Kentucky killed the "so-called" self proclaimed sharps!

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  • RITZ
    SBR MVP
    • 11-03-09
    • 1992

    #1
    Kentucky killed the "so-called" self proclaimed sharps!
    All that talk about sharps and Kansas dog play just goes to show again it's ok to go with the public IF it's the best team and the right play. Don't blindly follow the against the public crap. Kentucky was a public play/the right play. Sharps not so sharp now as public is counting their winnings!
  • MoneyLineDawg
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-01-09
    • 13253

    #2
    Sharp/Public shit is dead now with everyone having access to almost everything.....Vegas makes their money now on trap lines over time with info the public either overlooks or has no access to
    Comment
    • onlooker
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 36572

      #3
      I was sharp, because I didn't bet the game.
      Comment
      • ZetaPsi808
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-18-08
        • 12119

        #4
        1 game sample size pal.
        Comment
        • Housemoney
          SBR MVP
          • 09-17-09
          • 3912

          #5
          Lost $500 + points on Kansas and I am far from sharp.
          Comment
          • zoo youk
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-11
            • 10701

            #6
            kentucky was the "sharp play"

            just cause someone picks an under dog doesnt always mean its "sharp"
            Comment
            • Illusivecone
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-08-08
              • 771

              #7
              I'm sharp. I cashed on both KU and UK

              Live betting FTW!
              Comment
              • CrazyCarl
                SBR MVP
                • 10-09-11
                • 1437

                #8
                The public doesn't always lose, just usually. Case in point, NFL last year, vegas got beat for the year I believe and lost many weeks on the plays that the public hammered and the sharps bet along with vegas.

                I was shocked the refs weren't for KU this game -- I actually think UK got 2-3 more calls compared to what it deserved (not blaming the loss on the refs -- UK deserved it). Very interesting, perhaps Vegas didn't have the fix on in this game.

                If you feel really good about a game, and have solid reasons to back it up, bet it and don't worry about the public. But fading the public does well overtime, so it's something to keep in mind on games you're less sure about.
                Comment
                • ChalkyDog
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-02-11
                  • 9598

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Illusivecone
                  I'm sharp. I cashed on both KU and UK

                  Live betting FTW!
                  Heard that! Didn't live bet, but cashed on both sides on 2 different halves.

                  The game was easy money... for anyone that followed cbb this year, or at the very least this tourney.
                  Comment
                  • Ralphie Halves
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-13-09
                    • 4507

                    #10
                    I'm a tailer (hit the under, thanks IC!!), but it always seems like the "sharp play" is automatically the dog on a neutral court. Any truth to that?
                    Comment
                    • CrazyCarl
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-09-11
                      • 1437

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
                      I'm a tailer (hit the under, thanks IC!!), but it always seems like the "sharp play" is automatically the dog on a neutral court. Any truth to that?
                      The sharp play is fading the public. -Especially- if the public bets heavy on one side and Vegas refuses to shift the lines.

                      The public gets more hyped up about good teams and also overreacts to bad weeks, so yes, underdogs and bad teams do turn out to be "sharp plays" more often than the favorites do.
                      Comment
                      • peacebyinches
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-13-10
                        • 1112

                        #12
                        no. sharps is not a real thing, everyone; everywhere; who has done anything; ever; is not a sharp, we are all apart of the public.

                        the very degenerate, dumb, smelly, public
                        Comment
                        • CrazyCarl
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-09-11
                          • 1437

                          #13
                          Originally posted by peacebyinches
                          no. sharps is not a real thing, everyone; everywhere; who has done anything; ever; is not a sharp, we are all apart of the public.

                          the very degenerate, dumb, smelly, public
                          The public means the majority in this sense. But I guess it's cool to take it out of context.
                          Comment
                          • Illusivecone
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-08-08
                            • 771

                            #14
                            Originally posted by peacebyinches
                            no. sharps is not a real thing, everyone; everywhere; who has done anything; ever; is not a sharp, we are all apart of the public.

                            the very degenerate, dumb, smelly, public
                            I don't think I can more vehemently disagree with a post

                            Speak to a random person in a sports bar
                            Comment
                            • byronbb
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-08
                              • 3067

                              #15
                              Were they on the over too???
                              Comment
                              • InTheDrink
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-23-09
                                • 23983

                                #16
                                Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                The public doesn't always lose, just usually. Case in point, NFL last year, vegas got beat for the year I believe and lost many weeks on the plays that the public hammered and the sharps bet along with vegas.

                                I was shocked the refs weren't for KU this game -- I actually think UK got 2-3 more calls compared to what it deserved (not blaming the loss on the refs -- UK deserved it). Very interesting, perhaps Vegas didn't have the fix on in this game.

                                If you feel really good about a game, and have solid reasons to back it up, bet it and don't worry about the public. But fading the public does well overtime, so it's something to keep in mind on games you're less sure about.
                                You did so well in the other thread but this is a total fail

                                The public hits 50% over time. Tail them or fade them you're still gonna pay the juice. Add in shit money management that most have and there you have why books crush most bettors.
                                Comment
                                • CrazyCarl
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-09-11
                                  • 1437

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by byronbb
                                  Were they on the over too???
                                  I never saw the statistics but I'm pretty sure the public hammered the over.
                                  Comment
                                  • convick
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-03-11
                                    • 3954

                                    #18
                                    How do you know sharps werent on Kentucky?
                                    Comment
                                    • CrazyCarl
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-09-11
                                      • 1437

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                      You did so well in the other thread but this is a total fail

                                      The public hits 50% over time. Tail them or fade them you're still gonna pay the juice. Add in shit money management that most have and there you have why books crush most bettors.
                                      Not sure which thread you're talking about, but thanks.

                                      Majority does not hit 50% of the time, that's just wrong (talking about games with the majority largely on one side). Just look it up. Most sharp plays do do well over time, and most sharps lost in the NFL last year while the public had an unusually good year. There are trap lines all the time and it's not wrong to say that vegas usually wins them. No, they don't always get, and don't always want 50% action on both sides. And when they don't, Vegas usually wins. Fact.

                                      But what you were saying about ridiculous money management is absolutely right.
                                      Comment
                                      • vaas187
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-01-12
                                        • 2280

                                        #20
                                        i was sharp because i made 5 K today

                                        but i've lost my fair share recent so this is a nice change
                                        Comment
                                        • InTheDrink
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-23-09
                                          • 23983

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                          Not sure which thread you're talking about, but thanks.

                                          Majority does not hit 50% of the time, that's just wrong. Just look it up. Most sharp plays do do well over time, and most sharps lost in the NFL last year while the public had an unusually good year. There are trap lines all the time and it's not wrong to say that vegas usually wins them. No, they don't always get, and don't always want 50% action on both sides. And when they don't, Vegas usually wins. Fact.

                                          No offense guy but you have no idea what you're talking about.

                                          Go ahead and watch any of these capping contests that they have on here on sbr and after thousands and thousands of plays every contest the total aggregate hits right around 50%.

                                          And if you read these threads around here you know that most are not "sharps" on here.
                                          Comment
                                          • CrazyCarl
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-09-11
                                            • 1437

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                            No offense guy but you have no idea what you're talking about.

                                            Go ahead and watch any of these capping contests that they have on here on sbr and after thousands and thousands of plays every contest the total aggregate hits right around 50%.

                                            And if you read these threads around here you know that most are not "sharps" on here.
                                            I edited my post a bit to make it a bit more clear while you were replying. I'm not talking about ALL bets, I'm only talking about the ones where the public is largely on one side.

                                            Sharp plays do do well generally and if you ignore that then you are ignoring many years that back it up.
                                            Comment
                                            • BettingWizard
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-28-09
                                              • 6522

                                              #23
                                              temporary loan


                                              brock is proof of this
                                              Comment
                                              • InTheDrink
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-23-09
                                                • 23983

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                                I edited my post a bit to make it a bit more clear while you were replying. I'm not talking about ALL bets, I'm only talking about the ones where the public is largely on one side.

                                                Sharp plays do do well generally and if you ignore that then you are ignoring many years that back it up.
                                                Well that makes more sense but as someone posted earlier that edge is gone. Watch any number of the reverse line movement threads on here and you'll see that they'll go on a run and then take a bath...but ultimately end up around 50% with a loss. The problem is that the "public" knows about some of these angles and jumps on so it's not an angle anymore.
                                                Comment
                                                • convick
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-03-11
                                                  • 3954

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                                  I edited my post a bit to make it a bit more clear while you were replying. I'm not talking about ALL bets, I'm only talking about the ones where the public is largely on one side.

                                                  Sharp plays do do well generally and if you ignore that then you are ignoring many years that back it up.
                                                  You talking 55-45 split? 60/40? 70/30? 80/20? What, by your definition, constitutes a "large" public play?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Duff85
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-15-10
                                                    • 2920

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by RITZ
                                                    All that talk about sharps and Kansas dog play just goes to show again it's ok to go with the public IF it's the best team and the right play. Don't blindly follow the against the public crap. Kentucky was a public play/the right play. Sharps not so sharp now as public is counting their winnings!
                                                    Yo Ritzy - enjoy the win today - its just a loan. Anyone who is sharp at sports betting knows that any game is just one tiny investment. They bet accordingly - donks like you crack some wood over "good teams" and bet regardless of value. So yep you won today, but the books will get their money back bro.

                                                    There is a reason Blowvada will let you bet any amount you want on any game, yet most of the "so-called sharps" can't get shit down. Think about it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 19th Hole
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-22-09
                                                      • 18957

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                                      I never saw the statistics but I'm pretty sure the public hammered the over.
                                                      65% Over
                                                      35% Under
                                                      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
                                                      62% Ky
                                                      38% Kan
                                                      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
                                                      MoneyLine
                                                      Kan 27%
                                                      Ky 73%
                                                      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
                                                      "Sharps" has become overused and meaningless by
                                                      people throwing terms around randomly.

                                                      Today everyone has access to necessary information
                                                      and there is no excuse for not making an informed, intelligent
                                                      wager.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CrazyCarl
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-09-11
                                                        • 1437

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by InTheDrink

                                                        Well that makes more sense but as someone posted earlier that edge is gone. Watch any number of the reverse line movement threads on here and you'll see that they'll go on a run and then take a bath...but ultimately end up around 50% with a loss. The problem is that the "public" knows about some of these angles and jumps on so it's not an angle anymore.
                                                        That's probably somewhat true, but I'd argue that an edge is still there. Most bettors will continue ignoring these things for eternity.

                                                        Originally posted by convick

                                                        You talking 55-45 split? 60/40? 70/30? 80/20? What, by your definition, constitutes a "large" public play?
                                                        I'd say 60/40 doesn't count as juice still just about makes up for that. Just depends on who you talk to. If you want to go looking into some statistics I'd like to be involved in it whether or not they back me up. My claims are based on various sharps who do well year after year using these ideas and did bad last year when these big public plays mostly won (in the NFL).

                                                        For my claims, I'd say 65%+ or so would probably lose more often than not.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CrazyCarl
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-09-11
                                                          • 1437

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by 19th Hole
                                                          Today everyone has access to necessary information
                                                          and there is no excuse for not making an informed, intelligent
                                                          wager.
                                                          Most people are irrational.

                                                          --

                                                          For the record, I don't consider most touts to be sharps.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 19th Hole
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-22-09
                                                            • 18957

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                                            Most people are irrational.

                                                            --

                                                            For the record, I don't consider most touts to be sharps.
                                                            Goes w/o saying....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BernardMadoff
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-12-09
                                                              • 6679

                                                              #31
                                                              Funny people always have opinions about such AFTER the game, couple bounces here or there and there would have been threads about how KY was square, you guys are hilarious.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sweethook
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-21-07
                                                                • 12667

                                                                #32
                                                                why take ku , did they see them play againts ohio st.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CrazyCarl
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-09-11
                                                                  • 1437

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                                                  Funny people always have opinions about such AFTER the game, couple bounces here or there and there would have been threads about how KY was square, you guys are hilarious.
                                                                  To be fair, most of the KY backers put their money where their mouth was.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BookiesBernanke
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-09-10
                                                                    • 849

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The Line was 6 and it ended up 8... basically a coin flip, could have went either way
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LVHerbie
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-15-05
                                                                      • 6344

                                                                      #35
                                                                      If the squares didn't win every now and then the industry couldn't sustain itself since all that would be left is sharps and Brock Landers...
                                                                      Comment
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