I'm just miffed because I was all set to book that Roma Over last night, but BetPhoenix took all the Europa League matches down while I was capping some.
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i think the glatasary over 3 goals is a safe bet... our homies over seas told me to take them and the over.. but the juice is too much and the goal line is like 2 goals...Watch them win by 6Comment -
Play #73: [Europa League] Lech Poznan vs. Club Brugge OVER 2.5 (-118)
Polish side Poznan has been in solid goal scoring form both at home & abroad. Poznan has tallied 17 goals in their last 5 matches & all four of their Europa League matches have gone over this number. Poznan has scored at least one in all four Europa League qualis & also allowed 7 goals in that span. Belgium side Brugge let in 3 goals in their two leg tie with Lahti in their previous Europa League qualifying & banked in 4 goals. They also have five goals in three matches in Belgium's Pro League. This one looks as if both squads could score and odds are good that one nets multiple goals, Poznan could in fact get all three themselves I believe.
Play #74: [Europa League] Galatasaray vs. Levadia Tallinn OVER 3/3.5 (-111)
The Turks are on a goal scoring spree and that should continue today. Galatasaray has netted 19 goals in their last 5 matches overall. In Europa League matches, Galatasaray has hit for 13 goals in their last 4 with 10 coming in the last round. Levadia Tallinn isn't a great scoring squad, so this may very well all need be done by the Turkish side, but that may be a distinct possibility as their wide open attack should be too much for their opponents. I think Galatasaray gets 3 goals here at least, so if Levadia can get 1, this can get done & again, I would not be shocked if the Turks did it all by themselves.
I don't want to go ape shit, but I really like the Dinamo Zagreb OVER as well. It's at 2.5 and they have been on a goal scoring spree lately as well. May parlay that with the Poznan OVER.
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BookF*cker line for #73 is -150 and for #74 is -140 (over 3). I think I'll pass on these for now.Comment -
for what i was told they are getting back one of there bigger goal scorers todayComment -
dude i would take -140 on over 3 goals on this game all dayComment -
#74 is still a good deal at that price to me. I think that match will have 3 without much question. Worst case, you'd get your money back on a push. That -150 on the first definitely is a pass though. Still like the match to go over, but like I did with the Roma Over, sometimes you gotta make tough choices when the chalk sucks.Comment -
OK I took it, over 3 at -140.Comment -
i am parlaying number 73 with the -2.5 goal line of glatComment -
Play #72 Result: [W] 41-25-6 (+11.65)
Hoorah!
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need some goals!! lets go BRUGGE!!!Comment -
I shoulda just stuck with the Dinamo Zagreb over. I got influenced on the Lech Poznan one by seeing others on it after originally just glossing it over when I looked around. Lech match will be lucky to get a score from the looks. Galatasaray is one away from a push of 3 at worst. Should get it, Keita has both goals so why not go for the hat trick? Go Turks!
Another one I passed for fear of too many plays, Bremen Over even though it was 3.5 ... 5 goals in the 1st half!Comment -
Yeah hopefully. The ones I didn't bet on that are going to cash really irk me though, mostly just the Roma one because I had a good price lined up with medium juice instead of the ridiculous juice and higher total this morning. Oh well. I'll be content if the Galatasaray one comes in.Comment -
well we are pushing after that pkComment -
damm they barely missed that last goal..
jesus they just barely missed another one
should be 5 to 0 nowComment -
3-0 on the day; thanks EP! I'm quitting while I'm ahead. No WNBA for me tonight either!
Good luck guys, nice day today.Comment -
Play #73 Result: [L]
Play #74 Result: [W] 42-26-6 (+11.47)
Well a little disapppointed because of the ones I did not make that cashed, but still 2-1 and plus units is cool. Might have a Brazil play for tonight, looking at it right now.
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I'm liking Goais so much.Comment -
Play #75: [Brazil Serie A] Atletico Mineiro/Avai UNDER 3/2.5 (-113)
Mineiro has had some issues scoring goals in their last five with just five in that span and three of them coming in one match. Normally, they play tight defense at home, conceding less than a goal per match. They average 1.78 goals offensively on home turf. Avai averages 1.33 goals per away match, while yielding 1.1 (league low 10 away goals in 9 matches). Avai has 3 clean sheets in their last 5. Avai has put up 10 away goals in their last 5, but those have come against looser defenses. They've only allowed 3 multiple goal matches in 9 road tilts. 8 of 9 at home for Mineiro have hit 3 goals or less. Avai is the hot team here with a 9 match unbeaten streak with 4 of those 9 going over 3 goals. Just two points separate the two clubs & Mineiro needs to desperately stop their recent troubles that have kicked them out of 1st place and into 5th. You've got Mineiro who has allowed a league low 7 goals at home & Avai having allowed a league low 10 on the road. Key to me is Mineiro continuing their stifling defense at home. If they limit Avai, this one should have a chance. If Avai scores multiple goals, expect them to win and the over to prevail most likely.
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I'm tailing that.
BOLComment -
I think both the Mineiro & Flamengo games have the possibility of staying under. Pretty sure one will hit, just hope I'm getting the right one here or at least a push. Let's do it!Comment -
really liking Seattle pk vs new england tonight bro in mlsComment -
Yeah I looked at the MLS tilt a little tonight. Seattle seems like the better bet, but I didn't like it enough.Comment -
Play #75 Result: [L] 42-27-6 (+10.34)
Tough break. 4 second half goals after a scoreless 1st half and the 4th came in the 90th minute.Comment -
Play #76: [Austria Bundesliga] Austria Karnten vs. Ried OVER 2.5 (-120)
Going based totally on the horrible defense of Karnten in this one. They have yielded 14 goals in just 4 Bundesliga matches, giving up no less than 3 goals per match. Ried is certainly not an offensive minded club with just 4 goals in 4 matches, scoring one in each match. Saying that, one would think Ried might still struggle to score - but look at Karnten, they conceded 3 to the top of the table club, 5 to Rapid Wien which has scored just two other goals in two matches, 3 to Kapfenberger which hasn't scored in 3 other matches & 3 to Wiener Neustadt which has three other goals in three other matches. Bottom line, Karnten is letting EVERYONE score & they have actually scored in each match as well. Ried is also coming off a 3 goal performance in Cup play, so perhaps that will help kick start them as well.
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Liggity loser on this one. 0-0 at the half. Even with Karnten's crap ass D, Ried just can't score. This will probably end up 1-0.Comment -
Play #76 Result: 42-28-6 (+9.14)
Won't be posting much this weekend, gonna be out of town. Good luck to you guys with your selections.
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Play #77: [English Premier] Sunderland PK, -0.5 (-106)
Probably my only play this weekend before I hit the road. I think the home side is stronger here, but a draw would not be shocking - hence going for the split line here just in case. Sunderland has stars in their eyes this season looking to finish in the top half of the Premier League. To do so, they need to win matches like this at home.
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Play #77 Result: [W] 43-28-6 (+10.14)
Solid! See you fellas on Monday.
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nice work dudeForward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR pointsComment
