Ncaaf week #1

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  • accuscoresucks
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-03-07
    • 7160

    #1
    Ncaaf week #1
    College Football 201 San Diego State +14 -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Washington U
    9/1/12 10:30pm College Football 199 Toledo +10½ -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Arizona U
    Pending 9/1/12 8:00pm College Football 195 Rutgers -17 -120* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Tulane
    Pending 9/1/12 3:30pm College Football 175 Miami Florida +3 -175* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Boston College
    Pending 9/1/12 3:00pm College Football 171 Nevada +11½ -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> California
    Pending 9/1/12 12:00pm College Football 167 Western Michigan +10 -120* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Illinois
    Pending 8/31/12 7:30pm College Football 152 NC State +4 -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Tennessee U
    9/1/12 3:30pm College Football 173 Southern Mississippi +17 -140*<small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px; ">vs</small> Nebraska
    ROAD TO 100k plays when the ml's come
    georgia
    lsu
    usc
    oklahoma
    a continuation of this
    http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...pletes-p2.html

  • frogsrangers
    Restricted User
    • 04-25-12
    • 5792

    #2
    Already made 17 week 1 plays at the hard rock

    Will post later
    Comment
    • bobby heenan
      SBR MVP
      • 03-20-09
      • 4120

      #3
      CuriouS as to your reasoning behind these plays...don't remember much about sd state other than lindley(who's boneheadedness cost me Sunday night with zona) and hillman...who were their playmakers...they lost a bowl game to la Lafayette if I recall....I don't remember what else they have...but I don't see Keith price n Washington being easy ....same with Nebraska...Martinez n burkhead back...I know so miss lost Austin Davis and a couple of receivers....maybe sd st and so miss have a bunch of guys ready to step in and I'm not informed...or maybe they have a lot of other returning talent
      Comment
      • Sunde91
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-26-09
        • 8325

        #4
        The thread you post is taking big mls and here random road dogs? idk what you're doing but So miss play is terrible based on the line/price alone. Buying points on road dogs in general isn't a solid approach.
        Comment
        • mynameismud
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-13-12
          • 5461

          #5
          anyone else like michigan st. -7 vs boise st.?
          Comment
          • bobby heenan
            SBR MVP
            • 03-20-09
            • 4120

            #6
            Originally posted by mynameismud
            anyone else like michigan st. -7 vs boise st.?
            It's a play I'll have to look at more...but laveon bell could dominate that game ...always concerned tho with teams breaking in new qbs...no cousins or Keshawn Martin...


            I like San Jose st..not just because they are replacing luck(because they could run s Taylor down the Spartans throats) but sj st has some experience and might be able to score enough to cover 25.5
            Comment
            • mynameismud
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-13-12
              • 5461

              #7
              Originally posted by bobby heenan
              It's a play I'll have to look at more...but laveon bell could dominate that game ...always concerned tho with teams breaking in new qbs...no cousins or Keshawn Martin...


              I like San Jose st..not just because they are replacing luck(because they could run s Taylor down the Spartans throats) but sj st has some experience and might be able to score enough to cover 25.5
              thats the hardest part about capping this game. the game could be a total disaster for both teams. im locked in at -7 though...so im hoping msu can overcome a brand new QB.
              Comment
              • bobby heenan
                SBR MVP
                • 03-20-09
                • 4120

                #8
                I take back what I said about San Jose st...I thought that Faulkner was returning at qb which he isn't...I knew I had to look because that line seemed off of he was...I live college football and I haven't really gotten a chance to do the real homework necessary...Faulkner n San Jose made me some money last year tho
                Comment
                • bobby heenan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-20-09
                  • 4120

                  #9
                  Mud...if any team could overcome it you'd expect it to be the big 10 team at home ...especially one with a rb that could dominate a game
                  Comment
                  • accuscoresucks
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-03-07
                    • 7160

                    #10
                    based of simulation here is the value in line from picks
                    nc state should win strait up by -4 8 point value
                    w.mich should lose by 3 7 point value
                    neveda lose by 3 8.5 point value in line
                    s.miss lose by -1 16 point value in spread
                    miami fl wins strait up by 3 6 point vale
                    rutgers should take game by approx 21 4point value
                    toledo lose by 3 7.5 points value
                    sd st lose by about 7-10 so a 4-7 point value in the line
                    Comment
                    • dice
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-28-09
                      • 669

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mynameismud
                      anyone else like michigan st. -7 vs boise st.?
                      I'd avoid it. Michigan State is always a hot/cold team. I guess you've already played though. GLTU!
                      Comment
                      • accuscoresucks
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-03-07
                        • 7160

                        #12
                        Originally posted by frogsrangers
                        Already made 17 week 1 plays at the hard rock

                        Will post later

                        would like to see those plays fuk the 1rst week
                        i dont even see any good totals they got them sharped on so far
                        Comment
                        • frogsrangers
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-25-12
                          • 5792

                          #13
                          Here are the plays I made at Hard Rock... very small action plays, won't make my main big plays until the week before probably

                          South Carolina -6.5 @ Vanderbilt
                          Louisiana Tech +7 vs. Texas A&M
                          Rice +16 vs. UCLA
                          BYU -13 vs. Washington State
                          Navy +17 vs. Notre Dame
                          West Virginia -23.5 vs. Marshall
                          Ohio +7 @ Penn State
                          Western Michigan +9 @ Illinois
                          Nebraska -17 vs. Southern Miss
                          Boston College -1.5 vs. Miami FL
                          Northern Illinois +6.5 vs. Iowa
                          Georgia -38 vs. Buffalo
                          Bowling Green +28.5 @ Florida
                          Wyoming +29.5 @ Texas
                          Hawaii +38.5 @ USC
                          Alabama -11.5 vs. Michigan
                          Tulane +17.5 vs. Rutgers
                          Arizona -10 vs. Toledo
                          Florida International +4.5 @ Duke
                          North Texas +43.5 @ LSU
                          Oregon -36 vs. Arkansas State
                          Louisville -14 vs. Kentucky
                          SMU +11 @ Baylor
                          Virginia Tech -7 vs. Georgia Tech

                          $20 Pick 3: Virginia Tech -7, South Carolina -6.5, Alabama -11.5
                          $20 Pick 6: Virginia Tech -7, South Carolina -6.5, Alabama -11.5, Louisville -14, BYU -13, West Virginia -23.5
                          $10 Pick 10: Virginia Tech -7, South Caorlina -6.5, Alabama -11.5, Louisville -14, BYU -13, West Virginia -23.5, North Texas +43.5, Oregon -36, Louisiana Tech +7, Wyoming +29.5

                          I usually hit 7 Pick 3s and 2 Pick 6's per year. But never hit a Pick 10(though I have gotten 9 out of 10 3 times)

                          If you have any questions about my picks or wondering why I picked what ask me
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by accuscoresucks
                            based of simulation here is the value in line from picks
                            nc state should win strait up by -4 8 point value
                            w.mich should lose by 3 7 point value
                            neveda lose by 3 8.5 point value in line
                            s.miss lose by -1 16 point value in spread
                            miami fl wins strait up by 3 6 point vale
                            rutgers should take game by approx 21 4point value
                            toledo lose by 3 7.5 points value
                            sd st lose by about 7-10 so a 4-7 point value in the line
                            Take this for what it's worth and I am not lying, but looks like 8-0 to me!
                            Comment
                            • accuscoresucks
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-03-07
                              • 7160

                              #15
                              i hope so
                              Comment
                              • Bigbill365
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-22-12
                                • 4577

                                #16
                                hmm very interesting picking alot of games i ws never a big fan of that how does that workout for you every year?I always like picking 2-3 games
                                Comment
                                • frogsrangers
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-25-12
                                  • 5792

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Bigbill365
                                  hmm very interesting picking alot of games i ws never a big fan of that how does that workout for you every year?I always like picking 2-3 games
                                  I pick all those games for action, very small bets like $10 a game.

                                  But I always isolate 2-5 plays that I make bigger wagers on.

                                  And when I hit a Pick 3 its a $60 win on a $20 bet and when I hit a Pick 6 its an $800 win on a $20 bet.

                                  A Pick 10 on a $10 bet will pay out $3000 but I have never hit one
                                  Comment
                                  • accuscoresucks
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-03-07
                                    • 7160

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Bigbill365
                                    hmm very interesting picking alot of games i ws never a big fan of that how does that workout for you every year?I always like picking 2-3 games
                                    last year was profit but a tuff grind
                                    09 first 5 week record 24-11-2
                                    Comment
                                    • accuscoresucks
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-03-07
                                      • 7160

                                      #19
                                      right around the corner
                                      Comment
                                      • mynameismud
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-13-12
                                        • 5461

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by accuscoresucks
                                        right around the corner
                                        9 more days and i will have action on thursday night games. just sucks as a michigan fan that were will start 0-1.
                                        Comment
                                        • Easy-Rider 66
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-14-12
                                          • 36857

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by mynameismud
                                          9 more days and i will have action on thursday night games. just sucks as a michigan fan that were will start 0-1.
                                          Maybe Denard Robinson and his comrades can catch lightning in a bottle. Like Mich + the points.
                                          Comment
                                          • mynameismud
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-13-12
                                            • 5461

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                            Maybe Denard Robinson and his comrades can catch lightning in a bottle. Like Mich + the points.
                                            i fukking hope so. you really like michigan +12.5? its a no play for me now. im sure i'll change my mind 5 or 6 times before kickoff.
                                            Comment
                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-14-12
                                              • 36857

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mynameismud
                                              i fukking hope so. you really like michigan +12.5? its a no play for me now. im sure i'll change my mind 5 or 6 times before kickoff.
                                              I lean toward MIch. Have to do some more research a couple of days before the game. Just think Brady Hoke will have them ready, and the game is on a neutral field. 12 Points is a nice piece of change to get with a quality team. Did read that Mich's #1 back might not play. Have to check his status.
                                              Comment
                                              • accuscoresucks
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-03-07
                                                • 7160

                                                #24
                                                3-4-1
                                                ytd

                                                its early hope to offer better picks next week
                                                Comment
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