Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 02:41 PM

lets look for the some suspicious stuff on betfair wheres all the money going in small leagues?

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Updated Record

10 wins
2 losses
3 pushes

+6.4 units

Close with the qatar game, but a late goal looks like it snuffed out our cash. I was in bed in Australia. Still, at least we got a push. A lot of the time it is the process that you need to review, not necessary the result.

Dont be happy if you put on a bet after 2 mins research and it wins. Long term success comes from diligent work and research. It is the process, not the result.

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Close with the qatar game, but a late goal looks like it snuffed out our cash. I was in bed in Australia. Still, at least we got a push. A lot of the time it is the process that you need to review, not necessary the result.

Dont be happy if you put on a bet after 2 mins research and it wins. Long term success comes from diligent work and research. It is the process, not the result.

well said champ. will all your tips be put on here or is there somewhere where i subscribe

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 03:47 PM

Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.

Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?

Home team is at 2.00?

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 03:49 PM

I have no money on this game, but those odds are very strange IMO. Purely going on the odds you have to say that The Strongest are going to come back and win. Be interesting to watch this game. We can learn to identify the anatomy of a fix.

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 03:51 PM

that is odd. it also says starting soon on betfair, and on bet365 it says Kickoff starting at 20.00

Something is a miss.

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 03:55 PM

**onemoregoal** · 03-23-14, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.

Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?

Home team is at 2.00?

how are they strange odds? The strongest were 1.30 to kick off, now losing 0-1 half time. so they are 2.20 to win? nothing wrong with that at all.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by amtopm

well said champ. will all your tips be put on here or is there somewhere where i subscribe

Put them on here mate.

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by onemoregoal

how are they strange odds? The strongest were 1.30 to kick off, now losing 0-1 half time. so they are 2.20 to win? nothing wrong with that at all.

Each to their own, I think it is strange a team leading 0-1 is at 3.00 plus at halftime.

Even if they were under-dogs going into the match.

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 04:13 PM

any just click random leagues on betfair and see if theres major money on a certain thing?

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 04:21 PM

no, il try that later,

**whareouttogetme** · 03-23-14, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Each to their own, I think it is strange a team leading 0-1 is at 3.00 plus at halftime.

Even if they were under-dogs going into the match.

The Strongest are always favourites

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 04:35 PM

red card to the strongest and then they score a few mins later.

Seen this before.

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 04:38 PM

wow, missed a peno.

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 04:41 PM

well all missed barcelona vs real game ref seems to to be a barca fan

**whareouttogetme** · 03-23-14, 04:51 PM

Ended up putting a bit on the Strongest

2-1!

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 04:53 PM

haha. The old injury time goal with 1 man down.

Spotting a fix is like porn, hard to explain, but you just know when you see it.

**whareouttogetme** · 03-23-14, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

haha. The old injury time goal with 1 man down.

Spotting a fix is like porn, hard to explain, but you just know when you see it.

Not sure if it was fixed or just a coincidence since I didn't see it, but nice call anyway!

Now Bet365 is just showing "goal kick" for the last 5 minutes lol

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 04:57 PM

Away team is leading 0-1, but are at $3.00 to win including ($2.10 DNB), then the odds are like that purely from weight of money coming in in-play. Weight of money, in-play, when a team is down 0-1 (even if they are favourite) indicates something is up. Seen games like this all week in this thread.

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 04:58 PM

good find aussie, although I didnt back it in the end. especially after the strongest missed a peno aswell I wasn't overly convinced, its a learning curve though.

**pellumb341** · 03-23-14, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.

Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?

Home team is at 2.00?

dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-23-14, 05:08 PM

They won simply because they are the strongest.

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 05:33 PM

Oriente scored in the first minute lol

Ya can't right that .

**amtopm** · 03-23-14, 05:46 PM

2-0

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-23-14, 05:53 PM

Yep 2-0 but honestly don't think this match is a fix, only 12K on that match on betfair. Nothing obvious.
Stream anyone?

**AussiePunter123** · 03-23-14, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by pellumb341

dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league

Good question. I am learning at this all the time. From what I have seen, I'd expect the away team to become favourite after scoring the first goal, as the bookies adjust their lines. Certainly, the away team (that has just scored to lead 0-1) should not be a $3.00+ price with the home team at $2.00 - $2.40.

Even the DNB for the away team was at $2.10 (leading 0-1).

To me it was clearly a fix based on the odds alone.

I read an article on fixing in european football. In it, a guy could tell a game was fixed based on line movements in play.

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 06:10 PM

Oriente where is this game i cant find it anywhere i put money on it from i think aussiepunters suggestions due to being tilted madrid lost in that fashion

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by pellumb341

dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league

dont know why everyone so hard up on aussie punter dude is one of few who throws up genuinely solids tips and suggestions

**TheSportsAnalyst** · 03-23-14, 06:14 PM

lol, I'm sorry guys but apparently you've never followed a game live.
And, even more important, you don't know nothing about Bolivia.

**TheSportsAnalyst** · 03-23-14, 06:19 PM

Take a look at ibcbet in-play odds movement

The Strongest were 1.20 to win after 19' because they were dominating the game so the 2.16 to win at HT down by 1-0 is absolutely standard.

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Updated Record

Pending plays:

Oriente Petrolero @ 1.73 (Bolivia)

hero hero hero

**onemoregoal** · 03-23-14, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by AussiePunter123

Good question. I am learning at this all the time. From what I have seen, I'd expect the away team to become favourite after scoring the first goal, as the bookies adjust their lines. Certainly, the away team (that has just scored to lead 0-1) should not be a $3.00+ price with the home team at $2.00 - $2.40.

Even the DNB for the away team was at $2.10 (leading 0-1).

To me it was clearly a fix based on the odds alone.

I read an article on fixing in european football. In it, a guy could tell a game was fixed based on line movements in play.

In almost any league, if the home team is 1.30 before kick off and losing 0-1 half time - then they will be around 2.20-2.50. this is very basic stuff, im not sure how you can not know this - but manage to find kalloni fix, which was very good call.

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 06:34 PM

only thread dude posts gold and still gets attacked lol he thought the it was suspicious so he posted and it won so chill

**SarahPalin** · 03-23-14, 06:42 PM

Goooooooooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa aaaallllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll go og go go go go ggoallllllllll