hedge strategy for ~25-1 parlay 3 legs left

[ThaWoj]

have 3 items left on a 25-1 parlay that i bet a small amount on. perfect on soccer so far and have the phillies (oswalt @ myers-hou), rays (niemman @ britton-bal), and the broncos tonight. all are money lines.

is there a strategy i should use to hedge this? the phils and rays lines both moved (got chalkier) then what i got them at overnight. i guess the rays scares me the most b/c the line was only -123 last night which is absurdly low considering the rays are one of the best road teams. phils should win and i like the broncos at home but ya never know.

should i just leave it alone? i think the other team MLs are +163, +132, and +160

[taxer]

how much does it pay ?

I would at least bet a unit on each else it was all that work for nothing

[ngates815]

how much does it pay ? I would at least bet a unit on each else it was all that work for nothing

If you put 1 unit on each opposing team, if the parlay losses 1 game, you're still down the original bet, + the 2 hedge bets, and you won 1 unit on the hedge.


The nice thing about it is all 3 games start at seperate times. So if you do hedge, and rays are down 4-1 in the 5th inning and look like shit, don't even bother hedging the philly game, if you think the first game will lose. Save yourself hedging on your original thoughts/bets.

[ThaWoj]

how much does it pay ?

I would at least bet a unit on each else it was all that work for nothing

~250 or so

If you put 1 unit on each opposing team, if the parlay losses 1 game, you're still down the original bet, + the 2 hedge bets, and you won 1 unit on the hedge.


The nice thing about it is all 3 games start at seperate times. So if you do hedge, and rays are down 4-1 in the 5th inning and look like shit, don't even bother hedging the philly game, if you think the first game will lose. Save yourself hedging on your original thoughts/bets.

thats what i was thinking. probably just leave it alone. then if it looks like phils and rays winning easily, question becomes how much to hedge on the raiders if at all

[ThaWoj]

fukking phillies