Introducing TOTALCON - My MLB Total Calculator

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  • MonkeyF0cker
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-12-07
    • 12144

    #106
    Originally posted by Smutbucket
    lol precisly, Im tired of these ***** who claim themselves great without ever trying anything new/nothing to show for themselves. been seing a lot of diff people around these forums and smug peices of shit who think they know the proper way to the money hole, yet have never proved or had a thread with winning picks, gets old. mathdotcoms garbage gets old. dont know if its just coincidencce of the posts Ive seen from him but asshole just pretends to be a big money dog without any legitimate backing, they name drop well , know some of the lingo but at the end of the day they are freaking clueless, creating efficient and legitimate systems like these is not an exact science and incredibly hard to maintain + $ over a sustainable amount of time, hats off to those who try
    What does a "big money dog" with "legitimate backing" sound like?

    Just curious.
    Comment
    • Smutbucket
      SBR MVP
      • 03-14-08
      • 3996

      #107
      moneyfocker your argument is rediculous if you look at the type of "insults" hes recieving...no ones feeling getting hurt, more so were just getting annoyed with your trollers, if mathy added some sort of "substance" to his disagreements to this system maybe we'd all be getting somewhere.
      Comment
      • MonkeyF0cker
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-12-07
        • 12144

        #108
        Is it "rediculous" or ridiculous? Why is that word so hard for people to spell?

        I believe he is trying to help. What else would you like him to do?

        Personally, I don't care if you guys follow this model. It's your money. You're all a bunch of coinflippers regardless. Same result in the end.
        Comment
        • Extra Innings
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-26-10
          • 15058

          #109
          Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
          LMAO.

          Now that's fukkin classic.


          Look at these goofballs trashing you and mathy. How many of these type threads have you guys seen over the years
          Comment
          • frogsrangers
            Restricted User
            • 04-25-12
            • 5792

            #110
            Again I don't really care about the insults, I can understand the skepticism. Models/systems are like used car salesman, a lot of them are con men trying to push a scheme.

            But I am no tout, I would never in a million years charge for picks. Call me the anti-tout. I hate touts

            At least I am not trying to push this for money!
            Comment
            • mathdotcom
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-24-08
              • 11689

              #111
              Originally posted by Smutbucket
              idiots like mathdotcom are same idiots who were talking shit about einstein when he first came up with the lightbulb
              I should make this my signature
              Comment
              • mathdotcom
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-24-08
                • 11689

                #112
                frogs model is a classic example of KITCHEN SINK statistics
                Comment
                • Smutbucket
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-14-08
                  • 3996

                  #113
                  lol, called a mistake, (and was heavily influenced by drugs (LSD/alchohol+weed=sat.night) if you had any understanding of what I was actually saying and not so focused on a "lapse of memory" maybe you would contribute something beneficial to a thread. Ive never seen you contribute anything positive to any thread, so now you know why I think your a bitch. plus look at your pic. enough said.
                  Comment
                  • flipside2469
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-09-11
                    • 736

                    #114
                    Hilarious.

                    Originally posted by Smutbucket
                    lol, called a mistake, (and was heavily influenced by drugs (LSD/alchohol+weed=sat.night) if you had any understanding of what I was actually saying and not so focused on a "lapse of memory" maybe you would contribute something beneficial to a thread. Ive never seen you contribute anything positive to any thread, so now you know why I think your a bitch. plus look at your pic. enough said.
                    Comment
                    • ThaBigG
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 03-03-12
                      • 68

                      #115
                      Originally posted by frogsrangers
                      Today's Numbers, not a very friendly under card today:

                      -5.899 MIA/PIT
                      -4.269 BAL/CLE
                      -3.327 NYY/OAK
                      -2.911 CHW/DET
                      -2.860 MIL/CIN (8.5 total)
                      -1.933 CHC/STL
                      -1.860 MIL/CIN (8 total)
                      -1.614 TEX/LAA
                      -1.310 TOR/BOS
                      -0.869 HOU/ARI
                      -0.054 LAD/NYM
                      0.369 MIN/KC
                      1.078 COL/SD
                      1.115 SF/PHI
                      2.084 SEA/TB
                      3.123 ATL/WAS (Game 1)
                      5.983 ATL/WAS (Game 2)

                      Plays:

                      MIA/PIT U 8.5
                      BAL/CLE U 9
                      Thanks bro for the picks!
                      Comment
                      • MonkeyF0cker
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 06-12-07
                        • 12144

                        #116
                        Originally posted by mathdotcom
                        frogs model is a classic example of KITCHEN SINK statistics
                        Umm. I believe it's actually closer to the invention of the light bulb...
                        Comment
                        • b1slickguy
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-24-11
                          • 11959

                          #117
                          Looks like the kitchen sink is full of W's. Keep it up, Frogs! BOL
                          Comment
                          • a4u2fear
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-29-10
                            • 8147

                            #118
                            Originally posted by frogsrangers
                            Again I don't really care about the insults, I can understand the skepticism. Models/systems are like used car salesman, a lot of them are con men trying to push a scheme.

                            But I am no tout, I would never in a million years charge for picks. Call me the anti-tout. I hate touts

                            At least I am not trying to push this for money!
                            No one listens to mathdotcom anyway.
                            Comment
                            • RyanLeafOfBets
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-03-10
                              • 8164

                              #119
                              GL Frog. Hope this model keeps picking winners.
                              Comment
                              • MonkeyF0cker
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 06-12-07
                                • 12144

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                lol, called a mistake, (and was heavily influenced by drugs (LSD/alchohol+weed=sat.night) if you had any understanding of what I was actually saying and not so focused on a "lapse of memory" maybe you would contribute something beneficial to a thread. Ive never seen you contribute anything positive to any thread, so now you know why I think your a bitch. plus look at your pic. enough said.
                                You mean like, "Yay! You're doing so awesome!" Is that a "positive" contribution?

                                Probably not a good idea to let him know that his "model" has serious quant flaws.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #121
                                  Frogger keep up the good work

                                  I am curious to see how this develops

                                  If you have haters it means your winning
                                  Comment
                                  • SlickRick1382
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-15-11
                                    • 3838

                                    #122
                                    mIRC scripting ... damn that takes me back....

                                    Hasn't been on mIRC since back in the day when I played Pimpwar in '99-'00 and later Torn.
                                    Comment
                                    • davidchong
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-10-06
                                      • 1806

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by frogsrangers
                                      Today's Numbers:

                                      5.840 BAL/MIN
                                      3.443 PIT/COL
                                      2.994 SEA/KC
                                      2.490 NYM/WAS
                                      2.130 LAA/DET (8.5 total)
                                      1.630 LAA/DET (9 total)
                                      -0.102 SF/ATL
                                      -0.109 MIA/CHC
                                      -1.596 TOR/NYY
                                      -1.935 STL/MIL (8.5 total)
                                      -2.016 ARI/CIN
                                      -2.096 TOR/NYY
                                      -2.435 STL/MIL (9 total)
                                      -2.635 CHW/BOS
                                      -3.307 LAD/PHI
                                      -3.350 CLE/TB
                                      -6.538 TEX/OAK
                                      -6.871 HOU/SD

                                      I changed the way the factor is shown. Instead of a number from 0 going up, I decided to make 0 the baseline, meaning a factor of 0 is a 50/50 coin flip of going over or under. Any number ABOVE 0 means the total is more likely to go over, and any number BELOW 0 means the total is more likely to go under. I also added weighting (some stats are worth more than others) and deviation to the calculation method. (deviation i.e. a team batting .500 against lefties will increase the factor more than a team batting .400 against lefties, but both will increase the factor)

                                      Today's Plays:

                                      BAL/MIN Over 9
                                      TEX/OAK Under 7.5
                                      STL/MIL Under 9

                                      Not playing HOU/SD Under, because the umpire in that game has gone over 17 out of his 18 games. Even with that in mind, my calculator still liked that under there, but I am not going to go against that trend.
                                      Higher numbers is under and lower are over..... why changed?
                                      Comment
                                      • ghislaine
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-10
                                        • 1131

                                        #124
                                        Looking real good man !
                                        Keep it up
                                        Comment
                                        • frogsrangers
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 04-25-12
                                          • 5792

                                          #125
                                          All I have to say about today's number is HOLY MACKEREL... not a lot of friendly unders today. In fact I don't even feel comfortable playing PIT/CHC under.

                                          -5.2020 CHC/PIT (8 total)
                                          -4.2020 CHC/PIT (7.5 total)
                                          -1.1453 MIL/PHI
                                          -0.9600 BAL/CLE
                                          0.7983 CIN/HOU
                                          0.8653 BOS/TEX (10.5 total)
                                          0.9340 WAS/NYM
                                          0.9376 MIN/CHW
                                          1.1293 ATL/MIA
                                          1.8653 BOS/TEX (10 total)
                                          2.0417 LAD/STL
                                          3.1330 NYY/SEA
                                          5.1103 SF/SD
                                          6.6900 COL/ARI (9.5 total)
                                          7.2816 KC/LAA
                                          7.6900 COL/ARI (9 total)

                                          Today's plays:

                                          CHC/PIT U 8
                                          COL/ARI O 9
                                          KC/LAA O 7.5
                                          LAD/STL O 9
                                          Comment
                                          • Smutbucket
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-14-08
                                            • 3996

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by davidchong
                                            Higher numbers is under and lower are over..... why changed?
                                            only thing he changed was order he arranged the numbers. before he arranged highest to lowest. now hes starting with lowest at top,
                                            Comment
                                            • frogsrangers
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-25-12
                                              • 5792

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                              only thing he changed was order he arranged the numbers. before he arranged highest to lowest. now hes starting with lowest at top,
                                              It is less confusing

                                              Under = Lower number
                                              Over = Higher number

                                              The way it should be.
                                              Comment
                                              • fataliz
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-04-10
                                                • 334

                                                #128
                                                hmmm why did u choose STL/LAD when the value is @ 2, lower than a few other games which you did not choose?
                                                Comment
                                                • frogsrangers
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-25-12
                                                  • 5792

                                                  #129
                                                  Another under winner

                                                  I'm on a fukin roll
                                                  Comment
                                                  • frogsrangers
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-25-12
                                                    • 5792

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by fataliz
                                                    hmmm why did u choose STL/LAD when the value is @ 2, lower than a few other games which you did not choose?
                                                    Discretionary pick

                                                    I liked the weathrr and pitchers
                                                    Comment
                                                    • nrok2118
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-10-12
                                                      • 1182

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by frogsrangers
                                                      Another under winner

                                                      I'm on a fukin roll

                                                      Cant beleive not only will this hit, but easily! Wish I tailed...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • frogsrangers
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-25-12
                                                        • 5792

                                                        #132
                                                        But, my ability to pick overs with this continues to suffer.

                                                        I should really stick to unders only.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ab34
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-30-11
                                                          • 570

                                                          #133
                                                          good work
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ez Money 77
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-23-11
                                                            • 2585

                                                            #134
                                                            Hey good job Calvin. Honestly all the hate that goes on in this thread is unreal to me. I don't get it. I mean if you think something is flawed why not add more than, "This system sucks, it's flawed." I mean we are all here to help each other, or so I thought. Let FR know if there is something he can change/add to his system. Do u have to just go around saying everyone else is doing something wrong when all they are doing is putting something up for FREE that is only trying to help others? It's not like he is saying okay pay me $50 a week or no plays for you. U either tail/fade/stfu take your pick. Now I'm done.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tb1984
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-11-08
                                                              • 3112

                                                              #135
                                                              Good job, Frog.
                                                              These trolls are just jealous and smart-a s s. They just want to show-off their intelligence. Come on!!! give me a break, it's a freaking sports betting forum? Ok, we get it, you're a genius. But, why don't you bring your knowledge to a tech forum? Why do you have to talk down to people?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MonkeyF0cker
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 06-12-07
                                                                • 12144

                                                                #136
                                                                So sensitive.

                                                                I believe Mathy was just offering a warning.

                                                                Brock Landers went on a great run in 2008 or so. Doesn't. Mean. Anything.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Extra Innings
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-26-10
                                                                  • 15058

                                                                  #137
                                                                  This guy should sell access to this gold mine.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • frogsrangers
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-25-12
                                                                    • 5792

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Look for plays tomorrow between 8 and 10:30 Pacific Time. 11 and 1:30 Eastern Time.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Extra Innings
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-26-10
                                                                      • 15058

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Speaking of Gold Mines...I'm selling one, like new, for $180,000. There is at least 10 million worth of gold on this land. PM for details.


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tb1984
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-11-08
                                                                        • 3112

                                                                        #140
                                                                        He thinks I'm talking about him. Not even a chance. Don't be sensitive
                                                                        Comment
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