Typical NFL game tonight epitomizes why no one should be wagering on this sport

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  • Emily_Haines
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-14-09
    • 15917

    #1
    Typical NFL game tonight epitomizes why no one should be wagering on this sport
    As with just about every NFL game they all seem to come down to the last drive. Houston misses several clear opportunities to sack the QB for a huge loss. Defying the impossible the Jets move the ball down the field. They have a wide open receiver 5 yards behind the last defender for an easy TD. All Jets backers jump for joy as it looks like an easy TD to win the game and their bets. But Oh No! he drops it. However all hope is not lost as they convert a 3rd and 20 to set up a last second hail mary from the 20. Unfortunately the slow white QB thought he could run it 10 yards up field and then launch the pass. I'd rather play black jack or roulette at the casino than go through this misery game after game.
  • Brock Landers
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 06-30-08
    • 45359

    #2
    that last play had me laughing out loud
    Comment
    • Br0nxer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-25-11
      • 13665

      #3
      NFL is easiest sport to cap and bet by far IMO
      Comment
      • DwightShrute
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-17-09
        • 103422

        #4
        Originally posted by Br0nxer
        NFL is easiest sport to cap and bet by far IMO
        its the hardest by far actually. If you beat the books in NFL betting, then you are the rare exception rather than the rule. All the power to you sir.
        Comment
        • Br0nxer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-25-11
          • 13665

          #5
          Originally posted by DwightShrute
          its the hardest by far actually. If you beat the books in NFL betting, then you are the rare exception rather than the rule. All the power to you sir.
          not for me it isnt. by far the most successful betting sport for me in terms of winning-losing.
          Comment
          • Emily_Haines
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-09
            • 15917

            #6
            Don't matter how hard you work to beat the game.

            Most games with the spread are decided by dumb luck
            Comment
            • SportsMushroom
              SBR MVP
              • 09-28-10
              • 4177

              #7
              lines for nfl are indeed too sharp, that is why it comes down to the last play
              Comment
              • Dabeergod
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-30-10
                • 5503

                #8
                Originally posted by Br0nxer
                NFL is easiest sport to cap and bet by far IMO
                Comment
                • DwightShrute
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-17-09
                  • 103422

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Br0nxer
                  not for me it isnt. by far the most successful betting sport for me in terms of winning-losing.
                  well if that's true, and I have no reason to not believe you, then good for you. You are the exception.

                  I had a fantastic year 2 years ago so I know it can be done. I hope you have a great NFL season this year as I plan to have!
                  Comment
                  • 305GURU
                    Restricted User
                    • 10-04-10
                    • 1038

                    #10
                    nfl is easier to cap than baseball...for sure imo, wait till week 1 pre season too unpredictable with 2nd and 3rd string squads this year
                    Comment
                    • Kindred
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-09-08
                      • 2901

                      #11
                      I guess throw out basketball since most games are decided in the final minutes/seconds..no reason to even play the first 3 quarters.

                      I had SF Giants giants tonight, up by 2 in the bottom of the ninth and they give up 3 runs to lose the game..bad beats suck but they happen in every sport.

                      What i can't stand is the BS announcers and the sideline interviews when I'm trying to watch a game I have money on and in the NFL they are always doing some bullshit with some interview on the sidelines...better off making bets and not watching the game just check the scoreboard and see if you won or lost and move onto the next game
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Suckers bet the sides (full game pre season)

                        Much better ways to play a pre season game
                        Comment
                        • Br0nxer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-25-11
                          • 13665

                          #13
                          Originally posted by DwightShrute
                          well if that's true, and I have no reason to not believe you, then good for you. You are the exception.

                          I had a fantastic year 2 years ago so I know it can be done. I hope you have a great NFL season this year as I plan to have!
                          Comment
                          • Tully Mars 63
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-06-11
                            • 2750

                            #14
                            I always do better during the NFL then MLB or NBA.
                            Comment
                            • k13
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-16-10
                              • 18104

                              #15
                              Actually it is the opposite, this is why you should be betting the nfl because it's so predictable.

                              Just stop watching the games.

                              Don't go against sharp moves.

                              You'll be fine.
                              Comment
                              • Dark Horse
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-14-05
                                • 13764

                                #16
                                nm.
                                Comment
                                • I/O
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-26-11
                                  • 7922

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                                  Don't matter how hard you work to beat the game.

                                  Most games with the spread are decided by dumb luck
                                  play the ML
                                  Comment
                                  • Tully Mars 63
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-06-11
                                    • 2750

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Kindred
                                    I guess throw out basketball since most games are decided in the final minutes/seconds..no reason to even play the first 3 quarters.

                                    I had SF Giants giants tonight, up by 2 in the bottom of the ninth and they give up 3 runs to lose the game..bad beats suck but they happen in every sport.

                                    What i can't stand is the BS announcers and the sideline interviews when I'm trying to watch a game I have money on and in the NFL they are always doing some bullshit with some interview on the sidelines...better off making bets and not watching the game just check the scoreboard and see if you won or lost and move onto the next game
                                    What's with the eye candy chicks in pant suits asking fluff questions on the sidelines? I have no problems with female announcers, if they know what they're talking about (face it 70% of all announcers pretty much suck.) But these ladies that show up for 15-60 sec. each half to ask questions like "Coach, do you think you'll need to put more points on the board to win?" "Mmm, we're behind so I'm going to have to say yes." "OK, there you have it now back to the both.

                                    WTF!?!
                                    Comment
                                    • jrmartin.mig
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-29-10
                                      • 624

                                      #19
                                      I have never lost money on a full season of NFL or College Football, but have a lot harder time capping MLB or NBA
                                      Comment
                                      • hubie69
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-16-10
                                        • 7329

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Br0nxer
                                        NFL is easiest sport to cap and bet by far IMO
                                        Agreed
                                        Comment
                                        • cant call it
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-29-10
                                          • 8817

                                          #21
                                          Bet totals then, or ML, if you cannot pick a spread.
                                          Better yet, send me your money and I will bet it for you.
                                          Comment
                                          • HoulihansTX
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-12-09
                                            • 30566

                                            #22
                                            Its the preaseaon.....
                                            Comment
                                            • odog11
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-14-11
                                              • 3874

                                              #23
                                              The lesson is you should not bet unless you have a reason, some solid logic that leads you to believe it is a good play, don't just make a bet to have some action. I didn't see any reason to bet the Jets tonight and the rookie 7th round QB not getting done in the end is no surprise, that they were that close was the surprise. Texans were the smart play in this one IMO, does not mean they were destined to win or cover, but a - 2 1/2 it was the play to make.
                                              Comment
                                              • Nookx
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-17-07
                                                • 486

                                                #24
                                                Don't play preseason. Understanding variance is your friend.
                                                Comment
                                                • icancount2one
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-05-10
                                                  • 1507

                                                  #25
                                                  You're right, NFL is bull.

                                                  I've never had an MLB bet decided by a dropped ball or extra innings or anything.

                                                  Not ever

                                                  Not once

                                                  ...jackass
                                                  Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pavyracer
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                    • 82839

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                                                    As with just about every NFL game they all seem to come down to the last drive. Houston misses several clear opportunities to sack the QB for a huge loss. Defying the impossible the Jets move the ball down the field. They have a wide open receiver 5 yards behind the last defender for an easy TD. All Jets backers jump for joy as it looks like an easy TD to win the game and their bets. But Oh No! he drops it. However all hope is not lost as they convert a 3rd and 20 to set up a last second hail mary from the 20. Unfortunately the slow white QB thought he could run it 10 yards up field and then launch the pass. I'd rather play black jack or roulette at the casino than go through this misery game after game.
                                                    And do you know what's the funny thing? The ones who cashed their bets are bragging how sharp they are when the outcome of the came was a pure coin flip.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94379

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      And do you know what's the funny thing? The ones who cashed their bets are bragging how sharp they are when the outcome of the came was a pure coin flip.

                                                      actually the line was sharp. either the jets won 16-13 to give jets backers a win on +3 or houston won 20-16 to give texans backers of -3 the win and sharper bettors who caught -2.5 on houston were safe from a missed extra point. nfl lines are usually spot on. most games are usually a coin flip.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GunShard
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-05-10
                                                        • 10031

                                                        #28
                                                        It's called preseason and you should not play games where teams are 50/50 against each other, like the Jets vs Texans game you just witnessed.

                                                        Wait till regular season. I say this to everyone. Preseason is a guessing game, regular season is not.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82839

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                          actually the line was sharp. either the jets won 16-13 to give jets backers a win on +3 or houston won 20-16 to give texans backers of -3 the win and sharper bettors who caught -2.5 on houston were safe from a missed extra point. nfl lines are usually spot on. most games are usually a coin flip.
                                                          The line was sharp definitely.

                                                          But do you think the ones who cashed or pushed a ticket were sharp and predicted the final drive ahead of time?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bobbyk1133
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-05-10
                                                            • 2245

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                            The line was sharp definitely. But do you think the ones who cashed or pushed a ticket were sharp and predicted the final drive ahead of time?
                                                            Unless you had good knowledge that Yates was a diamond in the rough 3rd stringer. Nothing in the first 3 quarters indicated an edge either way. Most people stayed away from the game...and I think when it was all over it was pretty clear why.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JR007
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-21-10
                                                              • 5279

                                                              #31
                                                              if you looked back to Sat. there was the Rams play...if you looked closely.....you would have spotted it

                                                              have to look at everything
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ThaWoj
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-09-10
                                                                • 6764

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                actually the line was sharp. either the jets won 16-13 to give jets backers a win on +3 or houston won 20-16 to give texans backers of -3 the win and sharper bettors who caught -2.5 on houston were safe from a missed extra point. nfl lines are usually spot on. most games are usually a coin flip.
                                                                actually the line wasnt sharp. it was just like the rest.

                                                                almost every preseason home team has been a -3 or so chalk so i dont see why this is a surprise.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • madmiek
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-04-10
                                                                  • 433

                                                                  #33
                                                                  There is no wrong answer here in IMO... Some are good at capping nfl, others mlb, others nba and so on...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rm18
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-20-05
                                                                    • 22291

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Jets +.5 for the first quarter was free money though Texans did not even have a chance to score
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • OUT2GETIT85
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 02-23-11
                                                                      • 14

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Sounds like you're playing 4,5,6, or more pick parlays . I bet you come up short every week by one game don't you. Stop being greedy lookin for the get rich quick trip. Take your time set a limit and enjoy the sport . You gotta love this s#*! To be good at it. Try picking one spread with a no more than two ml picks ,enjoy the game ,eat some garlic fries ,drink a beer and thank me later . Gl
                                                                      Comment
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