EP36's Equalizers

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 01:02 AM

Play #65: [Denmark Super Liga] Odense BK vs. Midtjylland OVER 2.5/3 (-106)
This one looks like a good match-up to see some goals. Odense averages 2.25 goals & concedes 1.5. Midtjylland averages 1.2 & concedes 2. Odense has pretty much been scoring in both league play and in the Europa league with 7 goals in their last 2. All 4 of their league matches have gone above 3. 3 of them have gone above 4. Midtjylland has allowed 7 road goals in two matches and 3 straight overall have gone over 4. Odense has scored at least 2 in each game. Mid has allowed at least 1. I think this is another one that has a great shot to get to 3, especially if Midtjylland scores. That would give at worst a half stakes win with a pretty decent shot at going to 4.

lelicek · 08-17-09, 04:54 AM

hello Eagles,
thanks for your picks.
but odense-midtjyland should me play#65, because #64 was Copa Columbia (loss).

kmarinouofm · 08-17-09, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by lelicek

hello Eagles,
thanks for your picks.
but odense-midtjyland should me play#65, because #64 was Copa Columbia (loss).

Thanks lelicek. Not sure what we would do without you...

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 10:19 AM

LoL. It's tough to count after looking at numbers for hours. #65 it is!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 10:28 AM

Play #66: [Finland Kakkonen] FC Espoo vs. LoPa Lohjan UNDER 3/2.5 (-128)
Late pick here. All Espoo's home matches have hit 2 goals or under. Majority of Lohjan's road matches have hit 2 or under and they have 5 straight clean sheets on the road. Starts in mere minutes.

TodaysAction · 08-17-09, 10:35 AM

I don't know much about Scottish football. I really think it's tough to win coming out of the gate in leagues before you can get some sense of form for a team. I read both teams have some injury problems, so for me, I would pass on it. The English Premier League is about the only one I have tried early just because a lot of the big clubs were involved in friendlies and tournaments that help you get some idea.[/quote]

Thanks for your insight on this sport that I know little of. I scan the lines daily to see if/when a situation will work for myself of which that game fell into. Continued success with what you're doing here and thanks for the extra money.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 12:24 PM

Play #64 Result: [L]
Play #66 Result: [W] 38-21-6 (+13.86)

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 01:43 PM

Play #65 Result: [L] 38-22-6 (+12.80)

I think we got jinxed on this one. Seems like most SBR guys who post in the soccer forum were on this one. Oh well.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 01:51 PM

Play #67: [Iceland Landsbankadeild-Karla] Stjarnan Gardabae/Keflavik OVER 3 (-128)
Iceland's top league has been the home to many a goal this season. In Stjarnan, you have the league's 2nd best offense with 35 goals in 16 matches. Stjarnan has scored 22 goals in just 8 home matches. Keflavik has given up a league worst 22 goals in away matches. They have tallied 12 goals in those 8 away matches. SG is averaging 2.75 goals at home, while Keflavik is yielding exactly the same on the road. 8 of Keflavik's last 10 matches have hit for 3 or more goals. 6 of their 8 road matches have gone to 3 or more. In 7 of their last 8, they have yielded multiple goals & have given up 8 goals in their last 3. Only three of Stjarnan's matches have gone below 3 goal totals. Both squads have seen half their 16 matches go to at least 4 goals, so there is a legit shot this will get to a push and hopefully, a win.

kmarinouofm · 08-17-09, 01:59 PM

its at -154 on betphoenix now.. got it at betus at -130

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 02:02 PM

Yeah somebody must have laid something big on it. Or maybe BetPhoenix is spying on us.

kmarinouofm · 08-17-09, 02:11 PM

probably a little bit of both brother!!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 02:51 PM

Not looking good with no goals in the 36th minute. Three games in the Iceland Premier league right now and no goals. That is an upset.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 03:47 PM

Play #67 Result: [L] 38-23-6 (+11.52)

This has been my problem for the past couple of weeks. I'll have one or two really solid days and then even up by the end of the week with shit days like this and a couple days ago. I don't mind those 4-0 or 4-1 days, but I'd rather go 2-1 all week than 4-0 twice, 0-3 a couple times and 1-2 a couple times to all come out to around .500. Sorry for anyone who followed the two clunkers today. If this one ends a scoreless draw, there oughta be a refund ... kinda like a no-hitter refund in baseball because this one is unbelievable.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 11:19 PM

Play #68: [English Premier] Wigan Athletic -140
I'm an all day sucker like a lot of others based on what we saw in the first match for both squads. Wigan shocked Aston Villa on the road and now gets their home slate started off against Wolverhampton who got beat at home by West Ham. Wigan has a shot to start a surprising 2-0 in the Premier League & at home, you'd think they could get it done against a team with far less class than Aston Villa.

Wilforth · 08-17-09, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Play #68: [English Premier] Wigan Athletic -140
I'm an all day sucker like a lot of others based on what we saw in the first match for both squads. Wigan shocked Aston Villa on the road and now gets their home slate started off against Wolverhampton who got beat at home by West Ham. Wigan has a shot to start a surprising 2-0 in the Premier League & at home, you'd think they could get it done against a team with far less class than Aston Villa.

That logic doesn't often work in sports! Wigan will be a risky pick like Aston Villa was.

kmarinouofm · 08-18-09, 12:52 AM

eagles.. i think the pk on sporting lisbon might be a good play tomorrow.. let me know what you think brother..

EaglesPhan36 · 08-18-09, 12:53 PM

Play #69: [Champions League] Olympiakos +100
Olympiakos has excellent defense and experience on its side in this one. Not to mention wanting to atone for missing out on the group stages a couple years back with a shocking defeat to an underdog Cypriot side. Current Olympiakos manager was the man in charge of the team that KO'ed Olympiakos back then, so it will be his charge to avoid that fate for the Greeks. The Greek side blanked Slovan Bratislava 4-0 aggregate in the last round. Sheriff has also been solidly defensively in Champions League qualifying with three clean sheets iin four matches. This is a big step up for Sheriff, so the honus is on them to prove they can play with Olympiakos. Olympiakos will be confident I think that if they pull out a win on the road, they will be able to stifle Sheriff at home in the 2nd leg.

kmarinouofm · 08-18-09, 02:01 PM

glad i didn't take lisbon.. but i laid the wood on olympiakos.. hopes it pays.. looks like everyone took this shit on our board..

MexicanStallion · 08-18-09, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by kmarinouofm

glad i didn't take lisbon.. but i laid the wood on olympiakos.. hopes it pays.. looks like everyone took this shit on our board..

That could be good or could be bad.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-18-09, 02:13 PM

Well since I am on it, it's probably gonna be bad. Since my cash out, I think I'm 1 for 8 or 9 in wagering across the board on sports.

kmarinouofm · 08-18-09, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

That could be good or could be bad.

looks like it was good my brother!

MexicanStallion · 08-18-09, 03:36 PM

Back on track. This should get you going

EaglesPhan36 · 08-18-09, 03:41 PM

Play #68 Result: [L]
Play #69 Result: [W] 39-24-6 (+11.12)

Wigan disappointed, but Olympiakos was a big win for a lot of folks, so that's cool. By the way FOX is gay, they are pretending that the Olympiakos match is "coming up" because they are showing it on tape delay. They showed all the other scores, but that one. Idiots.

Wilforth · 08-18-09, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

That logic doesn't often work in sports! Wigan will be a risky pick like Aston Villa was.

I said it!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-19-09, 01:13 AM

Play #70: [Champions League] Ventspils vs. F.C. Zurich OVER 2.5 (+113)
I've followed Zurich a bit in the early going of their Swiss season and in the CL qualifiers. They are very much a schizophrenic group. Their defense is up & down and it's anyone's guess which unit will show up. Last round, they allowed Maribor to shock them for 3 goals at home, losing 3-2 & then turned it around on the road with a 3-0 win. The one constant seems to be their offense which has been pretty solid, scoring 17 goals in 8 matches (Domestic/Champions League combined). Ventspils has been outstanding at home, with a 4-0 aggregate score over opponents in CL play & 3 of their 4 CL matches have gone to at least 3 goal totals. They have tallied 8 goals in all in 4 CL matches & blistered two Latvian opponents in league play to the tune of 11-0. Zurich's defense should be under pressure & Zurich's offense will be the toughest Ventspils has faced in CL qualifying I believe. Certainly think both squads will get on the scoresheet and at the price, for me, I think there's an excellent chance that one of them gets multiple goals & I think that just might be the underdog, Ventspils who I think is worth a shot at +215.

Phillth · 08-19-09, 01:33 AM

i like this pick. also gonna play under 2.5 in the Lyon match. that one should be 1-0 or 2-0 lyon

EaglesPhan36 · 08-19-09, 12:34 PM

Play #71: [Champions League] Levski Sofia -160
Sofia has been dynamite in qualifying to this point, having kept a clean sheet in all four of their matches. At home, they have scored 6 goals in two matches. Their opponents from Bulgaria, Debreceni, have won one and lost one on the road in CL qualifying to this point. They are also three matches deep into domestic play and lost their only away match. Sofia has not allowed a goal in 7 straight matches since their league play & CL qualis began in July. Playing at home should be plenty to give them an edge to start the 1st leg off with a solid win.

kmarinouofm · 08-19-09, 01:37 PM

like your picks brother... I want to ask you again.. is there any reason why we shouldn't play San Palo today? they are at home

kmarinouofm · 08-19-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by Phillth

i like this pick. also gonna play under 2.5 in the Lyon match. that one should be 1-0 or 2-0 lyon

better hope there aren't anymore goals for the next 75 mins..

Phillth · 08-19-09, 02:04 PM

lol. yeah 2 goals and 2 cards in the first 15'. I knew lyon would coast in this one but this has the potential to be a slaughter

EaglesPhan36 · 08-19-09, 03:24 PM

Play #71 Result: [W]
Play #72 Result: [L] 40-25-6 (+10.65)

Levski choked at home unfortunately, but at least some of that shit chalk got made up with the Zurich over.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-19-09, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by kmarinouofm

like your picks brother... I want to ask you again.. is there any reason why we shouldn't play San Palo today? they are at home

I can't talk myself into taking the -250 chalk on that. I really hate paying that much, but I think Sau Paulo is as solid a shot as you'll probably get for that price. I'm leaning heavily to the over in that one though at 2.5/3. 2-1 or 3-1 is the likely score I think based on Paulo's home form. Also like Internacional at home at -165. Still tinkering with tonight's plays.

kmarinouofm · 08-19-09, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I can't talk myself into taking the -250 chalk on that. I really hate paying that much, but I think Sau Paulo is as solid a shot as you'll probably get for that price. I'm leaning heavily to the over in that one though at 2.5/3. 2-1 or 3-1 is the likely score I think based on Paulo's home form.

yeah bro that was the only thing that was bothering me was that it was a -250 line.. but i actually think they are worth that price at home against this team...

the real play would be to parlay the -250 and the over 2.5 if you could..

EaglesPhan36 · 08-19-09, 03:37 PM

Perhaps. 4 of 5 visitors won straight up in Champions League matches today (think 2 or 3 were the underdogs) & Man U. about to get beat by Burnley!