]

NORWAY v IVORY COAST



105. HT Result DRAW @ 2.21/+121 (1/2u) Pinnacle

106. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 1.94/-106 (1u) Pinnacle


Leans

Norway ML @ 2.17/+117 Pinnacle

Haaland anytime goal scorer @ 1.85/-117 Bet365


I think goals is the play here as the Ivory Coast has had 13 goals in their past 7 and Norway also has had 13 goals in their past 7 games. Norway has no defense, I'm give them the edge as they rested everyone versus France so I think they eventually win out here. The obvious goal scorer here is Haaland who scored a brace in both of the games he played and once again I think its beast mode for him here.

[DiamondJack]

FRANCE v SWEDEN



107. FRANCE Team Total OVER 2.5 @ 1.95/-105 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Mbappe OVER 2.5 shots on goal @ 2.00/+100 Bet365


I said it before Sweden are frauds they should not have qualified and do not stand a chance versus France. They do have a couple of players that can get a garbage goal. France have scored 3 or more goals in their past 4 games. Mbappe has had 4 or more attempts on goal in 3 of his last games, on target landing 4,3 and 2. I want to back France but not at these odds. If Sweden somehow scores first I will back France in game. Player props now carry over into extra time at most books so always check with your book.

[Smokey2804]

Great write ups as always , thanks for posting

[k2rmkr]

I used to be a regular reader of your posts. Then some things happened irl, and I stopped following football for quite a while. The World Cup got me back into it, and I'm really glad to see you're still around.
Thank you sir.

[DiamondJack]

MEXICO v ECUADOR



108. HT DRAW @ 1.87/-115 (1u) Pinnacle

109. FT DRAW @ 2.92/+192 (1u) Bet365


Lean

No Goal scorer @ 7.00/+600 Bet365


I already have a future backing Mexico getting to the next game. Ecuador is the most difficult team they could have been drawn against. They are used to playing at elevation These sides met 3 times since 2022, the results all draws 1-1, 0-0 & 0-0. Ecuador has drawn half the games they played in qualification. I would argue man for man Ecuador are the better team. However home advantage for Mexico who also has not allowed a goal against yet might just get them into the next round. Once again we are doing the no goal scorer bet so the own goal does not beat the bet.

[DiamondJack]

I used to be a regular reader of your posts. Then some things happened irl, and I stopped following football for quite a while. The World Cup got me back into it, and I'm really glad to see you're still around.
Thank you sir.

[DiamondJack]

Great write ups as always , thanks for posting