My Plays for 8 - 16 - 11

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    My Plays for 8 - 16 - 11
    First thing I'm gonna tell you guys is that I take a lot of decent size favorites. If that's not your style, don't even bother reading my thread. I don't want to hear any bullsht bashing my picks. I also bet a much higher % of my bankroll than the recommended amount on these games. Again, I have a unique style



    With that being said, I fully expect to win at least 3 of these 4 games (and realistically all 4) as I'm betting 600 dollars per game




    Yankees Moneyline - Ivan Nova has gone 7-0 his last 8 starts with the yankees winning the only game he didn't get a decision in (most of those games havent' even been close). Danny Duffy has lost every game he has played this year against a high powered offense. I would be shocked if this game is even close



    Tigers Moneyline - Yea it's a big moneyline, but I don't care. The tigers are 14-2 in Verlander's last 16 starts. The twins have really really struggled historically in Detroit...the odds of them winning back to back games there against the nastiest pitcher perhaps in the AL are nearly nonexistant. Furthermore, Verlander has really dominated against Minnesota and blackburn has gotten hammered giving up an average of 4 runs per game against Detroit in his last 5 starts




    Philly Moneyline - Philly is 16-1 Halladay's last 17 starts. Arizona starter has really really struggled on the road. Philly offense is red hot. I expect another blowout here but I'm taking moneyline to be safe





    Brewers moneyline - Milwaukee is 9-2 in Gallardo's home starts where he has a sub 3 Era. They are facing a guy (billingsley) who has given up 3 runs or more 4 of his last 5 outings. Milwaukee has won about 85% of their games at home since the half. Billingsley's road numbers are also atrocious. The only concern here is that Axford will likely be unavailable tomorrow but they still have hawkins and K rod available who have history both closing and setting up.
  • kerrywoodwins20
    Restricted User
    • 07-06-11
    • 1415

    #2
    if you go 3-1 but lose the Tigers, you are barely in the green. If you go 2-2, you are deep in the red.
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by kerrywoodwins20
      if you go 3-1 but lose the Tigers, you are barely in the green. If you go 2-2, you are deep in the red.


      I have turned 300 dollars into 4300 dollars in a matter of about 17 days doing this....I know what I'm doing
      Comment
      • kerrywoodwins20
        Restricted User
        • 07-06-11
        • 1415

        #4
        Originally posted by brahmabull117
        I have turned 300 dollars into 4300 dollars in a matter of about 17 days doing this....I know what I'm doing
        I turned 840 into 15K in 3 weeks once man.

        Means nothing. If you were so great overall, you'd be starting at a higher amount than 300.
        Comment
        • Pete0
          SBR MVP
          • 04-09-10
          • 3849

          #5
          Originally posted by brahmabull117
          I have turned 300 dollars into 4300 dollars in a matter of about 17 days doing this....I know what I'm doing
          LMAO


          Ok, good luck though I'm loving the Detroit pick !, prolly even play the -2.5 .

          that Doofus blackburn really got lucky with that cant-give-a-shit boston team last time.
          Comment
          • brahmabull117
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-08-10
            • 8622

            #6
            Originally posted by kerrywoodwins20
            I turned 840 into 15K in 3 weeks once man. Means nothing. If you were so great overall, you'd be starting at a higher amount than 300.


            I started at 300 because I never bet baseball before and I wasn't sure how good I would be at it




            then it became a contest to see how much I could turn it into
            Comment
            • brahmabull117
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-08-10
              • 8622

              #7
              Originally posted by Pete0
              LMAO Ok, good luck though I'm loving the Detroit pick !, prolly even play the -2.5 .


              that's a fcking horrible pick, Verlander's last 4 starts have all been wins by only 1 run
              Comment
              • Pete0
                SBR MVP
                • 04-09-10
                • 3849

                #8
                Originally posted by brahmabull117
                that's a fcking horrible pick, Verlander's last 4 starts have all been wins by only 1 run
                oh its not about verlander, - its about blackburn and having the one of the worst bullpens in baseball
                Comment
                • brahmabull117
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 8622

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Pete0
                  oh its not about verlander, - its about blackburn and having the one of the worst bullpens in baseball



                  true, I wouldn't condemn anybody for taking the runline there... I just prefer to be safe with the ML
                  Comment
                  • kerrywoodwins20
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-06-11
                    • 1415

                    #10
                    Originally posted by brahmabull117
                    I started at 300 because I never bet baseball before and I wasn't sure how good I would be at it then it became a contest to see how much I could turn it into
                    There is no value in Verlander tomorrow. I saw a -260 line if I'm not mistaken.

                    The majority of baseball games are decided by 1-2 at bats... Risking -260 when a game is decided by 1-2 at bats is absurd and is not sustainable.
                    Comment
                    • brahmabull117
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 8622

                      #11
                      Originally posted by kerrywoodwins20
                      There is no value in Verlander tomorrow. I saw a -260 line if I'm not mistaken. .



                      Detroit is 14-2 in Verlander's last 16 starts... minnesota is garbage, no way in hell can they win back to back games in Detroit against arguably the best pitcher in the league



                      -260 sounds a lot, but I would personally handicap this game at about - 700 for Detroit. Minnesota is 2-10 their last 12 games against Detroit, their not gonna win this game with that godawful bullpen and a terrible starter in Nickie Blackburn
                      Comment
                      • JohnnyD4916
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-14-10
                        • 1572

                        #12
                        Good luck
                        Comment
                        • kerrywoodwins20
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-06-11
                          • 1415

                          #13
                          Verlander was like -220 earlier in the year against 0-4 Bedard and the Mariners of all teams won 10-1.

                          Thome and Mauer both hit Verlander well ... a few big swings from them and Twins could easily win.
                          Comment
                          • JohnnyD4916
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-14-10
                            • 1572

                            #14
                            How much of your bankroll are you putting on these games?
                            Comment
                            • ACoochy
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-19-09
                              • 13949

                              #15
                              GL brahma...Too much juice for me but if its working 4 u then keep going
                              Comment
                              • ShogunRua
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-23-09
                                • 4668

                                #16
                                I remember a couple guys like this during the NBA season. They all went broke.
                                Comment
                                • GAMBLOR777
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-16-10
                                  • 1463

                                  #17
                                  Good on you for stepping up and posting your plays.

                                  Now let's see if your balls are as big as your mouth...

                                  Good luck man I hope you prove me/us wrong

                                  edit: no wager/unit sizes??? Are you even betting these games? We need units and beginning bankroll bud.
                                  Comment
                                  • ACoochy
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-19-09
                                    • 13949

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GAMBLOR777
                                    Good on you for stepping up and posting your plays. Now let's see if your balls are as big as your mouth... Good luck man I hope you prove me/us wrong edit: no wager/unit sizes??? Are you even betting these games? We need units and beginning bankroll bud.
                                    The guy bets double digit % of his roll each game. He even states that its not recommended but it seems to be working for him...For now
                                    Comment
                                    • AribaAriba
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-03-09
                                      • 2922

                                      #19
                                      unit size please.... or easier for you the real money you bet on...
                                      Comment
                                      • stikymess
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-19-10
                                        • 3288

                                        #20
                                        Best of luck bull.
                                        Comment
                                        • GAMBLOR777
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-16-10
                                          • 1463

                                          #21
                                          still isn't clear if he's betting the same amount on all his plays or if he likes one better than the others etc.

                                          either way, I can just see from his plays (4 biggest favs ) that dude is gonna get buried tomorrow.
                                          Comment
                                          • AribaAriba
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-03-09
                                            • 2922

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by GAMBLOR777
                                            still isn't clear if he's betting the same amount on all his plays or if he likes one better than the others etc.

                                            either way, I can just see from his plays that dude is gonna get buried tomorrow.
                                            he can win tomorrow and can guarantee you that will get buried long term by betting -220 LOL. Juice will kill you in sports betting at -110. You should hit alteast 60% of your picks @ -110 juice flat betting to have a +ev , just saying.
                                            Comment
                                            • GAMBLOR777
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-16-10
                                              • 1463

                                              #23
                                              I know what you're saying...but I think he goes 2-2 at best tomorrow anyway. This should be quick.
                                              Comment
                                              • obamaismyuncle
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-31-08
                                                • 17801

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                Detroit is 14-2 in Verlander's last 16 starts... minnesota is garbage, no way in hell can they win back to back games in Detroit against arguably the best pitcher in the league



                                                -260 sounds a lot, but I would personally handicap this game at about - 700 for Detroit. Minnesota is 2-10 their last 12 games against Detroit, their not gonna win this game with that godawful bullpen and a terrible starter in Nickie Blackburn
                                                Comment
                                                • brahmabull117
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 8622

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by GAMBLOR777
                                                  but I think he goes 2-2 at best tomorrow anyway.

                                                  are u retarded here or just smoking crack???



                                                  Verlander, 14-2 his last 16 games pitching at home
                                                  Halladay, 16-1 last 17 games pitching at home
                                                  Gallardo and the Brewers, who are 16-2 last 18 games playing at home against a guy with a 5.30 road era
                                                  Ivan Nova, 8-0 last 8 games against an awul kansas city team




                                                  you think I go 2-2 in the above 4 games at best tomorrow??? u fcking kidding me???



                                                  I would be absolutely stunned if I do anything less than 3-1 tomorrow, and 4-0 is a more realistic number.... are u not reading these stats I'm giving you???
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brahmabull117
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 8622

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by AribaAriba
                                                    he can win tomorrow and can guarantee you that will get buried long term by betting -220 LOL. Juice will kill you in sports betting at -110. You should hit alteast 60% of your picks @ -110 juice flat betting to have a +ev , just saying.

                                                    u guys can keep worrying about justice, I will keep making money hand over fist




                                                    and please stop doubting me, just watch the magic happen...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ApricotSinner32
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-28-10
                                                      • 10648

                                                      #27
                                                      Bramabull what do you think about the cubs game?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brahmabull117
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 8622

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                                        Bramabull what do you think about the cubs game?


                                                        brett myers owns the cubs, stay away
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ApricotSinner32
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-28-10
                                                          • 10648

                                                          #29
                                                          That may be true historically but we are talking about the astros who haven't won a game since the raegan administration. Myers is 0-6 in his last 6 starts at miniute maid park with an over 6 era.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brahmabull117
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 8622

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                                            That may be true historically but we are talking about the astros who haven't won a game since the raegan administration. Myers is 0-6 in his last 6 starts at miniute maid park with an over 6 era.

                                                            true, I actually wanna play this game but I just have a bad feeling on it for some reason



                                                            Dempster has also been pitching great




                                                            edit: I'm not gonna play this game, Myers is 5-0 his last 5 starts againt the cubs giving up just 4 total runs in that period. They could easily win this game like 1-0
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GAMBLOR777
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-16-10
                                                              • 1463

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by brahmabull117

                                                              you think I go 2-2 in the above 4 games at best tomorrow??? u fcking kidding me???



                                                              I would be absolutely stunned if I do anything less than 3-1 tomorrow, and 4-0 is a more realistic number.... are u not reading these stats I'm giving you???
                                                              double up then big boy, these picks are a innit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brahmabull117
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 8622

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by GAMBLOR777
                                                                double up then big boy, these picks are a innit


                                                                no, I'm already betting too much on these games



                                                                it's still gambling and you still never know
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JohnnyD4916
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-14-10
                                                                  • 1572

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                                  no, I'm already betting too much on these games



                                                                  it's still gambling and you still never know
                                                                  How much are you betting?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • downsouth
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-13-11
                                                                    • 11580

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JohnnyD4916
                                                                    How much are you betting?
                                                                    600 per game as stated in first post.

                                                                    Good luck brahma
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • topgame85
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-30-08
                                                                      • 12325

                                                                      #35
                                                                      so 60% or so of your roll on the line in one day? Hope you win guy, a couple bad rolls and you could be set way back
                                                                      Comment
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