BIGDAY/HayZeus Cryste - MMA help

[RyanLeafOfBets]

I feel like betting on some of the fights Saturday.
Entering the SBR contest pumped me up.
I don't know a single thing about it.
I just guessed winners/ways they would win.
Know nothing about the fighting styles.

So, I was wondering if you guys could each give me your best value bet so I can tail.
Going to throw $50 on each fight you guys tell me to, so please don't make it a -425 favorite.
If the bet hits, you'll get a thank you video and points.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

you need a book that allows MMA parlays..gotta parlay the favorites

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I like Henderson in the main..not betting a lot because i respect the hell out of Edgar, just feel like Henderson's size and strength will be too much.

Some favs I like in parlays are Okami, Kongo for sure..a little less I like Rampage and Shields

Palaszewski and Lauzon are live dogs

[RyanLeafOfBets]

you need a book that allows MMA parlays..gotta parlay the favorites

Yeah... if I hit my parlay on 5D, I'll do that.
If not, BI doesn't allow parlays.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

check out the MMA Forum..some good cappers in there..lots of great discussion in Vaughany's thread

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/522565-vaughanys-mma-picks.html

[RyanLeafOfBets]

I like Henderson in the main..not betting a lot because i respect the hell out of Edgar, just feel like Henderson's size and strength will be too much.

Some favs I like in parlays are Okami, Kongo for sure..a little less I like Rampage and Shields

Palaszewski and Lauzon are live dogs

You usually do well on MMA?
I just know BIGDAY and Jesus are the self-appointed SBR experts

[RyanLeafOfBets]

check out the MMA Forum..some good cappers in there..lots of great discussion in Vaughany's thread

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma...mma-picks.html

Great, thanks for the help Jake. I'd give you points if I wasn't fresh out

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I do pretty well, watch every event..no worries

[Vaughany]

Who is HayZeus Cryste?!

[RyanLeafOfBets]

Who is HayZeus Cryste?!

Jesus Christ. I was just being dumb.
Vaughany, I went back like 7 pages on your thread. Still no clue who you bet on.
I'm not trying to Arb... Can you give me any good picks?

[Vaughany]

Jesus Christ. I was just being dumb.
Vaughany, I went back like 7 pages on your thread. Still no clue who you bet on.
I'm not trying to Arb... Can you give me any good picks?

haha oh yeah I see now.

Rampage and Kongo are my main picks but I got them at openers. Certainly wouldnt play them at current lines

I'll lay out my picks later but Gabe is the dude to speak to....he's a straight baller with monster locks

[BIGDAY]

you need a book that allows MMA parlays..gotta parlay the favorites

Book with parlays is key.

Leafer, you crack me up.

Only wager I have so far is Rampage and Kongo parlayed.

I actually like Edgar but was hoping line would continue to fall for him to be +EV. Still might be after public sees how big Henderson is compared to little Frankie.

I personally think this will be a favorite card. Maybe only 1-3 dogs cash imo. GL

[BIGDAY]

Leafer, I'm not near the best at MMA.

Just lucky.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

haha oh yeah I see now.

Rampage and Kongo are my main picks but I got them at openers. Certainly wouldnt play them at current lines

I'll lay out my picks later but Gabe is the dude to speak to....he's a straight baller with monster locks

gabe cracks me up..a legend in his own mind

[mcduggly]

How sure are you guys about the Kongo play? Is that the one you guys like best?

[Vaughany]

If ur not sure can just hedge with Hunt by TKO or KO of the Night, dont see him winning any other way

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I like kongo quite a bit..that said, it's a heavyweight fight and one punch can end it..I usually check Vaughany's picks along with a few others and if they like the same as me, I feel more confident.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

If ur not sure can just hedge with Hunt by TKO or KO of the Night, dont see him winning any other way

agreed

[RyanLeafOfBets]

Threw $30 to win $42 on BART PALASZEWSKI.

Sounds like a winner based off name alone.

[BIGDAY]

Threw $30 to win $42 on BART PALASZEWSKI.

Sounds like a winner based off name alone.

You cap like MmaChicka! Looks at names and weigh in photos.

[Jesus Christ]

I agree with many above that the 2 safest bets on the card are Kongo and Rampage....if you're looking for some underdogs who have really strong chance of an upset it would be Eiji Mitsuoka and Ben Henderson.

[Educ8d Degener8]

I agree with JC here...

Though one thing worries me about Page...

Page's motivation after the loss to Jones -- will he still have it, after likely realizing he ain't gonna be sniffing that belt again. I tend to think he'll at least be motivated back in the land of his glory, for this fight at least. Already have some on Page, and am waiting to see what shape he comes in at weigh-ins, which might cost me a juice penalty... whatevs.

I'm waiting for popularity steam to come in on the Fireball Kid, and then plan to make a play on Mitsuoka.

[Jesus Christ]

I'm waiting for popularity steam to come in on the Fireball Kid, and then plan to make a play on Mitsuoka.

[Vaughany]

I agree with JC here...

Though one thing worries me about Page...

Page's motivation after the loss to Jones -- will he still have it, after likely realizing he ain't gonna be sniffing that belt again. I tend to think he'll at least be motivated back in the land of his glory, for this fight at least. Already have some on Page, and am waiting to see what shape he comes in at weigh-ins, which might cost me a juice penalty... whatevs.

I'm waiting for popularity steam to come in on the Fireball Kid, and then plan to make a play on Mitsuoka.

I dont think "motivation" will be an issue at all. He's never been in to the whole training and being strategic thing. Whether motivated or not, he was never going to train as hard as Bader trains or be in comparable shape to Bader. But at least he is back fighting in Japan - a fight he was campaigning for and almost fell out with Zuffa over because they didnt offer him a fight at first. He wont wanna look like a chump in the place that made him what he is. The fact that he is saying "I don't care if I win or lose" may seem like he isn't motivated and may be worrying at first glance. But I'm actually glad he's saying that. Means he is going to fight like he use to - throwing caution to the wind, not constantly worrying about being on the defensive like he perhaps got tied up in in previous fights against likes of Machida and Rashad. Hopefully this will mean he will be pushing forward from the start. This is what I want to see when fighting somebody like Bader, constantly pushing forward applying pressure. Bader isnt good when stepping back on his heels, his counter striking is mediocre - his striking is only potentially dangerous when he's charging forward with the big over-hand right.

[Fieldysnuts44]

Leafer, I'm not near the best at MMA.

Just lucky.

Cmon BigDay,you might not be the best but your definitely one of the better MMA cappers on the site.I watch a lot of MMA fights but I tail a lot of your plays. Everytime I hear Kongo's name,I cant help but think of the fight last year when he came out and got waffled,looks like the fights over, and somehow Kongo gets up and knocks the dude flat the fukk out.

[gabe]

Who is HayZeus Cryste?!

Jesus Christ.

haha oh yeah I see now.

Can't believe you had to ask. smh - always don't get the simplest things. and often arguments arise from them. strange dude, i swear.

[gabe]

gabe cracks me up..a legend in his own mind

I don't call myself a legend or anything of that nature lol so it doesn't make sense that you say I'm a legend in my own mind... but have my picks been solid over the past few months? yes. have i been rubbing it in your faces? no. i only mention that i do well when i'm defending myself. if that cracks you up, you're a ratard.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I don't call myself a legend or anything of that nature lol so it doesn't make sense that you say I'm a legend in my own mind... but have my picks been solid over the past few months? yes. have i been rubbing it in your faces? no. i only mention that i do well when i'm defending myself. if that cracks you up, you're a ratard.

not downing you, you have a very high opinion of yourself and go to any means necessary to get your points across..it is funny all the debating that you do, which cracks me up..If that makes me a ratard, so be it

[RyanLeafOfBets]

I never look at any of the sub-forums, so I have no clue who you are Gabe.
But, give me some leans!

[gabe]

not downing you, you have a very high opinion of yourself and go to any means necessary to get your points across..it is funny all the debating that you do, which cracks me up..If that makes me a ratard, so be it

I defend myself when haters talk shit, so I have a very high opinion of myself? And that makes you uncomfortable because you have a low opinion of yourself? I'm not sure I get it.

For the record, it is news to me that saying I'm smart and do well at capping UFC means I have a high opinion of myself lmfao i can't take you seriously, you're just trolling.

[gabe]

I never look at any of the sub-forums, so I have no clue who you are Gabe.
But, give me some leans!

Henderson and Bart are nice dogs worth playing

Okami, Rampage, Shields, Kongo are favorites that should cash

[JAKEPEAVY21]

never once said that you were smart and do well at capping...just never seen anyone go with the constant back and forth "defending yourself", must have little man's complex or something..who gives a fukk what the haters say and go about your business..

[BIGDAY]

Cmon BigDay,you might not be the best but your definitely one of the better MMA cappers on the site.I watch a lot of MMA fights but I tail a lot of your plays. Everytime I hear Kongo's name,I cant help but think of the fight last year when he came out and got waffled,looks like the fights over, and somehow Kongo gets up and knocks the dude flat the fukk out.

Glad I've been able to help.

Fight was amazing! Epic recovery and finish.

[King Mayan]

Pound Henderson, Bader, and Hunt, hard and firm.

[gabe]

never once said that you were smart and do well at capping...just never seen anyone go with the constant back and forth "defending yourself", must have little man's complex or something..who gives a fukk what the haters say and go about your business..

In other words, you've never seen anyone get hated on so much and be put in a position where they have to either respond or ignore? Because I don't ignore them, I have a little man's complex? lol

You said I think too highly of myself or whatever... and only evidence of that is talking positively about my UFC capping and mentioning that I'm smart... I haven't talked myself up in any other regard, I don't think. So your accusation pretty much holds no ground.