Bet 2 games & go 1-1, or bet 100 and go 50-50, does it matter?

[robzilla]

What is the point of capping 100 games, or 2 games if the result is going to be the same? are you really eliminating risk by betting more games?

I know there is many different schools of thought on this.

[Powderguy]

Doesn't the juice factor into it in the end?

[robzilla]

Doesn't the juice factor into it in the end?

okay, lets assume that its all -110. does it matter now?

[B1GER1C828]

People who bet liek 100 games in a day are finding value in them all. They might have a 2% edge in each game so if their betting 100 bux a game, at the end of their day their expected to be up 200 dollars.

[jkilla990]

okay, lets assume that its all -110. does it matter now?

It actually matters alot, if you go 1-1, you lose .1 units.
if u go 50-50, you lose 5 units.

[robzilla]

It actually matters alot, if you go 1-1, you lose .1 units. if u go 50-50, you lose 5 units.

okay, well with betting 2 games there are 3 outcomes. 0-2, 1-1, 2-0 (0%, 50%, 100%).
if you bet 100 games, with a 2% edge, maybe you win 52% long term... so i guess that is the thinking. +2% is better than, 3 outcome of which 1 is breakeven or less with juice or 0%.

[FourLengthsClear]

More games = reduced variance.

Based on a 50% hit rate
Chances of going 0-2 are 25%
Chances of going 0-10 are less than 0.1%.

At the end of the day if you are a losing bettor, you might as well go all-in on two plays (also 25% chance of going 2-0) but if you are an advantage bettor, reducing variance and amplifying your edge is key.