Put in a big parlay. Grinding it out

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • govolz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-26-12
    • 952

    #1
    Put in a big parlay. Grinding it out
    Machida
    -325

    Browne
    -300

    Anyone else on either of these?
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    what is it?
    Comment
    • Mikeyanks23
      SBR MVP
      • 11-30-10
      • 4517

      #3
      your avatar is sexy

      your avatar makes me hard

      hopefully thats you and you will come over and be my sex slave next weekend
      Comment
      • The Bet Master
        SBR MVP
        • 09-29-10
        • 2665

        #4
        I'm on Machida. I think Rothwell could give Browne problems. Little early for this parlay anyways.
        Comment
        • Jesus Christ
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-25-11
          • 935

          #5
          Ben takes out Browne in my opinion.
          Comment
          • AdamB
            SBR High Roller
            • 07-10-12
            • 197

            #6
            I feel Machida is a very difficult stylistic match-up for Bader, and Machida should win that fight 9/10 times. In regards to Rothwell, it'd be worth waiting to see the weigh-ins before betting - if he comes in lean like his last fight, he could well give Browne trouble.
            Comment
            • scofflaw
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-12-11
              • 182

              #7
              Originally posted by AdamB
              I feel Machida is a very difficult stylistic match-up for Bader, and Machida should win that fight 9/10 times. In regards to Rothwell, it'd be worth waiting to see the weigh-ins before betting - if he comes in lean like his last fight, he could well give Browne trouble.
              Well said. I really like Machida over Bader and that will be my largest play of the night. I'll be waiting for the weigh-ins to see if I want to make a play on Browne/Rothwell. We'll see the lines close up a little if Rothwell shows up looking even better than his last fight. I do lean Browne to win this fight but I won't touch it at the current line.

              So far I've parlayed Machida + Rousey. 100 to win 53.5. Might parlay Machida + Varner too
              Comment
              • Kaladarus
                SBR MVP
                • 11-11-09
                • 1876

                #8
                I'd rather be on the other side for both fights. Machida has lost 3 out of his last 4 fights and his only win was against a 54 year old Randy Couture. Bader looks like he getting better and may be able to figure Machida out. If he controls the pace and stays all the way out or goes all the way in, he could get the decision. Rothwell is very tough and may be able to out last Browne or even give him trouble from the start of the fight. Browne has had problems with guys that have lasted past the first half of the fight.
                Comment
                • govolz
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-26-12
                  • 952

                  #9
                  I just don't see machida losing here... No chance... But I do agree the Browne fight is going to be a little closer. I went on a jumped on it just in case the public moved the line up... I think browne will win by decision
                  Comment
                  • Playmaker
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-15-08
                    • 285

                    #10
                    I like Machida myself but feel Shogun is a great bet over Vera at minus 345 ..Seems like the safe play for Fox
                    Comment
                    • Crassus
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-08-12
                      • 1538

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Kaladarus
                      I'd rather be on the other side for both fights. Machida has lost 3 out of his last 4 fights and his only win was against a 54 year old Randy Couture. Bader looks like he getting better and may be able to figure Machida out. If he controls the pace and stays all the way out or goes all the way in, he could get the decision. Rothwell is very tough and may be able to out last Browne or even give him trouble from the start of the fight. Browne has had problems with guys that have lasted past the first half of the fight.
                      Rothwell and Machida are good bets.

                      Bader is the best match-up for Machida, a slow plodding wrestler with not the best takedowns and a very simplistic stand up. Machida isn't going down and he will pick Bader apart standing. Bader's got a chance sure, but I'd play Machida.

                      I like Rothwell at + odds against Browne. Browne barely beat Kongo (iirc) and Rothwell has a much stronger chin as well as better punching power. He looked awesome against Schaub and I'd he has a good chance of beating him.
                      Comment
                      • Jesus Christ
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-25-11
                        • 935

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Crassus
                        Rothwell and Machida are good bets.

                        Bader is the best match-up for Machida, a slow plodding wrestler with not the best takedowns and a very simplistic stand up. Machida isn't going down and he will pick Bader apart standing. Bader's got a chance sure, but I'd play Machida.

                        I like Rothwell at + odds against Browne. Browne barely beat Kongo (iirc) and Rothwell has a much stronger chin as well as better punching power. He looked awesome against Schaub and I'd he has a good chance of beating him.

                        Browne basically lost to Kongo but came away with a draw cause of a point deduction...and I agree I think Rothwell is an awesome play at the current odds.
                        Comment
                        • gabe
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-12-11
                          • 7405

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                          Browne basically lost to Kongo but came away with a draw cause of a point deduction...and I agree I think Rothwell is an awesome play at the current odds.
                          Let me ask you this, let's say you can get both fighters at even money, who would you take? Browne for +100 or Rothwell for +100?
                          Comment
                          • bogbat
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-21-10
                            • 1843

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                            Browne basically lost to Kongo but came away with a draw cause of a point deduction...and I agree I think Rothwell is an awesome play at the current odds.
                            lol Kongo blatantly cheated that entire fight. He was lucky he didn't get 2 or 3 point deductions.
                            Comment
                            • Jesus Christ
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-25-11
                              • 935

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gabe
                              Let me ask you this, let's say you can get both fighters at even money, who would you take? Browne for +100 or Rothwell for +100?
                              Personally I have this at -150 for Browne so at the current numbers I will bet Rothwell...if hypothetically I could get Browne at evens, yes I would bet him.
                              Comment
                              • Jesus Christ
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-25-11
                                • 935

                                #16
                                Originally posted by bogbat
                                lol Kongo blatantly cheated that entire fight. He was lucky he didn't get 2 or 3 point deductions.
                                I'm not arguing that..but truth is Travis won the first round then faded the rest of the fight and was a 29-28 decision for Kongo without the deduction..I was very happy to see Kongo finally get deducted for his cheating whether it be holding the shorts, cage, or kneeing someone's balls into next week.
                                Comment
                                • bigjah15
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-20-10
                                  • 1437

                                  #17
                                  Machida will not be taken down therefore machida wins
                                  Comment
                                  • illmatick
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-05-09
                                    • 5456

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                                    Personally I have this at -150 for Browne so at the current numbers I will bet Rothwell...if hypothetically I could get Browne at evens, yes I would bet him.
                                    -150? How?

                                    Even though he faded a bit against Broughton, I think he's done a much better job at pacing himself since that Kongo fight-- a lot less wasted motion in his footwork and feints. I think he was just trying to overly showcase his Dominick-Cruz-footwork in that first round with Cheick.....similar example would be Mike Easton's first round against Byron Bloodworth. Since those fights, they've both abandoned that bullshit to an extent .

                                    That said, I could still see there being value on Rothwell by submission, might be able to score a takedown late in the fight.
                                    Comment
                                    • JerseyRobby
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-14-11
                                      • 1494

                                      #19
                                      Ben Rothwell was in great shape but how much of that performance was his training and how much of it was just Schaub having a glass chin. The fact that the fight was so short kind of hurts when grading his striking improvements. While Ben has always been a striker he has never been an explosive one punch KO guy but if you watch Schaub he pretty much makes all people look like a one punch KO guy. When anybody touches his chin he folds up like a lawn chair in hi-light reel fashion.
                                      Comment
                                      • GunShard
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-05-10
                                        • 10031

                                        #20
                                        You should watch full fight videos of Machida and Bader's past fights.

                                        Bader is a wrestler, look for Machida footage on his takedown defense and how he defends against it. Remember when Ortiz did a triangle choke against Machida? You have to consider if Bader will do that to him.
                                        Machida is a striker, look for Bader footage on how he dodges and absorbs opponent strikes and how he fights back.

                                        That's how I analyze videos as well as other factors not mentioned.
                                        Comment
                                        • Crassus
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-12
                                          • 1538

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by GunShard
                                          You should watch full fight videos of Machida and Bader's past fights.

                                          Bader is a wrestler, look for Machida footage on his takedown defense and how he defends against it. Remember when Ortiz did a triangle choke against Machida? You have to consider if Bader will do that to him.
                                          Machida is a striker, look for Bader footage on how he dodges and absorbs opponent strikes and how he fights back.

                                          That's how I analyze videos as well as other factors not mentioned.
                                          Has Bader ever attempted a submission? I can't really remember a fight where he has. I also haven't done much research into it but Bader's had...serviceable striking at best.
                                          Comment
                                          • Educ8d Degener8
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-12-10
                                            • 3177

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Crassus
                                            Has Bader ever attempted a submission? I can't really remember a fight where he has. I also haven't done much research into it but Bader's had...serviceable striking at best.
                                            Against Marrero, he went for a kimura, an armbar, and an arm triangle.
                                            Comment
                                            • Crassus
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-12
                                              • 1538

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                                              Browne basically lost to Kongo but came away with a draw cause of a point deduction...and I agree I think Rothwell is an awesome play at the current odds.
                                              WOO! JC agreed with me. **** yeah!

                                              Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8
                                              Against Marrero, he went for a kimura, an armbar, and an arm triangle.
                                              Well color me shocked.

                                              Originally posted by JerseyRobby
                                              Ben Rothwell was in great shape but how much of that performance was his training and how much of it was just Schaub having a glass chin. The fact that the fight was so short kind of hurts when grading his striking improvements. While Ben has always been a striker he has never been an explosive one punch KO guy but if you watch Schaub he pretty much makes all people look like a one punch KO guy. When anybody touches his chin he folds up like a lawn chair in hi-light reel fashion.
                                              Fair point. But, Ben Rothwell being in crazy good shape would beat Travis Browne at this point. Browne is good don't get me wrong but Big Ben Rothwell is a bad bad man. Not to mention this will be one of the first times Browne is facing a dude roughly as strong and big as him, who won't get bullied.
                                              Comment
                                              • scofflaw
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 06-12-11
                                                • 182

                                                #24
                                                Also on the parlay subject... Not Henderson by Decision is a freebie @ -1800 if you don't mind your money being tied up that long
                                                Comment
                                                • Vaughany
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                  • 45563

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by scofflaw
                                                  Also on the parlay subject... Not Henderson by Decision is a freebie @ -1800 if you don't mind your money being tied up that long
                                                  lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    lol
                                                    Meant to "lol" at Gunshards Bader triangle comment and not tht Henderson one!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vaughany
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                      • 45563

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8
                                                      Against Marrero, he went for a kimura, an armbar, and an arm triangle.
                                                      Bader also beat Kingsbu by arm-triangle to get in to the house on TUF...nonetheless...he aint subbing Machida!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • v1y
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-02-11
                                                        • 1138

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by GunShard
                                                        Remember when Ortiz did a triangle choke against Machida? .
                                                        clearly a pressing question in analyzing this fight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        Search
                                                        Collapse
                                                        SBR Contests
                                                        Collapse
                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                        Collapse
                                                        Working...