NFL lines seem really sharp this first week.

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  • EDDIE MONEY LINE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-24-10
    • 6298

    #36
    rams, cleveland and jets
    Comment
    • slacker00
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-06-05
      • 12262

      #37
      Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
      rams, cleveland and jets
      I can't believe more people aren't talking about the Jets -4 with Dallas coming to town on Sunday night.

      I think the Cowboys have potential, but sheesh, the Jets are a class ahead of Dallas. -4 at home is a gift!
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18104

        #38
        Detroit Tampa reminds of UCLA Houston this week.
        Comment
        • azn624
          SBR MVP
          • 06-29-09
          • 2771

          #39
          Indy +9?
          Comment
          • bobbyk1133
            SBR MVP
            • 08-05-10
            • 2245

            #40
            Originally posted by slacker00
            I can't believe more people aren't talking about the Jets -4 with Dallas coming to town on Sunday night. I think the Cowboys have potential, but sheesh, the Jets are a class ahead of Dallas. -4 at home is a gift!
            DAL's defense defo scares me..especially that secondary. Throw in Romo's potential for bonehead plays, too. But I'm not sold on NY either. They were atrociously bad in the red zone off and def last year. And what of Sanchez? Is he going to take the next step sometime soon? If DAL get up 14 points I'm not sure he can bring them back.
            Comment
            • Muscles
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-16-11
              • 314

              #41
              These are some really tough lines...seems that the bottom teams in the league have really upgraded their squads and some of the middle tier teams didn't do much...tough start. I'm staying away from alot. I do like the Lions ML tho.
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82840

                #42
                Would like to know in which of last year's weeks the lines were not sharp because I must have missed it.
                Comment
                • k13
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-16-10
                  • 18104

                  #43
                  If the lines are so sharp why did they move so much?
                  Comment
                  • boneheaded1
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-09-10
                    • 815

                    #44
                    I only bet moneyline but . . .

                    Really like the moneyline on the Patriots vs Miami (-450). One bet like that everyweek, let it ride and you're doing fine (although, there's not one like that every week.

                    <TABLE class=offer><TBODY><TR><TD class=TrtTableTitle>Ticket #</TD><TD class=TrtTableTitle>Accepted</TD><TD class=TrtTableTitle>Type</TD><TD class=TrtTableTitle>Risk</TD><TD class=TrtTableTitle>To Win</TD><TD class=TrtTableTitle>Short Description</TD><TR class=TreEven><TD class=TblTableDescrip noWrap>36046767-1</TD><TD class=TblTableDescrip>9/5/2011 9:24AM</TD><TD class=TblTableDescrip noWrap>Money Line </TD><TD class=TblTableDescrip>100.00</TD><TD class=TblTableDescrip noWrap>29.85</TD><TD class=TblTableDescrip align=left WRAP>Football - 479 New England Patriots -335 for Game </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

                    Yeah, people laugh the way I bet but I like sure thing long term gains (even though there is no such thing).

                    Last year started with $100 built it up to over $1K (moneyline parlays) then the worst week of my life in the week hawaii lost the bowl game, San Diego lost to Cincy, etc. Went back down to $100 real quick. Finished the season with $290. Had fun (except the losses) and more than doubled my money (small beans). All I have to do is do that 10 years in a row (double my money every season that is) and I'll take the $200K.

                    Slow and low, that is the tempo.
                    Comment
                    • Tech N9ne
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-24-11
                      • 5366

                      #45
                      All you cats that's sleepin on the lions watch and learn.

                      Its not a fukkin joke in the D anymore. Stafford, Megatron, Suh.. Its not a game anymore. The Matt Millen cloud no longer hangs over this franchise . We went into Tampa last year without Stafford and them needing a win and beat them by 3.
                      Comment
                      • bobbyk1133
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-05-10
                        • 2245

                        #46
                        Originally posted by k13
                        If the lines are so sharp why did they move so much?
                        The lines were their sharpest a little less than a week ago. The entire betting public has taken over since then. There's also been significant injury/roster news (Cassel/Peyton/Garrard etc).
                        Comment
                        • k13
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-16-10
                          • 18104

                          #47
                          Originally posted by bobbyk1133
                          The lines were their sharpest a little less than a week ago. The entire betting public has taken over since then. There's also been significant injury/roster news (Cassel/Peyton/Garrard etc).
                          The lines will change again by game time, so which lines were the sharpet? Early/middle/later????

                          Too many variables.
                          Comment
                          • bobbyk1133
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-05-10
                            • 2245

                            #48
                            Originally posted by k13
                            The lines will change again by game time, so which lines were the sharpet? Early/middle/later???? Too many variables.
                            Lines were sharpest early. One could probably fade all the biggest line moves blind just before game time and walk away with a lot of free value.
                            Comment
                            • JosephPavs
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-29-10
                              • 1660

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Tech N9ne
                              All you cats that's sleepin on the lions watch and learn.

                              Its not a fukkin joke in the D anymore. Stafford, Megatron, Suh.. Its not a game anymore. The Matt Millen cloud no longer hangs over this franchise . We went into Tampa last year without Stafford and them needing a win and beat them by 3.
                              Homer?
                              Comment
                              • frankthetank
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-29-09
                                • 652

                                #50
                                the lines are tight. this is a week where you have to play your own handicap. there is not a lot of value on the board. college football is different though. bout half dozen real value matchups.
                                Comment
                                • Emily_Haines
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-09
                                  • 15917

                                  #51
                                  Take the NO/GB game over 47

                                  Easiest one on the board. Should cash by halftime.
                                  Comment
                                  • gilbert91016
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-29-09
                                    • 1479

                                    #52
                                    Vikings/Chargers OVER
                                    Comment
                                    • Ice House
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 07-21-10
                                      • 4060

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by frankthetank
                                      the lines are tight. this is a week where you have to play your own handicap. there is not a lot of value on the board. college football is different though. bout half dozen real value matchups.
                                      Got some winners for yall... cash these
                                      with me fellas

                                      Giants-3
                                      Pitt/Balty Under
                                      Eagles ML
                                      Patriots ML
                                      Cardinals ML
                                      Texans ML


                                      mix and match some parlays some of these ML are sure winners but the spread is too much


                                      and for those of you that play college

                                      Michigan +4



                                      South Carolina -3
                                      Ohio state -19

                                      Value play - Saints ML
                                      Comment
                                      • bobbyk1133
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-05-10
                                        • 2245

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by frankthetank
                                        the lines are tight. this is a week where you have to play your own handicap. there is not a lot of value on the board.
                                        I agree. There was good value early and there will be some late either straight or on the buy back. But that's how it is every week..
                                        Anyone who waited to bet in the middle of this week is fighting an uphill climb.
                                        Comment
                                        • bigsmitty
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-12-10
                                          • 3026

                                          #55
                                          Those are some huge ML's Ice House. One of those pisses the bed and it's severe trouble don't you think? Right now I like NYJ, TENN, ATL, DET and maybe PITT. Cheers
                                          Comment
                                          • BookieOweMe
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-01-10
                                            • 2106

                                            #56
                                            lets get this moneyyy
                                            Comment
                                            • bobbyk1133
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-05-10
                                              • 2245

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Ice House
                                              Patriots ML Cardinals ML Texans ML
                                              There's more value if you put these in 2 team 6 point teasers.
                                              Comment
                                              • mtcook21
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 05-01-11
                                                • 304

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Guys u can't take zona anymore unless you get -6. No need to bet into a bad line and worst # .
                                                I can't see Carolina keeping it close here. Kolb is for real, Newton struggled all preseason. Take Cards -8.
                                                Comment
                                                • lakerboy
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 94379

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  Would like to know in which of last year's weeks the lines were not sharp because I must have missed it.
                                                  49ers were laying 3 in seattle week 1. Blowout by seattle. Packers only layin a fg in philly. Pack win easy.


                                                  Pavy give us a winner. Stop being a grunt.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stevedore
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-10-10
                                                    • 1218

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    why does everyone like the bills?
                                                    Because that line is waaaaaay off! KC has major issues this year; in for a big fall.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LLXC
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-10-06
                                                      • 8972

                                                      #61
                                                      Like a few team totals.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GunShard
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-05-10
                                                        • 10031

                                                        #62
                                                        The money line on the Patriots, Cardinals, Steelers and Broncos(maybe).
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MoneyLineDawg
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-01-09
                                                          • 13253

                                                          #63
                                                          Browns -6.5 is probably my favorite pick.....Underrated team on the rise that plays well at home against the Bungles. Andy Dalton making his first career start should be in for a longgg afternoon. I'm thinking Browns 24, Bengals 10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • daimoshokage
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-07-11
                                                            • 8935

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by firedawg
                                                            chargers
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDan
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-28-11
                                                              • 5104

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                              Bills
                                                              Rams

                                                              playing Rams for sure, anything over 4 is straight with me. they should be able to run on phi and that kid kendricks should give them a little trouble. Spags with a long time to prepare should make Vick uncomfortable at least going against a patchwork o-line. containment on Vick and not giving him time for his wrs to go deep will be key. doesnt hurt my feeling fading everyones new fav team playing a team on the rise laying this number in the dome either.


                                                              Bills tempting but havnt really decided yet and prob gonna get a shitty line compared to where it started so not sure. Before Cassel news i still wasnt sold that kc offense will be as good w/o Wies calling plays and bills d has been decent during the preseason. still like kc d with a second year under Cronell and playmakers all over...tough gm. possible under.


                                                              as much as it pains me to say it think i will be on zona-7. Kolb to fitz has looked like it gonna work and im not buying Cam doing much right out the gates.


                                                              dal/nyj has me leaning under as i cant imagine it taking more than 20 to win this gm. 17 prob do it for either team. only thing that bothers me is the ryan/ryan thing as they know each other well enough to help the oc's in this one. may just end up on the cowgirls and the points here.


                                                              possibly no/gb under at 47 or better. honestly think we may get a decent shot at a few unders early on this year, new kickoff rule helps for sure, O's prob further behind than they would normally be in a lot of cases. Think Saints come in looking to get physical up front and pound the rock, of coarse GB gonna put some points up thru the air but if NO controls a lot of clock could easily see this in the 23-20 range.


                                                              agree with LB tho, most these lines tight imho..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rookie-Capper
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-21-09
                                                                • 4567

                                                                #66
                                                                tease
                                                                pitt +10
                                                                arizona -pk

                                                                got it a few days ago
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDan
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-28-11
                                                                  • 5104

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Rookie-Capper
                                                                  tease
                                                                  pitt +10
                                                                  arizona -pk

                                                                  got it a few days ago

                                                                  nothing wrong with that at all.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pavyracer
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                                    • 82840

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                    49ers were laying 3 in seattle week 1. Blowout by seattle. Packers only layin a fg in philly. Pack win easy.


                                                                    Pavy give us a winner. Stop being a grunt.
                                                                    I'm waiting to find a week when the NFL lines are not sharp to give you a winner. Can't give winners when the lines are so sharp.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 4TH AND STUPID
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-08-09
                                                                      • 2349

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                                      Ravens -2.5 -110

                                                                      Super Bowl loser 1-9 ATS in week 1 last 10 seasons
                                                                      Ravens season on the line to win that in possibly their last year to really contend. They don't make playoffs if they lose that. They cannot lose 2 years in a row at home to Steelers that costs them Division

                                                                      a similar situation from last year was Colts/Texans. Basically a must win for Texans and they delivered a 10 point win against Super Bowl loser Colts.

                                                                      though I suppose the -2.5 instead of -3 says it's a trap right?


                                                                      pittsburgh has been moving the ball like its nothing against 1st teamers this preseason and big ben to cotchery is lookin like young to rice...


                                                                      this is the trap of the week. public is going to get ****** when pittsburgh whens
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • lakerboy
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                                        • 94379

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by 4TH AND STUPID
                                                                        pittsburgh has been moving the ball like its nothing against 1st teamers this preseason and big ben to cotchery is lookin like young to rice...


                                                                        this is the trap of the week. public is going to get ****** when pittsburgh whens

                                                                        the public is all over pittsburgh.
                                                                        Comment
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