1. #83791
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    More like:


  2. #83792
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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  3. #83793
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    More like:

    what I tell you bout stealin' Fidels private home videos?...

  4. #83794
    KVB
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    For much of the day and even by the close of the markets PIT was one of the "sharpest" plays we've seen in a week. There were many factors making it an ideal play and we were glad to get the meager price we got.

    That money fell huge and it's nothing more than an attempt to scare off so many successful strategies down the stretch here because it's not what they bring; it's how they bring it.

    Despite the debacle in PIT, it was a good day for the Funds.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 538 plays...

    902 19-Aug PIT +107 -1
    903 SD +138 1.38
    914 TEX +102 1.02
    Mon 1.4
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Total 4.63

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 88 plays...

    917 19-Aug DET +1.5 (+182) 1.82
    Week 22 1.82
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Total -8.51

    Like I said, we are expecting to win more units than we lose over the near term and the rest of the season in the RL Fund. Today was a start.


  5. #83795
    KVB
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    Here's the Totals breakdown. The UNDERs, of which there were 10 in a row from Aug 13 to Aug 18 continue to under perform.

    KVB MLB Contrarian Fund TOTALS performance:
    19-Aug 1 Unit
    per bet Wins Loss Push Cancel Total
    OVER 4.83 35 28 1 1 65
    UNDER -8.69 48 54 5 3 110
    Total -3.86 83 82 6 4 175

    19-Aug Plays Units
    Overall 538 4.63
    Totals 175 -3.86
    ML's 363 8.49

    Hitting nearly + 8.5 units on the moneyline here, and just getting back half the mistakes on the moneylines would double the ML's ROI.

    It's the UNDERs, which are nearly twice as many plays as the OVERs that are holding the market back and negating all of the Fund's moneyline profit.

    Again, post collapse, the chart looks healthy, it just takes patience...




  6. #83796
    KVB
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  7. #83797
    KVB
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    Roll up a fat one and pass it around.

    I want to get blunted my brother.


  8. #83798
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    DET, OAK, and TOR are all on the Contrarian RL Fund radar.

    Anyone paying any attention knows we are hoping for more opportunity in that Fund as we believe we are turning a market corner for the rest of this year and then some. In fact, after being down -10.33 units, I've increased my stake and thus my units in the Fund, hitting a +182 for the increased unit.

    This is likely to be effective at least through this year...
    In one week all the charts I've posted previously will be deleted, but I've saved all those screen shots by date. It doesn't really matter, I thin my points have been made with the charts and there are some football ones I still want to go over.

    I kind of wish I had posted all those basketball plays I made last season. There was a great comeback and those charts would be great too. It's better than football because we have more plays to chart, it's more meaningful, like MLB.

    The RL Fund only has 88 plays, but the chart still shows patterns...




  9. #83799
    KVB
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  10. #83800
    KVB
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    PIT on the Contrarian Fund radar again.

    Just got a bad feeling about these guys and while we normally see some give and take in the marketplace between teams, sometimes noticeably after extreme results, Pit seems like a literal pitfall here.

    If it triggers it triggers, and it might trigger.


  11. #83801
    KVB
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  12. #83802
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    955 20-Aug MIA +225
    971 DET +240




  13. #83803
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    952 20-Aug PIT +144

    Going to the well again. Again, PIT and the UNDER very decent contrarian plays.

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  14. #83804
    KVB
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  15. #83805

  16. #83806
    KVB
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  17. #83807
    KVB
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    Afternoon strawberry cooler hitting me hard, lol.

    Just waiting for DET +1.5 to pull off of +125.

    Looking for a little +130 here.


  18. #83808
    turtledoves
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    gonna have some new outs soon



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  19. #83809
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

    971 20-Aug DET +1.5 (+130)

    Caught the 130.

    OAK and TOR both still on the RL Fund radar.


  20. #83810
    KVB
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    Both big dogs with the early 1-0 lead.


  21. #83811
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has added...

    979 20-Aug TOR +1.5 (+150)




  22. #83812
    KVB
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  23. #83813
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Are we playing Charades?...hmmm!...I got it!...Pornograffiti!...(Extreme's album)

  24. #83814
    KVB
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  25. #83815
    KVB
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  26. #83816
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    damn I belched!...

  27. #83817
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    913 21-Aug CHW +163

    It's an early game today.




  28. #83818
    KVB
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    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 541 plays...

    952 20-Aug PIT +144 1.44
    955 MIA +225 -1
    971 DET +240 -1
    Tue -0.56
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Mon 1.4
    Total 4.07

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 90 plays...

    917 19-Aug DET +1.5 (+182) 1.82
    971 20-Aug DET +1.5 (+130) -1
    979 TOR +1.5 (+150) -1
    Week 22 -0.18
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Total -10.51


    A few mistakes between both Funds and everything is even.

    Here's the RL Fund chart, we see a lot more of a chance for the chart to rise, than fall...



    Could I be underestimating the effects of the juiced ball on the favorites winning, and by how much?

    Could that be making a difference with this particular set of 90 runline plays?

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...Now the extra runs do favor the favorites, in fact, a place where LT is negative, but it would be very, very difficult for LT to move forward business wise with his method if forced to speculate on just what the adjustment would be moving forward in the season.

    Maybe there's just not enough data, maybe there are just too many assumptions to make and few ways to test them to make a decision to invest...
    Will be interesting to see.


  29. #83819
    stevenash
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    And now for something completely different.

    Rhiannon Gidden can harmonize like no other.
    And she's dreamy too.
    Give it a chance fellas.
    Your pal Nasher wouldn't steer you wrong. (OK maybe he would but not this time)



  30. #83820
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave DiggityDaggityDo 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  31. #83821
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    damn I belched!...

  32. #83822
    DiggityDaggityDo
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  33. #83823
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    I like the pussy.
    Whaaaa? I was talking about the cat.

  34. #83824
    KVB
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    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    907 21-Aug MIA +173
    917 LAA +113
    925 PHI +150




  35. #83825
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Ya'll probably gonna want an Oreo cookie after you smoke up.

    Just ONE cookie.

    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave DiggityDaggityDo 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


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