Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

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  • SarahPalin
    SBR MVP
    • 11-26-13
    • 1489

    #1226
    lets look for the some suspicious stuff on betfair wheres all the money going in small leagues?
    Comment
    • AussiePunter123
      SBR MVP
      • 12-29-13
      • 1473

      #1227
      Originally posted by AussiePunter123
      Updated Record

      10 wins
      2 losses
      3 pushes

      +6.4 units
      Close with the qatar game, but a late goal looks like it snuffed out our cash. I was in bed in Australia. Still, at least we got a push. A lot of the time it is the process that you need to review, not necessary the result.

      Dont be happy if you put on a bet after 2 mins research and it wins. Long term success comes from diligent work and research. It is the process, not the result.
      Comment
      • amtopm
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-20-14
        • 169

        #1228
        Originally posted by AussiePunter123
        Close with the qatar game, but a late goal looks like it snuffed out our cash. I was in bed in Australia. Still, at least we got a push. A lot of the time it is the process that you need to review, not necessary the result.

        Dont be happy if you put on a bet after 2 mins research and it wins. Long term success comes from diligent work and research. It is the process, not the result.
        well said champ. will all your tips be put on here or is there somewhere where i subscribe
        Comment
        • AussiePunter123
          SBR MVP
          • 12-29-13
          • 1473

          #1229
          Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.

          Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?

          Home team is at 2.00?
          Comment
          • AussiePunter123
            SBR MVP
            • 12-29-13
            • 1473

            #1230
            I have no money on this game, but those odds are very strange IMO. Purely going on the odds you have to say that The Strongest are going to come back and win. Be interesting to watch this game. We can learn to identify the anatomy of a fix.
            Comment
            • amtopm
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-20-14
              • 169

              #1231
              that is odd. it also says starting soon on betfair, and on bet365 it says Kickoff starting at 20.00

              Something is a miss.
              Comment
              • amtopm
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-20-14
                • 169

                #1232
                Click image for larger version

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                Comment
                • onemoregoal
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-04-13
                  • 8149

                  #1233
                  Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                  Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.

                  Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?

                  Home team is at 2.00?
                  how are they strange odds? The strongest were 1.30 to kick off, now losing 0-1 half time. so they are 2.20 to win? nothing wrong with that at all.
                  Comment
                  • AussiePunter123
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-29-13
                    • 1473

                    #1234
                    Originally posted by amtopm
                    well said champ. will all your tips be put on here or is there somewhere where i subscribe
                    Put them on here mate.
                    Comment
                    • AussiePunter123
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-29-13
                      • 1473

                      #1235
                      Originally posted by onemoregoal
                      how are they strange odds? The strongest were 1.30 to kick off, now losing 0-1 half time. so they are 2.20 to win? nothing wrong with that at all.
                      Each to their own, I think it is strange a team leading 0-1 is at 3.00 plus at halftime.

                      Even if they were under-dogs going into the match.
                      Comment
                      • SarahPalin
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-26-13
                        • 1489

                        #1236
                        any just click random leagues on betfair and see if theres major money on a certain thing?
                        Comment
                        • amtopm
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-20-14
                          • 169

                          #1237
                          no, il try that later,
                          Comment
                          • whareouttogetme
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-26-10
                            • 2721

                            #1238
                            Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                            Each to their own, I think it is strange a team leading 0-1 is at 3.00 plus at halftime.

                            Even if they were under-dogs going into the match.
                            The Strongest are always favourites
                            Comment
                            • AussiePunter123
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-29-13
                              • 1473

                              #1239
                              red card to the strongest and then they score a few mins later.

                              Seen this before.
                              Comment
                              • amtopm
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-20-14
                                • 169

                                #1240
                                wow, missed a peno.
                                Comment
                                • SarahPalin
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-26-13
                                  • 1489

                                  #1241
                                  well all missed barcelona vs real game ref seems to to be a barca fan
                                  Comment
                                  • whareouttogetme
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-26-10
                                    • 2721

                                    #1242
                                    Ended up putting a bit on the Strongest

                                    2-1!
                                    Comment
                                    • AussiePunter123
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-29-13
                                      • 1473

                                      #1243
                                      haha. The old injury time goal with 1 man down.

                                      Spotting a fix is like porn, hard to explain, but you just know when you see it.
                                      Comment
                                      • whareouttogetme
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-26-10
                                        • 2721

                                        #1244
                                        Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                        haha. The old injury time goal with 1 man down.

                                        Spotting a fix is like porn, hard to explain, but you just know when you see it.
                                        Not sure if it was fixed or just a coincidence since I didn't see it, but nice call anyway!

                                        Now Bet365 is just showing "goal kick" for the last 5 minutes lol
                                        Comment
                                        • AussiePunter123
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-29-13
                                          • 1473

                                          #1245
                                          Away team is leading 0-1, but are at $3.00 to win including ($2.10 DNB), then the odds are like that purely from weight of money coming in in-play. Weight of money, in-play, when a team is down 0-1 (even if they are favourite) indicates something is up. Seen games like this all week in this thread.
                                          Comment
                                          • amtopm
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-20-14
                                            • 169

                                            #1246
                                            good find aussie, although I didnt back it in the end. especially after the strongest missed a peno aswell I wasn't overly convinced, its a learning curve though.
                                            Comment
                                            • pellumb341
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-25-11
                                              • 1183

                                              #1247
                                              Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                              Something doesnt seam right with the strongest v blooming in bolivia.

                                              Away team is leading 0-1 but is at 3.00 plus?

                                              Home team is at 2.00?
                                              dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league
                                              Comment
                                              • tipsadontlikehim
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-14-13
                                                • 2569

                                                #1248
                                                They won simply because they are the strongest.
                                                Comment
                                                • amtopm
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-20-14
                                                  • 169

                                                  #1249
                                                  Oriente scored in the first minute lol

                                                  Ya can't right that .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • amtopm
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-20-14
                                                    • 169

                                                    #1250
                                                    2-0
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tipsadontlikehim
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-14-13
                                                      • 2569

                                                      #1251
                                                      Yep 2-0 but honestly don't think this match is a fix, only 12K on that match on betfair. Nothing obvious.
                                                      Stream anyone?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AussiePunter123
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-29-13
                                                        • 1473

                                                        #1252
                                                        Originally posted by pellumb341
                                                        dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league
                                                        Good question. I am learning at this all the time. From what I have seen, I'd expect the away team to become favourite after scoring the first goal, as the bookies adjust their lines. Certainly, the away team (that has just scored to lead 0-1) should not be a $3.00+ price with the home team at $2.00 - $2.40.

                                                        Even the DNB for the away team was at $2.10 (leading 0-1).

                                                        To me it was clearly a fix based on the odds alone.

                                                        I read an article on fixing in european football. In it, a guy could tell a game was fixed based on line movements in play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SarahPalin
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-26-13
                                                          • 1489

                                                          #1253
                                                          Oriente where is this game i cant find it anywhere i put money on it from i think aussiepunters suggestions due to being tilted madrid lost in that fashion
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SarahPalin
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-26-13
                                                            • 1489

                                                            #1254
                                                            Originally posted by pellumb341
                                                            dude what should the odd be according to you ?? If a home team is priced @ 1.30 before kick off and they concede the first goal , then 2,00 is the fair odd.Not to mention that The Strongest can score for fun in their league
                                                            dont know why everyone so hard up on aussie punter dude is one of few who throws up genuinely solids tips and suggestions
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-12-11
                                                              • 1156

                                                              #1255
                                                              lol, I'm sorry guys but apparently you've never followed a game live.
                                                              And, even more important, you don't know nothing about Bolivia.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-12-11
                                                                • 1156

                                                                #1256
                                                                Take a look at ibcbet in-play odds movement

                                                                The Strongest were 1.20 to win after 19' because they were dominating the game so the 2.16 to win at HT down by 1-0 is absolutely standard.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SarahPalin
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-26-13
                                                                  • 1489

                                                                  #1257
                                                                  Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                                                  Updated Record


                                                                  Pending plays:

                                                                  Oriente Petrolero @ 1.73 (Bolivia)
                                                                  hero hero hero
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • onemoregoal
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-04-13
                                                                    • 8149

                                                                    #1258
                                                                    Originally posted by AussiePunter123
                                                                    Good question. I am learning at this all the time. From what I have seen, I'd expect the away team to become favourite after scoring the first goal, as the bookies adjust their lines. Certainly, the away team (that has just scored to lead 0-1) should not be a $3.00+ price with the home team at $2.00 - $2.40.

                                                                    Even the DNB for the away team was at $2.10 (leading 0-1).

                                                                    To me it was clearly a fix based on the odds alone.

                                                                    I read an article on fixing in european football. In it, a guy could tell a game was fixed based on line movements in play.
                                                                    In almost any league, if the home team is 1.30 before kick off and losing 0-1 half time - then they will be around 2.20-2.50. this is very basic stuff, im not sure how you can not know this - but manage to find kalloni fix, which was very good call.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SarahPalin
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-26-13
                                                                      • 1489

                                                                      #1259
                                                                      only thread dude posts gold and still gets attacked lol he thought the it was suspicious so he posted and it won so chill
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SarahPalin
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-26-13
                                                                        • 1489

                                                                        #1260
                                                                        Goooooooooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa aaaallllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll go og go go go go ggoallllllllll
                                                                        Comment
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