1. #49316
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    DDD, if I make it to Vegas when you are there and you hit a jackpot or get blackjack, I'm going to high five you, slap you in the head, then grab your rooster in congratulations...



    KVB, I can't wait!

    Oh, and if you hit double zero on roulette...

    Well....


  2. #49317
    JMon
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    You nasty fukkers...lol.


    Kvb, I will be on spurs tonight. One of us will more than likely be right.

  3. #49318
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    KVB, I can't wait!

    Oh, and if you hit double zero on roulette...

    Well....


  4. #49319
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    ...Kvb, I will be on spurs tonight. One of us will more than likely be right.
    I'm waiting for the best line to buy, probably won't break 2.5. I can't blame you for being on the Spurs, my post about it says why.




  5. #49320
    Da Manster!
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    I was considering the same thing...would it be profitable in the long run and/or the rest of the year to just blindly bet the Cubs with equal units or denominations on each game...for example, bet a $100 on the Cubs every game from here on out...this team is hotter than a fresh fukked fox in a forest fire right now...of'course we all know in baseball things have a way of evening out and the law of averages catch up or at the very least the Cubbies will hit at least a couple of slumps and losing streaks before the season ends.

  6. #49321
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    I was considering the same thing...would it be profitable in the long run and/or the rest of the year to just blindly bet the Cubs with equal units or denominations on each game...for example, bet a $100 on the Cubs every game from here on out...this team is hotter than a fresh fukked fox in a forest fire right now...of'course we all know in baseball things have a way of evening out and the law of averages catch up or at the very least the Cubbies will hit at least a couple of slumps and losing streaks before the season ends.
    If they are overpriced, the little gains you get on the wins could get wiped out but the few losses. Something similar happened with the Warriors win line. It wasn't as profitable by season's end because the many small gains were negated by the losing bets.

    I'm not sure the exact numbers but someone posted about Golden State, and I didn't really verify the numbers either, but you get what I'm saying.




  7. #49322
    KVB
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    Rory McIlroy making a move today in the PGA. I have him to win and loaded up on Rory to beat Adam Scott fort eh tourney. He's the only golfer I own.




  8. #49323
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  9. #49324
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    I was considering the same thing...would it be profitable in the long run and/or the rest of the year to just blindly bet the Cubs with equal units or denominations on each game...for example, bet a $100 on the Cubs every game from here on out...this team is hotter than a fresh fukked fox in a forest fire right now...of'course we all know in baseball things have a way of evening out and the law of averages catch up or at the very least the Cubbies will hit at least a couple of slumps and losing streaks before the season ends.
    I found it, post 99. Results from the past 5 years - of the teams with the most regular season wins. Line adjustment does not appear to affect considering blind tailing a dominate team for the regular season (and the cubs, baring injury will be up there as one of best). Keeping in mind..this is only the past 5 years and it could most definitely be different this year. I can go back further, but crunching numbers at work and sports- sometimes is tiring.
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3247901-anybody-else-thinking-blind-betting-cubs-1-5-run-line-every-
    game-p3.html

    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave JMon 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  10. #49325
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  11. #49326
    Da Manster!
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    thanks for the input, kvb...and thanks for that info Jesse...

  12. #49327
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    c
    I would have taken the cash cow cubs again today, but damn spaced off the early game...work was hectic today.

    Cash Cow Cubs this season so far for the 100 bettor..

    ML +1,050
    RL + 1,439
    And penetrate me!

  13. #49328
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    I found it, post 99. Results from the past 5 years - of the teams with the most regular season wins. Line adjustment does not appear to affect considering blind tailing a dominate team for the regular season (and the cubs, baring injury will be up there as one of best). Keeping in mind..this is only the past 5 years and it could most definitely be different this year. I can go back further, but crunching numbers at work and sports- sometimes is tiring.
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3247901-anybody-else-thinking-blind-betting-cubs-1-5-run-line-every-
    game-p3.html



    Boy Jmon, there a few queries I want to ask you, see your results compared to mine, but don't want to put it in the Forum, lol.

    I've found that many databases are set up in such a way that certain queries are impossible, or difficult and must be done in creatively, in chunks. I've also found that these types of queries are often relevant to making a valid line.

    I'm not saying it has anything to do with you Jmon or even suggesting it does, but just pointing out that sometimes the design and flexibility of a database can directly relate to the ability to produce a winning formula.

    I also think that general queries lack the context of each game, which is vital to market analysis. Creating your own database and living through it is ideal

    Good stuff JMon.


  14. #49329
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post


    Boy Jmon, there a few queries I want to ask you, see your results compared to mine, but don't want to put it in the Forum, lol.

    I've found that many databases are set up in such a way that certain queries are impossible, or difficult and must be done in creatively, in chunks. I've also found that these types of queries are often relevant to making a valid line.

    I'm not saying it has anything to do with you Jmon or even suggesting it does, but just pointing out that sometimes the design and flexibility of a database can directly relate to the ability to produce a winning formula.

    I also think that general queries lack the context of each game, which is vital to market analysis. Creating your own database and living through it is ideal

    Good stuff JMon.

    pm away brother. Most of mine are logical, but I don't shy away of a good trend, if caught in time. I make my money on those and get off. Everything trends, unlogical or not.

  15. #49330
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    pm away brother. Most of mine are logical, but I don't shy away of a good trend, if caught in time. I make my money on those and get off. Everything trends, unlogical or not.
    We search not for trends, but for answers. The goal is to create an algorithm that can be repeated with success. What throws off bettors is that the algorithm, while by definition a static set of repeated instructions, must become dynamic and understand change. It's a paradox that must be reconciled.

    Or...we create several algorithms and then seek to understand when to use each of them.

    "Come out, come out,
    No use in hiding.
    Come now, come now,
    Can you not see."




  16. #49331
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    We search not for trends, but for answers. The goal is to create an algorithm that can be repeated with success. What throws off bettors is that the algorithm, while by definition a static set of repeated instructions, must become dynamic and understand change. It's a paradox that must be reconciled.

    Or...we create several algorithms and then seek to understand when to use each of them.

    "Come out, come out,
    No use in hiding.
    Come now, come now,
    Can you not see."



    indeed, kvb completely agree as we use the same type of handicapping. But then you have ace in the hole, like Fidel and manster that cap >55 and don't know what the penetrate we are talking about. And consistently

  17. #49332
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    indeed, kvb completely agree as we use the same type of handicapping. But then you have ace in the hole, like Fidel and manster that cap >55 and don't know what the penetrate we are talking about. And consistently
    So true. This Fly Me thread about to take off, gonna get Players Talked.


  18. #49333
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    So true. This Fly Me thread about to take off, gonna get Players Talked.

    #Flyme rules. That Fidel guy, and I know I'm gay on it, but what watched his picks for the past 4-5 years. SU one of the best handicappers on this site. Manster is creative with his picks. I'd love too see more SU picks, like his Reds over last night by a mile. . muther fuker holding out

    And there is this smoken guy...he has been hiding in a hole and only peeks on certain days. Guy can pick like a mofo too. And god rest his sole, herby jones, was a contrarian player and good at it.

    I want to say, sbr3 about destroyed this thread. The first one was just as powerful and I can't imagine the two combined. And now KVB.. with his analytical and critical thinking seems icing on the cake and what I try to teach in my college classes.

  19. #49334
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    #Flyme rules. That Fidel guy, and I know I'm gay on it, but what watched his picks for the past 4-5 years. SU one of the best handicappers on this site. Manster is creative with his picks. I'd love too see more SU picks, like his Reds over last night by a mile. . muther fuker holding out

    And there is this smoken guy...he has been hiding in a hole and only peeks on certain days. Guy can pick like a mofo too. And god rest his sole, herby jones, was a contrarian player and good at it.

    I want to say, sbr3 about destroyed this thread. The first one was just as powerful and I can't imagine the two combined. And now KVB.. with his analytical and critical thinking seems icing on the cake and what I try to teach in my college classes.
    thanks Jesse......you will see a lot more of SU picks in the very near future!...

  20. #49335
    Auto Donk
    Diggity man the fort, I'm outta here!
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    in honor of ms. donk's birthday..... later afternoon session spent listening to a good bit of this guy in a good love making session.....

    now off to perry's for some steaks and then who knows.....


  21. #49336
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    #Flyme rules. That Fidel guy, and I know I'm gay on it, but what watched his picks for the past 4-5 years. SU one of the best handicappers on this site. Manster is creative with his picks. I'd love too see more SU picks, like his Reds over last night by a mile. . muther fuker holding out

    And there is this smoken guy...he has been hiding in a hole and only peeks on certain days. Guy can pick like a mofo too. And god rest his sole, herby jones, was a contrarian player and good at it.

    I want to say, sbr3 about destroyed this thread. The first one was just as powerful and I can't imagine the two combined. And now KVB.. with his analytical and critical thinking seems icing on the cake and what I try to teach in my college classes.
    I think that 4-5 years is about off...but looked good...

  22. #49337
    JMon
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    we need to pick out KVB an avatar. Fidel you start.

  23. #49338
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  24. #49339
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    T.G.I.F.


  25. #49340
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by Auto Donk View Post
    in honor of ms. donk's birthday..... later afternoon session spent listening to a good bit of this guy in a good love making session.....

    now off to perry's for some steaks and then who knows.....

    sippin on coke and rum
    Donks wife like so what im drunk
    its the freekend weekend AutoD bout to get him sum butt


  26. #49341
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    smokenjoke lil ass comin for the booty like ....

  27. #49342
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  28. #49343
    JMon
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    Donks wife reminds, and I don't know why, of the Chiquita Banana lady

  29. #49344
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    PANDA


  30. #49345
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    PANDA


  31. #49346
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    ....PANDA PANDA PANDA PANDA



  32. #49347
    JMon
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    Fidel doesn't talk but post fukking gifs. Who you on pal? I need winners

  33. #49348
    Fidel_CashFlow
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  34. #49349
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post

  35. #49350
    PerfectGrape
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    spurs under? won't be scoring as much on road

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