One Play I Love today

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  • rfr3sh
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 10229

    #1
    One Play I Love today
    2/4/11 2:00pm Holland Soccer 310 Zwolle (HOL-2)/Fortuna Sittard (HOL-2) Over 3,3½ -104*

    if this one goes under I might quit

    2x
  • doublej95
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-26-10
    • 14094

    #2
    good luck, looks like it should go over. ran my numbers on it and came up with 3.89 total goals. if Fortuna scores one goal you should be in good shape, Zwolle will take care of the rest.
    Comment
    • rfr3sh
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-07-09
      • 10229

      #3
      what other overs do you like today in that league?
      maybe the 1245 game but I think that one might land on 3
      Comment
      • Vegas_bond
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-09-09
        • 624

        #4
        Im for the over too. Might go crazy if it goes under.
        Comment
        • VegasInsider
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-12-10
          • 14593

          #5
          Agree. OVER play for sure and getting some nice odds with the split line.
          Comment
          • rfr3sh
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-07-09
            • 10229

            #6
            yeah low juice right now
            hopefully will steam @ the end
            but this one is the best offense vs one of the worst defenses
            Comment
            • nobull
              Restricted User
              • 11-24-09
              • 830

              #7
              great analysis ......... will do a few dollars on this puppy ....... GL & cash dem puppies
              Comment
              • doublej95
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-26-10
                • 14094

                #8
                Originally posted by rfr3sh
                what other overs do you like today in that league?
                maybe the 1245 game but I think that one might land on 3

                I capped Waalwijk/Helmond at 3.49, (1.76-1.73) I would feel better about the over if one of my numbers was over 2 goals.

                I think the Eindhoven game could go under today. capped it at .84 -.84
                Comment
                • rfr3sh
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-07-09
                  • 10229

                  #9
                  Originally posted by doublej95
                  I capped Waalwijk/Helmond at 3.49, (1.76-1.73) I would feel better about the over if one of my numbers was over 2 goals. I think the Eindhoven game could go under today. capped it at .84 -.84
                  yeah sometimes there are games that stand out as unders in this league like that one
                  however in a league where 66% of games have atleast 3 goals I can't bring myself to back an under
                  Comment
                  • doublej95
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-26-10
                    • 14094

                    #10
                    i like the over in Energie Cottbus vs. Alemannia Aachen Over 2½ today in Germany 2
                    Comment
                    • rfr3sh
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-07-09
                      • 10229

                      #11
                      Originally posted by doublej95
                      i like the over in Energie Cottbus vs. Alemannia Aachen Over 2½ today in Germany 2
                      im gonna bet that one

                      nvm too much juice now
                      Comment
                      • rfr3sh
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-07-09
                        • 10229

                        #12
                        The Frankfurt game might go over too
                        Comment
                        • HiTMaNN
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-22-10
                          • 774

                          #13
                          Holland - Eerste Divisie , Soccer
                          Fortuna Sittard/Zwolle 4-February-2011 10:59 AM PST
                          Total Goals OVER 3 and 3.5 for Game -107
                          Risking 107.00 to Win 100.00 CAD
                          Comment
                          • rfr3sh
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-07-09
                            • 10229

                            #14
                            hopefully this one is like that sparta one that was over in the first 20 min
                            Comment
                            • doublej95
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-26-10
                              • 14094

                              #15
                              Originally posted by rfr3sh
                              The Frankfurt game might go over too
                              I don't like that one so much, Furth not giving up many goals at home.
                              Comment
                              • rfr3sh
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-07-09
                                • 10229

                                #16
                                Originally posted by doublej95
                                I don't like that one so much, Furth not giving up many goals at home.
                                I was just looking at the steam...but the cottbuss one looks good..my friend used to play @ that team last year...what line did you get
                                Comment
                                • doublej95
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-26-10
                                  • 14094

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by rfr3sh
                                  I was just looking at the steam...but the cottbuss one looks good..my friend used to play @ that team last year...what line did you get

                                  I got it last night at -139 at betphoenix, a little juicy bet some of my books had it at -145 to -155
                                  Comment
                                  • rfr3sh
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-07-09
                                    • 10229

                                    #18
                                    nice yeah sportbet had it at 155 or so , I laid off but aachen just scored !!
                                    Comment
                                    • rfr3sh
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-07-09
                                      • 10229

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by doublej95
                                      i like the over in Energie Cottbus vs. Alemannia Aachen Over 2½ today in Germany 2
                                      Comment
                                      • doublej95
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-26-10
                                        • 14094

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by rfr3sh
                                        thank you.
                                        Comment
                                        • rfr3sh
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-07-09
                                          • 10229

                                          #21
                                          Every under is getting pounded in this league today
                                          Comment
                                          • Sanka
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-29-10
                                            • 2641

                                            #22
                                            Pitch conditions in Sittard are terrible and this will hurt Zwolle's offense, who rely a lot on their fast pace, much more then it'll hurt Fortuna. Zwolle's defense will probably still be to tight for them though.

                                            I'm expecting a lowscoring game here and might go small on the under.
                                            Comment
                                            • rfr3sh
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-07-09
                                              • 10229

                                              #23
                                              Do you really trust fortunas defense
                                              Comment
                                              • FourLengthsClear
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-29-10
                                                • 3808

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by rfr3sh
                                                Every under is getting pounded in this league today
                                                Weather. Lots of wind and rain around.
                                                Comment
                                                • 30K Millionaire
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-10-10
                                                  • 2003

                                                  #25
                                                  Damn should've waited. Under got pounded now line is Over 3,3.5 +114
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rfr3sh
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-07-09
                                                    • 10229

                                                    #26
                                                    yeah, I still think it goes over...weather is not that much of a factor in soccer unless it is severe and logging the pitch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sanka
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-29-10
                                                      • 2641

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by rfr3sh
                                                      Do you really trust fortunas defense
                                                      Their defense was given a boost with the signing of Ricksen. It's still not much, but their lack of speed will be compensated by the poor pitchconditions.

                                                      Don't think Fortuna will cause any kind of upset tonight though, just expecting a 0-1/0-2 kind of game.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doublej95
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-26-10
                                                        • 14094

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by doublej95

                                                        I don't like that one so much, Furth not giving up many goals at home.
                                                        I should have played that one
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rfr3sh
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-07-09
                                                          • 10229

                                                          #29
                                                          looking like a bad day for me today
                                                          oh welll
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doublej95
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-26-10
                                                            • 14094

                                                            #30
                                                            I've been working on tomorrow's game most of the day, looking like some good plays tomorrow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • rfr3sh
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-07-09
                                                              • 10229

                                                              #31
                                                              what leagues are you looking @ I think its time to move on for today
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doublej95
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-26-10
                                                                • 14094

                                                                #32
                                                                England Premier and Champ
                                                                Germany 1
                                                                Spain
                                                                Italy A
                                                                Comment
                                                                • rfr3sh
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                                  • 10229

                                                                  #33
                                                                  How about the stuttgart over?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doublej95
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-26-10
                                                                    • 14094

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by rfr3sh
                                                                    How about the stuttgart over?
                                                                    Yes Sir, I have 4.5 goals total. MBach can usually get goals on the road so i like the over in this game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doublej95
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-26-10
                                                                      • 14094

                                                                      #35
                                                                      a couple of other totals that I'm looking at right now are

                                                                      Spain
                                                                      Getafe under
                                                                      Racing under

                                                                      England Champ
                                                                      Crystal under
                                                                      Leeds over
                                                                      Hull under
                                                                      Comment
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