Mexico -2 and Game Total over 3!!!!

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  • Chris L
    SBR Hustler
    • 10-04-13
    • 96

    #1
    Mexico -2 and Game Total over 3!!!!
    Mexico is at home with mostly domestic players playing in the match. They will be hungry for goals and looking to take a big lead with them to New Zealand.

    They will not be taking any risk and will run the score up. New Zealand is not a team that is up to Mexico's standards and I think if they do score it may only be 1 goal.

    I see this ending 4-0 or 4-1

    Let's get it!
  • frugalgambler
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-13
    • 3418

    #2
    GL. I would be surprised to see a goalfest in that one. Mexico is an ugly team and so is New Zealand.
    Comment
    • Chris L
      SBR Hustler
      • 10-04-13
      • 96

      #3
      Originally posted by frugalgambler
      GL. I would be surprised to see a goalfest in that one. Mexico is an ugly team and so is New Zealand.
      I agree that both teams are ugly, but New Zealand has to be the worst of the two.

      I like that Mexico decided not to call up some of their star players like Javier Hernandez, Hector Moreno, Giovani dos Santos, and Andres Guardado.

      9 of the 11 starters play domestically and they will be playing their best to try to earn a spot on the world cup roster.
      Last edited by Chris L; 11-13-13, 01:04 PM.
      Comment
      • Mase of Base
        SBR MVP
        • 07-24-12
        • 3622

        #4
        I'm from New Zealand and we should get thrashed in this game, it's going to take a miracle to come away with a draw.

        Possession will be something like 70-30, shots 25-4 corners 10-1, complete domination. NZ are going to park the bus that's a certainty I'm hoping Mexico can't break them down but with out Winston Reid in central defense it will be extremely tough, New Zealand aren't scoring a goal today unless it's from a set peice which they shouldn't get many of.

        The form has been dreadful leading up to this game, we drew 0-0 with the MLS side Chivas, yes Chivas! They missed a penalty as well! Obviously Mexico haven't been in good form but the class difference here should be obvious from the start.
        Comment
        • Merkel
          SBR MVP
          • 10-30-13
          • 1473

          #5
          With the exception of friendlies and 1 match against Martinique(!), you gotta go back 10+ matches to have Mexico scoring more than 2 goals.
          Comment
          • frugalgambler
            SBR MVP
            • 05-30-13
            • 3418

            #6
            Originally posted by Merkel
            With the exception of friendlies and 1 match against Martinique(!), you gotta go back 10+ matches to have Mexico scoring more than 2 goals.
            Exactly. What an idiotic move not to call Javier Hernandez, he is their only player with a scoring touch. Wow, I did not know that. Really tempting to take a draw and under after learning this. Mexican domestic league is a complete bush league.
            Comment
            • Sawyer
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-01-09
              • 7735

              #7
              Let's do it!

              Comment
              • Chris L
                SBR Hustler
                • 10-04-13
                • 96

                #8
                Originally posted by frugalgambler
                Mexican domestic league is a complete bush league.
                I agree, but compared to the New Zealand players they will look like Premier League players.
                Comment
                • onemoregoal
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-04-13
                  • 8149

                  #9
                  Mexico starting to get pounded.... Im not sure on New Zealand, they didnt manage to qualfy for the confederations cup which is laughable - Tahiti got their place lol.
                  Comment
                  • HenryTheNoodle
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 10-15-13
                    • 50

                    #10
                    I actually think using the local players only and getting in over two weeks of practice with them will help Mexico gel earlier in this game, which should lead to more immediate goal scoring opportunities. There's no way NZ wins this game and even a draw seems like a stretch. Sportsbook has Mexico at -200 1H, that seems like a pretty appealing offer compared to the -909 FT line. I do agree that more than 2.5 goals go in, 4-0 would be my prediction...reclaim the home field and set themselves up for an easy second leg. Mexico will not let off the throttle if they're in the zone.
                    Comment
                    • thetrinity
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-25-11
                      • 22430

                      #11
                      you would think mexico would like to put this away now. nz will park the bus for sure. feels like 2 or 3 0 mex
                      Comment
                      • Bet10Heinekens
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-10-13
                        • 10567

                        #12
                        Sleeping giants wake up today, went with the over 3
                        Comment
                        • Marshall Tito
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-12-13
                          • 323

                          #13
                          Posters in this thread must be forgetting the Kiwi's performance in Group Stages of WC2010. Squad hasn't changed much if at all since then, and all the pressure is on Mexico. Sure their chances of scoring is slim but a set-piece is all it takes. Apply pressure baby!
                          Last edited by Marshall Tito; 11-13-13, 02:34 PM.
                          Comment
                          • yatescutler
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-13-13
                            • 100

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Marshall Tito
                            Posters in this thread must be forgetting the Kiwi's performance in Group Stages of WC2010.
                            they draw italy, paraguay and slovakia with a very solid defence.
                            okay this was over 3 years ago, but i feel confident about "under 3 goals" at 1.80 odds.
                            Comment
                            • Marshall Tito
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-12-13
                              • 323

                              #15
                              Originally posted by yatescutler
                              they draw italy, paraguay and slovakia with a very solid defence.
                              okay this was over 3 years ago, but i feel comfident about "under 3 goals" at 1.80 odds.
                              Yep, you got it. And again, the squad hasn't changed much if at all. These guys know each other and have played together for a long time.
                              Comment
                              • HenryTheNoodle
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 10-15-13
                                • 50

                                #16
                                Valid point, but Mexico has a hungry squad at home with something to prove. If (medium to big sized if) Mexico gets a goal in the first 20-30 minutes, NZ will have to try to score which should open up the game.
                                Comment
                                • thetrinity
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-25-11
                                  • 22430

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Marshall Tito
                                  Posters in this thread must be forgetting the Kiwi's performance in Group Stages of WC2010. Squad hasn't changed much if at all since then, and all the pressure is on Mexico. Sure their chances of scoring is slim but a set-piece is all it takes (NZ has the height-advantage).
                                  im glad someone brought this up, a lot changes in 3 or 4 years, ask italy. since 2010 this team has lost to new caledonia and uae in competitive play. playing in azteca is quite an experience if you have never faced it before. thanks to the usa, the reset button has been hit for mexico.
                                  Comment
                                  • Marshall Tito
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-12-13
                                    • 323

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by HenryTheNoodle
                                    Valid point, but Mexico has a hungry squad at home with something to prove. If (medium to big sized if) Mexico gets a goal in the first 20-30 minutes, NZ will have to try to score which should open up the game.
                                    Sorry, but your analysis is way off. If Mexico manages to score in the first 20-30 min, which I doubt, Kiwi's will not change their game plan. They are coming to Mexico to keep the damage at a minimum so one goal or no goal the Kiwi's are sticking to their tactics.
                                    Comment
                                    • Marshall Tito
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-12-13
                                      • 323

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by thetrinity
                                      im glad someone brought this up, a lot changes in 3 or 4 years, ask italy. since 2010 this team has lost to new caledonia and uae in competitive play. playing in azteca is quite an experience if you have never faced it before. thanks to the usa, the reset button has been hit for mexico.
                                      And what are those changes you are referring to? Give me an example..
                                      Comment
                                      • goblue12
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-08-09
                                        • 1316

                                        #20
                                        All Whites missing 2 of their 3 best players (Winston Reid, Chris Wood, and Marco Rojas)?

                                        Am I reading this right?
                                        Comment
                                        • HenryTheNoodle
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 10-15-13
                                          • 50

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Marshall Tito
                                          Sorry, but your analysis is way off. If Mexico manages to score in the first 20-30 min, which I doubt, Kiwi's will not change their game plan. They are coming to Mexico to keep the damage at a minimum so one goal or no goal the Kiwi's are sticking to their tactics.
                                          Sorry, 31 minutes

                                          Now we'll see if NZ plays any more aggressively. I think you're right though about their best, and maybe only shot, is off a set piece.
                                          Comment
                                          • Chris L
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-04-13
                                            • 96

                                            #22
                                            Goal!!! 1-0 Mexico!!! Hoping for another goal before the 2nd half!
                                            Comment
                                            • Sawyer
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-01-09
                                              • 7735

                                              #23
                                              1-0!
                                              Comment
                                              • Sawyer
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-01-09
                                                • 7735

                                                #24
                                                Would be nice if we can get 1 more goal before half time.
                                                Comment
                                                • Sawyer
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-01-09
                                                  • 7735

                                                  #25
                                                  2222222222222222222222222222222222222222 22222222222222222222222222222!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Chris L
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 10-04-13
                                                    • 96

                                                    #26
                                                    GOOOAAAALLLLLL!!!!! 2-0 Mexico!!!! Hoping for a strong 2nd half!!! I think Mexico will get at least 3 more goals.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Chris L
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 10-04-13
                                                      • 96

                                                      #27
                                                      82% Possession from Mexico! They are dominating! Should be at least 3-0 or 4-0 right now, but i'll take the 2-0. Strong 2nd half coming up from Mexico!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • HenryTheNoodle
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 10-15-13
                                                        • 50

                                                        #28
                                                        Indeed...my 4-0 prediction is looking pretty solid right now. Where did Tito go?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Marshall Tito
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-12-13
                                                          • 323

                                                          #29
                                                          Tito didn't go anywhere brah. This game ain't over by the way. There's still another 45 minutes of soccer to be played so I wouldn't be counting my chickens just yet if I was you.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • frugalgambler
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-30-13
                                                            • 3418

                                                            #30
                                                            Wow, what a crappy Kiwi team. Not that Mexico had to do anything at all to score. 4+ goals for Mexico half-time bet for me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Marshall Tito
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-12-13
                                                              • 323

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Chris L
                                                              82% Possession from Mexico! They are dominating! Should be at least 3-0 or 4-0 right now, but i'll take the 2-0. Strong 2nd half coming up from Mexico!
                                                              This was expected, however, two Mexico goals in the first half were not.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Marshall Tito
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-12-13
                                                                • 323

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by frugalgambler
                                                                Wow, what a crappy Kiwi team. Not that Mexico had to do anything at all to score. 4+ goals for Mexico half-time bet for me.
                                                                I'm not watching the game - are they that bad?!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bet10Heinekens
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-10-13
                                                                  • 10567

                                                                  #33
                                                                  keep it up Mexico



                                                                  Soccer Live Wed 11/13 03:30 PM - (EST)
                                                                  Soccer Live - 1195 Mexico -3½ -118 for Game
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • frugalgambler
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-30-13
                                                                    • 3418

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Chris L
                                                                    I agree, but compared to the New Zealand players they will look like Premier League players.
                                                                    You were so right dude. I should have remembered that New Zealand has actually lost to New Caledonia in their regional championship in 2012; and New Caledonia then lost to Tahiti and we saw that team in the Confed. Cup. Hindsight 20/20. Mexico 4+ goals half-time bet for me.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HenryTheNoodle
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 10-15-13
                                                                      • 50

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Marshall Tito
                                                                      I'm not watching the game - are they that bad?!
                                                                      Yes, Mexico could have 4-5 goals. Look the first half win is already done and .5 more goals looks like as much of a lock as is possible in gaming. Fight it all you like, maybe you'll be right in the end on the over, but there's no way NZ can sit back and try to play D, they're getting killed.
                                                                      Comment
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