Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:30 AM

wtf ?

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:33 AM

man those beats slap for real

her bars arent even that bad

wtf is happening ???

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:38 AM

Lets get back on track here

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:41 AM

Looks like we should of taken Rkelly110 threats seriously

he already lit up one of our goons neck bones y0

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 09-22-17, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Looks like we should of taken Rkelly110 threats seriously

he already lit up one of our goons neck bones y0

Holy fawk

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Holy fawk

yeah Rkelly110 took it too far
We next but fukk it . Get to see my dead homeboys once Rkelly hunts me down

**omedo** · 09-22-17, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

wtf ?

Danielle Bregoli Net Worth

https://www.celebritynetworth.com/richest-celebrities/models/danielle-bregoli-net-worth/

What is Danielle Bregoli's net worth?

Danielle Bregoli Sentenced To Five Years Probation

https://www.celebritynetworth.com/articles/celebrity/danielle-bregoli-sentenced-five-years-probation/

Danielle Bregoli has made quite a name for herself in the past year or so, whether it was her introduction to the world on Dr. Phil, showing up in...

Bregoli reportedly burst into tears during the sentencing last week in Palm Beach County Court in Delray Beach, Florida. Her estranged father, Ira Peskowitz, who recently filed a suit arguing that he shouldn't have to pay child support for his daughter, read a prepared statement at the sentencing in which he said that he is "afraid of what she's being pushed into and who's profiting from it."

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Holy fawk

looks like Rkelly already turning a new page
this is good news for us Daggles
He all over youtube making apology vids for blowing up ole boys neck over some internet beef type shit

all this shit is happening so quick.....

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-22-17, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by omedo

https://www.celebritynetworth.com/ri...oli-net-worth/

Danielle Bregoli Sentenced To Five Years Probation

https://www.celebritynetworth.com/articles/celebrity/danielle-bregoli-sentenced-five-years-probation/

Danielle Bregoli has made quite a name for herself in the past year or so, whether it was her introduction to the world on Dr. Phil, showing up in...

Bregoli reportedly burst into tears during the sentencing last week in Palm Beach County Court in Delray Beach, Florida. Her estranged father, Ira Peskowitz, who recently filed a suit arguing that he shouldn't have to pay child support for his daughter, read a prepared statement at the sentencing in which he said that he is "afraid of what she's being pushed into and who's profiting from it."

bro 2 things

1. shes worth millions now man
She got signed by a record label for millions and thats not even counting youtube

2. Most importantly she is going to grow up to look like Jada Stevens

**omedo** · 09-22-17, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

bro 2 things

1. shes worth millions now man
She got signed by a record label for millions and thats not even counting youtube

2. Most importantly she is going to grow up to look like Jada Stevens

I dont argue her market value, her image has value, that's for sure. How much of that is really for her is my doubt.

The girl has body potencial, lets hope that she doesnt mess that up

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 09-22-17, 02:09 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 09-22-17, 02:20 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 09-22-17, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Looks like we should of taken Rkelly110 threats seriously

he already lit up one of our goons neck bones y0

Two more Rkelly110 victims.

Fawk

**KVB** · 09-22-17, 02:53 PM

Crazy vids above, shit.

"Cash me ousside howbow dah"

**Dr Nostron** · 09-22-17, 03:34 PM

Great thread here.

Whats a stacking forecast?

**omedo** · 09-22-17, 03:51 PM

**KVB** · 09-22-17, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by Dr Nostron

Great thread here.

Whats a stacking forecast?

Originally posted by KVB

The “stacking percentages” forecast, as I call it, is basically determining a bunch of small edges, small percentages, and stacking them on top of each other to create a traditional black box type model. It’s fairly simplistic but accumulates a lot of relevant factors to achieve its results. Remember, I make many lines and some are made from pieces of the stacking forecast to gauge where the market is with certain factors in play.

For these forecasts a rating is generated for each team and then a predicted score calculated. Regressions are used and the goal is to get a low line error. The goal is try to get a more realistic score than the bookmaker can put out. One test of the stacking forecast is to compare its difference from the final score to the difference between opening and closing lines and the final score.

Say the stacking forecast predicts Pittsburgh to win by 7 points and the market is showing Pittsburgh -3. If Pittsburgh wins by 10 points the market was off of reality by 7 points. The forecast was off by 3 points. In this case, the forecast was closer to reality than the line. In my opinion, crossing key numbers can affect this error so the difference between 7 and 10 is relatively smaller than 3 points when compared to the line crossing through 4, 6, and 7 in its error. In that case the book ends up being off by more than 7 points, relatively speaking. Does that make sense?

The goal of the stacking forecast is to match or beat the market error at any given time. Having a lower line error is not necessary to beat the market. Remember, when I track the stacking forecast in threads, I use as little as half a point discrepancy against the lines. I track every play, not just triggered plays (like the sharp forecast in the NFL).

But we don’t bet every game and a subset of games is usually looked at, not every game. I am tough on myself when tracking at SBR, in the CFL thread the sharp forecast is also put up against a half point discrepancy. You can test the line error at any interval or margin predicted, not just a half point difference. This is where I mentioned in the past that a larger margin doesn’t always equal a better win rate. There’s a cap and it represents a danger to teams whose ratings are pushing highs for the season.

Think tank this shit.

**KVB** · 09-22-17, 04:02 PM

**dlowilly** · 09-22-17, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

The first thing sbr libtards would say about this is that guy didn't have to be so rough and grab him by the neck like that

**tony_come** · 09-22-17, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

That's his phone

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 09-22-17, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by tony_come

That's his phone

It is now.

**KVB** · 09-22-17, 06:04 PM

Dlow...

**KVB** · 09-22-17, 06:59 PM

Just put a bunch of betpoints on Winnipeg -345 over Ottawa tonight. I just don't think the upset is coming.

**dlowilly** · 09-22-17, 07:28 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Dlow...

nice

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by KVB

Dlow...

man o man o man

I seriously dont think you all realize what I do to ass

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 07:58 AM

I think she is dying of cancer or some shit now ?

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:02 AM

.........................

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:06 AM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:09 AM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:12 AM

wonders if real .....

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:14 AM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:15 AM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:16 AM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-23-17, 08:18 AM

I love this

Donald J. Trump
✔@realDonaldTrump

Going to the White House is considered a great honor for a championship team.

Stephen Curry is hesitating,therefore invitation is withdrawn!
7:45 AM - Sep 23, 2017

Bunch of ego inflated bitches on that fukkin fake ass video game roster orchastrated team

**KVB** · 09-23-17, 12:14 PM

So did Trump really withdraw the invitation?

I just put Michigan -11 in BTP.