Biggest problem gamblers have.. thoughts?

[pattymayo]

I think tonight's Ravens/Jags came is a perfect example of why most people never come close to winning consistently in NFL betting.

Jags +10 was NEVER in doubt tonight. Could have been the easiest bet of the week. But why are most people's first instinct to follow the masses and take the heavy favorite? A cover is a cover-- but why do people feel the need to jump on the favorite instead of the dog most of the time?

Is it fear of embarrasment of being on the wrong side when a heavy favorite actually covers?

[Masu485]

I was saying this last night. I honestly believe all spreads have ~50% chance of winning (give or take 4 or 5%).

The problem is that people seem to equate the spread with the probability. For example, if an NFL team is at +5, people seem to go either way. If on another team, the spread is +10, people will think they have less chance to cover. It makes no sense. If the spread was +20, people would assume the team gets blown out and loses by 40. I think they all have ~50% chance of hitting.

It's getting to the point where even if you take a dog on the spread and it wins, people give you more respect than if you take a favorite. Hitting dog MLs is impressive.

[beerman2619]

Here we go again. Another post after the fact i love posts like this. After the game is over well this was the easiest pick of a life time. How could anyone not bet on the jags

[DrStale]

If you would have told me that the Ravens were going to hold Gabbert to 9/20 passing for 90 yards id take em every time.

Also yeah dont talk about the "easiest bet of the week" after the game is over, just makes you look like a clown.

[pattymayo]

Here we go again. Another post after the fact i love posts like this. After the game is over well this was the easiest pick of a life time. How could anyone not bet on the jags

Nowhere in my post did I say I bet on the Jags. That isn't the point of this thread. I'm a broke fukk who didn't even bet the game, but if I did, knowing myself, I'd have taken the Ravens.

Good post Masu, I was thinking along those same lines. Most of the guys who we see on a weekly basis (ahem, brahma, goat milk, etc) who are constant losers are always picking heavy heavy favorites. But why don't people's minds work the other way too? As easy as a Balty -10 cover could (or as some would say SHOULD) have been, Jags +10 was even easier.

[DrStale]

Also the heavy favorite last night won 62-7. How quickly we forget things.

[MichaelWaters]

pay back your lenders you fkn STIFF

[big0mar]

Reload at SBR sponsored books and you'll be alright.

[beerman2619]

Sorry Patty my bad you make a good point actually

[frizzelli]

pay back your lenders you fkn STIFF

Calm down Bateman.

[Metatron]

Problem all gamblers have... laying off a game on a night where there is only one game.

[Tech N9ne]

Talk to kerry/brahma/priskill he changed his name everytime he gets buried

[ferndog]

Money management and always wanting action. Some people can't control themselves. People want to win right away and win big. Maybe that happens in the movies but not in real life. So people risk more than they should and lose and they don't think that there is always tomorrow.

[SlickRick1382]

Money management and always wanting action. Some people can't control themselves. People want to win right away and win big. Maybe that happens in the movies but not in real life. So people risk more than they should and lose and they don't think that there is always tomorrow.

This ^^^and the fact that they become action junkies.

They tend to bet more games than they should just for the action and tilt the odds against them.

[pattymayo]

This ^^^and the fact that they become action junkies.

They tend to bet more games than they should just for the action and tilt the odds against them.

I really think gambling is an addiction for most on this forum, similar to a cocaine or heroin addiction. They love the rush of the action (even when most of the time they never even see any real $, it's all in an offshore book until their accounts go to 0) and the winning/losing doesn't even matter, they just want the action.

Not to mention the feeling they get when they lose the last play of the night, then they have to wait another day or 18 hours or so until they can bet the next 7pm NHL game that they know nothing about.

Its sad really

[SlickRick1382]

I really think gambling is an addiction for most on this forum, similar to a cocaine or heroin addiction. They love the rush of the action (even when most of the time they never even see any real $, it's all in an offshore book until their accounts go to 0) and the winning/losing doesn't even matter, they just want the action.

Not to mention the feeling they get when they lose the last play of the night, then they have to wait another day or 18 hours or so until they can bet the next 7pm NHL game that they know nothing about.

Its sad really

Well said.... Although to an extent a lot of us may be guilty of that. I know that I've made the mistake in the past of trying to recoup a loss on a game I wasn't particularly well versed in. I spent awhile searching the internet (not like that helps any) just to try and make a play which obviously winds up losing most of the time.

Only difference is some of us learn from it the rest are the "action junkies" we described above that will never get it and keep on giving away their money

[No coincidences]

Patty, I honestly believe if you just took all home dogs and single-possession road dogs for the rest of your life -- nothing else, just blindly -- you'd be a rich man. Seriously.

[No coincidences]

I really think gambling is an addiction for most on this forum, similar to a cocaine or heroin addiction. They love the rush of the action (even when most of the time they never even see any real $, it's all in an offshore book until their accounts go to 0) and the winning/losing doesn't even matter, they just want the action.

Not to mention the feeling they get when they lose the last play of the night, then they have to wait another day or 18 hours or so until they can bet the next 7pm NHL game that they know nothing about.

Its sad really

Good post.

It's not the addiction to gambling that gets them -- it's the addiction to action. And I'm speaking first-hand here.

[paranoyd androyd]

Here we go again. Another post after the fact i love posts like this. After the game is over well this was the easiest pick of a life time. How could anyone not bet on the jags

too easy

[Lo-CalDallasBuKe]

Good post. It's not the addiction to gambling that gets them -- it's the addiction to action. And I'm speaking first-hand here.

Isn't that the same thing though?

[No coincidences]

Isn't that the same thing though?

Not necessarily.

You can have a gambling problem but still be selective and just hit your spots bigger. That'd be the more effective way for most of us to go about it, but we'd rather bet the board instead. It's like gambling within gambling.

[Hotdiggity11]

Easy to say after the game is over. In truth, yes, games like this are the reason NFL is so hard to win at. Always unpredictable because the margins between a really good team and a below average team isn't that significant, especially when the latter is at home and motivated.