90% of bets coming in on 49ers

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  • j_to_the
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-04-11
    • 59

    #71
    Originally posted by k13
    Point spreads for the rest of the year as of right now...

    -7 vs Giants
    -10.5 vs Arizona
    +6 @ Baltimore
    -14 vs St Louis
    -3.5 @ Arizona
    -1.5 vs Steelers
    -3 @ Seattle
    -9.5 @ St Louis

    I read a decent article how the Niners can't continue covering at the same pace as the 1st half even if they win every game because the lines obviously lost most value and got too inflated.

    Even though the Redskins game is a potential trap the Line is correct if you think Wash is equal to Arizona....
    I'd pound a couple of those lines..... Steeler game jumps out at me..
    Comment
    • k13
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-16-10
      • 18104

      #72
      Originally posted by TexansFan
      Wow, quite a change. It looks like I'm as good at guessing lines as I am picking games.
      The crazy thing, this line was -3 Giants not that long ago.

      I'd take the +7 now if it was at books I actually trust.
      Comment
      • BigDan
        Restricted User
        • 04-28-11
        • 5104

        #73
        looks like this almost the last chance to play sf..maybe @balty if they still catching 6 and possibly @ sea if it means anything to them., which it prob wont...
        Comment
        • BigDan
          Restricted User
          • 04-28-11
          • 5104

          #74
          Originally posted by k13
          The crazy thing, this line was -3 Giants not that long ago.

          I'd take the +7 now if it was at books I actually trust.

          where are those lines at?

          really hope sf looks good and nyg gets beat down so that line holds up cause no way id pass up 7 with nyg, they dont have to have a run gm to score anyway so unlike the browns last week or skins this week id expect gmen to score some points... you have to have a pretty accomplished passing gm to do damage to this 49er d...
          Comment
          • k13
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-16-10
            • 18104

            #75
            Here's the original lines, if i can remember most.

            +14 @ Eagles
            -1 vs Browns
            +3 @ Wash
            +3 vs Giants
            -6 vs Arizona
            +9 @ Baltimore
            -3 vs St Louis
            +2 @ Arizona
            +4 vs Steelers
            +1.5 @ Seattle
            +3.5 @ St Louis

            Now compare. Mind boggling. Betting a few weeks ahead you would crush the NFL.

            Green Bay was pk @ SD two weeks ago btw.
            Comment
            • SportsInsights
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-05-09
              • 119

              #76
              Last week's 80/20 underdog play was St. Louis. There are no locks in sports betting but Washington is a good play.
              Comment
              • rubecube
                SBR Hustler
                • 10-24-11
                • 65

                #77
                Line just dropped to 3.
                Comment
                • j_to_the
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-04-11
                  • 59

                  #78
                  Originally posted by SportsInsights
                  Last week's 80/20 underdog play was St. Louis. There are no locks in sports betting but Washington is a good play.
                  funny thing is I avoided that game.. even with the support and claims of STL. and I could see an argument for STL (run game against NO soft D, they actually have weapons, decent pass rush, etc.)

                  i do NOT see an argument for Washington here.. its gotta be fluky somehow, IMO.

                  but agree, no locks.. guess we'll see. GL
                  Comment
                  • Mr Handicapable
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-23-07
                    • 6067

                    #79
                    SF is a pretender imo but I see no reason why this isn't another 20-10 game like last week. I don't see how Dumb & Dumber (Beck & Grossman) put up any more than 10 points here without Moss, Cooley, and Hightower.

                    "We've got no food, no jobs, our PETS HEADS ARE FALLING OFF"
                    Comment
                    • GenosPicks
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-24-11
                      • 939

                      #80
                      i went with SF-3; because as is said in my video.. it doesn't matter who the QB for Washington is their Offense is like Chaz Bono on Dancing with the Stars: it has ZERO rhythm and desperately needs a REAL SET OF BALLS!

                      weigh in on my other 4 picks at this thread
                      Comment
                      • odog11
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-14-11
                        • 3874

                        #81
                        Originally posted by BigDan
                        best play by far...think you should have got on it before it fell under 38 tho (believe you can still get 38 at bodog) ..not that i think under 37.5 or 37 wont cash but feel like 38 is really the absolute high mark in this game... if skins win/cover it damn sure going under cause it will have to be low scoring as all hell, the alternate under prob has a shot if skins cover, look at the points skins have put up the last 5 weeks against defenses not as stout as this one...it gonna take Alex Smith really fukkin up or sf putting the ball on the ground several times for skins to get offense... tend to believe that shit aint happening and sf takes this something like 17-10 but again under seemed like the best play to me as well.... If i was so inclined to try and be as "sharp" as this group id be looking to play indy well before id be trying to fade sf right now...
                        I agree, if Skins cover very likely to be under. Was able to get a parlay Skins +4.5 and under 37.5 for a +278 payout, solid value there IMO.
                        Comment
                        • wilwin
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-02-11
                          • 21

                          #82
                          I actually have followed both teams closely this season and see no way the Redskins win. Their early success was due to their ability to run the ball. Now that Hightower is done, their run game is non existent. Do you really want to trust your money on John Beck, who I believe is actually worse than Rex Grossman.

                          Niners success is due to their defense and special teams giving them good field position during the game. With John Beck and QB, I'm sure we'll see a couple turnovers. Niners have very athletic LBs and should keep the Skins only offensive weapon, Fred Davis in check.

                          Can't see a trap or letdown game here. It's also Carlos Rogers return to Washington and I'm sure he'll keep his teammates fired up for it.
                          Comment
                          • JoMoney2785
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-13-10
                            • 523

                            #83
                            where are you getting these future lines k13??
                            Comment
                            • k13
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-16-10
                              • 18104

                              #84
                              Originally posted by JoMoney2785
                              where are you getting these future lines k13??


                              I think there's one or two more places that have them but I can't find those links.
                              Comment
                              • TehSharp
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-22-11
                                • 704

                                #85
                                Originally posted by GenosPicks
                                i went with SF-3; because as is said in my video.. it doesn't matter who the QB for Washington is their Offense is like Chaz Bono on Dancing with the Stars: it has ZERO rhythm and desperately needs a REAL SET OF BALLS!

                                weigh in on my other 4 picks at this thread
                                http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football...-geno-a-21885/
                                Good analogy geno.

                                The 49ers have the best run D in the league, so do you really see beck or Grossman winning a game for the Skins without Santana Moss...the answer is no
                                Comment
                                • BennyFang
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-27-09
                                  • 1412

                                  #86
                                  Is there any way the Rams with a backup QB, no offensive firepower, and a beat up secondary beat a Saints team after a 62 point output? Oh wait, sorry.....wrong week.
                                  Comment
                                  • Tech N9ne
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 06-24-11
                                    • 5366

                                    #87
                                    Look men

                                    Play the wiseguy side

                                    Play the skins
                                    Comment
                                    • dlunc3
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-31-09
                                      • 9129

                                      #88
                                      pound the skins? lol yea i really want my money in the hands of john beck and his squad full of backups
                                      Comment
                                      • leetreaper
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 10-23-10
                                        • 34841

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Tech N9ne
                                        And line dropped from 49ers -4.5 to -3.5

                                        Pound the fukk out of the redskins +3.5

                                        Its free money

                                        So u saying, the whole Was team checks public percentages, sees 90% on SF and says: oh we have to win no matter what, its a lock boys, even though they can not play? Amirite?
                                        Comment
                                        • TehSharp
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-22-11
                                          • 704

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by BennyFang
                                          Is there any way the Rams with a backup QB, no offensive firepower, and a beat up secondary beat a Saints team after a 62 point output? Oh wait, sorry.....wrong week.
                                          ummm, steven jackson and brandon lloyd are no offensive firepower huh? You must know your football
                                          Comment
                                          • dontbuythehook
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 09-23-11
                                            • 837

                                            #91
                                            def don't fade public here. skins suck right now and qb position is a huge issue. good thing for 9ers backers they can w8 before kickoff and grab SF -2.5 possibly
                                            Comment
                                            • vitalogist
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-08
                                              • 2820

                                              #92
                                              Damn, it's +4 now WHAT THE FUKKKK????
                                              Comment
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