FIFA world Cup 2026 Futures and games picks thread

[DiamondJack]

IRAN V BELGIUM



49. Total Cards in Match OVER 3 @ 1.95/-105 (1u)


Lean

Red Card in match YES @ 6.00/+500


I am not touching Belgium at these odds. I would not back Iran either with all the travel drama going on. I considered backing Lukaku props but I don't think he plays the full game. The best angle in this match is the cards prop. The Argentinian referee for the game Darlo Herrerra averages over 5 cards per game. He also averages 1 red card for every 3 games officiated that is the highest of all referees that have officiated to far at the tournament

[DiamondJack]

CAPE VERDE V URUGUAY


50. Cape Verde +1.25 @ 1.89/-112 (2u)


FUTURES


12. Cape Verde group qualification YES @ 1.83/-120 (1u)


Lean

Total Goals UNDER 2.25 @ 1.93/-107


The books are still disrespecting a side that held Spain to zero goals. This is how many goals Uruguay has scored in their past 8 games: 1-0-1-1-0-2-1-0 for a grand total of 6. Cape Verde on the other hand have only been shut out twice in their past 21 games and that was to Spain and Iran. I see this as a 1-0-11-01 to either side score line. I'm sticking with my Blue Sharks and with a poor Saudi side left on tap I'm adding a future.

[DiamondJack]

NEW ZEALAND V EGYPT



51. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.08/+108 (1u)



Lean

Mo Salah 1+ shots on target + Egypt ML (SGP) @ 2.10/+110


This group is now blown right open and ready for the taking. New Zealand is still a hard read for me but Egypt have more quality. Mo Salah has had a shot on target in 6 of his past 7 games. 3 of the past 4 matches for Zealand have gone over and featured 14 goals. Egypt has managed to score vs Brazil and Belgium. They also put 4 by the Saudis and 3 past the Ivory coast. I'm thinking a 2-1, 3-1 result for Egypt

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record


26-22-2 +840 Units

Leans

22-19-0 +1034 Units

Futures

1-0-0 +200 Units

[DiamondJack]

AUSTRIA V ARGENTINA



52. Marcel Sabitzer 2 or more shots @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365


Lean

Austria +1.25 @ 1.81/-123


Argentina is massively overpriced is as if they are facing a minnow. Both sides are in great form coming off opening round wins. Austria are a solid team and this could be echoes of Italia 90 where both sides shared the spoils in a 1-1 result. Marcel Sabitzer has had 2 or more shots in 12 of his past 17 matches. Keep in mind this is just shots not shots on target. Austria will play a high press a style that Argentina does not often face which could catch them off guard.

[DiamondJack]

FRANCE V IRAQ


53. France -3 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365


Leans

Olise anytime goal scorer @ 2.20/+120

France Team Total OVER 3.5 @ 2.10/+110



This is another match with the potential to get ugly fast. There is no value on backing Mbabbe to score but he will be joined with Olise who scores in half the games he plays in, and versus poor opposition is worth a look at plus money. Goal differential between Norway and France might be a deciding factor in who wins the group so I expect France to pile on the goals.

[DiamondJack]

SENEGAL V NORWAY



54. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Pinnacle

55. Nusa to be fouled 2+times+ Diatta to commit 1 foul + Senegal over 0.5 cards (SGP) @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365


Lean

Haaland anytime goal scorer @ 2.00


Both sides coming into this match have had 4 of their last 6 games go over the 2.5 total. Haaland is a man possessed he averages a goal per game, he scored a brace in the opening game s a little pizza money on him. Norway's Antonio Nunez has been fouled 2 or more times in 8 of his past 11 games. He will be up against Krepin Diatta who is going to be tasked in stopping that lethal Norwegian front. I would not be surprised if he gets carded.

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record


28-22-2 +1048 Units

Leans

23-20-0 +1021 Units

Futures

1-0-0 +200 Units

[DiamondJack]

ALGERIA v JORDAN



56. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Pinnacle

57. Algeria -1 @ 1.90/-111 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Mohammed Amoura anytime goal scorer @ 2.75/+175


Both sides need max points from this game so i expect a pretty open encounter as a draw does nether side any good. I do not fancy Jordan they are now winless in their past 6 games. Algeria had their unbeaten streak broken by Argentina as the team was basically star watching Messi in the first half. Aside from that they had a record of form of 7W 1L 1D. In qualification Amoura led the team with 10 goals scored so at these odds might be worth a play.

[DiamondJack]

PORTUGAL v UZBEKISTAN



58. Corner Asian Handicap -4 (POR) @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365


Lean

C. Ronaldo OVER 2.5 shots on target @ 2.62/+162


This is a must have game for Portugal and I don't see anything but a win for Portugal. The odds hover are horrible in almost anything backing them except the corner angle. Portugal had almost 80& possession vs the Congo and it should be the same if not more versus Uzbekistan. You know Ronaldo is just seething with all these big names scoring while he is at zero goals. I see him shooting more then usual to try to get on the scoreboard.

[DiamondJack]

ENGLAND v GHANA



59. England -2 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Pinnacle

60. Total Team Cards Ghana OVER 1.5 @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Bet365


Lean

England win to Nil @ 1.72/-139


This is pretty simple England are way better they gave away zero goals against in qualification. Ghana play and win ugly they were lucky in their opener as Panama were the better side. The referee for this match is Said Martinez who averages over 4.5 yellow cards and I thing Ghana goes in the book at least twice. 3 or 4 nil to the 3 lions and they could rotate the squad in their last match.

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record


30-24-4 +1023 Units

Leans

26-22-1 +1183 Units

Futures

1-0-0 +200 Units

[DiamondJack]

PANAMA v CROATIA


61. Croatia ML + Total goals OVER 2.5 (SGP) @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365


Lean

Musa to score or assist anytime @ 1.72/-139 (1u) Bet365


Panama will be a hard opponent for Croatia but the latters superior quality should rise up in the end. Croatia's matches average 3.25 goals per game in qualification, they know they need a win. No one here is parking the bus like Ghana does and play anti football. I see an open game 2-1, 3-1 result to Croatia. Croatia team total over 1.5 has hit in the past 4 games. Petar Musa has been in good form lately he did score versus England and now has 4 goals in his last 6 appearances form club and country. I think he can be a key man upfront for Croatia.

[DiamondJack]

BOSNIA v QATAR



63. Bosnia to Nil @ 2.50/+150 (2u) Bet365

64. Bosnia -1.5 @ 2.01/+107 (3u) Pinnacle



Lean

Team to get the most SOG Bosnia + Team Under 1.5 goals Qatar + Bosnia ML (SGP) @ 2.25/+125 Bet365



Bosnia need the points to assure 3rd place, Qatar sucks they are missing players suspended from the Canada fiasco game and are no match versus Bosnia. My lean is what I played for 5K from my bonus bets and is my best bet as far as parley goes.. So as my heart will cheer on Canada my wallet will be invested in Bosnia.

[DiamondJack]

No comments.. No nothing even during a world cup?

I will stop posting

[Buckeye]

Thanks for all your picks I have been following

[true blue 26]

Me too, I appreciate your insight. Tough loss on the England game, everyone fell for that one. BOL today

[-FlawlessKid]

Sorry if no comments demotivates, I rarely comment on SBR but love your insights + it makes it more fun to watch / bet on games. Think this goes for a lot of people who follow your posts but do not comment: so on behalf of all those people thank you DJ!

On Topic: Very curious to see your insight on the Morocco / Brazil outcome since Morocco stated in the media that they fully want to go for first place. Ultimately this leads to Japan or Netherlands, both who are decent opponents either way.

[JayLA]

Why'd you skip the Congo match, DJ? Always check out your threads, great insight!

[Optional]

I've been checking your picks every day too. Honestly the main reason I haven't commented is that I don't agree a lot of the time. To my own detriment obv.

[tailin junkie]

Keep up the fantastic work! Much appreciated.

[DiamondJack]

CANADA v SWITZERLAND


65. HT DRAW @ 2.10/+110 (1/2 u) Bet365

66. FT DRAW @ 3.12/+212 (1/2 u) Bet365



Lean

HT/FT DRAW/DRAW @ 4.75/+375 Bet365



More often then not the odds tell you what is going to happen in a particular match. No one likes to bet draws but if you bet soccer learn to be friends with the devil. I will be draw heavy come the knock out rounds. I think both sides here will be OK with the Draw here making sure no one gets injured. I expect very low pace as staying healthy for the next round will be more important. I would have also played match tackles Under 32.5.

[DiamondJack]

Why'd you skip the Congo match, DJ? Always check out your threads, great insight!

COLOMBIA v CONGO



62. Luis Diaz to score or assist anytime @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365



Lean

Colombia win to Nil @ 2.25/+125 (1u) Bet365

[DiamondJack]

Why'd you skip the Congo match, DJ? Always check out your threads, great insight!

I guess I forgot to hit submit post reply here

[Capybara]

Hey Jack, just to echo what the others have said, I've been checking your posts right along... appreciate your caps! As far as I've seen, you're actually the only person doing actual writeups on the games, which I'm sure everyone appreciates, I know I do!

I've used a combination of my own two eyes and your caps/plays for most of my World Cup wagering... Keep up the great work!

[DiamondJack]

BRAZIL v SCOTLAND



67. Scotland +1.5 @ 1.97/-103 (2 u) Pinnacle

68. Lewis Ferguson to be carded anytime @ 3.10/+210 (1/2 u) Bet365


Lean

Scott MacTominay OVER 1.5 shots @ 1.80/-125 Bet365


Once again the books are overpricing Brazil on name alone. Raphina is out injured but the squad still has the depth to manage. Scotland is on 3 points so as long as they do not get killed here as goal difference matters they should qualify as the 3rd place team. Ideally they would like to nick a point. Ferguson is a fouling machine 30 fouls in the last 12 games and not shown a card yet. All cards will reset next round so with what's at stake I see him picking one up today. McTominay has had 2 shots in each of the first 2 games. Once again there is a difference between shots and shots on target so make sure to check that when placing your wagers.

[DiamondJack]

HAITI v MOROCCO



69. Ismael Saibari 2+ shots on target @ 1.83/-120 (1 u) Bet365



Leans

Brahim Diaz anytime goal scorer @ 2.30/+130 Bet365

Achraf Hakimi to score or assist anytime @ 2.20/+120 Bet365



Haiti has been already eliminated and will be playing for pride. Morocco need to make up the goal difference to top the group ahead of Brazil. There is zero value on backing Morocco and I already have a future on them. My plan of attack is through backing their most influential players. These guys are not world wide known names so you can still get some value on their props.

[DiamondJack]

Updated WC Record



33-29-4 +929 Units

Leans

29-24-1 +1294 Units

Futures

2-0-0 +300 Units

[DiamondJack]

MEXICO v CZECHIA



70. Mexico ML @ 1.96/-104 (1 u) Pinnacle


Lean

Total goals UNDER 2.5 @ 1.85/-117 Bet365


I know Mexico have wrapped up the group and will rotate players. Bottom line they are playing at home at elevation and want to win. If you are in a must win situation like Czechia at this point in the group stage you aren't really good. Mexico will play keep away sooner or later the Czechs will need to attack exposing themselves. I see a low scoring win for the hosts.

[DiamondJack]

KOREA v SOUTH AFRICA



71. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.05/+105 (1 u) Bet365


Lean

Korea win to Nil @ 2.50/+150


Our friend Fecundo Tello who averages 5 cards per game and we banked on him when he issued 5 cards in the Bosnia/Canada game will officiate this match. We already know South Africa are not that disciplined so hoping the cards fly here. Korea have won 4 of their last 8 games to nil. South Africa are now winless in 7. I don't think they get anything out of this game.

[DiamondJack]

GERMANY v ECUADOR



72. Kai Havertz anytime goal or assist @ 1.90/-111 (1 u) Bet365


Lean

HT Result DRAW 2.50/+150 Pinnacle


Always beware decent teams with "no much to play for". Ecuador during qualifying did well but it was all 1-0. 0-0 results. They are yet to score in this tournament. Their defense first strategy will be their downfall. They will play their game keeping it close but as the game goes on needing the points they will be left exposed and that is when Germany will finish the off.

[DiamondJack]

CURACAO v IVORY COAST



73. Amad Diallo anytime goal scorer @ 2.05/+105 (1u) Bet365

74. Total Goals OVER 3.5 @ 2.12/+112 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Yan Diamande anytime goal @ 2.20/+120 Bet365


This match up is likely to see plenty of goals. Curacao have scored against almost every team they faced not named the Ecuador bus. Curacao can still qualify with a win but that is highly unlikely. Given their recent results losing 7-1 to Germany 4-1 to Scotland and 5-1 Australia. Why not 3-1 here?

[DiamondJack]

JAPAN v SWEDEN



75. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365


Lean

Isak SOT OVER 0.5 Gyokeres OVER 0.5 SOT (SGP) @ 2.10/+110 Bet365


I already have futures backing Japan so I'm not playing them here on the ML. Sweden outside of Isak and Gyokeres are frauds and were exposed in their 5-1 loss to the Netherlands. The team does score and as does Japan

[DiamondJack]

TUNISIA v NETHERLANDS



76. Netherlands to win both halves @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Bet365


Lean

Cody Gakpo anytime goal scorer @ 2.00/+100 @ 2.00/+100 Pinnacle


It is no surprise that Tunisia are bad you can tell these guys just want to pack it in and go home. Cody Gakpo is the main scoring threat for the Dutch and at evens is a really good price. There are weather concerns in Kansas City but I still see them winning each half of football.

[DiamondJack]

USA v TURKEY


77. Turkey +0.5 @ 2.09/+109 (2u) Pinnacle

78. BTTS & OVER 2.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle


Lean

Team Total Turkey OVER 1.5 @ 2.74/+174 @ 2.00/+100 Pinnacle


Turkey have had 60 shots in 2 games and have zero goals to show for their efforts. The USA is sitting half their team and really just want to avoid injury. With both sides having nothing to play for I see an open game with Turkey trying to regain some pride and at least exit the tournament with a win over the hosts. The odds here are ridiculous.