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  • aggieshawn
    SBR MVP
    • 01-24-07
    • 4378

    #1
    To Betfair Users..
    For every horse race there is always a wager for 1.01 & 1.02 % risk on every horse to win.
    Other bets for a horse at 1:1 odds for 50-1 risk.

    Do you actually think that these bets are booked enough for these people to make it worth their effort posting these bets?

    Should I hire a kid to do this too?
    After all of these years you would think they would tired of doing this work?

    Curious????
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    all you need Son

    Comment
    • chance
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-16-08
      • 682

      #3
      It is just a bot doing it. Not something you would be proud to tell anyone you did it though.
      Comment
      • aggieshawn
        SBR MVP
        • 01-24-07
        • 4378

        #4
        Yeah, I though that just after I posted. The program still cost $149. Still wonder if they get lucky and hit % per day?
        Comment
        • chance
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 06-16-08
          • 682

          #5
          We have all made mistakes entering bets so they probably pick up a little loose change here and there.
          Comment
          • chance
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-16-08
            • 682

            #6
            I was at a Betfair function prior to a cricket match about 18 months ago and another horse punter asked one of the Betfair managers about this. So the bot has obviously been doing it's thing for a while now.
            Comment
            • hels
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-12-09
              • 8767

              #7
              Originally posted by aggieshawn
              Yeah, I though that just after I posted. The program still cost $149. Still wonder if they get lucky and hit % per day?
              If they didn't make money they wouldn't do it. Simple as that.
              Comment
              • aggieshawn
                SBR MVP
                • 01-24-07
                • 4378

                #8
                Only two people do it for most races as the prebet amounts are always the same.
                One guy for 1.01 and One guy for 1.02
                Maybe I should get in there for 1.03
                Comment
                • brettels
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-04-10
                  • 3376

                  #9
                  Not related to the op, but, milos raonic is offering 1.36 at betfair, if i request 1.40 what are the chances it gets matched? i've only had one bet matched and that was .02 difference.
                  Comment
                  • Hareeba!
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 07-01-06
                    • 37347

                    #10
                    Originally posted by brettels
                    Not related to the op, but, milos raonic is offering 1.36 at betfair, if i request 1.40 what are the chances it gets matched? i've only had one bet matched and that was .02 difference.
                    almost guaranteed
                    Comment
                    • brettels
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-04-10
                      • 3376

                      #11
                      OK then, on an average, how much can you UP the odds and get them matched! what if i requested .10 more than whats auto accepted at the time?
                      Comment
                      • Hareeba!
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 07-01-06
                        • 37347

                        #12
                        Originally posted by brettels
                        OK then, on an average, how much can you UP the odds and get them matched! what if i requested .10 more than whats auto accepted at the time?
                        every event is different
                        10c from 1.30 to 1.40 is huge expectation
                        10c from 5.50 to 5.60 is nothing

                        and always check what's on offer elsewhere as a guide to what's likely .. you may have left this one a bit late but more often than not if you're not too greedy you'll get more than the books are betting by placing bids earlier
                        Comment
                        • brettels
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-04-10
                          • 3376

                          #13
                          Aren't you a trader? jump in and accept my odds request!
                          Comment
                          • Hareeba!
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-01-06
                            • 37347

                            #14
                            Originally posted by brettels
                            Aren't you a trader? jump in and accept my odds request!
                            For all your stalking of my posts you really have little understanding of me do you? One would have thought you'd have realised by now that I'm not a trader, arber, scalper or bonus whore.
                            Comment
                            • brettels
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-04-10
                              • 3376

                              #15
                              Thats funny coming from you!
                              Comment
                              • goty0405
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-29-11
                                • 123

                                #16
                                I've written many Betfair bots in my time and I can tell you that you will need to come up with your own angle if you want to be successful. Copying someone else is a recipe for disaster.

                                Those ones you see at 1.01, if you offer 1.02 the bot will just move up to 1.03 and so on until it reaches it's predetermined limit...but what happens if you forgot to set a limit and you end up getting matched at 1.50 for a horse that is only worth 1.30? Then you're in trouble and will lose money in the long run.
                                Comment
                                • FourLengthsClear
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-29-10
                                  • 3808

                                  #17
                                  It is not just horse racing. You see these 1.01 and 1.02 offers in just about every market.

                                  I suspect they do catch a few and logically there would be more in in-play betting. The 'one-click' options on some third party platforms can be quite dangerous if you 'click' just as the 1.01/1.02 offer comes to the front of the queue.

                                  Ideally these 'malicious' offers should be against the rules but actually coming up with a workable rule would be very difficult.

                                  To be honest, a lot of malicious offers are a lot more subtle (and I suspect more effective) than that. For a two-way market that is still in the early stages of forming it is very common to see an offer to back the underdog at around the fair price for the favourite and an offer to lay the favourite at around the fair price for the underdog.

                                  Even after 12 years, it is still a jungle and you have to be careful.
                                  Comment
                                  • jw
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-09
                                    • 3999

                                    #18
                                    Most horse races on Betfair do go "live in play" and at some point one of the horses is a fair price .. even @ 1.01 .. the first person to have offered 1.01 is the first person to get matched at that price ...

                                    .. and they do sometime also lose after matching @ 1.01 .... http://www.gubbage.com/
                                    Comment
                                    • sharlataans
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-13-10
                                      • 1927

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Hareeba!
                                      For all your stalking of my posts you really have little understanding of me do you? One would have thought you'd have realised by now that I'm not a trader, arber, scalper or bonus whore.
                                      Show your Betfair account statement of last week so we know you are not lying.
                                      Comment
                                      • TennisProFrance
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-09-11
                                        • 395

                                        #20
                                        There has been a lot of research done on the 1.01's, sure if you search around you will find what you are looking for - it's very old hat these days. Even if you find your angle, and lets assume you want to try the 1.01 appraoch, the biggest issue you will face is speed. If you positioned yourself outside betfair offices in London you wouldn't beat those 1.01 bots to the queue. Much better to concentrate efforts into new angles, but it's not easy, many of us been doing this for 10+ years and takes some serious out the box thinking to get an edge.
                                        Comment
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