need help with a prop

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  • THE PROFIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-27-09
    • 17701

    #1
    need help with a prop
    Polamalu int+sack+fumble recovery is over/under 1/2 or 0.5 +280

    is he questionable???

    does this mean if he does any of these its +280???

    Ive been real busy & havent been keeping an eye on this, why is it so + money for him? Help me here, I think this is obviously too easy so tell me why it isnt. Plus Im drunk so maybe Im reading it wrong
  • OmgUrMom
    Restricted User
    • 02-07-10
    • 8481

    #2
    yep if he gets any of those its a winner, i thought it seemed like pretty good value at first glance too(and havent looked at it much more). I guess its that high because rodgers doesn't throw very many ints. Maybe packers give up less sacks and fumbles than the average team as well, im not really sure.
    Comment
    • THE PROFIT
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-27-09
      • 17701

      #3
      just seems too good of value to me to not bite, which means its probably a loser. I expect Pitt D to be all over the place & polamalu especially. Thats just how I see it & Im probably wrong, I cant see Vegas giving that good of value if they dont know something we dont.

      Fuk it, im putting it in a parlay
      Last edited by THE PROFIT; 02-06-11, 04:44 AM.
      Comment
      • Nittany Lion
        SBR MVP
        • 09-14-10
        • 1639

        #4
        Originally posted by THE PROFIT
        just seems to good of value to me to not bite, which means its probably a loser. I expect Pitt D to be all over the place & polamalu especially. Thats just how I see it & Im probably wrong, I cant see Vegas giving that good of value if they dont know something we dont.

        Fuk it, im putting it in a parlay

        It has about the right value for the difficulty it will be to win it. I don't think Polamalu got a QB sack, interception, or fumble recovery in the previous 2 playoff games so he probably goes without one in the Superbowl as well.
        Comment
        • THE PROFIT
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-27-09
          • 17701

          #5
          Originally posted by Nittany Lion
          It has about the right value for the difficulty it will be to win it. I don't think Polamalu got a QB sack, interception, or fumble recovery in the previous 2 playoff games so he probably goes without one in the Superbowl as well.
          I agree, but hes a big time player & the big stage brings out the best. I think its a good value because that ball bounces funny
          Comment
          • sanchez
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-02-11
            • 223

            #6
            you are basically betting on whether he gets a INT or not

            he had one sack all year and no fumble recoveries

            but he did have 7 picks in 14 games

            so 50-50 shot he gets a pick although rodgers is above average so its probably less than that

            and troy has looked hurt in the playoffs but two weeks off could have helped that

            im seeing +200 for troy gets a INT.... so it's better odds than that at least
            Comment
            • beanbag
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-10
              • 2364

              #7
              great prop! would put a little on this one
              Comment
              • Prop Bet Master
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-05-10
                • 533

                #8
                A sack or a fumble recovery are unlikely. He has only had one of each of those this season. So really your best chance is an interception. He has had 7 interceptions this season. He has had at least one of those three things in 7 of his 16 games played including the playoffs. There might be some value here, but not a lot.
                Comment
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