Lets talk about NCAAF totals for this week

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82839

    #1
    Lets talk about NCAAF totals for this week
    I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

    Michigan/San Diego St 61
    Duke/Tulane 55
    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
    Oregon St/UCLA 50
    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

    The following three I think they are set too low:

    Washington U/California 58
    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
    Florida/Kentucky 43

    Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.
  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #2
    UK has zero offense, they may not even score against Florida.
    Comment
    • sportfan
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-22-09
      • 10111

      #3
      East Carolina/UAB 60.5
      Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
      both are not high enough
      Comment
      • M.W.
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-08
        • 1668

        #4
        Neb/Wyo over looks good. Unfortunately, it was up to 59 last I checked.
        Comment
        • Emily_Haines
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-14-09
          • 15917

          #5
          based on what we have seen this year from uab & ecu offenses I would be very hesitant to bet that one over.
          Comment
          • Pickem2win
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-16-11
            • 978

            #6
            Im a season ticket holder to Washington...This year their defense sucks ass and they are allowing 37 pts a game...They are also scoring about 36 a game (offense is clicking)...Going over the 58 seems like a lock! BOL
            Comment
            • collie
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-07-09
              • 99

              #7
              I think SMU pit up at least 40 on Memphis. Going over 53.5 is my best totals play this week
              Comment
              • dfberger23
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-08-10
                • 5069

                #8
                Love the under in the Michigan game, line is still inflated from the Rich Rod era, can't imagine this game going over.

                No opinions on the other games you posted. I grabbed West Virginia/LSU under 50, it is now 49.5, love that line, can't see this game cracking 40.
                Comment
                • BettingWizard
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-28-09
                  • 6522

                  #9
                  Originally posted by TPowell
                  UK has zero offense, they may not even score against Florida.
                  and Florida could score 42 themselves with UK having junk scores at the end


                  I love FSU under 50 and agree with playing Duke unders that high when they are playing subpar teams
                  Comment
                  • Brock Landers
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 06-30-08
                    • 45359

                    #10
                    good thread, college totals get overlooked a lot of the time
                    Comment
                    • CarpeDime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-01-09
                      • 7873

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                      I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

                      Michigan/San Diego St 61
                      Duke/Tulane 55
                      Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
                      Oregon St/UCLA 50
                      Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
                      East Carolina/UAB 60.5

                      The following three I think they are set too low:

                      Washington U/California 58
                      Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
                      Florida/Kentucky 43

                      Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.
                      Yeah I hit the UCLA under a little myself, but I usually wait until game day to make the majority of totals bets

                      as far as leans, yeah my leans agree with you on E Car and Wash/Cal, but I also have "careful" next to those leans in my notes

                      I had a lean on the under in Wyoming/Neb at 59.5, wish I had hit it I guess
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #12
                        i like

                        UNC/GT over 58'
                        Nebraska/Wyoming over 59
                        NC State/Cincy over 60'
                        LSU/WVU under 49'
                        Comment
                        • dume walker
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 04-08-10
                          • 971

                          #13
                          As I mentioned in another thread, the weather reports for Greenville (ECU's home) call for scattered thunderstorms all week and on game day. Could put a damper on that total. You can also check the weather Saturday morning to see if things have cleared up.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            im on these totals plays, i agree with you

                            Tulane/Duke u55
                            UAB/ECU u60.5
                            W Mich/Illinois u53.5
                            LSU/WVU u 49.5
                            UCLA/Oregon St u50
                            Comment
                            • dume walker
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 04-08-10
                              • 971

                              #15
                              I thought about taking that OSU/A&M over as well, but the score in last year's game was 38-35 and A&M's defense is even stronger this year. If Arizona can hold the Okies to 37 in Stillwater, A&M might be able to cut that down even further in College Station.
                              Comment
                              • dume walker
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-08-10
                                • 971

                                #16
                                Ooops, sorry. Just re-read your starting post and saw you were saying the ECU/UAB and TAMU/OSU totals might be too high. So, yeah, I think you could be right about those.
                                Comment
                                • alamo
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-21-09
                                  • 7131

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                  i like

                                  UNC/GT over 58'
                                  Nebraska/Wyoming over 59
                                  NC State/Cincy over 60'
                                  LSU/WVU under 49'
                                  Biff is that your girl friend in your Avatar. Man she is a hottie!
                                  Comment
                                  • NYER5680
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-10-07
                                    • 1486

                                    #18
                                    love the ecu over myself
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by alamo
                                      Biff is that your girl friend in your Avatar. Man she is a hottie!
                                      naw, it's Amanda Knox. wife's pretty hawt though.
                                      Comment
                                      • cackerman509
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 08-29-11
                                        • 17

                                        #20
                                        I dont know if I agree with the under on Mich/SDST Michigan still doesn't have much of a Defense and same goes for SDST. Along with that both teams have an above average offense. Am I missing something here? Anyone want to chime in on something that I may not be seeing thanks.
                                        Comment
                                        • bb_skoots
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-04-11
                                          • 1088

                                          #21
                                          ^^^
                                          Amanda Knox is friggin gorgeous. Hope she is found innocent because she will pose naked after this for sure.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vuk
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-19-10
                                            • 511

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                                            I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

                                            Michigan/San Diego St 61
                                            Duke/Tulane 55
                                            Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
                                            Oregon St/UCLA 50
                                            Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69 NOT SURE ABOUT THIS ONE, COULD GO EITHER WAY
                                            East Carolina/UAB 60.5

                                            The following three I think they are set too low:

                                            Washington U/California 58
                                            Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5 HAVEN'T MADE THIS AN OFFICIAL PLAY BUT LIKE IT A LOT
                                            Florida/Kentucky 43 COULD SEE A 34-7 TYPE GAME...

                                            Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.


                                            GL!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82839

                                              #23
                                              Thank you all guys. These are not plays yet. Just leans so I can see if there are any angles that I'm missing.
                                              Comment
                                              • CBASS
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-10
                                                • 2613

                                                #24
                                                Hey Pavy,

                                                It is not on your list, but I like La Tech/Miss. St. OVER. Take a look at that one. Miss St is going to run up the score after that devasting loss and La Tech plays a hurry up spread. I can easily see 60 pts scored here. Just my .02 BOL this weekend.
                                                Comment
                                                • AlwaysDrawing
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-20-09
                                                  • 657

                                                  #25
                                                  I like:
                                                  Michigan UNDER 61
                                                  Duke UNDER 55
                                                  UAB UNDER 60.5

                                                  Good luck on the card. It's nice to see discussion of NCAAF totals.

                                                  I also booked these for this week:
                                                  LSU UNDER 50.5 -109
                                                  Notre Dame OVER 53 -105
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pavyracer
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                    • 82839

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                    I have been looking at totals this week trying to find an edge and I came up with the following games where the total is set up too high in my opinion:

                                                    Michigan/San Diego St 61
                                                    Duke/Tulane 55
                                                    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
                                                    Oregon St/UCLA 50
                                                    Texas A&M/Oklahoma St 69
                                                    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

                                                    The following three I think they are set too low:

                                                    Washington U/California 58
                                                    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
                                                    Florida/Kentucky 43

                                                    Anyone that has an opinion please don't hesitate to comment.
                                                    Here are my final plays:

                                                    under
                                                    Michigan/San Diego St 61
                                                    Duke/Tulane 55
                                                    Miami (FL)/Kansas St 49
                                                    Oregon St/UCLA 50
                                                    East Carolina/UAB 60.5

                                                    over
                                                    Washington U/California 58
                                                    Wyoming/Nebraska 57.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MTek
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-18-08
                                                      • 1381

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                      naw, it's Amanda Knox. wife's pretty hawt though.

                                                      I always thought that avatar was some girl from Party of Five, or Gilmore Giirls or something.
                                                      Interesting case, sounds like she may go free soon

                                                      Isnt that every american travelers worst nightmare... getting tangled in some effed up foreign country's legal system, for a crime you didnt commit?

                                                      See SBR can be educational and relevant...not just sports and betting
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by MTek
                                                        I always thought that avatar was some girl from Party of Five, or Gilmore Giirls or something. Interesting case, sounds like she may go free soon Isnt that every american travelers worst nightmare... getting tangled in some effed up foreign country's legal system, for a crime you didnt commit? See SBR can be educational and relevant...not just sports and betting
                                                        right, like Return to Paradise or Brokedown Palace? hope that she (1) didn't do it (2) gets off and (3) gets in good shape for the book tour.

                                                        BOL with your totals, Pavy. liking SDSU/UM under and UNL/WYO over and liking them more thanks to this thread.
                                                        Comment
                                                        Search
                                                        Collapse
                                                        SBR Contests
                                                        Collapse
                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                        Collapse
                                                        Working...