For the first time this cycle, Trump has taken the lead in the national polling averages. Of course, it is by the slimmest of margins and well within the margin of error. But it shows some momentum on Trump's side when one would think the negative press from the trial(s) would do damage.
Only 1 battleground state has shifted (Wisconsin) though several are within the margin of error. Based on current polling, Trump leads the electoral college 293-245 but there are 2 states Trump's lead is very vulnerable in: Wisconsin and Michigan. If just 1% shifted from Trump to Biden in each of those states, Biden would take a 270-268 electoral college victory.
Bottom line is this: Right now, things are just too close to call.
New details are emerging about the Trump rally cancelled yesterday. Initially, the rally was said to be cancelled due to rain, but new leaks show Trump campaign strategists and attorneys didn’t want Trump to speak. They fear every time he talks, they drop in the polls.
Comment
BriGuy
SBR MVP
12-06-11
1556
#6479
Originally posted by Hareeba!
New details are emerging about the Trump rally cancelled yesterday. Initially, the rally was said to be cancelled due to rain, but new leaks show Trump campaign strategists and attorneys didn’t want Trump to speak. They fear every time he talks, they drop in the polls.
That sounds exactly like how Biden's handlers handle him.
"What? It's 10:30 in the morning? Time to call a lid!"
Comment
Hareeba!
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-01-06
36892
#6480
Comment
TheGoldenGoose
SBR MVP
11-27-12
3745
#6481
@ Bri
I was playing around with the EC map at real politics.com and came up with the same 270-268.
Comment
ninjagorn
SBR High Roller
11-06-13
164
#6482
Originally posted by TheGoldenGoose
Oddsmakers are currently offering plus-money returns on both candidates for the upcoming face-off between Trump and Biden. Trump remains the slight favorite at 6/5 (Bet $100 to win $120) to capture the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Joe Biden is sitting at 5/4 odds (Bet $100 to win $125) to repeat as U.S. President. 7 days ago - VegasInsider
That is very interesting-i have seen it on various sites.
What are the bookmakers calculating???
1) Biden will die
2) Trump will die or not be able to run(criminal charges)
Comment
Hareeba!
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-01-06
36892
#6483
President Biden literally almost single handedly prevented a war between Iran and Israel:
Comment
Hareeba!
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-01-06
36892
#6484
I prefer Presidents who don't have to cancel their speeches for fear their orange makeup will run in a little bit of rain.
Comment
mjsuax13
Moderator
03-14-15
24907
#6485
Originally posted by ninjagorn
That is very interesting-i have seen it on various sites.
What are the bookmakers calculating???
1) Biden will die
2) Trump will die or not be able to run(criminal charges)
Either could happen! lol
Comment
JAKEPEAVY21
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-11-11
29230
#6486
We have been literally watching Weekend at Bernie's the past 4 years...
Comment
Itsamazing777
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-12
12602
#6487
Originally posted by Hareeba!
I prefer Presidents who don't have to cancel their speeches for fear their orange makeup will run in a little bit of rain.
Comment
Itsamazing777
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-12
12602
#6488
Originally posted by DwightShrute
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Here are five straight minutes that show exactly why the special counsel noted Biden's diminished mental fitness <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/u1ToosAKyz">pic.twitter.com/u1ToosAKyz</a></p>— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/RNCResearch/status/1756551610308702692?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >February 11, 2024</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Comment
b1slickguy
SBR Posting Legend
11-24-11
11959
#6489
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">INSANITY! <br><br>Biden Administration files lawsuit against Sheetz Gas Stations over alleged “racial discrimination.”<br><br>Why? Because Sheetz in mandates that all applicants successfully clear a criminal background check prior to employment.<br><br>Biden wants businesses to hire criminals… <a href="https://t.co/V2wYHoCBay">pic.twitter.com/V2wYHoCBay</a></p>— I Meme Therefore I Am (@ImMeme0) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImMeme0/status/1782129296670163157?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >April 21, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Republicans Are Suing for the Right To Harass Election Workers
You might think that even in today’s highly polarized election environment there would be a bipartisan consensus to protect election workers from intimidation and harassment. If you thought so, you would be wrong. In recent weeks, there have been a series of lawsuits aimed at undoing protections for election workers. Nevada recently enacted a new Election Worker Protection Law to combat the increasing threats faced by election workers. The law, which passed the Legislature unanimously and was signed by the Republican governor, makes it a crime “to use or threaten or attempt to use any force, intimidation, coercion, violence, restraint or undue influence with the intent to interfere with the performance of the duties of any elections official relating to an election; or retaliate against any elections official for performing duties relating to an election.”
Shortly after the law was enacted, the Republican Party’s failed 2022 attorney general candidate — who is currently a Republican National Committeewoman — filed a lawsuit to block the law. Her argument is that the law violates her First Amendment rights and is too vague to understand.
Meanwhile in Arizona, right wing organizations, including America First Policy Institute founded by former Trump aides, are suing to block the anti-harassment provisions of the state’s Election Procedures Manual from going into effect. Among the provisions they find objectionable are those that prohibit:
Any activity by a person with the intent or effect of threatening, harassing, intimidating, or coercing voters (or conspiring with others to do so),
Aggressive behaviour, such as raising one’s voice or taunting a voter or poll worker,
Using threatening, insulting or offensive language to a voter or poll worker,
Following voters or poll workers coming to or leaving a voting location, including to or from their vehicles,
Questioning, photographing or videotaping voters or poll workers in a harassing or intimidating manner, including when the voter or poll worker is entering or leaving the polling location.
It is not only election officials that right-wing groups want to be able to harass — it is also voters. In Minnesota, an anti-voting outfit ironically called the Minnesota Voters Alliance is challenging a law that prohibits making statements that intend “to impede or prevent another person from exercising the right to vote”’ within 60 days of an election.
Specifically, the challenged law makes it a crime to “intentionally hinder, interfere with, or prevent another person from voting, registering to vote, or aiding another person in casting a ballot or registering to vote.” Another provision bans false speech about the “the time, place, or manner of holding an election; the qualifications for or restrictions on voter eligibility at an election; and threats to physical safety associated with casting a ballot.”
Republicans know that this November they will lose the popular vote for president by millions of votes. Their only strategy to overcome this deficit is to make it harder to vote and easier to cheat.
Suing to add obstacles to vote and to purge voters is the kind of Republicans playing offense that all too many people now accept as normal. Suing to empower vigilantes to harass voters and election officials is just the next logical step for a desperate campaign without any moral compass.
From Marc | In recent weeks, there have been a series of lawsuits aimed at undoing protections for election workers.
Comment
DwightShrute
SBR Aristocracy
01-17-09
102503
#6493
Originally posted by b1slickguy
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">INSANITY! <br><br>Biden Administration files lawsuit against Sheetz Gas Stations over alleged “racial discrimination.”<br><br>Why? Because Sheetz in mandates that all applicants successfully clear a criminal background check prior to employment.<br><br>Biden wants businesses to hire criminals… <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/V2wYHoCBay">pic.twitter.com/V2wYHoCBay</a></p>— I Meme Therefore I Am (@ImMeme0) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/ImMeme0/status/1782129296670163157?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >April 21, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Comment
JIBBBY
SBR Aristocracy
12-10-09
83692
#6494
Making Trump sit in court every day is not good for his health. I hate they are making him do that. The A/C is on full blast also. He's use to golfing and getting some Florida sunshine, flying here and there for rallies.
This is just wrong on so many levels as he will eventually be found not guilty of all this crap! I won't even mention the gag order on him to boot. This Trump hating judge should be disbarred.
Comment
Emily_Haines
SBR Posting Legend
04-14-09
15917
#6495
Originally posted by Hareeba!
And of course I suppose you have some evidence to support that?
Have you reported it to any authority?
plus he showered with his own daughter
Comment
Itsamazing777
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-12
12602
#6496
Comment
OldBill
SBR Hall of Famer
11-02-21
6410
#6497
every freaking day my yahoo home page is plastered with trump
here we go just the titles
Trump trial live updates: Judge holds gag order hearing before David Pecker resumes testimony!
2.) Judge rules against NY attorney general, says Trump's $175M judgment bond will stand!!
3.) Trump attorney, New York prosecutors settle bond differences in civil fraud case!
4.) Trump's hush money trial jury is set. Here's why we won't learn much about them.
The identities of the jurors will be kept hidden from the public throughout the trial.
5.) Trump trial updates: Jury selection finished, man sets himself on fire outside courthouse!
6. ) How Toxic Is Trump? Republican Group's Hidden Camera Reveals Uncomfortable Truth.
Snoozy Trump Wakes Up as Prosecutor Calls Him a Liar!
Opening statements had not yet begun on Monday when former President Donald Trump dozed off for the first time.
He quickly opened his eyes when defense attorney Todd Blanche slid him a note, as prosecutors prepared to kick off opening arguments in the historic trial, which hinges on accusations that the former president falsified business records over a $130,000 hush-money payment to porn star Stormy Daniels in an effort to keep her quiet as the 2016 presidential election loomed. Trump Pushes the Limits of His Gag Order in Post-Trial Rant
The trial marks the only time in American history that a former commander-in-chief has been tried on criminal charges. If convicted, Trump faces four years behind bars.
8.)
Prosecutors ask judge to fine Trump $10,000 for violating hush money trial gag order!
9.)'We have our jury': panel selected for Trump criminal trial
10.) Trump's all-caps, high-octane rage posting is even more intense than it was during his 2016 campaign: report
A Washington Post analysis has found that Donald Trump is Truthing up a storm this election cycle.
The Post found Trump had drafted 760 all-uppercase screeds in 487 days of his 2024 campaign.
Trump's Truth Social posts have gotten him into trouble during his criminal trials.
11.)
Trump trial updates: Prosecutors say Trump engaged in criminal conspiracy and a cover-up.
12.) This Damning Trump Tape Will Be Used Against Him in Hush-Money Trial
Just before the 2016 election, Michael Cohen secretly taped a phone conversation with Donald Trump discussing how he would pay off former Playboy model Karen McDougal. Now, prosecutors for the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office say they intend to use the audio in court.
Comment
19th Hole
SBR Posting Legend
03-22-09
18852
#6498
Originally posted by Hareeba!
Turns out having the most experienced person to ever enter the Oval Office has been a blessing for America in a tumultuous time.
House rule for Ukraine funding passes 316-94
~~
Leave it to HairyBalls to copy another senseless comment.
What can you expect from someone not realizing how stupid
you have to be to be a blathering Liberal.
Comment
Itsamazing777
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-12
12602
#6499
Originally posted by 19th Hole
~~
Leave it to HairyBalls to copy another senseless comment.
What can you expect from someone not realizing how stupid
you have to be to be a blathering Liberal.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BIDEN ON TRUMP: "How many times does he have to prove we can't be trusted?"<br><br> <a href="https://t.co/OeVRdmVIdH">pic.twitter.com/OeVRdmVIdH</a></p>— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) <a href="https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1782855049871253844?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >April 23, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Comment
DwightShrute
SBR Aristocracy
01-17-09
102503
#6503
Originally posted by b1slickguy
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BIDEN ON TRUMP: "How many times does he have to prove we can't be trusted?"<br><br> <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/OeVRdmVIdH">pic.twitter.com/OeVRdmVIdH</a></p>— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1782855049871253844?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >April 23, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
one of the only times he says something true
Comment
b1slickguy
SBR Posting Legend
11-24-11
11959
#6504
Originally posted by DwightShrute
one of the only times he says something true
Whoever made that 5 minute video that you posted last week will easily have 10 minutes of material by next month.
Comment
DwightShrute
SBR Aristocracy
01-17-09
102503
#6505
Originally posted by b1slickguy
Whoever made that 5 minute video that you posted last week will easily have 10 minutes of material by next month.
so true
Comment
b1slickguy
SBR Posting Legend
11-24-11
11959
#6506
Comment
Hareeba!
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-01-06
36892
#6507
30% of R voters recording their protest vote against TFG
Just no path to victory
Comment
Hareeba!
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-01-06
36892
#6508
Special State Legislative Election in Pennsylvania
First fully reported precinct in Pike County, and the Dem is AHEAD. A 27 point shift left!
In the end it was a roughly 10-point Democratic over performance compared to Trump's numbers in 2020.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-media-max-width="560"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Roundtable Federal Health Agencies What Are They Hiding? - Dr. Bret Weinstein<br>Dr. Weinstein believes that "everything" is being hidden, suggesting a systematic effort to blind the public. According to his notion, he explains current circumstances and accurately predicts future… <a href="https://t.co/4VrHhxZ7wE">pic.twitter.com/4VrHhxZ7wE</a></p>— Blue Sky ✊️ ✊️ ✊️(互粉) (@Anpo_Star) <a href="https://twitter.com/Anpo_Star/status/1782934609501782215?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >April 24, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Comment
Emily_Haines
SBR Posting Legend
04-14-09
15917
#6510
Donald Trump may have a gag order placed on him, but I don’t.
penetrate Juan Merchan
penetrate Alvin Bragg
penetrate Arthur Engoron
penetrate Fani Willis
penetrate Michael Cohen
penetrate Stormy Daniels
penetrate E. Jean Carroll
penetrate Barack Obama
penetrate Joe Biden
penetrate Hareeba!