Northwestern +4 and ML vs. Penn State is the Best College Play of the Week

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #106
    Originally posted by priskilla22
    Probably repeating myself, but I think only getting +155 on a team whose best win is against 1-5 BC and has lost to Army is a really bad bet.

    You should be getting +300 to take NW here.
    You have made your fukkin point; over and over again in fact. I told you once and am telling you again to shut up and get out. By all means come back Saturday night but until then, stay out.

    Anyone who would like to discuss the game, your opinions are welcomed. Just disregard the countless posts made by priskilla.
    Comment
    • priskilla22
      Restricted User
      • 09-22-11
      • 2289

      #107
      Originally posted by t-wizzle
      You have made your fukkin point; over and over again in fact. I told you once and am telling you again to shut up and get out. By all means come back Saturday night but until then, stay out.

      Anyone who would like to discuss the game, your opinions are welcomed. Just disregard the countless posts made by priskilla.
      Were you under the impression I had to listen to you?
      Comment
      • mh217
        SBR MVP
        • 12-05-10
        • 2226

        #108
        Originally posted by priskilla22
        Probably repeating myself, but I think only getting +155 on a team whose best win is against 1-5 BC and has lost to Army is a really bad bet. You should be getting +300 to take NW here.
        i like em with the points..i think they got a shot outright but +155 isnt worth it..but 4 points and maybe 4.5 by kickoff at home against a team that doesnt score i def like.
        Comment
        • priskilla22
          Restricted User
          • 09-22-11
          • 2289

          #109
          Originally posted by mh217
          i like em with the points..i think they got a shot outright but +155 isnt worth it..but 4 points and maybe 4.5 by kickoff at home against a team that doesnt score i def like.
          The spread bet isn't bad simply b/c this could be an ugly game, much like PSU played at Indiana and at Temple, But PSU knows how to win, and Northwestern knows how to lose, so making a ML bet is silly. If PSU needs a defensive stop at the end, they'll get it. If they need a score at the end, they'll get that too.
          Comment
          • Hilljacademics
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-12-09
            • 701

            #110
            Originally posted by t-wizzle
            If Northwestern wins, you leave the forum. Penn State covers, I leave the forum.

            This is getting stupid. There's room for everybody here. Lines are ARBITRARY OBJECTS, folks. Period. A symbol to attract a 50/50 debate. Not all is lost.....here's an idea:

            We already have the thread, "Northwestern +4 and ML vs. Penn State is the Best College Play of the Week".


            Priskilla should make his own thread, "Penn St -4 and ML vs. Northwestern is the Best College Play of the Week".


            Personally, I'm on NW as a 4.5 home dog....that doesn't make me Hitler or a loser at life if I'm wrong....been wrong before. It's my play, nonetheless, and I stand by it and agree with t-wizzle's theories on HIS thread. GL to all on their play(s) this weekend.
            Comment
            • Vin_vermillion
              Restricted User
              • 01-24-11
              • 1537

              #111
              if you think ALL LINES are to create 50/50 betting on each side, you are frikking nuts. No way that 50% are going to be on each side of Mizzou +7 this week vs Oklahoma St.
              Comment
              • Hilljacademics
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-12-09
                • 701

                #112
                I said it's a symbol to attract a 50/50 debate. That is not saying it happens all the time, or most of the time. Why else would a number be posted in the first place? If a 50/50 debate was not the goal, you'd see lines LEAP to lopsided action one way, would you not? Take Houston -22 vs. Marshall, now sitting around 23.5....if 90% of action sits on HOU, why not make the line -27? -30? And I don't wanna hear public/sharp perception....there are both on BOTH sides in EVERY GAME PLAYED.
                Comment
                • firehoyt
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-02-10
                  • 3569

                  #113
                  I'm probably onna tease NW with the Under. Most if not all of PSU's games have gone under the total (if i remember correctly).
                  Comment
                  • firehoyt
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-10
                    • 3569

                    #114
                    Originally posted by Vin_vermillion
                    if you think ALL LINES are to create 50/50 betting on each side, you are frikking nuts. No way that 50% are going to be on each side of Mizzou +7 this week vs Oklahoma St.
                    Sharps will be on Mizzou and the spread won't go higher than -7.5 before gametime.
                    Comment
                    • t-wizzle
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-18-09
                      • 38099

                      #115
                      Originally posted by Hilljacademics
                      I said it's a symbol to attract a 50/50 debate. That is not saying it happens all the time, or most of the time. Why else would a number be posted in the first place? If a 50/50 debate was not the goal, you'd see lines LEAP to lopsided action one way, would you not? Take Houston -22 vs. Marshall, now sitting around 23.5....if 90% of action sits on HOU, why not make the line -27? -30? And I don't wanna hear public/sharp perception....there are both on BOTH sides in EVERY GAME PLAYED.
                      It's not the 50/50 split in number of bets. It's as close to even as they can get with the money on both sides.
                      Comment
                      • t-wizzle
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-18-09
                        • 38099

                        #116
                        Almost game time. Feel good about this play.
                        Comment
                        • t-wizzle
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 38099

                          #117
                          There's obviously some sharp money on Penn State. We'll see what happens.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #118
                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                            There's obviously some sharp money on Penn State. We'll see what happens.
                            yeah noticed this as well, but im rolling with it...
                            Comment
                            • Brutus84
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-08-11
                              • 5188

                              #119
                              Gotta love a fumble to start the game.
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #120
                                Great start indeed... didn't even realize game was on yet...
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #121
                                  I was so close to playing Penn State here. I suspect PSU 2H will be a play for me if the game plays out like I think it will.
                                  Comment
                                  • priskilla22
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-22-11
                                    • 2289

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                    There's obviously some sharp money on Penn State. We'll see what happens.

                                    Very interesting first half.

                                    I think the problem for NW is that PSU's defense played about as bad as they possibly could, yet they are still up 27-24 going into the 2nd half.

                                    Now, both defenses obviously struggled, but PSU doesn't run any tricks, they just smash the football down NW's throat and then pass off of that success in the running game.

                                    PSU's defense got gashed by NW in the first half last year too, and then their defense made adjustments and Northwestern's gimmick-filled offense was shut down in the 2nd half. One would assume that would happen in the 2nd half as well, at least a little bit.

                                    BOL to anyone on this play. Even though PSU -4 looks pretty decent right now, I laid off and just put PSU in my super teaser, so I have them +9.
                                    Comment
                                    • ProfaneReality
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-14-09
                                      • 7607

                                      #123
                                      NW will collapse 2nd half like they always do.

                                      Pound PSU -1.5 2nd H
                                      Comment
                                      • priskilla22
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-22-11
                                        • 2289

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                                        NW will collapse 2nd half like they always do.

                                        Pound PSU -1.5 2nd H
                                        Most of the public will probably be all over that since PSU's defense pretty much dominated them last year after being lit up in the first half.

                                        It'll be interesting. As long as PSU covers my +9 for the game, I'm content to lay off the 2nd half play.
                                        Comment
                                        • priskilla22
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-22-11
                                          • 2289

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                                          NW will collapse 2nd half like they always do.

                                          Pound PSU -1.5 2nd H
                                          And PSU is obviously the tougher team, so them wearing down in the 2nd half seems likely with NW being such a finesse offense.
                                          Comment
                                          • Brutus84
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-08-11
                                            • 5188

                                            #126
                                            NW hasnt done any trickery either. Home field advantage=close victory get rdy for NW to make some stops now
                                            Comment
                                            • priskilla22
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-22-11
                                              • 2289

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by Brutus84
                                              NW hasnt done any trickery either. Home field advantage=close victory get rdy for NW to make some stops now
                                              Their entire offense is trickery bro, but BOL. I'd stay off NW in the 2nd half... PSU's defense was gashed last year and then made adjustments to the offense NW runs.
                                              Comment
                                              • Brutus84
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-08-11
                                                • 5188

                                                #128
                                                Already have a decent riding on them with +4.5 and +10 in a teaser. I dont use a sportsbook anyways. GL.
                                                Comment
                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                  • 52143

                                                  #129
                                                  that pick just hurt us bad
                                                  Comment
                                                  • priskilla22
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 09-22-11
                                                    • 2289

                                                    #130
                                                    18 rushing attempts for PSU
                                                    152 yards rushing

                                                    8.4 yards a carry. It looks like there are 2 PSU run blockers to every Northwestern defender.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • priskilla22
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                      • 2289

                                                      #131
                                                      Nobody better at betting psu games than you hmm???

                                                      Guess there is.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ProfaneReality
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-14-09
                                                        • 7607

                                                        #132
                                                        Northwesterns gimmick offense works for a half, then the D settles in and NW lays eggs in 3rd and 4th Qs

                                                        this game was eerily similar to the Michigan game
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BettingWizard
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-28-09
                                                          • 6522

                                                          #133
                                                          everybody keep losing money on this shit NW team

                                                          like 4 weeks in a row i see everybody calling for the moneyline
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dontbuythehook
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-23-11
                                                            • 837

                                                            #134
                                                            mushwizzle
                                                            Comment
                                                            • priskilla22
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 09-22-11
                                                              • 2289

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                                                              Northwesterns gimmick offense works for a half, then the D settles in and NW lays eggs in 3rd and 4th Qs

                                                              this game was eerily similar to the Michigan game

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Nittany Lion
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-14-10
                                                                • 1639

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Nittany Lion
                                                                PSU alum here, I've watched every Penn State game since 2004 when I went there, yes.....our offense has been horrible this year but Northwestern's defense is pretty soft and our defense is decent. I'm sure Persa will put up some points but I don't think it will be enough to cover, I would stay away from this bet. It will probably be a close game at the half but I expect PSU to pull away in the 2nd half.

                                                                I'd bet you on this game t-wizzle but since you're not SBR Pro, you wouldn't be able to transfer me the points if you lost. I think non SBR Pro's can only transfer like 2 points a day or something like that.

                                                                Was I right or what?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • t-wizzle
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                                  • 38099

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Can't win em all. Northwestern blew opportunities all game to cover and even win straight up.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • zsr
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-01-10
                                                                    • 4117

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Nittany Lion
                                                                    Was I right or what?
                                                                    What the hell took so long to stick with one quarterback? lol. Decent chance to win the big ten with that defense, would be nice to see for joe pa
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • priskilla22
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                                      • 2289

                                                                      #139
                                                                      t-wizzle, check in buddy.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • phillybadboy
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                                        • 9383

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by priskilla22
                                                                        t-wizzle, check in buddy.
                                                                        what are you trying to prove?
                                                                        Comment
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